Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (6/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/8)-(6/9/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/9/8)-(6/9/8/1)-(6/9/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/9/8)-(3/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/8)-(3/1/2/7)-(6/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (3/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/7)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/7)-(6/3/1)-(4/5/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(4/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(4/5/8/1)-(1/3/7/8/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (4/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/1)-(4/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/1)-(4/5/8/1)-(4/5/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/8/1)-(1/3/7/8/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/1)-(1/3/7/8/12)-(4/1/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (1/3/7/8/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/8/12)-(1/3/7/8/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/8/12)-(1/3/7/8/12)-(1/3/7/8/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/7/8/12)-(4/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/8/12)-(4/1/2)-(4/8/3/2/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(4/8/3/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(4/8/3/2/7)-(7/3/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (4/8/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/2/7)-(4/8/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/2/7)-(4/8/3/2/7)-(4/8/3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/3/2/7)-(7/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/2/7)-(7/3/4)-(1/6/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(1/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (1/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   09/14/2025 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS CALL Aug27         (mcpeek ken)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
PROBABLE CHOICE Aug09 Jul03       (barrera oscar)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
SALT PRINCESS Aug21 Jul24 Jul03     (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
KAREY Aug10         (martin carlos )ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  MY BLUE LINE (GB)         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
TWO BY TWO BY TWO Aug21 Jul03       (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 38% 1.60    
AMERICAN MINK Aug27         (morley t)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
SMILING ROSIE Aug21         (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 6% 15.80    
RIVER EMPRESS Aug21         (giddings melani)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 35% 1.90    
 
BAQ-2   09/14/2025 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TICKET TO RIDE Aug20 Jul17 Jun05     (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 16% 5.30    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BAHAMA BANKS by ARROGATE)
DANCING MIRACLE         (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of SHAYNA'S MIRACLE by DIALED IN)
FANCY LIGHTS Aug09         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by GALILEAN out of DAWN LIGHTNING by THE FACTOR)
DANCINGWITHDESTINY Aug06         (dini mike)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of KATHY'S CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
ATENEA (ECU) Aug06 Jul19       (d'angelo)SANTANA JR 119 3.50    
  (by SAHARA HEAT out of RISTY by HOLIDAY SPIRIT)
SCR  TIZA SMOKESHOW Aug20         (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 119 8.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of SECOND FIDDLE by PAYNTER)
ANGIE'S ANGEL         (sciacca ga)RIVERA R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of FIRM AND GRACIOUS by STONESIDER)
TOO B WED         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
  (by YAUPON out of DUBAI MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  HOT CURRENCY Aug20         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.60    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of CALIDEZ by SPRING AT LAST)
SCR  GREAT HAPPENINGS         (ferraro james )LUZZI J 119 5.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of THE GREAT JOHANNA by TEUFLESBERG)
 
BAQ-3   09/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBER THE CHIEF Jun26 Apr03 Mar16 Aug17 Jul12 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 15.00 10% 9.20    
NICE TRY RILEY Aug14 Apr05 Feb15     (bartkows)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00    
GREY ACE Jul24 Jun26 Dec28 Nov29 Oct26 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
LEADING ROLE Aug14 Jun22 May30 Jun23   (morey wi)SANTANA JR 121 2.00    
SEEKER'S HOPE Aug14 Jun27 May18 Mar26 Feb12 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00    
FREEDOM MAKER Jul20 Jun15 May17 Mar14 Dec04 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/14/2025 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Athenia Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDICT (ARG) Aug08 Jul10 Jun06 May04 Nov10 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IL CAMPIONE out of STORMY VALERY by BERNSTEIN)
LADY FIREFOOT Jul27 Jun27 May26 May04 Jan25 (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 20.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MARYLAND MIST by COZZENE)
SPINNING COLORS Aug22 Jul10 Jun04 Mar29 Feb22 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of KALEIDOSCOPE by HONEST PLEASURE)
WHISKEY DECISION Aug08 Jun14 Nov08 Sep13 Aug17 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FUNNY SONG by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MOONAGE DAYDREAM Aug22 Oct27 Sep26 Aug25 Jul04 (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ELATHA by MALIBU MOON)
FLOWERS FOR ME Aug17 Jul23 Nov17 Oct27 Sep30 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of I DO DECLARE by DECLARATION OF WAR)
DREAMING OF ABBA Aug30 Aug21 May25 Apr19 Mar30 (o'connell k)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of STELLAR STRENGTH by GONE WEST)
AWESOME CZECH Aug22 Jul04 Jun04 May03 Dec13 (de h)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MARVELOUS MARTINA by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Jun04 Nov03 Oct27 Jul11 Jun21 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 126 3.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PRIVACY by NOTEBOOK)
SCR  MIDTOWN LIGHTS Aug30 Jul23 Jan19 Dec27 Nov10 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.50    
  (by REDESDALE out of MIZ MIDTOWN by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  JUST MUSIC Jul20 Mar16 Jan19 Dec06 Oct19 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 126 3.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
 
