Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - April 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (7/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/5)-(7/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/5)-(7/4/6/5)-(7/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/5)-(2/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/4)-(5/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/4)-(5/4/6/2)-(9/2/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/2)-(9/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/2)-(9/2/5/7)-(5/7/1/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-4   WIN (9/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/5/7)-(9/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/5/7)-(9/2/5/7)-(9/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/5/7)-(5/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/4)-(7/3/8/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (7/3/8/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/9/2)-(7/3/8/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/9/2)-(7/3/8/9/2)-(7/3/8/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/8/9/2)-(6/4/2/3/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/9/2)-(6/4/2/3/7)-(2/3/7/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
FL-7   WIN (6/4/2/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3/7)-(6/4/2/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3/7)-(6/4/2/3/7)-(6/4/2/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3/7)-(2/3/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   04/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY ANGEL Feb27 Feb07 Jan24 Dec13 Mar18 (barrow paul)HARKIE K 124 4.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of TAINTED ANGEL by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  TALE OF THE TAIL Feb28 Feb15 Jan23 Dec29 Dec07 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 4.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of GOLDEN MISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
MY KINDA MISCHIEF Apr13 Aug19 Aug05 Jul09 Jun20 (breed jr)PEREZ E 124 5.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of OFF THE BOURBON by CURLIN)
DIVORCED OF COURSE Mar23 Feb14 Jan19 Nov19 Nov06 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of MADAME BOURBON by GOLDENCENTS)
EKWANOK May25 Apr21 Jan28 Sep28 Sep01 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 8% 10.80    
  (by MITOLE out of KATS GIRL CALA by LEMON DROP KID)
THRILLSWITHNOBILLS         (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MECKE'S MADALYN by DESERT PARTY)
WORLD BANK Nov25 Nov12 Oct29 Oct15 Jul23 (gutterson katl)COA J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DONYA by ANABAA)
MAMBAGIGI Jun11 May20 Apr29 Mar01 Feb03 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00 60% 0.70    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of HECK by HECKLE)
 
FL-2   04/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONNE CHANCE Nov26 Sep20 Sep02 Jul20 Jun22 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00 20% 4.10    
KEIGS Apr04 Mar05 Feb09 Jul31 Jul08 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
BRENNAN'S WAR Nov26 Nov12 Oct24 Oct14 Sep25 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 10.00    
GRAND AGAIN Jan24 Dec01 Nov17 Aug09 Apr18 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
FLY BY NIGHT (NZ) Mar06 Feb01 Dec20 Oct09 Feb08 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
FIVE DESTINATIONS Nov26 Nov12 Oct14 Sep23 Aug19 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 5.00    
SEVENTH RACE SHAKE Feb22 Nov27 Nov12 Oct14 Sep19 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50    
 
FL-3   04/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKEAJOYFULNOISE Nov18 Oct30 Oct21 Sep25 Aug21 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
1A  REITERATE Nov18 Nov06 Oct15 Sep24 Sep09 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 122 6.00    
HOLIDAY JAZZ Mar21 Mar01 Feb14 Feb02 Jan15 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BON FIRE DIVA Nov18 Oct21 Sep25 Sep02 Aug12 (williams omani)VIVES SOFIA 122 6.00    
BUSTINROXY Nov18 Oct14 Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
THIN LEGS Nov18 Oct30 Sep25 May28 May07 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
BALENCIAGA BETTY Mar28 Mar07 Jan03 Dec08 Nov17 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
MISS PAB Nov27 Nov18 Nov06 Oct15 Oct02 (gutierrez a)CRUZ JOEL 122 12.00    
 
FL-4   04/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G MUNNING Jan12 Dec27 Nov27 Nov20 Nov12 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 10.00    
SHARPAZ Nov27 Nov05 Sep24 Sep03 Aug07 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
KINGDOM ON PAWS Nov25 Nov12 Oct30 Oct11 Sep18 (davis ed)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
STOP THE SPREAD Apr04 Jan26 Jan11 Nov20 Oct30 (caramo)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 4.00    
N Y RIESLING Nov18 Nov04 Oct23 Sep25 Sep04 (morales samuel)PEREZ E 122 6.00 5% 18.10    
ESCAPE MISSION Nov04 Oct10 Sep04 Jul17 Jun03 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
MAKAR Nov27 Oct29 Oct15 Sep02 Aug20 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN ARM Apr21 Mar28 Mar15 Feb22 Jan11 (smith lawren)BERRIOS C 122 12.00    
BUSTIN AWAY Jul22 Jun16 May20 May06 Jul28 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
 
