Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - May 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/5)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/5)-(1/5/4)-(5/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(5/2/4)-(1/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(1/4/2)-(5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(5/2)-(1/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(1/6/4)-(2/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(2/5/6)-(5/6/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(5/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAISGEACH Apr12 Apr02 Mar04 Feb03 Jan16 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 123 15.00    
2  GUNNER'S GOLD Nov25 Oct19       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
3  DIXIE MAN Apr12 Apr01 Mar12 Feb11 Jan16 (schuster r)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00    
4  DON'TDRAINMYPOCKET Mar26 Mar05       (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 114 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  THISISRIDICULOUS Apr24 Apr01 Mar12 Feb11 Feb04 (skerrett jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  TEARAWAY TOM Apr12 Mar19 Feb19     (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 10% 8.80    
7  FINISTERE Mar25 Mar07 Feb20 Jan02 Dec05 (vecchio cary)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
TDN-2   05/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Apr24 Apr07 Mar30 Mar11 Jan24 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
2  STEVIE T Nov02 Oct22 Oct10 Sep23 Aug19 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
3  RIESENBERG Apr24 Apr02 Mar05 Feb13 Jan23 (cannon john)NUNEZ Y 123 1.80    
4  RULE IT Mar21 Feb05 Jan04 Dec14 Nov02 (lopez enr)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  RAMSEY May06 Mar30 Mar11 Jan17 Dec13 (castil)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Apr24 Apr07 Mar27 Feb28 Feb06 (erdel john)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
 
TDN-3   05/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR LOVES IT Nov13 Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 Aug12 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 2.50    
2  SHES A STORM Apr29 Apr07 Mar18 Feb06 Jan08 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  POINTOF ATTRACTION Sep28 Aug29 Aug14 Jul15 Jun18 (yoder susan )BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00    
4  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Apr22 Mar24 Feb28 Feb05 Jan15 (szczepans)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BUCKEYE CRUISER Apr24 Oct05 Sep18 Sep03 Aug15 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.20 46% 1.20    
 
TDN-4   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN KITTY May08 Apr21 Mar26     (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  MOON DREAMS Mar20         (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  STOPTALKINGSARAH Apr21 Apr07       (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00    
4  RED STRIDE May07 Apr21       (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  HEARTFELT CHERRIES Apr21 Mar20       (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 123 4.00    
6  DRILLING May07 Mar20 Feb28 Feb05 Jan08 (faulkner rod)TAVARES JAVIER 123 12.00    
 
TDN-5   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY SUZIE Q Feb10 Jan29 Dec23 Nov27 Nov05 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
2  GOLDENEYE MAGIC Apr30 Apr01 Mar05 Feb12 Jan08 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.00 18% 4.60    
3  RED HOT LASS Apr30 Apr08 Mar27 Feb26 Dec10 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 121 1.80    
4  SWEET UNIQUE Oct26 Oct03 Sep05 Aug13 Jul04 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00    
5  CITY SCENE Apr30 Nov25 Oct26 Sep23 Sep05 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 1.60 35% 1.80    
SCR  MANAGING MISCHIEF Apr19 Mar03 Feb01 Dec27 Oct12 (hernandez arman)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-6   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO GOLD May03 Mar31 Mar19 Feb27 Feb03 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 4.00 59% 0.70    
2  ROMANTIC COWBOY May05 Mar06 Jan23 Dec05 Oct03 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00    
3  SPEEDY MOBILE Mar12 Feb10 Jan23 Oct08 Aug13 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50    
4  MEDIA DARLING Apr01 Mar19 Jan27 Jan16 Dec17 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Apr30 Mar30 Mar11 Feb10 Jan13 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
6  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP May07 Mar03 Feb10 Dec11 Oct22 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 12% 7.50    
 
TDN-7   05/22/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC PALACE May03 Apr01 Feb04 Dec23 Aug15 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
2  CLOUD STORAGE May07 Apr23 Mar26 Feb23 Jan15 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  MALICED May03 Apr22 Mar26 Mar05 Feb26 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
4  MIRANDA'S ROCKY May03 Apr05 Mar19 Feb05 Nov08 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 1.80    
5  SADIE THE GOAT May07 Apr22 Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  BIG BAD DIVA Apr12 Mar30 Mar07 Jan31 Dec22 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 10% 9.40    
 
TDN-8   05/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. THUNDERSTRUCK May05 Mar28 Feb24 Feb08 Jan26 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50    
2  DARK BARON May05 Mar01 Jan23 Jan06 Jun13 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 123 15.00    
3  CUGINE May05 Apr08 Mar19 Mar01 Jan29 (casalinova tina)PEREZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WASHINGTON'S UNION May05 Mar24 Mar12 Feb27 Feb11 (radosevich)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 12.00 12% 7.70    
5  P H FACTOR May05 Apr22 Mar29 Mar13 Feb28 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 32% 2.20    
6  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Apr22 Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 Mar04 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 27% 2.80    
7  ROYAL DRAGOON Mar01 Jan27 Jan08 Dec19 Nov05 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.