Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Wednesday - September 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   09/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY RADLER Aug10 Jun29       (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.20 33% 2.00    
GORMLEY'S GABRIELA Jul15 Jun19       (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 6.00    
NAVAL EMPIRE Aug09 Jul12       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 120 8.00    
PACHANGA LOCA Jun02 Apr22       (gutierrez faus)REYES LEONEL 120 5.00    
CARLOTUK Aug23         (gutierrez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 27% 2.80    
BALI BALIFLY Aug23 Aug17 Aug03     (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 117 4.50 15% 5.80    
 
CNL-2   09/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANDY HANDYMAN         (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 15.00    
TAKE ME TO JIMMY         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
BOURBON STRAIT         (kingsley arch)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 15.00    
PAY THE SQUID Aug22 Aug01 Jun30     (lawrence )CARRASCO R 119 12.00    
MINNESOTA MOON         (block chri)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 5.00    
MOTIVATING Aug24         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00 30% 2.40    
RUFFLESNFLOURISHES Aug23         (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 119 20.00    
THEOLOVESAWINNER Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 Jun25   (cooney s)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.50    
LE GRIFFON Aug17         (parra hernan)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
10  CITY HUMOR Aug17         (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
 
CNL-3   09/07/2022 6600ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINED GOLD May20 May04 Apr10 Mar19 Jan23 (schoenthal ph)KARAMANOS A 120 2.50 8% 12.10    
SCR  SCENT OF ROYALTY Aug01 Jul12 Jun19     (boniface c)AVILES YAN 115 15.00    
OLD SCHOOL (GB) Jul24 Jun11       (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
CAINUDOTHETWIST Aug22 Aug09 Jul11 Apr30   (kingsley arch)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
EMPRESS AT WAR Aug01         (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 120 2.00 58% 0.70    
LIVELY REMARK Aug24         (reardon c)SUAREZ ANTHONY 120 30.00    
DETERMINED EMPIRE Aug08 Feb24       (schoenthal )RUSSELL SHELDON 120 15.00    
WILDCAT Aug09 Jul11       (fout douglas)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 30.00    
BROADWAY BOOGIE Jul23 Jun24 Apr30     (toner jam)CARRASCO R 120 10.00    
10  LUMINIST Aug20 Jul28 Jul04 Jun12 May25 (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 8.00 6% 17.10    
11  SHE'S LIKE THUNDER Aug24 Jul31       (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NANCY MY LOVE Aug05         (allen fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 30.00    
 
CNL-4   09/07/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WISH ME HOME Aug17 Aug05 Jul18 Jan22 Jan02 (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 118 15.00    
LARGENT Jul11 Apr22 Feb19 Jan08   (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 126 1.40 67% 0.50    
KENDAMA Aug09 Jul11 Jun09     (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50    
TOLAGA BAY Aug30 Aug08 Jul18     (kingsley arch)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 6.00    
PASSION PLAY Aug19 Jul11       (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 124 5.00    
B DETERMINED Aug19 Aug05 Jul08 Jun19 May20 (stettinius )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00    
WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST Jul15 Jun18 May22 Apr02 Mar12 (albertrani th)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
 
