Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - May 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (6/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/7)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/7)-(3/6/1)-(1/3/6/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(1/3/6/2/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(1/3/6/2/11)-(6/5/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-3   WIN (1/3/6/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2/11)-(1/3/6/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2/11)-(1/3/6/2/11)-(1/3/6/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/6/2/11)-(6/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/2/11)-(6/5/2)-(2/1/8/10/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-4   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/1/8/10/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(2/1/8/10/4)-(6/9/1/10/5) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-5   WIN (2/1/8/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/10/4)-(2/1/8/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/10/4)-(2/1/8/10/4)-(2/1/8/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/8/10/4)-(6/9/1/10/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/10/4)-(6/9/1/10/5)-(8/1/7/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/9/1/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/1/10/5)-(6/9/1/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/1/10/5)-(6/9/1/10/5)-(6/9/1/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/1/10/5)-(8/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/1/10/5)-(8/1/7/6)-(2/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-7   WIN (8/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/6)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/6)-(2/5/3)-(8/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(8/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(8/2/4)-(7/1/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-9   WIN (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/4)-(8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/4)-(7/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-10   WIN (7/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   05/03/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUGH WORKOUT Apr11 Mar22 Mar08 Feb12 Jan14 (white sarah)PEREZ XAVIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WIN NO JOKE Jan24 Dec20 Dec13 Dec01 Nov03 (singh s)BRICENO GREGOR 126 5.00    
FREESTANDING Oct27 Oct06 Sep20 Aug16 Jul19 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 126 6.00    
PRETORIAN GOLD Sep02 Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 (mcclellan)CARRASCO R 126 4.00 15% 5.90    
RENNIE Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 Jan15 Dec13 (badill)GONZALEZ JR 126 12.00    
BORLETTI (IRE) Apr05 Mar13 Feb19 Jan31 Dec20 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 62% 0.60    
KISSLING Mar22 Feb28 Feb15 Jan26 Dec27 (trombetta)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
RYE DIGGITYDOG Nov29 Oct27 Sep20 Aug23 Jul13 (mcmahon hugh )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50    
 
LRL-2   05/03/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BOY BUD         (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 120 8.00 6% 16.70    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of RESILIENT ONE by HARD SPUN)
FORTUNE HILL         (flores ir)CARRASCO R 120 10.00    
  (by FORTUNE TICKET out of SOCIETY HILL by CITY ZIP)
ROMEO         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of FANCY LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  RERUN TABLE         (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 2.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of D D RENEGADE by MEDALLIST)
ROSIE'S FORTUNE         (flores g)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 12.00    
  (by FORTUNE TICKET out of BOSS MAMA by STREET BOSS)
G Q WORTHY         (robb j)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of KATARA by PULPIT)
STROLL TRIPPIN         (corrales j)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 110 5.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of TRIPSCAR by STROLL)
 
LRL-3   05/03/2025 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAKE'S ARROW Mar12 Feb17 Jul06 May17 Apr13 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 2.00 52% 0.90    
ENAHM Aug15 Jul21 May04 Jan14 Jan07 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
INCHON Mar19 Feb15 Dec27 Dec06 May30 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 126 3.00 12% 7.50    
CASSIUS Feb07 Jan24 Nov27 Nov16 Oct05 (hernandez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
SANPIRODU Mar06 Feb07 Feb29 Feb01 Jan12 (brion keri)CENTENO E 126 15.00    
SECRET TREASURE Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 Dec15 Oct21 (mcmahon hugh )RODRIGUEZ YAN 115 12.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  PENNY LOAFER Mar07 Feb01 Dec22 Dec06 Oct03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.80    
RIGHTHERE RIGHTNOW Mar07 Feb14 Oct16 Sep14 Aug17 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 126 6.00    
WHATAHARDMANFIDEAD Apr06 Mar24 Mar07 Feb15 Jan31 (mckenzie d)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 115 20.00    
10  WHISKEYINTHEJARO Mar08 Feb15 Feb02 Jan18 Dec21 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 5.00    
11  STEADY JOHN Nov08 Oct03 Sep04 Jul04 Jun21 (bentley fenneka)MENA E 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STATES UNITED Apr13 Mar07 Jul06 May27 Apr12 (magee ki)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 126 8.00    
SCR  PASSIONED Mar22 Sep10 Aug18 Jul19 Jun21 (nixon justi)HAMILTON WESTON 126 10.00    
SCR  GARDEN LEAVE Mar20 Jan25 Jan02 Dec11 Nov08 (sullivan elliott)CRUZ ANGEL 126 12.00    
SCR  HE'S GOT SWAGGER Apr04 May27 May02 Apr14 Sep28 (schultz lindsa)CHUAN MARTIN 126 3.50    
SCR  MORTAL SIN Nov29 Oct31 Jul26 Jul11 Jun15 (hodsdon danielle)NO RIDER 122 15.00    
 
