Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - November 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (3/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/6/8)-(1/2/5/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (1/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/5/8)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/8)-(5/6/2)-(4/3/5/6/8) 60 $2.00 $120 
MNR-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(4/3/5/6/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-4   WIN (4/3/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/6/8)-(4/3/5/6/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/6/8)-(4/3/5/6/8)-(4/3/5/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (4/3/5/6/8)-(6/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MNR-5   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(1/2/9/7)-(3/1/6/5/7) 60 $2.00 $120 
MNR-7   WIN (1/2/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/7)-(1/2/8/9/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/7)-(1/2/8/9/7)-(1/2/8/9/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (1/2/9/7)-(3/1/6/5/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-8   WIN (3/1/6/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/5/7)-(3/1/6/5/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/5/7)-(3/1/6/5/7)-(3/1/6/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEST YOUR FAITH Nov10 Oct28 Oct21 Oct08 Sep30 (wade justi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 6.00    
COURT COSTS Nov12 Oct27 Oct05 Sep20 Sep06 (smith)MONSERRATE A 123 5.00    
CASSOULET Nov04 Oct13 Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00 51% 1.00    
DESERT JUSTICE Nov04 Feb22 Dec11     (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
SUNTIKA Sep28         (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 118 10.00    
KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN Nov04 Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 (jackson jeffr)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 6% 15.30    
WILD KATZLENE Nov04 Oct15 Sep30 Sep16   (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 1.80 20% 4.00    
HIGHWAY ROBBERY Oct27 Oct16 Oct06 Sep17 Aug20 (sipp k)LEON A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-2   11/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORBITING THE SKY Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 Sep17 Aug27 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
TALES OF MAKENNA Nov04 Oct09 Sep14 Sep05 Aug11 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  STYLE Oct24 Oct08 Sep29 Aug17 Aug01 (schlenk j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 4.00    
CROSSTOWN GIRL Nov04 Oct22 Oct01 Sep16 Aug26 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 120 6.00    
VINTAGE SPARKLE Nov04 Oct23 Oct09 Oct01 Sep15 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 13% 6.80    
MARKET OF STOCKS Nov06 Oct23 Oct13 Sep25 Sep04 (rodak geraldine)YARANGA Y 123 15.00    
YESTERDAYSPLAN Nov06 Oct13 Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 (inman rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
SEEMS TO WHISPER Nov10 Oct28 Jul17 Jun25 Jun09 (sanders melinda)LEON A 120 12.00 8% 12.20    
 
MNR-3   11/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFORMANCEANXIETY Nov03 Oct11 Aug24 Jul26 Jun29 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 6.00    
I MATTER Oct23 Oct13 Sep17 Sep04 Aug06 (howard willi)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
FINAL EPISODE Nov05 Oct15 Sep30 Nov01 Jul23 (montano wil)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 20.00    
BEE WINGS Oct23 Oct13 Sep17 Sep09 Aug25 (monta)MONSERRATE A 123 20.00    
ROSE E HOLIDAY Nov06 Oct12 Aug24 Aug04 Jul12 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 0.50 42% 1.40    
CARISMATICA Oct28 Aug27 Aug06 Oct30 Oct04 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 123 3.00 33% 2.10    
 
MNR-4   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M A TRAVELLER Oct07         (godsey marshal)AVILES YAN 118 10.00    
  (by MR. MONEY out of DIAMONDCOAT by GEMOLOGIST)
U BET JO'S PRAYING Nov05 Oct11 Sep08 Aug17 Jul06 (cordero-lopez ale)YARANGA Y 118 8.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of BET ON SOUP by ALPHABET SOUP)
RAVENSHIRE Apr25         (simmonds donal)GILBERT KYLE 118 3.00 10% 9.40    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of GROGGER by PURIM)
REVOCATA Nov05 Oct23 Oct13 Sep30 Sep16 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of UNCHECKED by UNBRIDLED)
MIMA PRINCESS Oct23 Oct13 Sep30 Aug25 Jun17 (bouali waj)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of IDERATHERBLUCKY by IDE)
STREET LASS Nov05 Oct23 Oct13 Sep30 Sep16 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FAIR POINT by SMART STRIKE)
MO BREEZY Nov05 Oct23 Sep24 Sep06 Aug14 (jackson jeffr)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of BREEZY GIRL by SCIPION)
MS ABIGAIL Oct23 Oct13 Sep30 Aug09 Jul14 (figueroa rol)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BOUJI IS A WORD Oct22 Oct11 Sep26     (schlenk j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 5.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of SILVER THREADS by UNION RAGS)
 
