Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Wednesday - July 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (4/1/10/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/10/2/9)-(4/1/10/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/10/2/9)-(4/1/10/2/9)-(4/1/10/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/10/2/9)-(3/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/10/2/9)-(3/6/5)-(2/6/4/11/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-2   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(2/6/4/11/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(2/6/4/11/8)-(2/5/11/6/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-3   WIN (2/6/4/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/11/8)-(2/6/4/11/7/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/11/8)-(2/6/4/11/7/8)-(2/6/4/11/7/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (2/6/4/11/8)-(2/5/11/6/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/11/8)-(2/5/11/6/7)-(10/1/3/8/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
CNL-4   WIN (2/5/11/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/11/6/7)-(2/5/11/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/11/6/7)-(2/5/11/6/7)-(2/5/11/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/11/6/7)-(10/1/3/8/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/5/11/6/7)-(10/1/3/8/7)-(9/3/12/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-5   WIN (10/1/3/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/3/8/7)-(10/1/3/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/3/8/7)-(10/1/3/8/7)-(10/1/3/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/3/8/7)-(9/3/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/1/3/8/7)-(9/3/12/4)-(6/4/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-6   WIN (9/3/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/12/4)-(9/3/12/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/12/4)-(9/3/12/4/10)-(9/3/12/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/12/4)-(6/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/12/4)-(6/4/9)-(4/1/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-7   WIN (6/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/9)-(6/4/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/9)-(6/4/2/9)-(6/4/2/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/9)-(4/1/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CNL-8   WIN (4/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/5)-(4/1/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/5)-(4/1/9/5)-(4/1/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   07/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($87.5K) 2 F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHRISTMAS JONES         (brion keri)CENTENO E 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by FORESTRY out of STAR OF WICKLOW by FAST PLAY)
SQUIRRELY         (cibelli jane)CURTIS BEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PANCHO VILLA out of LUNAR GARDEN by MALIBU MOON)
WICKEDWITHBOURBON Jun25         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 10.00    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of BETTERWITHBOURBON by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
CHANCE TO PARTY Apr18         (lightner mary)REYES LEONEL 119 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by CHANCE IT out of MORE THAN A PARTY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ROSIE'S FORTUNE May03         (flores irvin )KARAMANOS A 119 30.00    
  (by FORTUNE TICKET out of BOSS MAMA by STREET BOSS)
THISISHOWWEDOIT         (cruz jesus)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of THAT'STHEWAYTODOIT by TIZWAY)
FELIX'S FLOWER         (caramori edu)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GATHERED FLOWERS by ORB)
DIP FANTASIA         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of DANCIN IN PARADISE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SNOW BELLA         (meyers madison)ROSADO JOHAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CURLABELLA by CURLIN)
10  GENECHO         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of GENEALOGIST by STREET BOSS)
11  SLEWPERSTITUS         (bailes rober)TORREALBA JG 119 8.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SLEW OF BULLETS by SLEW CITY SLEW)
SCR  CELTIC HARP         (smith ham)CARRASCO R 119 10.00    
  (by BOLD RUCKUS out of CELTIC MUSIC by YARROW BRAE)
SCR  ZIRCONIA         (mcmahon h)HERNANDEZ F 119 20.00    
  (by AL SABIN out of CRYSTAL BLACK by UNKNOWN)
SCR  HOLLYWOOD MISCHIEF         (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 119 12.00    
  (by ENGAGE out of HOLYWOOD HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CNL-2   07/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEBEDOURO Jun06 May01 Apr09 Feb15 Jan26 (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 4.50    
CHADO Jun13 Aug17 Aug01 Jul18 May19 (mccutchen jaso)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
MIAMI FRANK Jun20 Mar05 Feb15     (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  BAYTOWN BRUISER Jun20 May30 May16 May01 Apr10 (king l)CURTIS BEN 122 6.00    
TINY LAKE Jun07 May17 Apr25 Apr05 Mar09 (maldonado j)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
DEVIL'S CAY Jun10 May26 Apr12 Feb23 Feb02 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
GREAT HEAVENS Jun27 May31 Apr06 Feb23 Feb02 (magana j)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.00    
SCR  TUFF LUCK Jun12 May23 Feb14 Jan24 Dec21 (mcmahon i)CENTENO E 118 20.00    
 
