Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - March 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/4)-(7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/4)-(7/4/5)-(7/10/1/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(7/10/1/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(7/10/1/6/5)-(10/4/2/7/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/10/1/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/1/6/5)-(7/10/1/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/1/6/5)-(7/10/1/6/5)-(7/10/1/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/1/6/5)-(10/4/2/7/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/10/1/6/5)-(10/4/2/7/9)-(8/7/5/9/2) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-4   WIN (10/4/2/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/2/7/9)-(10/4/2/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/2/7/9)-(10/4/2/7/9)-(10/4/2/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/2/7/9)-(8/7/5/9/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/4/2/7/9)-(8/7/5/9/2)-(4/3/5/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (8/7/5/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/9/2)-(8/7/5/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/9/2)-(8/7/5/9/2)-(8/7/5/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/5/9/2)-(4/3/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/9/2)-(4/3/5/7)-(2/9/8/3/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/7)-(2/9/8/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/7)-(2/9/8/3/7)-(5/1/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/9/8/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/8/3/7)-(2/9/8/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/8/3/7)-(2/9/8/3/7)-(2/9/8/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/8/3/7)-(5/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/9/8/3/7)-(5/1/9)-(2/10/9/1/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/9)-(5/10/1/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/9)-(5/10/1/9/6)-(5/10/1/9/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/9)-(2/10/9/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/10/9/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/9/1/6)-(2/10/9/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/9/1/6)-(2/10/9/1/6)-(2/10/9/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE HATE Feb22 Jan16 Jan04     (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50    
2  NEOSTAR Feb19 Jul21       (lilly p)HESS SARA 113 6.00    
3  VIRGIN ISLAND NICE Mar01 Feb02       (williams de)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 30.00    
4  DANCER'S SHADOW Feb19 Jan15 Dec24 Oct28 Sep25 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  HIGHTAIL FOX Feb19 Feb09 Jan18 Oct22 Oct08 (connelly teresa)LEON SONNY 120 1.60 33% 2.00    
6  KING OF CAIRO         (ellebracht gary)FERRER C 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
7  HIGHS N LOWS Sep09 Aug28 Aug12 Jul24 Jul08 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 4.00 14% 6.30    
 
TAM-2   03/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLACK SEAL Feb09 Dec28 Oct26 Aug31 Aug10 (dobber w)HESS SARA 115 6.00    
2  KOHAKU Feb23 Jan25 Jan08 Oct28 Sep25 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 122 30.00    
3  UNCAPTURED STAR Feb09 Jan24 Jan08 Dec21 Oct13 (davis scooter)FERRER C 122 4.00    
4  TOOMUCHAINTENOUGH Feb09 Jan10 Dec28 Apr12 Mar03 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 122 1.60 25% 2.90    
5  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Feb09 Jan11 Dec28 Jul14 Apr29 (alessi jame)BLANCHE RISHAWN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  SEVEN ANNIVERSARY Feb09 Jan25 Jan11 Dec22 Oct26 (yanez reynal)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 15.00    
7  SUIT ME UP CHARLIE Mar05 Jan25 Dec11 Nov20 Aug03 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  NO PROBLEM JOE Mar08 Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 Dec20 (gonzal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 12.00    
 
TAM-3   03/15/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREADMAN Mar01 Jan29 Jan18 Dec06 Nov16 (gonzalez lui)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.50 7% 12.90    
2  REDISUR Feb21 Feb02 Jan12 Jan03 Nov29 (rarick lynn)HESS SARA 120 30.00    
3  PRACTICAL WAY Feb26 Feb01 Jan15 Jan05 Dec13 (ramir)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00    
4  BANDERO Feb26 Jan04 Dec14 Oct11 Sep14 (agostini a)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
5  BURN JAKEY BURN Feb26 Feb05 Jan18 Jan10 Dec11 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  POLITICAL RIOT Feb12 Jan29 Jan12 Dec20 Nov27 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  GHOST STALKER Feb26 Feb12 Jan19 Dec20 Sep20 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
8  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Feb23 Feb12 Jan18 Jan05 Oct16 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 5.00    
9  CHAIN REACTION Feb28 Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 Nov13 (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
10  KING RAMOS Jan19 Jan03 Dec20 Jul27 Jul12 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 12% 7.20    
SCR  SILENT AND VIOLENT Mar09 Feb26 Dec01 Nov23 Nov02 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50    
 
TAM-4   03/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY SONG Feb19 Feb07 Jan25 Jan08 Oct12 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00    
2  BEAR CREEK Oct07 Sep20 Aug19 Jul22 Jul15 (ward den)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
3  BLAME BISHOP Feb19 Nov27 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 (rarick lynn)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
4  MAGICAL WARRIOR Mar02 Feb07 Aug18 Jul28 Jun01 (delgado jose)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 2.50 24% 3.20    
5  CITY HUMOR Feb28 Jan31 Jan10 Oct23 Oct07 (marrero nes)BELL BARRINGTON 122 30.00    
6  GONNA BE DANCING Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Sep25 Aug05 (breed ron)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
7  TRIPULANTE Feb28 Feb19 Jan08 Sep15 Aug10 (delgad)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 10.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  CALLIHOO Mar07 Feb07 Jan24 Dec08 Feb03 (carmichael)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 15.00    
9  ASTRONAUT OSCAR Feb19 Jan25 Jan08 Dec22 Sep25 (padilla ti)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SIGALERT Oct29 Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Aug07 (englehart )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
11  SAHM TEQUILA Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 Dec27 Nov12 (mendieta alejand)LEON SONNY 122 20.00    
 
