Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(5/8/6/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(5/8/6/7/3)-(9/1/2/7/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TUP-4   WIN (5/8/6/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/7/3)-(5/8/6/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/7/3)-(5/8/6/7/3)-(5/8/6/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/6/7/3)-(9/1/2/7/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/7/3)-(9/1/2/7/3)-(9/6/10/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-5   WIN (9/1/2/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/7/3)-(9/1/2/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/7/3)-(9/1/2/7/3)-(9/1/2/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/2/7/3)-(9/6/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/2/7/3)-(9/6/10/7)-(3/4/8/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (9/6/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/10/7)-(9/6/1/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/10/7)-(9/6/1/10/7)-(9/6/1/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/10/7)-(3/4/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/6/10/7)-(3/4/8/7)-(12/2/10/6/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/8/7)-(12/2/10/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (12/2/10/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/2/10/6/7)-(12/2/10/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/2/10/6/7)-(12/2/10/6/7)-(12/2/10/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   02/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTY N THE BOLT Jan20 Dec18 Nov23 Oct18 Sep08 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
2  SHE'S SO SHINY Jan21 Dec28 Dec09 Aug30 Jun28 (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
3  ONE ARROW Oct18 Aug30 Aug01 Mar04 Mar27 (drysdale neil)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
4  DOMINEERING Jan25 Mar01 Feb04 Dec30 Dec16 (perkinson c)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 8% 11.10    
5  SHARP ATTITUDE Jan21 Dec28 May02 Apr10 Mar14 (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  BANGIE GO Jan21 Jan07 Dec16 Nov30 Aug24 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 4.00    
 
TUP-4   02/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTOFQUEMADO Jan30 Jan07 Dec23 Nov27 Nov14 (rollins michael)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
2  SHANAGOLDEN Jan05 Jun16 May27 Apr14 Mar31 (tamayo isidro)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
3  CALIFORNIA SWING Jan30 Jan08 Nov14 Sep25 Sep05 (gleason)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS Dec23 Nov18 Jul06 Jan21 Mar15 (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
5  D K'S CROWN Feb06 Jan13 Dec17 Dec03 Nov12 (garcia valen)MARTIN A 124 5.00 46% 1.20    
6  COASTAL WATERS Jan30 Jan13 Dec28 Dec09 Nov26 (homer jason)MONTALVO C 124 10.00 14% 6.00    
7  DUPLICATION Feb05 Jan03 Dec15 Sep02 Aug09 (lavanway dayson)MOJICA O 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SOCAL RED Feb06 Jan15 Jan08 Dec19 Nov30 (gibson f)KRIGGER K 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
9  FLY NIGHTLY Jan27 Dec28 Dec11 Nov30 Oct26 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00    
SCR  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Feb06 Jan13 Dec28 Nov26 Nov12 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50    
SCR  ITS A BOY Feb06 Dec28 Dec11 Jul15 Jun18 (sanderson b)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 3.50    
SCR  MOVE OVER (GB) Feb06 Nov30 Sep15 Aug24 Aug11 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.50    
 
