Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - November 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMAGOODFELLA Oct07 Sep18       (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 119 1.80 ★    
2  CONRADO Oct23 Sep04 Jul23 Jun25 May27 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00    
3  TOES N THE SAND         (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
4  PLEASANT VALIANT         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
5  CRUISING DEREK Sep18 Sep10 Aug27 Aug12   (mazza w)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00 ★    
6  FISHERMAN OSCAR Oct01 Sep10 Aug18 Jul28 Jun30 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
TAM-2   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINOCHE Sep02         (o'connell )ROWLAND MADELINE 114 6.00 ★    
2  WINE WITH A ROSE Oct13 Aug30 Jul26 Jul11   (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 10.00    
3  LADYNESS Oct22 Oct12 Sep11 Aug31 Jul28 (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
4  PEEP'S DAY Oct26 Sep07       (carrascojr vict)CENTENO E 119 3.00 6% 16.50    
5  COLLECTIVE GOLD Oct21         (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 119 12.00    
6  FLAG WOMAN Jun24         (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 4.50 ★    
7  FREE SHOT Oct12 Sep19 Aug27     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 51% 1.00    
8  LADY KITTY Oct09 Aug30       (machad)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 15.00    
 
TAM-3   11/25/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANDY LANE KITTEN Sep16 Jul13 Jun18 May25 Apr23 (arriagada juan)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
2  TREASURE RUN Nov05 Aug31 Aug20 Jul09 Jun18 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 121 20.00    
3  ESPECIALLEA Nov12 Oct15 Oct01 Aug20 Jul24 (gatis chris)MENA E 121 30.00    
4  EXPRESS PHAROAH Nov04 Sep14 Jul31     (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
SCR  SHOO SHINE Oct20 Jul22       (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 20.00    
6  CASH CALL KITTEN Oct14 Sep18 Aug13     (orseno f)CENTENO E 121 4.50 12% 7.20    
7  MOTATAABEQ Oct10 Sep07 Jul26 Jul20 Jun30 (escobar alis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  HOLD THE SPICE Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 Jul16 Jun15 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 20.00    
9  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Sep30 Sep16 Aug06 Jul18 Jun20 (delgado h)FERRER C 121 4.00 8% 11.80    
10  BORGOBYTHESEA Oct08 Sep01 Aug06 Jul17 Jun15 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 121 10.00    
SCR  ROAN MOUNTAIN Sep29 Jul10 May27 May08 Apr08 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
12  UNCLE ANDREW Oct25 Oct13 Sep30 Aug25 Aug09 (potts g)WALKER M 121 15.00    
SCR  CENTERFOLDPROSPECT Oct21 Sep05 Jul09 May15 Apr16 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 20.00    
SCR  JIMMY D Oct27 Sep28 Sep07 Jul21 Jun25 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 121 20.00    
 
TAM-4   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'LL FINISH Oct22 Sep10 Aug20 Jul17 Jun19 (delgado jo)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  JAMA DILLON Oct25 Oct17 Sep24 Aug29 Aug02 (nunn douglas)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
3  FREELANCE Aug31 Aug24 Jul22 Jun25   (manning j)BRACHO A 120 20.00    
SCR  NANTUCKETER Oct22 Sep30 Aug20 Jul30 Jun15 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 120 30.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  OXBOW WIND Aug03 Jul08 Jun23 Jun04 Apr29 (cordero an)TRUJILLO ANTONIO 120 30.00    
6  FELIX THE FOX Oct01 Aug31 Jul20 May26 May06 (werneth robert)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00    
7  SHED A TEAR Oct13 Sep22 Sep02 Aug03 Jul16 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 118 2.00 ★    
8  ANY MINUTE Oct26 Oct13 Sep08 Aug17 Jul30 (posadas pedro)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 13% 7.00    
 
TAM-5   11/25/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONYA'S MAGIC Oct21 Sep23 Aug27 Aug06 Jun26 (wilson tony)FERRER C 121 4.00 12% 7.20    
2  LEA RO Oct14 Sep22 Jul23 Jul05 May21 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 121 4.50    
3  PANOTTI Oct21 Sep16 Aug21 Jul23 Jun03 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
4  INANNA'S QUEST Oct01 Sep10 Jul15 Jul08 Jun25 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 121 8.00    
5  KITTEN WITH A WHIP Oct30 Sep30 Sep10 Aug21 Aug01 (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 12.00    
6  SHE NASTY Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Aug10 Jul12 (guciardo k)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 15.00    
7  NEVISIAN SPIRIT Oct12 Sep22 Sep13 Aug29 Aug03 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00    
8  PIE KILLER Oct01 Jul30 Jul17 Jun19   (bray michael)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 12.00 9% 10.20    
9  CHARGE IT JENN Oct15 Sep16 Aug11 Jul06 Jun17 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 121 5.00    
10  RED WIND Sep24 Aug24 Aug15 Aug02 Jul26 (mcgoey monica)CASTANON L 121 6.00    
SCR  ANTALYA Oct10 Sep22 Aug24 Jun23   (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  PUGILIST Sep23 Aug21 Aug01 Jun24 May21 (delgado jose )JIMENEZ MANNY 121 3.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  DADDY'S JOY Sep23 Aug27 Aug01 Jul09 May26 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 5.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SLIME QUEEN Sep07 Jul10 Jun11 Mar06 Feb19 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 6.00    
 