CNL-5   09/07/2022 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLARMINE HALL Aug29 Jul20 Apr01 Feb15 Feb03 (bourke m)AVILES YAN 122 30.00    
FEBRUARY SON Aug16 Jul13 Jun09 Jan14   (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
TAPWOOD Aug01 Jun26       (fisher r)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 30.00    
GLOBAL SENSATION Aug07 Jul14       (stidham michae)ROCCO S 118 4.50    
BOX N SCORE Aug20 Jul24 Jun10 Jun03 May01 (thomas jona)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
MOTATAABEQ Jul26 Jul20 Jun30 Jun19 Jun10 (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 30.00    
ALBERTANO Aug27 Aug12 Jul31 Jul22 Jun24 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 20.00    
THE HAPPY GIANT Aug16 Jul27 Jul11 Jun07 Feb13 (fulmer allison)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00    
BELTWAY BOB Aug20 Aug13 Jul20 Jun26 Jun17 (wilson gre)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 15.00    
10  PERFORMING ARTS (IRE) Jul19 Jun10 May21 Apr29 Mar31 (mcgoey monica)REYES LEONEL 122 10.00    
11  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Aug22 Jul11 Jun18 Jun04 May24 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 122 12.00 7% 12.70    
12  SAMUI SUNSET Aug29 Aug05 Jul22 Jul04 Jun24 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00 9% 9.60    
13  JIMMY D Jul21 Jun25 Jun11 Apr30 Mar26 (davis chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
SCR  JUSTIN'S QUEST Aug30 Aug09 Jun25 Apr29 Feb20 (van thom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-6   09/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTH BAY Aug02 Jul19 Jun08     (blair jordan)ROCCO S 121 15.00    
WILLACY Aug24 Jul23 Jun18 Jun04   (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
SAPELO SOUND         (lovell mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00    
GENERAL STRIKE Aug23 Aug05 Jun18 Jun08 May07 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 5.00 21% 3.80    
SERIOUS MOMENT Aug24         (hester leann)ARROYO S 121 20.00    
SLOW MOTION         (williams g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 20.00    
SCR  DRAMA'S PRAYER         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NEWTOWN Aug15 Jan14       (olivo daisy )SUAREZ ANTHONY 121 30.00    
BLAME B B Aug23 Aug01 Jul03 May20   (aguirre anthony )AVILES YAN 116 8.00    
10  COMMAND TO FIRE Aug24 Aug15       (duffy sean)KARAMANOS A 121 20.00    
SCR  FRONT DANCER Jul23 Jul13       (deiter ly)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 20.00    
12  COVERT KAT Aug15 Jul15 Jun17 May21   (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 121 4.50 15% 5.60    
13  MAYA PRINCE Feb19 Jan28       (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 38% 1.60    
14  BAND LEADER         (williams gary )ARAUJO DENIS 121 30.00    
 
CNL-7   09/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED SASS Aug26 Aug10       (nambo cesar)CRUZ ANGEL 117 6.00    
THANK YA PETE Aug23 Aug01 Jul18     (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00    
GABRIEL'S WING Aug09 Jul18       (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 20.00    
GETTIN'DOWNONIT Jul27 Jul06       (beecher m)CARRASCO R 120 15.00    
NOTION         (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 19% 4.40    
MOON SIGN Aug23         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
SENDERO Jul18         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
GRANDPA'S KID Aug11         (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 120 20.00    
BEE MOUNTAIN Aug09 Jul12       (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 117 12.00    
 
CNL-8   09/07/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU CURL Jul30 Jun12 May22 Apr03   (albertrani th)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00    
SCR  NO MO LADY Jul18 Jun19 May21 Apr30   (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 15.00 7% 13.50    
MO CLARE'S Aug09 Jul11 May28     (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 126 2.00 33% 2.10    
GASTOWN BABE Aug10 Jul17 Jun18     (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
DREAM CENTRAL Aug18 Jul20 Jun19 May30 Apr29 (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 8% 10.90    
URBAN FAIRYTALE Jul11 May19 Apr24     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 4.50 27% 2.70    
FIONNBHARR Aug09 Jul11 Jun02 May15 Apr23 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00    
SURYA (ARG) Aug01 Jul19 Jun08 Apr24   (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 118 10.00    
AMPLIO ESQUEMA Aug01 Jul11 Jun11 May01   (milosevic milan)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 20.00    
10  UNRULY JULIE Aug09 Jul18 Jun05     (godsey denn)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
11  TASS (GB) Jul27 Jun24 Jun10 May13   (martin ca)CARRASCO R 122 12.00    
 
CNL-9   09/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMBEAU Aug16 Jul11       (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 126 3.00 10% 8.70    
RAMBERT Aug02 Jun18       (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
OUR STRONG VOWS Aug16 Aug01 Jul19     (godsey d)BOYCE FOREST 122 15.00    
SUMMER ODDS Aug08 Jul10 Jun18 Apr22 Apr08 (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 122 10.00    
LADY STORM Aug26 Jun18 May18 Apr23 Apr07 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
ISLAND PHILO Aug19 Jul30 Jul19 Jun18 Jun05 (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
SPUN GLASS Jul30 Jun25 Jun05 May20   (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
AFRAID NOT Aug08 Jul19 Jun25 Apr16 Mar12 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
PUPPYMONKEYBABY Jul22 Jun22       (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00    
10  TEA IN CHINA Aug31 Aug15 Aug02 Jul11   (godsey de)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 12.00    
 