TUP-5   02/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER DASH Sep25 Sep02 Jul28 Jul13 Jun23 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  DEFENSE WINS Jan13 Dec18 Nov16 Oct13 Sep30 (van debbie)KRIGGER K 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
3  SURPRISE FASHION Jan30 Jan13 Dec12 Nov30 Nov14 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  VICENTE'S SHADOW Feb04 Jan14 Nov30 Nov20 Oct19 (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
5  STREET BEHAVIOR Jan30 Dec28 Dec16 Dec05 Nov01 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
6  NICE GUY EDDIE Jan29 Jan01 Oct27 Oct06 Sep14 (anderson gonzalo)MOJICA O 124 4.00    
7  SAINT PIO Dec27 Dec18 Nov20 Sep24 Sep17 (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 124 10.00 10% 8.60    
8  THIRTYMINUTEMASS Jan23 Dec30 Oct27 Oct11 Sep21 (martinez o)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00    
9  SKY CLOUD Jan30 Jan21 Jan01 Dec12 Nov26 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
10  BARE BACK JACK Jan27 Jan14 Dec26 Nov02 Oct12 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-6   02/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Jan30 Jan07 Nov20 Sep13 Aug30 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 ★    
2  LUVAHAPPYENDING Jan30 Jan07 Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 (perez s)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
3  FREYAS CATZ Jan29 Jan07 Oct05 Aug29 Jul17 (baze t)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
SCR  SHES GOT THE POWER Jan30 Jan07 Dec12 Nov20 Sep13 (crowe shell)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
5  DESERT RUMBLE Jan30 Jan07 Dec12 Oct27 Sep29 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
6  CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) Jan24 Sep11 Aug26 Aug03 Jul28 (perez s)KRIGGER K 124 15.00 7% 14.10    
7  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA Jan13 Jan01 Dec17 Feb05 Oct21 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  GOLD COAST GIRL Jan30 Jan07 Dec27 Sep08 Aug25 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
9  TEAM CONCEPT Jan29 Jan21 Dec11 Nov30 Oct06 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00 70% 0.40    
10  FAT AND FURIOUS Jan29 Jan07 Nov30 Nov20 Sep28 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANISETTE (GB) Nov23 Nov02 Oct26 Sep07 Aug10 (jauregui o)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50    
 
TUP-7   02/19/2025 4950ft TURF RC11 FIRM Luke Kruytbosch Overnight Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BITTERLY Feb04 Jan09 Dec21 Dec07   (kenney)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 8.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of BACK IN FASHION by CONSOLIDATOR)
2  JUST TRUST ME Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 Nov09 Oct27 (williams dewey)KRIGGER K 121 5.00    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of TRUST FUND KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  DON'T FLY STAND BY Dec27 Nov26 Sep28 Aug09 Jul22 (ei)DA FAUSTO 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by UPSTART out of MISS EMELINA by BIG BROWN)
4  BODI ZAFA Feb04 Dec17 Aug04 Jul07   (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of LIGHTNING DOVE by UNCLE MO)
SCR  BORDER VIGIL Feb10 Dec27 Dec10 Sep15 Jul27 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of WAR TWEET by DATA LINK)
6  THIRSTY VISION Jan20 Dec15 Nov23 Sep15 Aug10 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 20.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY SCARLETT by GRACE UPON GRACE)
7  F B I BOB Feb03 Dec27 Dec10 Nov13 Sep23 (mcfarlane dan )REYES R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SHE'LL TAKE CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
8  WOOD CEILING Jan17 Nov26 Oct10     (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 8% 11.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RESPONSIBLEFORLOVE by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
 
TUP-8   02/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARK HARBOR Feb04 Jan19 Jul24 Jul08 Jun18 (barrio sergio)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00    
2  SHARP WARNING Feb04 Jan21 Dec26 Jul28 Jul20 (warren kay)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  CUT ACROSS SHORTY Jan30 Jan13 Dec15 Dec01 Oct20 (baze t)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
4  LEPRINO Jan25 Jan02 Sep16 Aug18 Jul09 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 10.00    
5  SCRATCHY APACHE Feb04 Dec31 Dec17 Dec04 Nov26 (lavanway dayson)BARNES JOSE 124 20.00    
6  GONNA GETCHA GOOD Feb04 Dec01 May05 Mar23 Feb11 (tamayo isidro)CRUZ M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SIMONSITO Jan13 Dec31 Nov30 Nov14 Oct14 (crowe s)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  ESTIFRAAD Feb10 Jan25 Dec05 Nov13 Jul31 (hodgson barry)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
9  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Jan15 Dec10 Apr24 Apr03 Mar19 (denny travi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
10  SIR FLATTER Jan25 Jan07 Dec26 Dec17 Nov26 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 15% 5.70    
11  MY DAD IS THIRSTY Feb04 Jan25 Jan14 Dec18 Nov30 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 15.00    
12  SHIP IT RED Feb05 Jan13 Dec27 Dec17 Nov30 (lund v)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00 39% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.