Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/2)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(1/5/6)-(6/1/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(6/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(6/1/3/5)-(7/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/5)-(7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/5)-(7/1/3)-(7/3/5/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(7/3/5/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-6   WIN (7/3/5/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/2/6)-(7/3/5/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/2/6)-(7/3/5/2/6)-(7/3/5/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/5/2/6)-(4/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-7   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(4/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(4/1/7/3)-(6/3/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-8   WIN (4/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/3)-(6/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-9   WIN (6/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/10)-(6/3/8/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/10)-(6/3/8/10)-(6/3/8/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEE BO Oct07 Jun18 May28 May13 Apr30 (davis edmund )NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00    
2  SNEADS Oct16 Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 Jul29 (murphy p)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIGALERT Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Aug07 Apr04 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  NOTTOWAY Aug29 Aug11 Jun11 May27 May14 (reed lis)DAVIS A 124 2.00 25% 3.10    
5  KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 (dixon lin)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BOTTOMLESS REFILL Oct14 Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Aug22 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00    
7  STONE GUITAR Oct08 Sep24 Sep04 Aug06 Jun26 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
 
FL-2   10/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN A MINUTE Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 4.00    
2  PAPI ON ICE Sep30 Sep17 Sep04 Jul25 Jun22 (henry or)DAVIS A 124 2.00    
3  EIGHT WEEKS LONG Oct21 Oct01 Sep18 Aug05 Jul09 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 122 6.00 7% 13.50    
4  TAKE THE EDGE Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
5  UNCLE VIC Oct14 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 122 6.00    
6  OVER THE CAP Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 Jun25 Nov15 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50 36% 1.70    
 
FL-3   10/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST DRINK Oct15 Sep18 Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 (shaffer rich)HARKIE K 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
2  FREE FOLK Oct15 Sep16 Aug06 Jul09 Jun10 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.80    
3  WITT DASHING SPEED Oct16 Oct01 Sep23 Sep04 Aug19 (progno m)DAVIS A 120 10.00    
4  MAKAR Oct15 Sep02 Aug20 Oct21 Sep17 (gutterson katlynn)PEREZ E 124 5.00    
5  CONNECT THE BROCKS Oct15 Sep30 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
6  HAIR ON FIRE Sep16 Aug06 Jun24 May20 Mar16 (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-4   10/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD TO POWER Oct16 Sep18 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 2.50    
1A  PLAYIN IT BIG Oct16 Sep03 Aug20 Jul24   (ferraro michae)COA J 121 2.50 20% 4.00    
2  SUPPORT THE CAT Oct16 Oct02 Sep04 Aug26 Aug05 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 124 3.50    
3  STORE FRONT Oct16 Jul27       (garza he)DAVIS A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WATERMELON CRUSH Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug29 (wadams de)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 6.00    
5  ONE WITHEVERYTHING Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Aug26 Aug13 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  JERSEY GREGG Oct02 Aug26 Jul31 Jul22 Jun22 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
7  PASTA N POLPETTE Oct16 Oct02 Aug26     (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 121 20.00    
8  VISIONS TO REALITY Oct01 Aug26 Jul26     (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00    
 