CNL-3   07/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUTTON SUZIE May16 Apr25       (cibelli jane)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ADVENTURE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MAMBO QUEEN Oct26 Sep11       (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 3.00 38% 1.70    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PAINTER'S MUSE by SMART STRIKE)
CIRCLING (IRE) Apr25 Feb07 Oct25 Oct06   (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CIRCLE OF ROSSETTI by BERNARDINI)
TOWN LIGHT May25         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 8.00 9% 10.20    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TAFANEEN by DYNAFORMER)
NOBODY'S GIRL         (vera miguel)RODRIGUEZ YAN 111 30.00    
  (by LATIN AMERICAN out of SPRINGOAKSVILLAGE by STALWART)
GOAL May23 Apr27 Jan05     (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 118 4.50 27% 2.80    
  (by GET STORMY out of GOOD GATOR by GOOD AND TOUGH)
PROTECTIVE CUSTODY May16 Apr06 Mar02     (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 118 3.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HOLD HARMLESS by BLAME)
ROYAL SUITE Jun04 May01 Feb09     (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of PRINCESS MARIAH by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
RODINA Aug02         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EMMA SPENCER by ZAMINDAR)
10  MERION ROAD Apr23 Mar09       (lewis li)GALLARDO A 118 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CINTRA by VOLCOM)
11  LA PORTADA Jun11         (stidham m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 6% 16.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CENTRING by A.P. INDY)
 
CNL-4   07/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERAL'S DUTY Jun13 Feb08 Jan08 Sep21 Aug10 (cibelli jane)CURTIS BEN 123 12.00    
MY SEA COTTAGE (IRE) Jun13 May31 Apr27 Mar28 Feb14 (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 123 4.50 30% 2.30    
STREET ROCKIN Jun19 May30 Apr27 Aug16 Jul26 (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 123 15.00    
CITIZEN K Jun13 May26 Jan11 Dec20 Nov03 (pecoraro)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 125 6.00    
JOE Jun27 Jun06 May04 Apr05 Apr21 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 4.00 20% 3.90    
DANIEL SUN Nov02 Oct06 Sep01 Jul28 Jun08 (morris r)CONNER TYLER 123 12.00 5% 18.90    
INDY LYON May22 May10 Apr19 Mar29 Feb12 (crichton r)HUSBANDS J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SLIPPIN JIMMY May25 Aug31 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 (mccutchen jaso)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00    
SCR  COACHES MEETING Jun06 Apr30 Apr13 Mar16 Feb05 (sillaman rich)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00    
SCR  GOODLUCKCHUCK Jun13 May10 Apr04 Dec16 Nov13 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 123 15.00    
11  CLASS PHOTO Jun04 Mar28 Feb05 Jan08 Sep14 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
12  RAPPER ZAPPER Jun14 Oct26 Oct05 Sep15 Aug15 (cruz j)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 30.00    
13  NEW YORK PANTHER Jun26 May25 Apr27 Jan18 Dec07 (mcmahon hugh )RODRIGUEZ YAN 116 30.00    
SCR  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Jun26 Apr24 Feb07 Jan18 Jan18 (caramori ed)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 20.00    
SCR  GROWTH CAPITAL Jun11 May27 Apr30 Mar26 Feb28 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 123 8.00    
16  COMPETITIVE SAINT Jun22 Jun01 May15 Apr06 Mar23 (tessor)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00    
 
