Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - December 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (2/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/7)-(6/8/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/7)-(6/8/5/9)-(8/4/2/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/9)-(6/8/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/9)-(6/8/5/9)-(6/8/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/9)-(8/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/9)-(8/4/2/1)-(7/5/2/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-5   WIN (8/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/2/1)-(7/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2/1)-(7/5/2/3)-(9/5/6/10/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (7/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/3)-(9/5/6/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/3)-(9/5/6/10/3)-(8/10/7/5/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (9/5/6/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/6/10/3)-(9/5/6/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/6/10/3)-(9/5/6/10/3)-(9/5/6/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/6/10/3)-(8/10/7/5/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/5/6/10/3)-(8/10/7/5/4)-(8/2/7/1/5) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-8   WIN (8/10/7/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/7/5/4)-(8/10/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/7/5/4)-(8/10/7/5/4)-(8/10/7/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/7/5/4)-(8/2/7/1/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-9   WIN (8/2/7/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/1/5)-(8/2/7/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/1/5)-(8/2/7/1/5)-(8/2/7/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   12/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHOENICIAN GHOST Sep07 Aug09 Jun14 May18 May02 (campo sta)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
2  FIRST CALL Nov26 Nov05 Sep21 Aug08 Jul03 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  BIYOMBO Dec02 Nov13 Sep21 Sep02 Jul29 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 3.50 16% 5.20    
4  ANNIE'S BOY Nov19 Apr22 Apr03 Feb25 Feb04 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00    
5  LOBDELL LAKE May02 Apr02       (grissom roberta )MAWING A 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
6  POP D'ORO Dec16 Dec02 Nov09 Oct05 Sep14 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
7  BIG JACK Dec02 Oct18 Sep27 Sep13 Aug10 (martinez a)VERGARA P 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   12/30/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLDATNA Dec10 Nov27 Nov18 Oct13 Oct06 (baze robert)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
SCR  ROSENQUIST Dec10 Sep25 Sep07 Aug11 Jul28 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
SCR  EL MIC TIESUN Dec10 Nov26 Nov13 Oct23 Sep26 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 117 10.00    
4  ECHO CANYON Dec12 Dec02 Nov18 Mar11 May13 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 4.00    
5  SWAMPDRAINER Dec17 Nov27 Nov18 Sep25 Sep05 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 5.00 12% 7.60    
6  ORTH Dec05 Sep25 Apr29 Apr03 Mar06 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  HARBOR THUNDER Dec12 Dec03 Nov14 Aug22 Jun30 (l)ROJAS EDUARD 122 10.00    
8  THREEBROTHERS Dec17 Nov27 Oct06 Apr27 Mar30 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
9  BLUES RAPPER Dec12 Nov27 Nov18 Nov11 Sep08 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 7% 13.10    
 
TUP-5   12/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESPECT THE UNION Apr04 Mar19 Feb22 Mar14 Feb27 (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  JIN TONG Dec11 Dec02 Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 2.50 6% 16.40    
SCR  I AM FREAKY FAST May04 Apr29 Mar21 Feb22 Apr04 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
4  POWERIZED Jul28 Jun16 Jun01 Apr24 Jan07 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 4.00 15% 5.90    
5  KEEN HEIR Sep08 Aug18 Jul08 Jun08 May01 (mcfarlane l)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00    
6  LAWS OF MAN Dec05 Nov18 Sep26 Aug11 Jul13 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 121 8.00    
7  DIALED IN TO WIN Dec02 May04 Apr17 Jul29 Jul08 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 6.00    
8  B MINOR Nov19 Oct17 Aug09 Jul24 May25 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.50 57% 0.70    
 
