Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - November 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (6/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-3   Win (6/8/10/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-4   Win (5/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-5   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-6   Win (7/10/9/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-7   Win (8/5/2/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   11/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE A Oct24 Oct08 Aug21 Aug06 Jul31 (fields kevin)CORA D 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Sep27 Aug28 Jul12 Jun19 May30 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 121 12.00    
ARTISTIC REASON Sep28 Aug16 Aug01 Jun25 May27 (abrams ronald)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
MEMORY BOUQUET Oct24 Oct08 Aug23 Aug16 Jul31 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 125 4.50 27% 2.70    
HEY PORTER Oct16 Sep17 Sep02 Aug09 Jul22 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 121 3.50    
CLUBMAN Oct12 Sep02 Aug24 Aug08 Apr12 (shankle jo)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 2.50    
LOOKIN AT ROSES Oct19 Jun15 Jun01 May11 Apr24 (preciado guadalu)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00    
 
PEN-2   11/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORCH SWING Sep15 Sep02 Aug23 Aug16 Aug04 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
WE DONT NEED ROADS Oct24 Aug30 Aug18 Jul19 Jul03 (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.50    
ENTRUST Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 Jun23 May11 (gorham e)MENA E 121 3.00    
SUGAR'S LAST HOPE Oct23 Jul25 Jul12 Jun26 Jun11 (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 118 3.50 5% 18.60    
BOOK MARKER Oct10 Sep09 May23 May10 May01 (kravets bru)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00    
OVER AND THUNDER Oct23 Aug28 Aug01 Jul12 Jun20 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 121 4.00 44% 1.30    
MIGHTY MINION Aug23 Aug02 Jul03 Jun25 Jun06 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   11/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINJA KITTY Oct25 Aug01 Jul03     (stites w)CHIAPPE R 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
GRAYTE WHYTE Oct24 Oct10       (mckinley mary)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 30.00    
SYLVIA I AM Jul31 Jul03 Jun26 May22 May09 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 8.00    
SCR  EMMA AT THE GATE Oct30 Sep30 Sep10 Jul15 Jul01 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
MICHAELSHATRICK Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep10 Aug26 (boyer jr)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 8% 12.20    
MUSIC BOX DANCER Oct25 Aug26 Aug16 Sep15 Aug25 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
HOPPY TIME Oct30 Sep23 Aug16 Aug07 Jul03 (kravets bru)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
ROLLY Oct30 Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 Aug15 (kravets m)CEDENO CAROL 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  IT'S SAUL GOODMAN Aug29 Jul13 Jul03 Jun11 Jan27 (galligan ge)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
10  LORD ON HYGH Aug02 Jul18       (albright geor)CALDERON OLIVER 122 6.00 11% 8.10    
11  GRUIT Oct24 Oct10 Sep24 Sep03 Aug21 (mckinley r)FLORES E 125 30.00    
 
PEN-4   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROGANTE Oct13 Sep11 Aug22 Aug08 Jul03 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
CELTIC TIGER Apr22 Mar04 Feb12 Dec12 Jul11 (murillo ricar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 3.50    
GILDA'S GIRL Sep30 Feb16 Jan28 Jan07 Dec09 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00    
OLIVIA DEE Oct23 Aug22 Aug14 Jun26 May16 (martin charles )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
CLOUD IN THE WIND Oct17 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00 63% 0.60    
SONADORA GIRL Oct22 Aug03 Jun27 May26 Apr26 (barboza j)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 12% 7.30    
STYLE TO FOLLOW Oct31 Oct23 Oct11 Sep07 Aug02 (kravets bru)HERNANDEZ A 118 4.00    
 
PEN-5   11/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE ARMOR Oct29 Jul20 Jun26 May25 Apr20 (ness jamie)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
GREY STREAK Oct05 Sep15 Jun29 Jun07 May01 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50    
JUMP FOR THE WIN Nov01 Sep26 Aug16 Jun23 Nov30 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.50    
BROOKLYN STRONG Jul03 Jun10 Mar12 Jan24 Dec14 (velazquez dan)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00    
ALWAYS GAMBLING Oct26 Sep13 Jul28 Jul20 Jun09 (singh somr)RODRIGUEZ L 114 3.00 20% 4.10    
GOING AT IT Oct24 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 (wolfe jr)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME CATALAYA Oct23 Sep14 Aug30 Jul17 Jun19 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 4.50 11% 7.70    
KELLY'S PARTY GIRL Oct23 Sep27 Sep13 Aug10 Jul20 (demario charles )HIRALDO JOHN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
COLLIN'S GREY LADY Oct31 Oct09 Sep10 Aug11 Jul26 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 125 6.00    
EARLY FROST Oct23 Sep29 Aug28 Mar14 Feb29 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 50.00    
AWESOME PAL Oct15 Sep25 Sep18 Aug28 Jul09 (rodriguez irv)WILLIAMS AJHARI 125 6.00    
LISA'S PALACE Jul26 Jun22 Jun08 May26 May04 (salvaggio v)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
I'M HEADING EAST Oct17 Sep26 Sep03 Aug13 Jul24 (rojas l)TORRES JOMAR 125 5.00 33% 2.00    
AMIRATI Oct17 Sep14 Aug17 Jul13 Jun30 (kravets m)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
R AVERIE LYNN Oct17 Sep27 Sep14 Aug14 Jul27 (gorham e)MENA E 125 3.50 12% 7.40    
10  RAISE YOUR GAME Oct07 Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 Jul18 (kravets bru)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 17% 4.70    
 
PEN-7   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BLUE EYES Oct18 Sep26 May10 Apr20 Mar07 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 125 8.00    
ANNAMATED MOON May29 Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 Sep20 (smith thomas )CALDERON OLIVER 125 12.00 6% 15.80    
MAHOMES MONEY Oct24 Oct11 Sep18 Aug30 Jul21 (captan bassam)CORA D 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  A T M AWESOME Oct30 Aug23 Aug02 Jul26 Jul18 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 125 20.00    
CHAIN REACTION Oct24 Sep30 Sep11 Aug23 Jul19 (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.00 9% 9.80    
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Oct24 Aug23 Jul19 Jun20 May08 (kravets bruce )VILLEGAS JERRY 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
MR PHIL Oct24 Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 Jul04 (moreno-barban)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 6.00    
LAFITTE'S FLEET Oct24 Sep21 Jul19 Apr13 Mar10 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50 58% 0.70    
JIMMY THE KID Oct18 Sep21 Aug15 Jul06 Jun26 (martin r)MENA E 125 6.00    
10  CRITICAL THINKING Jul03 Jun19 May31 May04 Mar01 (shea lydee)CHIAPPE R 125 8.00    
11  MODERN MIDAS Oct21 Sep11 Aug03 Jul23 Jul09 (perez a)AGUILAR JEAN 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.