MNR-5   11/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACT OF VALOR Oct29 Oct16 Oct06 Sep23 Sep11 (murtough ste)BELISARIO JUAN 115 30.00    
BANKX TURBO Nov04 Oct21 Oct02 Sep18 Aug13 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 2.00 21% 3.70    
SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Jul30 Jun19 Jun04 May13 Apr30 (ewell sr)LEON A 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
LUCAGO Oct20 Sep06 Aug18 Jul01 Jun04 (gotera)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50    
SCR  ASTRAL WEEKS Aug21 Aug14 Jul21 Jul08 Jun03 (monta)MONSERRATE A 120 20.00    
MON CAMO Sep24 Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 Jun24 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 120 1.60 39% 1.50    
 
MNR-6   11/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY SAINT Oct23 Mar20 Sep07 Aug21 Aug03 (urieta johanna)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
SOUTHERN SENSE Nov12 Oct22 Oct13 Sep29 Aug26 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50    
JAMMING CAMERON Aug19 Jul21 Jun25 May26 May07 (treharne da)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 1.20 46% 1.20    
DRIVE BY LAYOVER Sep29 Sep04 Aug11 Jul21 Jun25 (poole c)PAUCAR E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
RESCUE FIVE Nov04 Oct21 Oct09 Sep24 Sep17 (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
SCR  SCRATCHOFF Oct23 Sep25 Sep15 Aug19 Jul30 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 12.00    
 
MNR-7   11/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN'S ROCK Oct28 Sep30 Aug24 Aug01 Jul11 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 0.80 61% 0.60    
COUTH Sep30 Sep01 Jul15 Jun24 May19 (stephen antho)CEDILLO MAURO 120 8.00 11% 8.30    
INDIAN EMPIRE Sep30 Sep04 Aug20 Aug04 Jul15 (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 120 15.00    
SPENCER'S BOY LUNA Oct20 Jul05 Apr12 Mar02 Jan18 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
O'CONNER SUNSET Oct17 Aug23 Aug01 Jul08 Jun22 (jones michae)LEWIS M 120 10.00    
YO VINNIE Sep30 Aug20 May17 May04 Mar21 (runco c)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
TATE Oct20 Oct08 Sep16 Sep01 Aug20 (sanders melinda)LEON A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
WICKED WARRIOR Oct28 Aug13 Jul15 Jun13 May15 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 6.00    
BAYTOWN BEAR Oct06 Sep07 Aug18 Aug04 Jul02 (mcentee pau)LEONARD KILLIAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-8   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAY OF APPEAL Oct08 Sep23 Aug21 Jul16 Jun23 (cady khalil)TAPARA LUIS 118 5.00 19% 4.20    
RAG TOWN Nov10 Oct23 Oct13 Aug25 Aug13 (brown t)GILBERT KYLE 123 30.00    
CORAZONA Oct27 Apr17 Jan18 Dec17 Nov24 (lawrence d)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 0.80 24% 3.20    
WOMP Oct28 Oct16 Sep30 Sep17 Aug25 (sipp burton )GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00    
SNOW GLO Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 (castro isidro)REYES FRANK 118 10.00 13% 6.40    
DANDY DAY Nov10 Oct23 Oct13 Sep30 Jul31 (montano wilfrid)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.50 17% 4.90    
KATNAPPING Nov03 Oct16 Sep12 Sep04 Aug17 (aguirre r)YARANGA Y 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUEENS RIOT Oct23 Oct13 Sep30 Sep17 Aug25 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 12.00    
MISS PLA Sep30 Sep17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun13 (fiesman robert )LEON A 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.