Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - March 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/7/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/8/3)-(4/7/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/8/3)-(4/7/9/8/3)-(4/7/9/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/9/8/3)-(3/8/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/9/8/3)-(3/8/7/2)-(5/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/2)-(3/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/2)-(3/8/7/2)-(3/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/2)-(5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(7/4/5/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(7/4/5/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(7/4/5/1/6)-(2/7/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/4/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/1/6)-(7/4/5/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/1/6)-(7/4/5/1/6)-(7/4/5/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/5/1/6)-(2/7/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/1/6)-(2/7/4/6)-(9/3/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/6)-(9/3/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/6)-(9/3/4/8)-(2/8/5/6/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (9/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/8)-(9/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/8)-(9/3/4/8)-(9/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/4/8)-(2/8/5/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4/8)-(2/8/5/6/10)-(2/6/9/7/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (2/8/5/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/6/10)-(2/8/5/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/6/10)-(2/8/5/6/10)-(2/8/5/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/5/6/10)-(2/6/9/7/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/6/10)-(2/6/9/7/3)-(8/3/9/4/10) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (2/6/9/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/7/3)-(2/6/9/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/7/3)-(2/6/9/7/3)-(2/6/9/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/9/7/3)-(8/3/9/4/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/3/9/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/4/10)-(8/3/9/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/9/4/10)-(8/3/9/4/10)-(8/3/9/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYLLABUS Feb22 Feb01 Jan08 Jan01 Dec13 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 122 30.00    
2  AUBURN Mar05 Jan03 Dec21 Dec11 May01 (lusk r)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
3  CALENDULA Feb15 Feb05 Jan22 Sep30 Sep09 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LADY IN HEELS Jul25 Jun10 Jan03 Nov24 Nov02 (bowersock ma)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 3.50 50% 1.00    
5  QUEEN OF CHILL Feb12 Jan26 Dec18 Dec04 Sep25 (ashmore col)CLEMENTE ALFRED 122 15.00    
6  MISTY GALE Feb14 Nov26 Oct07 Sep10 Aug07 (falk jacqueli)IORIO MELISSA 122 10.00    
7  RITABOOK Feb21 Feb07 Jan12 Dec28 Dec04 (clark a)LEON SONNY 122 2.00 11% 8.50    
8  STARRY HOPE Feb09 Jan18 Nov30 Oct16 Sep24 (mcgoey monica)GIL CIPRIANO 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
9  ONE TOUGH DAME Dec11 Aug24 Jul20 May29 Mar23 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 10% 9.50    
 
TAM-2   03/12/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHERBOURG Feb19 Jan26 Dec20 Dec04 Oct13 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 124 6.00    
2  UPSTREET Feb08 Jan15 Dec24 Sep08 Jun29 (marrero nest)GONZALEZ CESAR 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  WONDERFULVENEZUELA Feb26 Feb08 Jan22 Nov29 Oct18 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
4  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Feb26 Feb08 Jan03 Dec13 Nov29 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 124 15.00    
5  REPAYNT Feb16 Dec13 Sep28 Sep05 Aug17 (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 124 2.00    
6  BIANCA Feb19 Jan26 Sep17 Sep09 Aug13 (potts g)CAMACHO SAMY 124 5.00    
7  PESADILLA CHANEL Feb22 Feb01 Jan08 Dec24 Nov23 (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 124 15.00 6% 14.90    
8  MIA'S ANGEL Feb26 Feb09 Jan22 Jan05 Dec13 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00 6% 14.70    
 
TAM-3   03/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($54.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN JAY Aug16 Jul20 Jun30 Jun02 May11 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 118 12.00    
2  ABRIR CAMINOS (CHI) Feb28 Nov23 Jul07 Jun21 May24 (quiroz angel)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHROME GHOST Jan11 Dec14 Nov03 Sep22 Jul20 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00    
4  MOHS Jan26 Dec14 Sep14 Aug23 Jul19 (mcburney patri)CASTANON L 118 8.00    
5  GOING UP Feb22 Oct19 Sep20 Aug31 Jul22 (potts g)ALLEN D 118 6.00 46% 1.20    
6  DREAMING OF KONA Mar01 Feb08 Aug21 Jul01 Jun17 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 2.50    
7  KHOZEIRESS Jan11 Dec14 Aug17 Jul20 Jun23 (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
TAM-4   03/12/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT FACES Feb22 Nov22 Oct15 Sep24 Aug31 (carmichael)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SARGEANT BARGER Feb12 Jan24 Jan12 Jan04 Sep25 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 122 30.00    
3  FORT CHARLES Feb22 Feb12 Jan29 Jan12 Dec06 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 6.00    
4  COX CANYON Feb26 Jan31 Jan17 Dec13 Oct30 (simone micha)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 5.00 22% 3.50    
5  CLASSIC KING Feb21 Nov06 Aug08 Jun13 May01 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00 6% 15.20    
6  HENRYTHETHIRD Feb21 Jan25 Dec18 Nov08 Oct23 (moreno-barban )SUAREZ JESUS 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  RONIC Feb07 Jan24 Jan05 Sep22 Aug19 (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
8  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Feb22 Feb12 Jan17 Dec11 Oct23 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 122 5.00    
9  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Jan01 Dec24 Dec06 Sep11 Aug07 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00    
 
