Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(7/5/2)-(3/7/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(3/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(3/7/1/5)-(9/2/3/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/5)-(9/2/3/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/5)-(9/2/3/10/7)-(1/2/10/9/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (9/2/3/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/3/10/7)-(9/2/3/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/3/10/7)-(9/2/3/10/7)-(9/2/3/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/3/10/7)-(1/2/10/9/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/2/3/10/7)-(1/2/10/9/8)-(7/9/5/1/8) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-7   WIN (1/2/10/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/10/9/8)-(1/2/10/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/10/9/8)-(1/2/10/9/8)-(1/2/10/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/10/9/8)-(7/9/5/1/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/2/10/9/8)-(7/9/5/1/8)-(8/5/10) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TUP-8   WIN (7/9/5/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/5/1/8)-(7/9/5/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/5/1/8)-(7/9/5/1/8)-(7/9/5/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/5/1/8)-(8/5/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-9   WIN (8/5/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/10)-(8/5/11/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/10)-(8/5/11/6/10)-(8/5/11/6/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   02/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Feb03 Jan16 Jan01 Dec18 Dec04 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00    
2  BABE'S GOT APPEAL Feb05 Jan09 Apr23 Apr08 Apr01 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
3  DISTINCTIVE DEB Jan24 Jan13 Jan01 Dec09 Nov27 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  COCKTAIL PRINCESS Jan29 Jan09 Mar20 Mar04 Feb20 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 122 10.00 24% 3.20    
5  NOEL'S ANGEL Nov30 Jul27 Jun30 May24 May04 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00    
6  SLICE OF PIE Jan29 Feb26 Feb06 Jan07 Sep03 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00    
 
TUP-4   02/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD INTENTION Feb10 Dec17 Nov12 Aug16 Apr15 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50    
2  LADY CRUISER Jan16 Dec30 Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  IN THE VAULT Jan25 Dec28 Dec09 Sep08 Aug17 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00    
4  CHARMANT E Feb03 Jan25 Dec28 Dec05 Sep01 (mccartney jack)MAWING A 124 3.00 ★    
5  THE COMRIE RULE Jan08 Dec04 Oct14 Sep29 Sep07 (brown allen)KRIGGER K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PALACE STAR Feb17 Feb05 May01 Apr16 Mar26 (perkins f)JENSEN P 124 20.00    
7  CAPITAL HEAT Jan24 Dec27 Nov27 Sep08 Aug25 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 79% 0.30    
SCR  SAVONA (IRE) Jan21 Dec17 Nov12 Sep26 Aug29 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 2.50    
 
TUP-5   02/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RHODESIA Feb10 Jan21 Jan13 Dec26 Dec05 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 4.50 6% 14.80    
2  TEDDY'S TRIUMPH Jan26 Jan05 Dec08 Nov22 Nov05 (chambers mike)KRIGGER K 122 4.00    
3  BAD SNEAKERS Dec16 Nov18 Oct12 Aug26 Jun16 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
4  BUBBA BAY Jan24 Jan01 Apr16 Sep19 Aug27 (o'brien danny)HARVEY B 122 20.00    
5  TALK OF THE TOWN Jan29 Jan17 Dec04 Nov23 Oct16 (hodgson b)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  LIGHT THE BEAM Jan04 Dec18 Nov29 Oct19 Sep29 (thomas jam)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00    
7  COPPER COASTLINE Feb05 Jan09 Oct16 Sep13 Jan07 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
8  PEDAL TO THE METAL Feb10 Jan21 Nov26 Sep13 Aug10 (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00    
 
TUP-6   02/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARACKO         (fuente)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00    
2  TRACK ROBBER Feb12 Apr24 Mar28 Mar18   (alvarez sergio)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
3  SEB N' SAM         (diaz fern)REYES R 124 15.00 5% 18.30    
4  RACER REX Feb12 Jan23 Nov29 Oct02 Oct22 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 4.00    
5  CREE Feb05 Jan02 Dec04     (williams )VALENZUELA A 118 20.00    
SCR  BOSTON BURGLAR Feb07 Jan16 Dec15 Nov23   (tamayo isidro)KRIGGER K 124 8.00    
7  RIVER'S BENCHMARK Feb15 Jan26 Jan16 Dec28 Dec15 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  LISA'S DOCTOR S Nov29 Nov14 Sep20 Jul25 Jul07 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
9  HIPPIE TRAIL May30         (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 3.00 53% 0.90    
10  HATAGASAL Feb04 Dec28 Nov29 Jul26 Jul12 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR. THIRSTY Nov29 Sep22       (torres-)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 118 10.00    
 