LRL-4   05/03/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PULL NO PUNCHES Mar06 Feb21 Jan17 Jan08 Dec22 (salinas giovan)CEDENO CAROL 122 8.00    
ECCENTRIC (GB) Mar29 Feb02 Dec01 Nov01 Oct12 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
MADDIE TEN Apr13 Mar23 Feb23 Feb01 Jan10 (albert li)HERNANDEZ F 122 4.00    
PLEASE MARRY ME Nov01 Oct12 Sep27 Aug13 Jul26 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 3.00    
CANDY CRAZE Apr13 Apr06 Feb28 Feb07 Dec07 (frock char)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 119 6.00 35% 1.90    
SPIRITED RIDE Apr13 Mar05 Feb10 Jan08 Oct25 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.20 38% 1.60    
 
LRL-5   05/03/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVE CARRY (IRE) Apr05 Mar23 Feb22 Oct24 Jul19 (smith law)CARRASCO R 126 4.00 32% 2.20    
HYSTERICS Mar12 Feb20 Jan17 Dec07 Oct16 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 1.80 34% 2.00    
LYRIC STREET Jan24 Dec22 Nov29 Oct18   (trombett)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 8.00    
BRAND NEW DANCE         (saville nia)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCHOLAR Mar28         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 5.00    
POOR MANS LADY Mar08 Feb07 Jan17 Dec08 Nov14 (gorham michael )MENA E 118 6.00    
SKITTLIEDAT Apr05         (leaf robert)DEL SARA 115 20.00    
CANADIAN BEAR Nov10 Sep08 Aug10 Jun29   (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00 14% 6.10    
WORKING ON IT Jan18 Oct24 Sep06 Aug16 Jul20 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 126 20.00    
10  VALERIE STREET Apr18 Mar14       (sanchez-sal)HAMILTON WESTON 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEARNING TO FLY Nov17 Oct24 Oct01 Sep08 Jul26 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 126 4.50    
SCR  BELLA ESTRELA Mar11 Feb11 Jan15 Nov06 Aug17 (riviezzo r)SANCHEZ J 126 12.00    
 