TAM-5   03/15/2025 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOTYLOS Nov27 Sep20 Sep04 Aug06 Jul10 (stewart chad )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
2  HECTOR Oct21 Sep30 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DINOS DIXIE Jan30 Nov27 Oct10 Sep05 Aug18 (campbell joel)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
4  FLUID SITUATION Feb22 Feb02 Nov15 Oct17 Jun07 (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50    
5  NIC'S BRO Jun23 May01 May28 Apr29 Mar18 (parra hernan)GIL CIPRIANO 118 15.00 10% 8.70    
6  SNOWNAME Mar08 Feb09 Jan29 Jun21 May18 (rice kevin)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
7  BAHAMIAN MOON Feb22 Jan31 Jan04 Nov27 Aug23 (ward dennis)HESS SARA 108 3.00 28% 2.60    
8  MIDNITE MUSKET Feb07 Jan04 Oct04 Sep08 Aug16 (clark a)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
9  SPEIGHTFUL SIS Jan31 Dec24 Nov02 Sep28 Aug14 (richards rena)MORALES PABLO 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  EE YAH Mar08 Feb07 Jan15 Jan05 Dec11 (ocasio osva)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 15.00    
 
TAM-6   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILT EDGE Dec15 Nov24 Oct20 Sep29 Aug25 (mcpherso)GALLARDO A 119 5.00    
2  HANDSOME PLAYBOY Jan14 Dec21 Dec03 Oct04 Sep03 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
3  LIFE IS PRECIOUS Feb08 Jan19 Jan03 Dec11 Nov20 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
4  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Feb28 Jan16 Nov13 Oct30 Sep08 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 3.00 58% 0.70    
5  TIMELESS BOUNTY Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 Dec14 Sep18 (ocasio osvaldo)COTTO L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  HURRICANE J Jan04 Dec15 Nov30 Sep28 Sep07 (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 119 3.00    
7  FLIPPING FISH Feb23 Jan15 Dec14 Nov05 Oct22 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   03/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA GIRVINA Feb21 Dec29 Feb23 Jan11 Dec15 (kintz matthe)CASTANON L 122 30.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of LIBBYRIS by ALGORITHMS)
2  ENCHANT Feb21 Jan31 Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 (dini mike)FERRER C 122 4.50 32% 2.20    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of COACHWHIP by SO YOU THINK (NZ))
3  CLASH CITY ROCKER Feb19         (david ca)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CEE BEE GEE BEE by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  INDY'S HALO Feb28 Jan31 Dec27     (oliver victor)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
  (by LORD NELSON out of TOP MISSION by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
5  BLUE THUNDER (IRE) Jan31         (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 30.00    
  (by BLUE POINT out of PUSSYCAT LIPS by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR (IRE))
6  LADY ABERDEEN Jan11 Dec11 Oct11 Sep14 Sep04 (richards renald)CENTENO E 122 30.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of HIGHLAND PRIDE by LION HEART)
7  MISHKA Feb05 Aug13 Jun25 May17 Nov25 (seale christophe)LEON SONNY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GOLD DUST WOMAN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  QUEENS FABLE (IRE) Jun20 Jan20 Dec02     (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
  (by FRANKEL out of RYMSKA by LE HAVRE)
9  HIGHLAND LIGHT         (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SUMMER RAVEN by SUMMER SQUALL)
 
TAM-8   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANISH DELIGHT Feb28 Jan18 Dec29 Dec04 Oct19 (mcgoey m)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  WHEELINGNDEALING Mar02 Feb14 Jan31 Jan19 Dec20 (mendieta alej)IORIO MELISSA 119 6.00    
3  BARBSDREAMCOMETRUE Feb14 Sep14 Aug05 Jun22 Jun08 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 30.00    
4  KANT RESIST IT Feb14 Jan22 Dec23 Nov10 Aug25 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
5  AFERDITA Feb23 Jan31 Jan12 Dec22 Nov12 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 73% 0.40    
6  IMMORTALLOVE Feb14 Jan31 Dec06 Oct09 Jul31 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  BUNNY HOP Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Dec27 Dec14 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 116 8.00    
8  BROOKMESA Jan25 Dec24 Dec04 Sep22 Sep08 (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
9  ZIP CODE ENVY Feb28 Jan19 Dec04 Oct26 Oct01 (wasiluk jr)FERRER C 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  SEA ART Feb14 Dec29 Dec04 Oct16 Aug22 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 ★    
 
TAM-9   03/15/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DITCHED         (he)LUNA PAUL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  PERKY         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  AUTHENTICATE NOW Feb22 Aug22 Jul04     (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 5.00    
4  WILLFUL ROSE Feb16 Jan12 Dec29 Dec07 Nov29 (kutt m)HESS SARA 112 30.00    
5  CRAFTY COLLECTOR Feb21 Jan31       (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 119 8.00    
6  SMART STYLE         (laurin roger)FERRER C 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  PARTLY SUNNY         (moysey chelse)IORIO MELISSA 119 20.00    
8  DOROTEA DREAM Mar02 Jan29 Dec28 Dec07   (baez n)COTTO L 119 6.00    
9  GOING STREAKIN Feb08 Jan11       (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 119 3.50 10% 9.00    
10  MICHAELA Feb21 Jan25 Jan05 Dec07 Sep20 (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00 31% 2.30    
11  NOUVEAU Jan24         (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.