Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(5/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(5/7/8/1)-(4/7/8/2/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/1)-(5/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/1)-(5/7/8/1)-(5/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/8/1)-(4/7/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8/1)-(4/7/8/2/9)-(6/12/7/10/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-3   WIN (4/7/8/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/2/9)-(4/7/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/2/9)-(4/7/8/2/9)-(4/7/8/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/8/2/9)-(6/12/7/10/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8/2/9)-(6/12/7/10/3)-(3/11/2/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (6/12/7/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/12/7/10/3)-(6/12/7/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/12/7/10/3)-(6/12/7/10/3)-(6/12/7/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/12/7/10/3)-(3/11/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/12/7/10/3)-(3/11/2/9)-(1/8/6/13/12) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (3/11/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/11/2/9)-(3/11/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/11/2/9)-(3/11/2/9)-(3/11/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/11/2/9)-(1/8/6/13/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/11/2/9)-(1/8/6/13/12)-(4/9/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/8/6/13/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/13/12)-(1/8/6/13/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/13/12)-(1/8/6/13/12)-(1/8/6/13/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/6/13/12)-(4/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/13/12)-(4/9/3/5)-(6/5/7/10/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (4/9/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/3/5)-(4/9/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/3/5)-(4/9/3/5)-(4/9/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/3/5)-(6/5/7/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/9/3/5)-(6/5/7/10/2)-(5/13/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/5/7/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/10/2)-(6/5/7/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/10/2)-(6/5/7/10/2)-(6/5/7/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/7/10/2)-(5/13/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/13/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/13/6)-(5/13/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/13/6)-(5/13/6)-(5/13/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   02/26/2025 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASTABITLONGER Jan17 Dec27 Dec07     (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.20 34% 2.00    
R N R AUDIBLE Jan17 Jan04 Dec07 Sep28 Aug09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00 5% 17.70    
STATESMAN Jan17 Nov16 Aug31 Aug10   (mcgaughey clau)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.00 39% 1.50    
TRULY LEGIT Feb02 Sep23 Aug31 Jul02   (davis christophe)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
CENTERFOLD GUY Jan29 Jan15 Jan04 Nov23 Oct06 (dobber arnou)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00    
FULLY AUTHORIZED Feb02 Dec13 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 (dini mike)CASTANON L 120 8.00    
 
TAM-2   02/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T TELL AMY Feb08 Jan10 Dec24 Dec05 Nov16 (cordero anto)BATISTA A 118 12.00 6% 16.20    
AMERICAN PEACHES Feb08 Jan05 Dec21 Dec11 Nov29 (lopez )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 6.00    
MIA'S ANGEL Feb09 Jan22 Jan05 Dec13 Sep26 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00    
UP THE ODDS Jan29 Dec29 Nov13 Oct28 Oct02 (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 118 15.00    
ROZAY SUMMER Jan05 Oct23 Sep16 Aug26 Aug07 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.80 33% 2.00    
LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Feb08 Jan03 Dec13 Nov29 Sep25 (rarick lynn)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 20.00    
WONDERFULVENEZUELA Feb08 Jan22 Nov29 Oct18 Sep21 (yanez reynaldo)GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.50 25% 3.10    
OOPS HAHA Feb01 Jan01 Dec18 Nov27 Sep21 (sillaman richa)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
TAM-3   02/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURN JAKEY BURN Feb05 Jan18 Jan10 Dec11 Sep21 (arnett g)TOHILL S 122 5.00    
THE DOORMAN Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 6% 14.80    
LEAD OFF Feb12 Jan29 Jan12 Dec27 Nov29 (rarick lynn)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.50    
NAUTILUS (BRZ) Dec21 Nov27 Sep18 Aug23 Aug01 (marrero nest)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 3.50 50% 1.00    
PRACTICAL WAY Feb01 Jan15 Jan05 Dec13 Sep20 (ramir)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 30.00    
FREE RAMBLING MAN Feb02 Jan17 Dec28 Dec21 Nov29 (orantes r)CAMACHO SAMY 120 20.00    
GHOST STALKER Feb12 Jan19 Dec20 Sep20 Sep07 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 120 2.00 12% 7.10    
COX CANYON Jan31 Jan17 Dec13 Oct30 Jun13 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 8.00 7% 13.60    
SILENT AND VIOLENT Dec01 Nov23 Nov02 Sep14 Aug11 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   02/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY COLLECTED Feb01 Jan17 Aug31 Aug23 Jul27 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
MISS C BANKER Feb01 Oct26 Sep28 Aug28 Jul25 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50    
SLYBOOTS         (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SECRET VICTORY Jan25 Jan11 Dec28 Oct12   (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00    
VALIANT JANE Feb08 Dec07       (dobber w)FERRER C 120 20.00    
GIRL DYNAMITE Feb05         (marrero )GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 5.00 39% 1.60    
THE COQUETTE Feb07 Jan16       (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 9% 9.50    
CAMEO Jan16 Dec26       (munoz carlos)HESS SARA 113 8.00    
TO MUCH STYLE         (arriagada jua)IORIO MELISSA 120 10.00    
10  VESPER CHICKS         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  LILY DASH A         (hunt donal)ALONSO LUIS 120 30.00    
12  MY LITTLE WILDCAT Feb09 Jan26 Jan11     (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
 