LRL-6   05/03/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BESTSUGARDADDYEVER Aug18 Jul23 Jun30 Jun10 Apr21 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 6.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  WILD VINE Apr04 Feb28 Feb15 Jan26 Dec21 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 126 6.00    
UNION FLEET Apr04 Feb28 Feb15 Jan26 Dec27 (magana j)CHAVEZ ANDRES 123 30.00    
FEELING WOOZY Apr12 Mar08 Jan18 Dec27 Dec06 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 123 20.00    
REGALO Feb28 Dec27 Dec06 Nov03 Sep14 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00    
VANCE SCHOLARS Oct12 Sep13 Aug18 Jun30 Jun14 (capuano ph)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
POST TIME Dec07 Nov02 Sep14 Aug03 Jun08 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 0.40 59% 0.70    
GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Nov06 Oct18 Sep27 Sep14 Aug31 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 123 30.00    
SCR  SEVEN'S ELEVEN Apr12 Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 Jan31 (mohan r)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
SHAFT'S BULLET Mar02 Jul07 Jun14 May25 Apr13 (capuano gary )RODRIGUEZ YAN 116 8.00 13% 6.60    
10  BE BETTER Apr18 May17 Apr13 Mar17 Feb17 (magee ki)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   05/03/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATAMAN Oct11 Sep01 Jul20 May25 Apr20 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
SIR LONDON Nov30 Oct18 Sep02 Jul05 May02 (motion gr)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 6.00    
OTAGO Mar30 Sep29 Sep01 Aug03 Jun25 (danner ke)CARRASCO R 123 20.00    
WOW WHATA SUMMER Oct18 Oct03 Aug31 Jun30 May17 (lawrenc)BRICENO GREGOR 123 20.00    
SCR  VOTE NO Mar14 Jan26 Dec27 Oct03 Sep07 (danner kelsey)CENTENO E 123 20.00    
SPORTS EDITOR Oct12 Sep08 Jul07 Jun15 May25 (allard edward)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
WON AN AWARD Nov02 Oct13 Sep14 Jul20 May24 (duarte jorge)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
FOREVER SOUPER Mar30 Nov16 Sep20 Aug12 Jul14 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
CRISPER Oct18 Sep21 Aug30 Aug02 Jul05 (woolley t)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.50    
 
LRL-8   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NUN GIMEL HAY PO Apr13         (trombetta )HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 115 8.00    
ANOTHERHOPE Apr13 Mar14 Feb16 Feb09 Aug16 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 2.50 63% 0.60    
STORM CREED Feb21 Feb02 Dec20 Dec07 Oct27 (parram derric)RODRIGUEZ YAN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
LORD'S LADY Apr12 Mar14       (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 118 3.50    
TECA Apr06 Sep28 Aug22 Jul11 Jun01 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.00 10% 8.60    
AUTUMN IN VERMONT Mar22 Feb21 Dec14 Nov30 Aug22 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 126 5.00    
FEEL THE BOLT Apr13 Oct25 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 (mohan david)HAMILTON WESTON 118 4.50    
 
LRL-9   05/03/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATAWAY Aug22 Jul20 Jun23 Jun07 May04 (gaudet lacey)CEDENO CAROL 123 4.50    
NORTHERN TICK TOCK Oct26 Sep15 Aug23 Jul20 Jun23 (brion keri)CENTENO E 123 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  DABOOM Feb19 Feb08 Jan01 Dec11 Sep26 (conto kevin)CHAVEZ ANDRES 123 10.00    
BJORN Feb28 Jan25 Dec28 Nov09   (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISSION ARTEMIS Apr25 Apr05 Mar23 Dec07 Nov28 (bonifac)BRICENO GREGOR 115 15.00    
COCKTAILS AT NOON Nov01 Sep15 Jul27     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.80    
SCR  ROLL ON JESSE Apr12 Feb28 Feb08 Jan25 Dec28 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 118 1.60    
JUNIPER JUICE Nov02 Oct12 Sep13 Aug22 Jul05 (boniface kevin)BOYCE FOREST 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
LRL-10   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED MELISSA Apr12 Mar23 Mar02     (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.00 15% 5.80    
MISSY'S MAP Mar29 Mar08 Feb08 Jan17 Dec13 (sullivan ellio)CHUAN MARTIN 124 3.50    
RASTA GIRL Apr13 Feb23 Feb09 Jan23 Dec29 (klesaris)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 5.00    
SHE SOMETHING ELSE         (bonifac)BRICENO GREGOR 124 15.00 14% 6.30    
QUEEN KHALEESI Mar21 Feb20 Jan28 Dec17 Nov14 (kravets br)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
LEELINDA Mar29         (haughto)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 15.00    
LASS SASSENACH Mar28 Mar02 Dec07 Nov21 Nov10 (geralis ema)HAMILTON WESTON 124 1.50 47% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.