FL-5   10/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDINI Oct14 Sep29 Sep14 Aug21 Jul31 (dixon li)DAVIS A 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  BUCK WILD Oct14 Sep30 Sep10 Jul04 Jun12 (wadams dewight )ROHENA JR 124 8.00    
3  JITTER JUICE Oct14 Sep24 Sep10 Aug21 Aug05 (lop)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
4  BARFLY Oct09 Sep03 Aug06 Jul10 Jun12 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 124 5.00    
5  RAW COURAGE Oct14 Sep30 Sep18 Sep03 Aug13 (khan s)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
SCR  BIG GEORGES KINGDM Sep18 Aug20 Jul23 Jul01 Aug28 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 4.00    
7  POT OF GOLD Oct21 Oct02 Sep02 Aug21 Aug07 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
FL-6   10/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT WILING Sep30         (meadow)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of DEVILISH SPIRIT by ROARING FEVER)
2  SHE'S WICKED Sep30 Oct21       (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of WICKED CHARM by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  BIG ADVANTAGE Oct15         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of A B ADVANTAGE by POSSE)
4  CHUKATUCK         (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 121 10.00    
  (by DESTIN out of CINCO by PANCHO VILLA)
5  DHARMA Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 Jul15 Jul09 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 5.00 9% 10.70    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of COMFORT LEVEL by MIZZEN MAST)
6  E PLURIBUS UNUM         (breed ronald)HARKIE K 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of QUEEN IN WAITING by SEA SALUTE)
7  HYPNOTIC FLAIR Oct15         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLA'S FLAIR by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  MY KINDA MISCHIEF Aug19 Aug05 Jul09 Jun20 May19 (breed ro)DAVIS A 121 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of OFF THE BOURBON by CURLIN)
9  DREAMING OF CARLI Oct20 Sep26 Aug11 Jul11 Jun27 (barker edward )COA J 124 12.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of UNCLE SOUTHERN by UNCLE CAMIE)
10  VISION OF ANNA Sep17         (goodwin g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of IMAGE OF ANNA by READY'S IMAGE)
11  WORLD BANK Oct15 Jul23 Jul04 Jun11 May20 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DONYA by ANABAA)
 
FL-7   10/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACH DU LIEBER Sep30 Aug05 Jul04 Jun19 May27 (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 3.00    
2  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Oct09 Sep18 Aug29 Jul31 Jul19 (dixon linda )HARKIE K 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  OLIVER WITHA TWIST Sep30 Sep18 Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 (clarke matthew)BAEZ JOSE 124 15.00    
4  MATTY'S EXPRESS Oct16 Oct02 Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  RINGGOOD Oct22 Sep30 Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 (bond brent)ROHENA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RILEY BEE Oct14 Sep30 Sep18 Sep10 Aug21 (lopez arcad)CAMILO D 124 15.00    
7  GINNSU WARRIOR Oct14 Sep24 Sep10 Sep03 Jul04 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00    
 
FL-8   10/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH MRS. MAISEL Oct09 Aug26 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  RED BUTTERFLY Oct09 Sep16 Dec08 Oct06 Aug16 (ferraro michae)COA J 122 3.00    
2  COZEE MAGIC Oct09 Aug27 Jul29 Jul15 Jun19 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50    
3  CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE Oct15 Oct02 Sep10 Aug26 Jul27 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIKA ROLLING STONE Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul01 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  KRYSTALHEIR Oct10 Sep13 Aug14 Jun20 May24 (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00    
6  TOMAKI Oct09 Sep10 Aug27 Jul29 Jan19 (areche thalia)CRUZ JOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  INTENTIOUS Oct09 Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 Jun25 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 5.00 8% 11.30    
 
FL-9   10/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOAH'S DESTINY Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 Jul17 Jun25 (clarke matthew)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00    
2  PERNO Sep30 Sep04 Jul05 May17 Apr26 (giddings melanie)BAEZ JOSE 121 6.00    
3  PENTANGELI Oct02 Sep18 Jul29 Jul15 Jun17 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00 32% 2.20    
4  SHARPOON Oct16 Oct02 Sep04 Aug20 Jul31 (henry ortis )HARKIE K 124 10.00    
SCR  PEACEFULPERSUASION Sep03 Aug12 Jul31 Jul23 Jun11 (lord tammi )CAMILO D 121 20.00    
6  VAUNTED Sep16 Aug13 Jul10 Jun24 May20 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
7  WITH KNOW NAME Sep30 Sep11 Sep03 Aug06 Jul24 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 5.00    
8  YOU BEAUT Oct15 Oct01 Aug26 Jul24 Jun27 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 6.00 ★    
9  SPOOFY Oct15 Oct02 Sep04 Aug12 Jul31 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 6.00    
10  TIZ BIG MONEY Oct14 Sep26 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 (grabowsk)DAVIS A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  B C GLORY DAYS Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.