TUP-6   12/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR BOLD PRINCE Nov24 Nov01 Sep28 Jul21 Jun28 (lucarelli fran)REYES R 124 5.00    
2  THIRTYMINUTEMASS Oct27 Oct11 Sep21 Sep07 Sep01 (martinez o)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 13% 6.40    
3  ROYAL HALO Dec09 Aug25 Aug04 Apr16 Apr08 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  NATION OF FAITH Dec03 Nov13 Sep13 Sep07 Aug24 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
5  LET'S REJOYCE Oct25 Sep26 Aug03 Mar05 Jan20 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
6  FRIDAYNIGHTSOLDIER Dec05 Nov13 Oct16 Sep12 Aug17 (hodgso)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00    
7  READY TO STORM Dec04 Nov12 Oct11 Sep25 Aug24 (gleason m)TOHILL S 121 1.60 41% 1.50    
 
TUP-7   12/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($52.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR Nov12 Oct20 Sep01 Aug04 Oct14 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 15.00    
2  DOS VICIOS Nov20 Oct27 Aug17 Jun23 Oct27 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 124 10.00    
3  ARIZONA JEREMY Dec16 May02 Apr15 Mar21 Apr22 (laufenberg joyce)MAWING A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  I'M NOBLE Dec11 Dec03 Sep15 Aug24 Aug11 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
5  LORD SHELDON Dec18 Dec11 Sep08 Aug17 Jul07 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Dec16 Sep15 Aug11 Jul27 Jul03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
7  WHAT A DUDE Dec03 Nov18 Nov11 Sep27 Aug16 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
8  ATHENS MOON Dec17 Nov27 Nov17 Oct18 Sep29 (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
9  HOUSE OF LORDS Dec02 Nov13 Sep21 Aug08 Jun02 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
10  ZIMBA WARRIOR Dec06 Oct19 Sep05 Aug17 Jul25 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 6.00 6% 15.60    
11  NATIONAL GENERAUX (IRE) Nov22 Oct26 Aug17 Aug09 May31 (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
12  CIBERTRUCK Dec23 Dec03 Nov20 Nov12 Sep12 (lund valorie)REYES R 124 12.00    
 
TUP-8   12/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($52.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIPPIN SEVENZ Dec12 Nov27 Sep15 Aug30 Aug17 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50    
2  RAVEN'S QUEST Feb10 Jan14 Dec26 Dec01 Oct28 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 124 5.00    
SCR  ANYBODY'S CHOICE Dec09 Nov21 Aug30 Oct20 Aug27 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00    
4  WE ALL AGREE Nov30 May01 Mar28 Mar20 Feb29 (alcoverde er)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LADY CRUISER Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 Jul26 Jul05 (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  YODA GLITZ Dec03 Nov12 Sep25 Sep07 Aug22 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00    
7  DIPLOMATICA Dec03 Aug18 Jul25 Jun01 May01 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
8  BROOKYS GAL Dec13 Nov29 Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
9  TWELVE STARS Aug18 Jul25 Jun27 Jun01 Apr25 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
10  SHE'S RESILIENT Dec19 Nov10 Sep22 Jun30 Jun01 (alvarez sergio)MOJICA O 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
 
TUP-9   12/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($52.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL DEM BONES Dec17 Dec03 Nov25 Sep13 Aug24 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  MINISTER OF SOUL Dec17 Nov18 Sep02 Aug08 Jul03 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 6.00 19% 4.40    
3  ROBO WARRIOR Nov04 Sep30 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (alcoverde er)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
4  PACO'S PICO Dec17 Mar01 Feb02 Jan21 Jan05 (fales matt)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
5  CREATIVE BID Dec02 Nov13 Oct04 Aug25 Aug11 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  PIRATE RED Aug09 Jul26 Jun28 Jun07 Sep16 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 8.00    
7  DEPARTURE Aug17 Jun29 May19 Mar17 Mar04 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 5.00 15% 5.70    
8  COME OUT FIGHTING Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 Sep21 Aug17 (mclean bil)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  HOLDEN THE LUTE Dec02 Nov13 Jul17 Jul10 Feb29 (evans justin)MOJICA O 124 3.50    
10  STRENGTH OF AUTISM Dec04 Nov26 Oct11 Aug11 Jul21 (silva jr)REYES R 124 12.00    
11  ULTIMATE Dec17 Sep06 Jul21 Jun07 May24 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
12  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT Dec10 Nov19 Jun20 Jun08 Apr30 (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.