TUP-7   02/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY SMILE Jan28 Jan01 Dec17 Nov25 Nov12 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 2.50 54% 0.80    
2  HORSE DOCTOR Feb11 Jan25 Jan03 Dec18 Nov24 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
3  BOSS OF THEMOSS Jan14 Dec04 Nov25 Jul20 Jun30 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
4  THIRSTY THURSDAY Feb04 Jan14 Dec26 Dec03 Nov11 (marin martin)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 20.00    
5  KING ADROCK Feb10 Jan28 Dec26 Jun22 Apr28 (valerio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
6  DENNARD Feb11 Dec28 Dec09 Nov26 Nov11 (baze robert)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
7  CONCH DADDY Feb01 Feb17 Dec30 Dec16 Dec09 (uranga )RAMIREZ J 124 8.00    
8  ALMANERA (IRE) Feb18 Jan30 Jan13 Nov17 Oct20 (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  JAIME'S COMMITMENT Apr10 Feb29 Feb20 Feb05 Jan21 (valeri)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  PEACEFUL WATERS Dec27 Dec11 Aug17 Jun07 Mar23 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 7% 12.40    
 
TUP-8   02/27/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARK OF VICTORY Feb12 Jan25 Jan07 Dec09 Nov26 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DANGERELLA Feb05 Jan22 Nov17 Nov01 Oct20 (hernandez m)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
3  ONE ARROW Feb19 Oct18 Aug30 Aug01 Mar04 (drysdal)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
4  NELLIE THURSDAY Feb06 Jan19 Dec19 Nov29 Nov20 (schnell do)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
5  R B'S TIGER Feb05 Jan25 Dec13 Nov29 Oct20 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 5.00 6% 15.50    
6  SPICY RIDE Feb11 Jan18 Jun02 Apr26 Mar15 (rosale)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 8.00    
7  MAGENS BAY Feb12 Jan07 Dec19 Nov29 Nov02 (rarick wade)MOJICA O 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
8  RANDOS LADY Feb13 Dec06 Oct20 Jan01 Nov25 (story chad)GARCIA F 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  COASTAL GIRL Jan30 Aug31 Aug17 Jul20 Jul07 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
10  SHE'S MY FLAME Feb11 Jan08 Dec14 Nov29 Oct25 (mendoza eloy)REYES R 118 15.00    
11  LADY YELLOWSTONE Jan25 Jan08 Dec19 Dec09 Nov09 (fuentes ruben)KRIGGER K 124 15.00    
 
TUP-9   02/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELUSIVE LOVE Feb05 Jan08 Dec19 Nov20 Apr30 (ortiz man)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
2  FED GRANT Jan13 Dec27 Oct13 Sep21 Sep07 (garcia f)KRIGGER K 124 20.00    
3  HEZADOOZIE Feb13 Jan22 Jan14 Jan02 Dec16 (torres-casas alex )GARCIA F 124 10.00    
4  HADLEES HONOR Feb10 Jan25 Dec19 Dec12 Nov20 (crowe shell)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00    
5  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Dec16 Nov26 Oct18 Oct06 Sep22 (whitehouse wilto)MAWING A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROYAL HALO Feb05 Jan21 Dec30 Dec09 Aug25 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  CONTINENTAL UNION Feb04 Nov29 Nov17 Nov08 Sep29 (villamar candel)VERGARA P 124 20.00    
8  NEW EVERY MORNING Feb04 Jan14 Dec17 Dec03 Nov12 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 73% 0.40    
SCR  KOWBOYKABIN Jan27 Oct26 Sep20 Jul04 May04 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
10  GOLD MAGIC Jan08 Dec10 Nov18 Oct20 Oct04 (kenney rya)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  DAZZLING TRUTHS Jan21 Jan02 Dec18 Nov26 Nov12 (silva pablo)MOJICA O 124 6.00 ★    
12  HARBOR THUNDER Feb10 Jan23 Jan07 Dec30 Dec12 (lavanway dayson)BARNES JOSE 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.