Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - December 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (3/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/4)-(4/3/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/4)-(4/3/7/1)-(2/8/3/5/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-3   WIN (4/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/1)-(2/8/3/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/1)-(2/8/3/5/9)-(5/4/7/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/8/3/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/5/9)-(2/8/3/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/5/9)-(2/8/3/5/9)-(2/8/3/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/3/5/9)-(5/4/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3/5/9)-(5/4/7/2)-(2/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/2)-(2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/2)-(2/7/6)-(1/3/6/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(1/3/6/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(1/3/6/2/7)-(2/5/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/3/6/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2/7)-(1/3/6/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2/7)-(1/3/6/2/7)-(1/3/6/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/6/2/7)-(2/5/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/8)-(2/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/8)-(2/5/4/8)-(2/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   12/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL DIVA Sep09 Aug26 Jul27 Jun24 May11 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  CHARMANT E Sep01 Aug17 Aug03 Jun30 Jun01 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
3  CALEBS LADY Nov13 Sep08 Jul28 Jul07 Jun02 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  BOOSICAL LADY Jun30 Jun09 May02 Apr10 Mar26 (mccartney jack)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  RUSSIAN TOTHE WIRE Nov27 Sep09 Jul27 Jun23 May25 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 10.00    
6  I'M TELLING MOM Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun15 (toye joe)CRUZ M 119 3.00    
7  DELIA Jul28 Apr07 Feb22 Jan05 Dec12 (eikleberry kevin)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
 
TUP-3   12/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGULATION DAZED Sep13 Sep01 Aug23 Aug10 Jul27 (nunnally jenni)REYES R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 Sep07 Sep01 (leon alexis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00    
3  FORT LANGLEY Nov26 Oct05 Sep22 Aug16 Aug05 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
4  POPULIST Nov11 Sep09 Aug14 Jul20 Jun10 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  STREET BEHAVIOR Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 Sep06 Aug03 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 122 10.00    
6  LAB RAT Sep24 Sep16 Aug21 Aug12 Jul23 (brown jared)MONTALVO C 122 4.00    
7  EMPEROROFTHENORTH Nov26 Nov11 Sep15 Sep07 Aug10 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
8  HONKY TONK HERO Nov12 Jun09 May01 Apr03 Mar18 (wolf ashle)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 12.00    
 
TUP-4   12/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNAUDITED Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 Jul03 Jun09 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 121 4.00    
2  MY CAIRO KID Nov21 Sep01 Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 (laufenber)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 43% 1.30    
3  HEATINTHECAPITAL Nov21         (belvoir van)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 11% 8.00    
4  MOESAHANDFUL Nov19 Jul05 Jun15 Apr21 Dec31 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.50    
5  A LOT OF VERVE Nov21 Sep08 Aug24 Aug11 Jul12 (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 6.00 6% 17.20    
6  WEEKEND FLAME Nov05 Oct09 Sep24 Aug14 Jul30 (lawrence heath)REYES R 121 8.00    
7  BENNY BUCKETS Nov14 Sep08 Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 121 15.00    
8  SYNTACTIC Nov19 Sep22 Sep06 Aug16 Jul05 (ortiz manu)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 14% 6.20    
9  DEKUDYLAN Nov19 Sep14 Aug31 Aug11 Jul27 (birdwell )KELLENBERGER KODY 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   12/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAYUCAN Nov13 Sep22       (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 121 4.50    
2  KITTY HOUSE Oct26 Oct12 Sep13 Aug23 Aug10 (anderso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LINDA'S MAP Nov17 Sep18       (moreno car)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 8.00    
4  SAPELLO LA FINA Nov18 Aug03 Jul14     (hernandez migu)REYES R 121 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  TRAVELIN WITCH Aug25         (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 121 6.00 34% 1.90    
6  REBEL GAL Aug18 Aug10 Jul14 Jun22   (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 121 5.00    
7  WELCOMETOHOLLYWOOD Nov18 Sep17 Aug28 Aug06 Jul23 (brown jared)MOJICA O 121 2.50 11% 8.40    
8  LITTLE BIT TIPSY Nov18 Sep26 Sep02 Aug24   (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 10.00    
 
TUP-6   12/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Shawn Swartz Overnight Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMERICAN BLAZE Nov19 Oct12 Sep14 Aug24 Jul12 (brinson clay)TOHILL S 124 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of BEAUTY N BALANCE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
2  REDLINE Nov14 Sep20 Aug24 Jul28 Jul07 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
  (by TEXAS RED out of GUADALUPE HIGH by CUVEE)
SCR  KYSTONE Oct13 Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Jul12 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MISS CHIEVOUS LADY by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  YOU'REINTHEARMYNOW Nov13 Sep15 Sep02 Aug23 Jul22 (schnell don)REYES R 121 8.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of TIMELESS by EXCAVATE)
SCR  COASTAL JAZZ Nov14 Sep29 Sep15 Jul28 Jul14 (evans justin)CORBETT W 120 6.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of JASMINE'S MELODY by ARTAX)
6  COASTAL KID Nov14 Oct06 Sep15 Jul28 Jul21 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of CREME by SOMERSHAM)
7  ARMA D'ORO Nov14 Oct13 Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
  (by VIOLENCE out of GOLD DUST LADY by CHAPEL ROYAL)
8  TEXTHELEGEND Nov19 Aug23 Jul22 Jun17 May20 (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LIFE'S BLESSINGS by TAPIT)
 
TUP-7   12/05/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Nov18 Oct31 Oct24 Aug24 Jul06 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 5.00 49% 1.10    
2  DREWY Nov14 Sep08 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LUNAR UNIT Nov14 Aug22 Jul18 Jun24 May04 (vitali j)MOJICA O 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
4  DRINK AND A WINK Sep14 Sep01 May12 Apr22 Apr01 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00    
5  FINNLEY'S KITTEN Nov19 Jun29 May26 Apr22 Apr09 (kereluk ed)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.50    
6  DEFICIT MAJA Nov11 Sep27 Aug01 Jun09 May10 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 114 12.00 7% 12.50    
7  HAUGHTY KITTY Nov15 Nov03 Oct12 Sep29 Sep21 (simpson s)IRONEYES R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  FOREST ACCLAMATION Nov14 Sep08 Aug23 Jul14 Jul03 (fearon john)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 12.00    
9  WARRIOR LADY Nov14 Sep29 Aug08 Jul05 May24 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 122 3.00    
10  DELUSIONAL DREAM Nov14 Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 Jul14 (woolley be)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  CAN'T WANT THAT Nov27 Sep20 Aug18 Aug03 Jun16 (lavanway dayso)REYES R 119 20.00    
 
TUP-8   12/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN DUNBAR Oct26 Oct04 Sep07 Aug29 Aug09 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
2  IT'S TURBO Sep07 Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 Jun08 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  WHEREVER YOU ARE Sep21 Aug23 Jun23 May24 Apr15 (belvoir vann)KRIGGER K 119 4.50    
4  STREET HUMOR Nov26 Sep14 May04 Apr16 Mar26 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 5.00 8% 10.90    
5  ORTH Sep25 Apr29 Apr03 Mar06 Feb12 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 6.00 9% 9.50    
6  OUR BOY ROY Nov18 Aug17 Jun30 Jun08 Feb13 (pe)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00    
7  LAWS OF MAN Nov18 Sep26 Aug11 Jul13 Jun23 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 119 6.00    
8  RHODESIA Sep06 Aug11 Jul26 Jul12 Aug27 (lucarelli frank)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.