Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - November 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (8/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/2)-(8/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/2)-(8/7/1/2)-(8/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/1/2)-(2/1/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/2)-(2/1/8/5)-(3/7/4/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/5)-(2/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/5)-(2/1/8/5)-(2/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/5)-(3/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/5)-(3/7/4/6)-(6/2/8/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/6)-(6/2/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/6)-(6/2/8/7)-(4/10/8/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/7)-(6/2/9/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/7)-(6/2/9/8/7)-(6/2/9/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/8/7)-(4/10/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8/7)-(4/10/8/6)-(7/6/4/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/10/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/8/6)-(4/10/7/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/8/6)-(4/10/7/8/6)-(4/10/7/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/10/8/6)-(7/6/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/10/8/6)-(7/6/4/3/8)-(6/1/2/9/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (7/6/4/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/3/8)-(7/6/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/3/8)-(7/6/4/3/8)-(7/6/4/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/4/3/8)-(6/1/2/9/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/3/8)-(6/1/2/9/7)-(7/5/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/1/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/9/7)-(6/1/2/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/9/7)-(6/1/2/9/7)-(6/1/2/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/2/9/7)-(7/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/9/7)-(7/5/3)-(10/6/12/5/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(10/6/12/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (10/6/12/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/12/5/3)-(10/6/12/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/12/5/3)-(10/6/12/5/3)-(10/6/12/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE ORDER Oct23 Sep25 Sep04 Aug24 Aug15 (hernandez enr)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MS EXCUSE Apr28 Apr07 Mar23 Nov22 Nov08 (marrero )GONZALEZ HENDERSON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  INVIDIA DEL COCO Jul19 May04 Apr06 Feb25 Jan17 (morales gui)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 30.00    
4  FANCY'S ROSEBUD Oct11 Sep15 Sep07 Jul14 Jul06 (mazza joseph )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00    
5  LADYS CHANT Oct08 Sep24 Aug22 Aug12 Jul10 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 3.00    
SCR  MIGGI Aug09 Jul19 Apr17     (hunt donald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00    
7  PLAY MAKER Oct17 Sep13 Jul28 Jul04 Jun02 (orantes yo)GONZALEZ E 112 2.50 21% 3.80    
8  OOPS HAHA Sep21 Aug11 Jul10     (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.50 50% 1.00    
 
TAM-2   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST. JOE JET Oct26 Oct04 Sep08 Aug24 Jul27 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
2  R HOT MESS Nov03         (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  PRACTICAL VALE Oct26 Oct05 Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 (garcia r)GIL CIPRIANO 122 30.00    
4  PIZZICATO Aug30 Aug09 Jun02 Apr24 Mar23 (rivera fra)ALONSO LUIS 122 3.50    
5  UNIFIEDS PRINCESS May01 Apr21 Apr07 Mar16 Feb18 (marrero nestor)HESS SARA 117 10.00 6% 16.60    
6  BLACK AND SILVER Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 Sep01 Aug16 (dobber arno)GONZALEZ MELVIS 117 15.00    
7  ALWAYS DRAMA Jul19 May30 Apr21 Jun10   (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 124 4.50    
8  BOO GAL LOO         (lightner)GALLARDO A 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
 
TAM-3   11/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN CASH Nov08 Oct13       (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 5.00    
SCR  WOLF BEACH Oct24 Sep28 Sep01 Aug18 Jul27 (delgado h)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
3  THE GREAT OSCAR         (romero rafael)BRACHO A 119 10.00 24% 3.10    
4  EL MUCHACHO ALEGRE         (gardea abr)URDANETA J 119 15.00 13% 6.50    
5  M G DASH Nov06 Oct04       (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00    
6  JUAN COLORADO Nov02         (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  EL GALAN Nov15 Oct13       (kutt m)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
8  MYWIFEHASAGUN Oct22         (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 3.00    
 
TAM-4   11/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. PENNY PINCHER Oct04 Jul19 Jun09 May19 Jan21 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
2  NEON DEION Sep25 Sep11 Sep02 Aug07 Jul24 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
3  RUSSIAN HAMMER Oct19 Oct10 Sep20 Aug29 Aug15 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
4  BAILAMOS Oct02 Sep13 Apr27 Apr06 Mar03 (arriagada juan)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00    
5  HABERDASHERY Nov16 Nov01 Aug04 Jul28 Jun09 (mckathan kevin)DIAZ S 118 4.50    
6  DUNE ROAD Oct15 Oct03 Sep16 Aug21 May09 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.50 62% 0.60    
7  HAP'S VICTORY Oct24 Sep26 Sep07 Jun18 May03 (barrett grantley)HESS SARA 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CALZONE Sep25 Sep05 Aug11 Jul28 Jul04 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  INDULGE Nov15 Oct25 Sep20 Aug10 Jul21 (simone m)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-5   11/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HYPER VENOM Nov10 Oct12 Sep07     (manchan ber)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 5.00    
2  NEW YORK FOG Oct04 Sep01       (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 119 8.00    
3  GRAND LIAM Oct19 Oct06 Sep07 Aug24   (ochoa gerar)GONZALEZ MELVIS 112 6.00    
4  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Nov10 Oct06 Oct02 Sep04 Aug17 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 119 8.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  KILLYBEGS KID Nov02 Aug25 Aug03     (terranova john)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
6  SPARTACUS'S DUDE Nov10         (nunez mauric)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CITY TIME Oct11 Aug22 Jul27 Jun21   (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 ★    
8  CALVINO Sep15 Sep01 Aug09     (laurato micha)MORALES PABLO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  NEW PLEX Sep07 Aug24       (gardea)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 20.00    
10  BINGO'S GRIND Oct11         (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 119 5.00 12% 7.30    
 