TAM-5   03/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($31.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THRILL OF IT Feb23 Jan11 Jul26 Jun08 May02 (terranova john)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00    
2  JOURNEYMAN Mar02 Feb15 Dec14 Nov16 Oct12 (wright mic)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 119 1.80 29% 2.40    
SCR  FORTUNE SELLER Jan23 Dec06 Oct24 Oct16 Sep20 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 4.50    
4  LAMPLIGHTER JACK Feb08 Jan04 Jul23 May29 Apr29 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
5  SIR SAFFER Jan31 Jan11 Dec27 Jul12 Jun22 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 119 6.00    
6  READY TO FLY Feb15 Sep02 Aug11 Jul20 Jun29 (mcburney patri)CASTANON L 119 8.00 7% 13.60    
7  MAGICAL MARRIAGE Feb15 Dec14 Sep14 Aug03 Jul19 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
8  STING MUSIC Feb22 Feb01 Nov08 Sep29 Sep14 (cordero an)BATISTA X 119 30.00    
 
TAM-6   03/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COURT AND SPARK Feb14 Jan31 Jan15 Jan05 Dec11 (simone mic)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 2.50    
2  BIG FIG Mar01 Jan05 Dec24 Nov29 Nov04 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 118 20.00    
3  CHROMED IMPULSE Jan17 Jan05 Dec14 Nov20 Oct03 (cahill f)BUSH V 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
4  AUGER Feb14 Feb01 Jan15 Nov12 Oct23 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 5.00 8% 11.90    
5  GABAGOOL Feb01 Jan12 Oct20 Sep29 Sep13 (maragh col)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 8.00    
SCR  STARSHIP MOCHA Feb19 Jan29 Jan19 Dec20 Oct04 (agostini a)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 20.00    
7  OLD TOWN ROAD Feb28 Feb07 Jan24 Jan05 Dec18 (carmichael)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 4.50    
8  DESANTIS Feb01 Jan15 Dec11 Nov27 Oct30 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00 8% 12.20    
9  JOHN'S PROMISE Feb01 Jan15 Jan05 Dec27 Dec14 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
 
TAM-7   03/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKOA Feb09 Jan29 Jan17 Dec12 Oct11 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 4.00    
2  FLAMINGPROPOSITION Feb09 Feb02 Jan04 Dec13 Oct19 (ryan s)CASTANON L 122 3.00 49% 1.10    
3  EL DOLLAR Feb23 Jan29 Dec17 Nov26 Nov06 (ashmore co)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
4  GO STORMY Feb15 Jan29 Jan18     (yanez r)FERRER C 122 6.00    
5  K PAZ Feb23 Feb02 Jan18 Sep15 Aug04 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 10.00 8% 11.40    
6  WOCKA WOCKA Jan29 Jan08 Dec21 Nov09 Sep28 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 12.00 5% 17.70    
7  CENTERFOLD GUY Feb26 Jan29 Jan15 Jan04 Nov23 (dobber w)HESS SARA 115 10.00    
8  BINGO'S GRIND Jan29 Jan04 Dec21 Nov27 Oct11 (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
9  VINO COURAGIO Feb16 Jan10 Dec21 Oct16 Oct01 (connelly teresa)LEON SONNY 122 10.00    
10  SPICE BAG Feb23 Jan29 Jan15 Aug30   (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ENDRICK Feb02 Oct10 Sep25 Jul28   (garcia rodo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.00    
 
TAM-8   03/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY DISCO Dec09 Sep15 Sep01     (dini mike)LEON SONNY 124 2.50    
2  ADIOS TIPSY         (gulick james)GONZALEZ CESAR 117 15.00 18% 4.50    
3  BELLS OF BRAM Mar05 Feb23 Oct19     (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAMAS LULLABYE Feb23 Mar20 Feb25 Feb03   (cook devin)SUAREZ JESUS 124 20.00    
5  GIRL DYNAMITE Feb26 Feb05       (marrero )GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 4.50    
6  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Feb28 Feb07 Jan26 Jan10 Dec18 (vazquez jose)MENESES MARCOS 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  MAGGIES BREW         (pimental i)HESS SARA 111 8.00 8% 11.10    
8  INSTABRAT Feb15 Jan25 Nov29 Oct15 Oct02 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
9  QUEENOFALLMYDREAMS         (roque elis)FERRER C 124 15.00 16% 5.20    
10  SECRET VICTORY Feb26 Jan25 Jan11 Dec28 Oct12 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
SCR  JAANTJE         (romero rafa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
 
TAM-9   03/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE STAR Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 Dec18 Nov29 (dobber w)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
2  OFFICER DERICK Feb23 Feb02 Jan05 Sep29 Aug04 (ryan s)FERRER C 122 4.50    
3  MISSION MIKE Feb23 Feb02 Oct05 Sep13 Aug28 (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
4  ATTRAYANT Feb23 Jan17 Nov29 Oct12 Aug17 (lerman s)BATISTA A 122 6.00 6% 17.10    
5  HE'S SIDE EYED Feb23 Jan29 Jan08 Dec13 Nov23 (canegata james)MARTINEZ W 116 20.00    
6  WOLF BEACH Jan29 Jan10 Dec21 Oct24 Sep28 (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 116 20.00    
7  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Feb26 Oct31 Sep14 Aug16 Jul31 (paragallo )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 30.00    
8  IMMENSE FAITH Mar01 Feb09 Jan04 Dec14 Nov29 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
9  READY TO REIGN Feb23 Feb02 Jan05 Dec14 Nov23 (vinson g)CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00 9% 10.60    
10  ROUGH AND ROWDY Feb23 Feb12 Jan22 Dec27 Mar22 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRAND PARK VIEW Mar01 Feb14 Jan10 Dec27 Dec14 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 126 3.00    
SCR  COUNTRY SLEW Mar01 Sep22 Aug23 Aug09   (laurin roger)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00    
SCR  JADES JAY Feb23 Jan24 Dec04 Nov23 Oct12 (vanwinkle da)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00    
SCR  PICCATA PRINCE Feb26 Feb05 Jan12 Dec29 Dec11 (spanabel r)HESS SARA 115 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.