TAM-5   02/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO MUCH JAZZ Sep05 Aug03       (carra)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00    
SNOW IS FLYING Jan31 Jan04 Dec13 Oct02   (dini mike)HESS SARA 113 3.50 10% 8.70    
TAP BONNET Jan31 Jan15 Dec21     (gulick m)CASTANON L 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
LA GATA SALVAJE Feb09 Jan15 Jan01     (mckathan kevin)GIL CIPRIANO 120 6.00    
SCR  TOO MUCH FUN         (deaton william)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
SCR  COURAGEOUS ARI Feb01 Oct15 Oct07 Aug27 Aug07 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 120 15.00    
SCR  DERBY EFFORT Feb05 Jan03 Dec07 Oct12 Sep25 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
SCR  JUSTAWESOMEDARLING         (deaton wil)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 20.00    
GOGO BOOTS Feb09         (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  MY FINE AQUILINE Feb05 Dec29 Dec11 Nov29 Sep26 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 3.00    
11  POWER PARTY Aug23         (drake robert)BATISTA A 120 4.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  YLANA Feb16 Dec22       (dominguez huber)BRACHO A 120 30.00    
13  ANNA JEAN Feb16 Jan24 Jan05 Dec24 Dec07 (ga)LUNA PAUL 120 6.00    
SCR  CENTEYA Feb16 Dec28 Oct04     (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00    
 
TAM-6   02/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTIVO Jan19 Dec29 Nov08 Sep22 Aug24 (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 46% 1.20    
SCR  ALL THE RAGE Feb02 Jan19 Dec14 Nov23 Oct23 (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 118 12.00    
STREET VENDOR Feb05 Jan19 Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 (smith robe)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
TIZ A BEAST Feb05 Jan19 Jan04 Dec14 Jul14 (paragallo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 30.00    
BREATH DEEPLY Feb01 Jan04 Dec14 Nov20 Oct18 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
POSEIDONS MYTH Feb05 Jan17 Dec22 Nov20 Nov03 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00 10% 8.90    
EVERDOIT Feb01 Jan12 Dec21 Dec11 Nov20 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.00    
ESTILO MAGICO Jan29 Jan04 Dec11 Nov23 Sep12 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 12% 7.50    
NEON DEION Jan31 Jan10 Dec29 Nov27 Sep25 (campb)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 20.00    
10  GENERAL BATTLE AXE Jan29 Jan19 Dec21 Sep19 Sep02 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
11  OVERHAUL Jan31 Jan19 Dec22 Dec05 Oct03 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 118 30.00    
12  BANDERO Jan04 Dec14 Oct11 Sep14 Aug11 (agostini a)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
13  GUN RIGHT Feb05 Jan19 Jan04 Dec06 Nov20 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 118 8.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  RULE IT Feb05 Jan04 Dec14 Nov02 Oct11 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 30.00    
 