FL-5   04/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3 F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILITHS MOON Nov27 Nov19 Nov06 Oct22 Oct07 (norsen ann)ROHENA JR 122 10.00 14% 6.10    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of MON IN THE MOON by MARIA'S MON)
SKY TRAVEL Mar08 Feb13       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of SKY DIVER by CORWYN BAY (IRE))
SADIE WAR LADY Oct02 Aug26 Jul30     (thompson mar)BERRIOS C 122 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of SADIETHEPRETTYLADY by PHONE TRICK)
PARTY AT THE POST Dec28         (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of IDEATIONAL by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
KITTY OF WAR Jan25 Jan17 Jan04 Nov18 Nov06 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of KITTY FOYLE by TAPIT)
SPITFIRE GAL Mar09 Feb08       (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of A WILLFUL GAL by WILLCOX INN)
SIGNIFYING NOTHING Mar14 Feb19 Feb05     (d'alessandro ra)VIVES SOFIA 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TIME COUNTS by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
BANKER MURRAY Oct28 Oct07 Sep24 Sep14 Jul30 (davis ed)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
  (by SNOW TROUBLE out of IRISH BANKER by CENTRAL BANKER)
 
FL-6   04/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING SOLOMON Mar22 Mar01 Feb14     (d'aless)NAVARRO J 122 3.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of FLOMAR by TWO PUNCH)
SCR  SCALES OF GOLD Sep25         (d'aless)NAVARRO J 122 3.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HOLY GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
BURNING MUNNY Nov29 Nov18 Oct28 Sep13 Aug31 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of OVERHEATED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
RENAISSANCE MAN         (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 122 15.00 10% 8.70    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MELANIAS GIRL by EFFINEX)
STEGOSAURUS Nov27 Nov18 Nov06 Oct05 Sep09 (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 12.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of ROCK STAR ROYALTY by FIVE STAR DAY)
RESISTANCE FUTILE Mar11 Feb03 Dec28 Nov15 Nov02 (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 122 4.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of VANTER by FLATTER)
SOLVENCY Mar14         (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of NEW YEAR'S WISH by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
MONOMOY BEACH Mar22 Feb23 Jan18 Dec28 Nov29 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
  (by MR. MONOMOY out of LOOKSGOODFROMHERE by FREUD)
HOLY FAITH         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 10% 8.70    
  (by AL KHALI out of PEGASUS DIAMOND by HOLY BULL)
DESERT POWER         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 6.00 9% 9.50    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of DESERT BLISS by UTOPIA)
 
FL-7   04/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR EYES Mar18 Jan29 Nov29 Nov02 Sep22 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00    
REVIVALISM Apr03 Mar09 Feb23 Jan26 Jan05 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 5.00 10% 8.70    
RHUM PRESSURE Mar09 Jan19 Oct30 Aug20 Jul22 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
STORMIN SAMMY Mar13 Mar01 Jan24 Dec08 Nov18 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
SOLO'S FURY Mar21 Feb07 Oct12 Sep16 Aug18 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00    
FREEDSDALE Mar21 Jun16 Apr14 Apr04   (ferraro anth)COA J 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
AELFGAR Feb28 Oct02 Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
PROFITABILITY Nov19 Oct30 Oct14 Sep30 Aug20 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
BIG BABY HENRY Nov19 Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 Aug19 (marino josep)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
 
FL-8   04/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  JASONJET Jan18         (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of PURPOSE OF LIFE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  KING'S SPIRIT Jan26 Dec28 Nov18     (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of SPIRITUAL ENERGY by CARPE DIEM)
SOLO FLIGHT Apr05 Mar08 Feb15 Jan26 Jan02 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 2.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SKY GAL by SKY MESA)
2B  DRIVE THRU Apr05 Mar08 Jan24 Jan02 Dec12 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 2.00 69% 0.40    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of OUR MISS JONES by ALPHABET SOUP)
MISCHIEF EXPOSED Mar14 Feb07 Jan26 Dec15 May24 (caramori)DAVIS A 124 4.00 8% 11.60    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
DREAMALONGWITHME Mar08 Jan24 Dec29     (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LADY RULLAH by GIANT SURPRISE)
THREE POINT STRUT Aug22 Jul15 Jun22 May16 Apr17 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of STRUT THE CANARY by MINESHAFT)
CAN'T STAND DISCO Nov07 Oct31 Sep27 Sep01 Aug11 (ferraro anthony)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of TOPLINE by SHACKLEFORD)
BUT NOW AM FOUND Mar19 Mar01 Feb15 Feb02 Jan04 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 120 2.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of R FROSTY ONE by SOUTHERN SUCCESS)
SCR  SWAY THE JURY Feb08 Jan18       ( )TBA null      
  (by VEKOMA out of JUDICIARY by UNION RAGS)
SCR  TEN RUN RULE Mar01 Feb08 Jan18     ( )TBA null      
  (by GAME WINNER out of ROCKY POLICY by ROCK SLIDE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.