TAM-6   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIN BRIDGES Oct21 Oct05 Sep11 Sep03 Jul23 (nunn douglas)IORIO MELISSA 110 12.00    
2  RAW HONEY Nov13 Oct10 Sep22 Sep08 Aug17 (brownlee d)ALONSO LUIS 118 10.00 5% 18.90    
3  MS BOOMBASTIC Oct27 Sep28 Sep16 Aug20 Jul16 (posadas pedr)ARROYO S 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  YEGUITA QUEEN Oct21 Oct08 Aug28 Aug06 Jul17 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
5  LOVIN MAKES CENTS Sep11 Aug20 Jul31 Jun30 Apr24 (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 8.00    
6  EXPECT A CIRCUS Oct27 Oct19 Oct01 Sep05 Aug24 (werneth robert )MENA E 118 30.00    
7  TRULY A DREAM Sep16 Aug24 Aug03 Jul26 Jul01 (posadas pedro)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00 5% 18.00    
8  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Oct21 Sep24 Aug28 May28 Apr03 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 118 4.50    
9  CAJUN SPICE Oct08 Sep24 Aug20 Apr10 Mar25 (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 4.50    
10  WOODS HOLE Oct15 Sep04 Jul29     (sacco d)FERRER C 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
11  MA COCO Oct21 Sep18 Jul31 Jul01 May28 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00    
 
TAM-7   11/25/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIERCE WARRIOR Oct26 Jul20 Jun28 Jun07 May24 (nunn douglas)ARROYO S 118 30.00    
2  THE SKIPSTER Sep16 Sep03 Jul21 Jun11 May28 (posadas pedro)GREEN AUBRIE 121 15.00    
3  RAISING MOON Oct21 Sep24 Aug15 Jul23 Jun24 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  FATIMA'S BLESSING Oct29 Sep11 Aug21 Jul30 Jul03 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 121 5.00 ★    
5  ROCK THE STARS Oct21 Aug19 Jul31 Jun24 May22 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
6  FLY FLY AWAY Sep29 May07 Apr23 Mar30 Feb12 (cahill ste)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 8.00 20% 4.10    
7  ARIES REIGNS Nov06 Sep15 Sep04 Aug13 Jul03 (rarick lynn)SPIETH S 118 20.00    
8  PIRATE PARADE Oct21 Aug29 Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 (pimental john )CASTANON L 121 6.00 ★    
9  SWING LOW Oct16 Sep11 Aug12 Jul30 May28 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 6.00    
10  SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Oct01 Sep07 Aug15 Jul18 Jun30 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 118 20.00    
 
TAM-8   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER OF MISCHIEF Oct21 Sep17 Aug21 Jul09 Jun12 (o'connor robert)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
2  ABOVE PAR Sep10 Aug20 Jul29 Jun05 Jan16 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.60 29% 2.40    
3  PRETTY RACHEL Nov01 Oct06 Sep14 Aug29 Jul28 (davis scooter)FERRER C 120 10.00 14% 6.20    
4  BEAUTY QUIST Oct29 Oct07       (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
5  GIRLS IN CHARGE Sep18 Aug28 Aug08 Jul17 Jun20 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00 11% 8.40    
6  ROSE'S CAUSE Aug19 Jul15 Jun18 Jun02 Apr27 (romero rafael)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00    
7  HUSH Y'ALL Nov04 Oct26 Oct14 Sep09 Aug04 (pimental john)ALICEA JEREMY 113 30.00    
8  LADY IN HEELS Oct06 Sep14 Aug22 Aug03 Jul12 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 12.00    
9  TALKIN TIPSY Oct22 Aug28 Jul31 Jun30 Jun10 (gulick james )MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
10  BOW DRAW Sep29 Sep13 Aug26 Aug09   (mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00    
11  PEACELOVENKARMA Oct04 Aug02 Jul20 Jun23 May19 (cahill ste)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-9   11/25/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHES SKY HIGH Aug27 Jul31 Jul03 May29 Apr27 (puckett dwigh)MORALES PABLO 124 10.00    
2  KAZACHAN Oct22 Aug24 Jul28 Jul01 Jun10 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 121 4.00    
3  GIRL PRO Apr15         (bordis robert)FUENTES MARIO 121 20.00    
4  KISSES FOR HANNAH Oct14 Oct06 Sep15 Aug27 Aug18 (lopez rob)CENTENO E 121 15.00    
5  DON DIVA Oct14 Sep03 Aug20 Jul16   (arriagada juan)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00 38% 1.70    
6  RIPLEY EFFECT Oct14 Sep17 Apr23 Mar25 Feb16 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 8.00    
7  SILVER SPRINTER Oct22 Sep17 Aug15 Jul29 Jun19 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 121 15.00    
8  LOFTYSHIPSLOWSAILS Oct09 Sep30 Aug07 Jun30 Jun03 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 121 4.50 ★    
9  TEA'S DREAM Jun30 May07 Apr24 Apr06 Mar23 (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 8.00 ★    
10  GUIDANCE Oct08         (ferraro anthon)FERRER C 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  SHEMIGHTDANCESALSA Oct14 Aug14 Jul24     (knoll d)MARTIN MATTIE 114 20.00    
SCR  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Oct15 Aug30 Jul26 Feb19 Jan30 (yanez mois)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 10.00    
SCR  HURRY UP DEAR Sep17 Aug27 Jul31 Jul03 May29 (seale christoph)MENA E 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  SYLLABUS Oct23 Oct02 Sep03 Aug21 Jul24 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.