BAQ-5   09/14/2025 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUNCH CONTROL Jun22 May26 May29 May05 Apr07 (brion keri)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
RICHARD AVE Aug22 Jul13 May17 Apr26 Mar22 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
NOT FOR HIRE Aug16 Jul19 May26 Apr25 Nov16 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
ALAN TURING Aug16 Jul20 Jun29 May18 Apr25 (quick patrick)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
SCARAMANGA (IRE) Aug16 Jul16 Jun13 Mar29 Mar14 (potts wayne)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 20.00    
STORMY BIRTHDAY Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 May26 Apr27 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
MASTER FREUD Jun27 Jun12 May17 Apr25 Feb23 (arriaga)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 10.00 10% 9.40    
SIR KARTRITE Aug16 Jul26 Jun28 Dec15 Nov23 (englehar)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
PRICE IS TRUTH Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 Jul02 Feb12 (d'alessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 50.00    
10  PANDEMIC HERO Aug13 Jul14 Jun14 May08 Apr19 (jimenez l)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
11  VAN VOLLENHOVEN Aug17 Jul13 May10 Feb14 Jan05 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
12  SKYLER'S STARSHIP Aug09 Jul16 Jul02 Jun02 Nov20 (ferraro anth)LUZZI J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KING PUCK Jul23 Jun19 Sep13 Jul20 Jun22 (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00    
SCR  ROOFER Aug24 Jul26 Jun27 May26 Apr27 (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 120 3.50    
SCR  UNCLE GEORGE Aug13 Jun28 Jun08 May18 Mar29 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 123 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   09/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPANAPARO Aug03         (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
HOOSICK FALLS Aug08 Jul24       (paragal)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOD BEACH Aug08 Jul13 Jun08     (delgado )SANTANA JR 119 2.50    
ESCAPE HALL Aug08         (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  STATE OF ATTACK         (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
FORT GRIFFIN         (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/14/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOTUS PETAL Aug28 Jul24 Jun19 May10 Nov23 (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
TWIRLY Aug01 Jun22 May15 Apr24 Mar16 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 6% 14.50    
SILENT MELODY Aug15 Jul16 Jun21 Dec21 Nov17 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
DANCIN JANE Aug23 Jun13 Sep21 Sep02   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
PROUD MARY Aug15 Jul27 Jul06 Jun12 Apr20 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00    
ISLAND FOX Sep01 Jul26 Jun08 Oct20 Aug25 (devaux )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 10.00    
SAUCY SIX Aug01 Jul06 Jun14 May01 Mar22 (keith)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
BRYANT AND COOPER Jul26 Jun29 Nov02 Sep13   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 16% 5.10    
QUEEN ATLAS Jun21 May24 Dec14 Nov11 Oct22 (morey wi)SANTANA JR 120 5.00    
SCR  SPIRIT OF ESTHER Aug23 Aug13 Jul31 Jun12 May24 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
SCR  SHE'S COMPLICATED Aug01 Apr23 Apr12 Mar15 Feb08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M BUZZY Aug07 Jun21 May26 May02 Mar29 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50    
MELLE MEL Aug13 Jul20 Jun12 Apr12 Mar16 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
MOON GATE Jul31 Jul03 May21 Apr11 Mar22 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 13% 6.40    
AMY'S LIGHT Jun29 Jun12 May15 Mar22 Feb06 (pringle edm)GONZALEZ MELVIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CATCHPHRASE Aug29 Jul23 Jun29 Jun12 May18 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
SPUN SIZE Aug15 Jul27 Jun12 May11 Apr13 (brown br)SANTANA JR 120 3.00    
ALWAYS PRACTICAL Jul31 Jul11 Jun27 May22 May08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
BAQ-9   09/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENS STREET Jul05 May15 Apr24 Mar14 Sep29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
SPRING MAGIC Jul25 Jul10 May16 May01 Mar29 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00    
LIKA ROLLING STONE Aug31 Aug06 Jul24 Jun29 Jun19 (arriaga)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FAST KIMMIE May24 Apr10 Aug10 Apr27 Apr19 (bartkows)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Aug29 Jul27 Jul13 Jul03 Jun21 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00    
ROMAN GODDESS Jul03 Jun12 Apr10 Mar21 Feb15 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 25% 3.00    
SPEAK SOFTLY Aug01 May02 Mar29 Jan25 Nov16 (sharp joe)LUZZI J 124 4.50    
DOLCE SERA Jul27 Jun28 Jun14 May24 May09 (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
WHISTLER'S STYLE Aug29 Aug06 Jul27 Jun29 Apr24 (potts wayne)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.