CNL-5   07/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($87.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOT A COMPLEX         (drury jr)CURTIS BEN 119 3.50 13% 6.90    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of MAGICIAN'S VANITY by STREET MAGICIAN)
WUNDERKIND May31         (robb j)RODRIGUEZ YAN 112 20.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of CRABCAKES by GREAT NOTION)
LET THESUNSHINE IN Aug15 Jul11       (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 11% 7.90    
  (by MCKINZIE out of SKY COPPER by SKY MESA)
TIERRA SANTA Jun22 May31 Aug23     (williams)GALLARDO A 119 30.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of APPEALING MAGGIE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
CROSS OF VALOR May31 May09 Apr18 Mar28 Mar07 (allen ferr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 6.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of SWEET VALOR by NO ARMISTICE)
IDES OF DEMARCH         (cruz jesus)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of COFFEE POND by HAVANA GOLD)
AD LITTERAM Jun07 May15 Apr30     (caramori ed)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of WALL OF WORRY by THE CLIFF'S EDGE)
THOUSAND STORY'S May17 Apr13 Mar26     (kelly blake)KARAMANOS A 119 12.00 10% 9.40    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of CANOPY LANE by FORESTRY)
CHILLOW Aug08         (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 124 20.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CONVINCED by TIZNOW)
10  SPORTING LADY May30 May09 Aug29 Aug03   (brion keri)CENTENO E 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SECURELY by UNCLE MO)
SCR  CITIFIED         (sillaman)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 5.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SCARLET by UNCLE MO)
 
CNL-6   07/09/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COVEY (GB) Jun15 Apr05 Feb08 Dec21   (west w)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00    
ODINSON Nov03 Oct17 Sep27 Aug31 Aug16 (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 122 30.00    
SWILL Jun15 May04 Apr19 Nov02 Oct10 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
INCINERATOR Jun14 May16 Apr25 Feb28 Dec27 (magana jo)CARRASCO R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HEDWIG Jun13 Feb23 Oct06 Sep07 Aug11 (cruz jesus)CONNER TYLER 122 15.00    
BARZINI Jun15 May16 Jan23 Jan01 Nov15 (trombett)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 6.00    
NOAH CHANCE Jun27 May10 Apr19 Mar23 Feb18 (robb j)RODRIGUEZ YAN 115 20.00    
SCR  MOON FACTOR Mar22 Feb06 Jan05 Dec13 Sep28 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 118 30.00    
PORTOFINO May01 Mar29 Mar05 Jan25 Dec08 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
10  WHERE'S RAY Jun15 May31 May16 Apr19 Aug12 (salzman timot)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
SCR  INTO THE SUNRISE Jun24 Jun04 May08 Aug29 Aug20 (cross r)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00    
12  TIDEWATER Jun21 May16 May04 Aug16 Jul14 (aguirre ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 5.00 7% 12.40    
 
CNL-7   07/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRONSINO Jun13 May16 Apr18 Mar22 Mar04 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00    
PIRATE Apr13 Jan25 Nov21 Oct18 Sep20 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50    
MOSLER TIME Jun13 Nov29 Oct12 Sep07 Jul21 (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00    
DR. BLUTE Feb25 Dec17 Oct30 Sep18 Aug20 (hemingway mich)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  MENA Jun08 May17 Apr19 Mar15 Feb17 (blair jo)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
BERNIN HOT Jun11 May09 Jan24 Dec28 Dec01 (crichton rohan)CURTIS BEN 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
CROSSLAND Jun07 May16 Apr18 Mar21 Feb21 (hohlbein)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00    
AWESOME RUTA Jun14 May17 Apr25 Aug11 Jul05 (ward dan)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
CAP COM Jun21 May31 Apr18 Feb22 Feb02 (singh somraj)KARAMANOS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-8   07/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLEEPWALKER Apr24 Mar21 Nov30 Nov01 Sep07 (delacour )CARRASCO R 123 8.00 34% 2.00    
ATMIDNIGHT Jun01 May18 Mar22 Feb16 Jan11 (campbell mic)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 6.00    
SCR  PARADISE WINS Jun23 May17 Dec06 Nov03 Sep08 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 118 30.00    
BASILEA Jun01 Mar23 Feb13 Dec18   (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 120 5.00 34% 2.00    
LOUISE BROOKS May30 May24 Oct24 Oct09 Sep23 (ashby lynn)RODRIGUEZ YAN 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SACRED IMAGE Apr23 Dec26 Aug16 Jul25 Jul07 (caramori ed)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 30.00    
LADY DE BERRY Jun19 Sep13 Jul13 Jun08 Dec02 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.40    
EVERSHED (IRE) Dec07 Oct26       (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
LAKESIDE GETAWAY Jun14 May01 Jul21 May25 Nov17 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAJESTIC DRIVE Apr03 Mar06 Feb08     (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.