CNL-10   09/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST PAYDAY Aug23 Jul01 Jun11 May26 Apr24 (hester leanne)REYES LEONEL 118 30.00    
CLARESTOWN Aug15 Jun11 May21     (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SIBERIAN Aug18         (lawrence )CARRASCO R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ICY MINISTER Jul22 Jul04 Jun11 May13 Apr15 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 30.00    
NINETIES COUNTRY Jul23 Jul03 May19 Apr16 Apr01 (gutierrez fau)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 15.00    
SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Aug15 Jul18 Jun30 Jun19   (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 118 20.00    
SMALL FIELD Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul27 Jul12 (huffman kenn)ARROYO S 122 8.00    
BAILEYS RUN Aug24 Aug02 Jun01 May11 Mar19 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
SIMPLE LOGIC Aug15 Jul18 Jun25 Jun10   (block chris)AVILES YAN 117 6.00 18% 4.50    
10  DANIEL SUN Aug08 Jul20 Jun28 May29 Apr30 (preciado guad)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 17% 4.80    
11  CLASS WIZARD Aug15 Jul29 Jul02 Jun10 Apr02 (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00    
12  TATE Jul28 Jun25 Jun11 May13 Apr23 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
CNL-11   09/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUTIN ONLINE Aug20 Jun18 Jun04 Mar03 Jan07 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 122 12.00    
KENNY HAD A NOTION Jul30 Jul07 Jun23     (jones e)HO WESLEY 122 20.00    
DETERMINED KINGDOM Aug14 Jul11 Jun11 May21 May01 (schoenthal )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
SLIPPIN JIMMY Jul20         (nagle sarah)CAMACHO SAMY 124 6.00 10% 9.00    
BOLDOR Aug16 Jul11 May30 Mar25 Feb20 (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
GRATEFUL BRED Jul30 Jul18 May21 Apr23   (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
ELUSIVE MISCHIEF Jul11 Feb02 Jan05     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 8.00    
JAXJAXXORJACKS Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 May27 Apr20 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 30.00    
PALIO (IRE) Jul27 Jun01       (stidham michae)ROCCO S 122 6.00    
 
CNL-12   09/07/2022 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOMADIC FIGHTER Aug23 Aug15 Jul29 Jul10 Jun20 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 8.00 15% 5.90    
ONE LUCKY DAY Aug23 Jul26 Jul04 May28 Apr24 (o'connell kath)ARAUJO DENIS 118 10.00    
SEIZING THE DREAM Aug15 Jul15 Jun18 Feb17   (toner jam)CARRASCO R 122 8.00    
SCR  BEACH BREEZE Aug23 Jul11 Apr30 Apr13 Mar20 (brown dona)ALONSO LUIS 119 12.00    
NOBLE CROSS Aug23 Aug08 Jul20 Jul12 May26 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  KID BOURBON Aug23 Jul20 Jun28 Jun07 May23 (tomlinson mic)KARAMANOS A 122 12.00 19% 4.40    
AZURE SKY Aug08 Jul26 Jun11 May21 May07 (mcgoey mon)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 15.00    
CHINA BEACH Aug15 Aug08 Jul18 Apr13 Mar02 (brown donald)ARROYO S 122 15.00    
STAR SHOPPING Aug15 Jul29 Jun30 Jun02 Apr16 (mcgoey monica)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 12.00    
10  FREDISATEN Aug23 Jul13       (nuesch patric)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
11  AND THE OSCAR GOES Aug15 Jul20 Jul01 Apr08 Mar06 (lusk r)AVILES YAN 119 8.00    
12  EMPIRE BUILDER Jul09 Jun17 May20 Apr20   (seale christop)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
13  MR MAC QUHAE Aug20 Aug07 May12 Apr03 Mar04 (moubar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 15.00    
14  STRATFORD Aug23 Jul26 Jul12 May04 Apr10 (rountree cathy)REYES LEONEL 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.