Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - March 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(2/5/4)-(9/3/11/12/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(9/3/11/12/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(9/3/11/12/1)-(6/2/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-3   WIN (9/3/11/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/11/12/1)-(9/3/11/12/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/11/12/1)-(9/3/11/12/1)-(9/3/11/12/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/11/12/1)-(6/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/3/11/12/1)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(6/2/4)-(2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/5)-(2/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(2/7/4)-(6/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(6/7/5)-(3/2/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-8   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(3/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-9   WIN (3/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/8)-(3/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/8)-(3/2/8)-(3/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/06/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRACCESCA Dec27 Dec04 Oct31 Oct03 Jul11 (rodriguez franklin)CORA D 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  LA MACCHINA ROSSA Dec19 Nov07 Oct11 Sep14 Aug31 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00    
3  PULL NO PUNCHES Feb21 Jan17 Jan08 Dec22 Dec03 (salinas giovann)GOMEZ KEVIN 125 3.50    
4  EXTREMELY GRUNTLED Jan08 Dec06 Nov09 Oct24 Aug10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50    
5  PENNY POLKA Jan15 Dec12 Oct17 Oct01 Aug13 (rodriguez jose)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  OLIVIA DEE Nov13 Oct23 Aug22 Aug14 Jun26 (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 10.00    
 
PEN-2   03/06/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRETT'S WORLD Feb07 Jan18 Jan02 Dec18 Nov21 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 1.80    
2  SOUPER FORTUNE Feb11 Jan13 Dec17 Dec03 Nov11 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 75% 0.30    
3  HERE'S WALDO Dec20 Nov15 Oct30 Aug21 Jul24 (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 2.00    
4  COPPERHEAD CREEK Feb24 Jan28 Dec17 Nov26 Oct30 (stites flin)INIRIO J 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  INDIRECTLY Feb06 Dec20 Dec06 Oct25 Sep11 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   03/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARLY FROST Nov13 Oct23 Sep29 Aug28 Mar14 (ippolito mar)VILLEGAS JERRY 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  LISA'S PALACE Feb19 Jan17 Dec06 Nov13 Jul26 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 125 6.00    
3  LADRO DI FICHI Feb06 Jan08 Dec20 Dec11 Nov01 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.00 22% 3.50    
4  THROWBACK Feb06 Aug02 Jun13 May29 May09 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 125 6.00    
5  UPTOWN SERAPHINA Feb21 Nov20 Aug22 Aug02 Jul05 (houghton thomas)CORA D 125 5.00    
SCR  LONDON LADY Nov29 Oct23 Oct05 Aug21 Aug07 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 125 20.00    
SCR  BONITA LASSIE Feb24 Feb04 Jan13 Dec16 Nov13 (mosco rober)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 12.00    
8  LA LIMA Dec20 Oct31 Jul26 Jul12 Jun18 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 125 30.00    
9  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Feb06 Jan03 Dec20 Dec11 Nov01 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 125 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  SCOREBOARD LILY Feb06 Oct31 Jul03 Jun13 May31 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 125 30.00    
11  SHINELIKEADIAMOND Feb20 Feb06 Jan03 Dec20 Nov29 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 125 4.50 7% 13.20    
12  BETWEEN DREAMS Feb24 Feb04 Jan27 Jan14 Dec18 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   03/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S NOT OVER YET Nov06 Oct23 Oct08 Sep25 Aug28 (reed a)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 12.00    
2  BALLAD OF WARRIOR Dec30 Nov27 Oct21 Oct07 Sep20 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 1.60 16% 5.10    
3  PUNCH IT MARGARET Jan25 Dec27 Oct24 Aug15   (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 119 10.00    
SCR  PREACH IT WARRIOR Dec11 Nov14 Oct01 Aug27 Aug05 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 119 10.00    
5  BUZZ ADAMS Jan18         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 8.00 16% 5.20    
6  PANAGIOTIS Feb14 Dec19       (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  QUILLING Feb05 Dec27 Nov22 Oct24   (kravets m)CORA D 119 3.50    
 