TAM-6   11/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Oct12 Sep27 Aug01 Jul25 Jul11 (moysey chelse)IORIO MELISSA 120 15.00    
2  DISCREET INVASION Oct12 Sep23 Sep14 Aug31 Aug19 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
3  FALCONS FURY Oct21 Oct02 Sep14 Sep05 Aug17 (ocasio osval)SUAREZ ANTHONY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  NO ANGEL Oct09 Sep30 Sep09 Aug29 Aug21 (canegata j)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 8.00 7% 13.80    
5  SHIVAREE (GB) Nov20 Aug29 Aug03 Jul05 Jun02 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 3.50    
6  MEAN TWEETS Oct13 Sep18 Sep04 Aug19 Jul30 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 10.00 14% 6.10    
7  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Sep18 Aug23 Aug01 Jun29 Jun10 (paterno rober)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 4.50 53% 0.90    
8  ACAMAR Oct06 Sep08 Aug18 Jul20 Jun27 (mcgoey moni)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  POLITICAL RIOT Nov10 Sep25 Sep07 Jul14 Apr26 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 20.00    
10  DESANTIS Oct30 Oct12 Oct05 Sep18 Sep07 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00    
SCR  ITWASTHISBIG Oct26 Sep20 Aug26 Aug18 Aug04 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
 
TAM-7   11/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE TIMES Oct20 Sep27 Aug24 Aug10 Jun29 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  MRS. KATZ Nov03 Sep28 Aug24 Jul27 Jul12 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 10% 9.30    
3  MY JANNET Oct24 Oct17 Oct01 Sep16 Aug28 (kleine berna)ALENCAR WALBER 118 6.00    
4  CLOUDY BAY Oct23 Sep27 Sep15 Aug22 Aug02 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 121 15.00    
5  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Sep06 Aug02 Jul18 May26 May01 (ya)LUNA PAUL 121 20.00    
6  ARIANA VALENTINA May01 Mar30 Feb24 Jan31 Jan21 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
7  SHE'S A KEEPER Oct04 Sep04 Aug23 Aug08 Jul17 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHILLING FACTOR Aug31 Jul26 May19 Apr19 Mar28 (fisher davi)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 30.00    
9  SPECIAL AFFAIR Oct11 Sep27 Sep21 Aug24 Aug04 (herna)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00 6% 14.50    
10  JUST MERCY Oct25 Sep08 Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 121 10.00    
 
TAM-8   11/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVRA WARRIOR Nov15 Oct11 Sep29 Sep06 Aug18 (rondon-mora car)CENTENO E 122 3.50    
SCR  CHILD PROOF Oct10 Sep14 Sep05 Aug18 Jul25 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 10.00    
3  SIMMERING (GB) Oct31 Sep22 Aug30 Aug11 Jun28 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  SMOOTH JUSTICE Oct31 Sep19 Aug15 Aug01 Jun25 (campbell joel)ROCCO S 120 6.00    
5  ROWDY DAISY Sep09 Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jun12 (canegata j)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  ONE TOUGH DAME Aug24 Jul20 May29 Mar23 Feb24 (arriagada jua)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 6.00    
7  TOP LOOK Oct31 Oct19 Sep08 Aug22 Jul25 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
8  FABULOUS CANDY Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 Aug01 Jul04 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 120 20.00    
9  MURUMBI Sep12 Aug07 Jul08 Jun26 Jun05 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50    
 
TAM-9   11/27/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COTTON Oct18 Oct03 Aug16 Jul25 Mar15 (wright michael )CENTENO E 122 2.00    
2  GO OTTO GO Sep26 Aug25 Aug03 Jul07 May19 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 15.00    
3  BAHAMIAN MOON Aug23 Jul14 Jun23 May23 May03 (ward dennis)HESS SARA 110 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  DIVEMASTER Jul21 Jun26       (lightner)GALLARDO A 120 12.00    
5  KOTYLOS Sep20 Sep04 Aug06 Jul10 Jul03 (stewart chad )SANTOS ADEMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROUKI Oct19 Sep21 Jul21 May26 Apr28 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
7  JETAROS Sep07 Aug23 Jul27 Jul27 Jun10 (pompay terri)CASTANON L 120 5.00    
8  DINOS DIXIE Oct10 Sep05 Aug18 Jul28 Dec03 (campbell joel)FERRER C 122 6.00    
9  LUCCI Sep20 Aug31 Aug12 Jul27 Jun30 (arriagada jua)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 8.00    
10  CAPTURE THE TIME Oct05 Sep07 May18 May01 Apr14 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  MOR SPRING SPIRIT Oct15 Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 Aug19 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 120 15.00    
12  GRIMES Nov10 Sep29 Sep08 Aug17 May25 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  FULANITO Oct20 Sep21 Aug11 Dec22 Sep16 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
SCR  A G DIAMOND Oct12 Sep13 Aug31 Aug22 Jul11 (ramir)DOMINGUEZ G 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.