TAM-7   02/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAURISTON (IRE) Jan17 Dec14 Oct20 Aug31 Feb25 (trask)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 4.50    
SCR  NO DOUGH NO GO Jan29 Nov12 Oct06     (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 10.00    
ELITE STATUS (GB) Jan11 Nov16 Feb10 Dec16   (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
MISHKA Feb05 Aug13 Jun25 May17 Nov25 (seale christophe)LEON SONNY 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
LIPOCHROME Feb05 Dec21 Oct24 Aug24 Apr21 (mcburney patric)CENTENO E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SMART BEAUTY Jan17 Dec14 Nov30 Nov10 Oct13 (gardea abraham)HESS SARA 115 10.00    
ELECTRIC RUNNER Jan29 Jan15 Jan03 Jul21 Jun27 (mancha)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 30.00    
SCR  ENNEREILLY (IRE) Feb07 Dec22 Oct01 Sep01 Nov11 (kintz matthe)COTTO L 120 30.00    
VICTORY GIRL Feb05 Jan19 Dec22 Sep15 Jul26 (pimental john )CASTANON L 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
10  SHE'S GONE ROGUE Jan15 Dec20 Dec04 Apr06 Mar17 (ubide max)ALLEN D 120 20.00    
SCR  GAMBI Feb02 Jan15 Dec06 Nov13 Sep26 (alessi james)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
SCR  HUGGIN AND LOVIN Jan31 Nov24       (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 30.00    
 
TAM-8   02/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITTLE LUKEY Jan22 Dec22 Apr14 Mar22   (ellebracht gar)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
PICCATA PRINCE Feb05 Jan12 Dec29 Dec11 Nov30 (spanab)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Oct31 Sep14 Aug16 Jul31 Jun28 (paragallo )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 20.00    
MYSTIC LUTE Jan31 Dec27 Dec06 Sep08 Aug11 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50    
GUAIO Feb09 Jan29 Jan08 Dec14 Nov23 (agostini arthu)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 13% 6.50    
PRACTIKO Mar07 Dec16 Aug18 May19 Apr15 (d'angelo jose )GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.00 39% 1.50    
C SUITE BOY Jan29 Dec11 Oct03 Aug22 Jul28 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 11% 8.50    
WIZARDOFEZ Jan29 Jan10 Dec01 Oct11 Jul07 (dominguez )MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 20.00    
DADDY'S DINERO Feb07 Jan18 Nov17 Oct03 Sep08 (moysey e)HESS SARA 111 30.00    
10  GRAN YACO Feb12 Jan19 Jun30 Jun02 Apr14 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 118 3.50 9% 10.50    
 
TAM-9   02/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY GREAT ILLUSION Feb05 Jan08 Dec04 Aug15 Jun08 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 119 4.50    
SCR  ALASDAIR Feb05 Dec29 Dec01 Oct26 Sep29 (ramsey nolan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00    
SCR  AXCEL Jan17 Jan05 Jul01 Jun24 Apr26 (manning j)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
ESCAPE KEY Feb02 Jan17 Dec27 Dec14 Nov23 (aguayo ramon)FERRER C 123 10.00    
MONGOLIAN APPLE Feb05 Mar20 Feb23 Dec31 Dec01 (richards r)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 5.00 46% 1.20    
POINT LIAM Feb02 Jan08 Nov28 Aug11 Jul14 (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  COACHES MEETING Feb05 Dec28 Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 20.00    
SCR  TORO FORWARD Feb02 Jan05 Dec18 Apr19 Apr07 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 12.00    
SCR  CAROOM Feb06 Oct06 Aug18 Jun20 May12 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00    
SCR  BRAMBLE BLAZE Feb05 Aug31 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 6.00    
11  NOT THISTIMERANDY Feb09 Dec14 Nov23 Nov01 Sep14 (paterno r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 30.00    
12  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Feb05 Jan19 Dec14 Nov20 Oct25 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00    
13  MONEY IN MOTION Dec22 Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 Sep20 (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 8.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  SMART STRIKER Feb05 Dec29 Sep04 Aug23 Aug11 (pompay t)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.