PEN-5   03/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY OF LONDON Feb06 Dec18 Nov21 Aug07 Jul19 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00    
2  KENTUCKY REIGN Feb20 Feb06 Jan02 Dec06 Nov06 (bobadilla j)INIRIO J 123 6.00 9% 10.50    
3  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Feb21 Jan03 Dec12 Oct25 Sep26 (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 123 15.00    
4  I CAME TO DANCE Feb20 Mar22 Jan24 Aug25 Aug16 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 123 10.00 7% 12.50    
5  DANCING CHIME Feb20 Feb06 Dec06 Oct31 Aug15 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 2.50    
6  WHEN YOUR STRANGE Feb20 Feb06 Jan25 Jan09 Nov25 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 1.80 57% 0.80    
SCR  CASTASPELLA Feb20 Dec27 Aug15     (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.50    
 
PEN-6   03/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEN GAUGE Feb06 Jan13 Dec06 Oct19 Jun23 (velazquez d)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 2.00    
2  UNCLE CAESAR Jan26 Jan03 Dec13 Nov14 Oct08 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00 54% 0.90    
3  WINE COLLECTOR Feb02 Dec14 Nov17 Nov02 Oct13 (sanchez-sal)HAMILTON WESTON 121 2.50    
SCR  TERMSOFENGAGEMENT Jan08 Nov07 Oct17 Aug30 Aug07 (murillo ric)INIRIO J 121 8.00    
5  MY REDEMPTION Feb06 Nov27 Sep02 Aug16 Jul15 (harigeorgiou kons)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  CELESTIAL MOON Jan13 Dec16 Nov23 Nov05 Oct19 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 1.80    
 
PEN-7   03/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS HOLIDAY Feb07 Dec19 Nov01 Oct14 Sep25 (albright am)INIRIO J 125 5.00    
2  DARK TIMBER Jan30 Jan07 Dec12 Nov16 Oct30 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.00 49% 1.00    
3  MUNI MUNI SLEW Feb07 Jan02 Dec13 Nov22 Oct31 (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 125 5.00    
4  KBCYA LATER Feb19 Dec18 Nov22 Oct23 Sep29 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00 8% 12.20    
5  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Feb19 Dec27 Dec11 Nov15 Oct31 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 10.00    
SCR  CITIZEN MACK Feb19 Dec19 Nov22 Oct31 Sep20 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 3.50    
7  FATHER WALSH Feb19 Jan30 Jan11 Nov11 Oct08 (albright amy)CORA D 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
PEN-8   03/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURECRAZIGROOVE Feb20 Feb06 Nov26 Nov13 Oct28 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 121 20.00    
SCR  DESTINANO Feb06 Dec18 Jul17 Jun26 May24 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.00    
3  ABBY'S SPIRIT Jun27 Jun13 May16 May02 Mar21 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 121 10.00    
4  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Feb20 Feb06 Jan02 Dec19 Dec04 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50    
5  GRUMPY BROOKSIE Feb06 Dec13 Nov21 Nov07 Oct25 (fields kevin)FLORES E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  NOBLE FISH Jan31 Jan03 Nov17 Sep29 Sep07 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.00 60% 0.70    
7  RAGING BEAR Feb19 Jan30 Dec13 Nov15 Oct31 (albright am)INIRIO J 121 6.00 8% 12.00    
 
PEN-9   03/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MILO Feb14 Jan08 Oct11 Sep15 Jun07 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 2.50    
2  KAZMIKE Apr06 May30 Apr23 Mar31 Mar05 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
3  ARTWELL Feb21 Feb07 Jan29 Dec21 Nov17 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  SYLVIA I AM Feb07 Jan09 Dec27 Dec12 Nov13 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 30.00    
5  BEJUCO Feb21 Feb07 Jan03 Nov15 Oct24 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 123 5.00    
6  BANJO Jan07 Jan25 Jan11 Dec07 Oct27 (catalano l)RUIZ ELISEO 123 3.00    
SCR  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT Dec27 Nov17 Oct13 Sep08 Aug24 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00    
8  ROCK ANNA ROLL Jan25 Aug23 Aug10 Jun08 May18 (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 10.00 14% 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.