Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/4)-(5/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/4)-(5/1/3)-(1/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(1/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(1/6/7)-(2/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(2/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(2/4/3)-(2/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(2/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(2/5/3)-(7/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(7/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(7/5/6)-(4/1/11/3/12) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(4/1/11/3/12) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(4/1/11/3/12)-(2/3/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/1/11/3/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/11/3/12)-(4/1/11/3/12) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (4/1/11/3/12)-(4/1/11/3/12)-(4/1/11/3/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/11/3/12)-(2/3/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALIANT VICTORIA Sep26 Sep10 Aug27 Jul31 Jun19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 4.00    
2  POQUITO ROSE Sep23 Aug26 Aug05 Jul17 Jul03 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 122 12.00    
3  MARZ EXPRESS Aug28 Jun19 Mar22 Aug25 Oct29 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00 7% 13.90    
4  DOWN TO EARTH Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAGIC LIFE Sep26 Sep04 Aug18 Jul24 Jun26 (ruberto )MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  RAISE YOUR GAME Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 Jul18 Jun13 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 1.80    
7  NEW WAYS TO DREAM Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Jul22 Jul10 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 15% 5.60    
 
PID-2   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESIST THE DEVIL Sep18 Sep02 Aug19 Jul24 Jul03 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
2  SPAN OF CONTROL Sep18 Sep03 Jul30 Jul01 Jun19 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50    
3  HE'S ON THE FLY Sep11 Aug05 Jul24 May20 Oct03 (kleine bernard )BAYS BROOKE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TAPSOLUTION Sep20 Sep04 Aug20 Jul24 Jul10 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00    
5  RICHIESINTHEHOUSE Sep23 Sep03 Aug19 Jul02 Jun12 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
6  HOUSEBUILDER Sep26 Aug25 Aug12 Jul30 Jun24 (bernardi)GALLARDO A 124 4.00    
 
PID-3   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACE REVOLT Sep10         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 41% 1.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SETUBAL by THE FACTOR)
2  WILLA'S BUGAROO Sep10         (herrington call)BAYS BROOKE 113 15.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of WILLA WANDO by WANDO)
3  BOUJIE BETZ Sep10 Aug26 Jul09     (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 117 8.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SEVEN TWO OFFSUIT by ROBYN DANCER)
4  WARRIOR'S HUMOR         (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 120 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of BLUSHING HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  DANCING ON AIR Jul09 Jun19 Jun05     (uhacz we)GALLARDO A 120 2.50    
  (by AIROFORCE out of BOTTLE DANCE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
6  DRUNKLE Sep20 Aug28 Aug12 Jul09   (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 120 1.80 34% 2.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ROCK SAPPHIRE by ROCK HARD TEN)
7  J ROLL Sep10         (brion keri)SPIETH S 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of CHUB N IKKI by HEY CHUB)
 
PID-4   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GIGIL Aug26         (kleine l)FOX CHRIS 120 12.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of AOIFE by MASTERCRAFTSMAN (IRE))
2  JOYS OF SUMMER Sep17 Aug27       (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 120 1.60 62% 0.60    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CLEAR POND by DYNAFORMER)
3  HIDDEN QUARRY         (west w)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of PROUD PEARL by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  COURAGEOUS ARI Aug27 Aug07 Jul22 Jul03 Jun17 (skawinski caro)ALLEN D 120 2.50 9% 9.80    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of THATZA WRAP by HARD SPUN)
5  JASMINES WORLD Sep17 Aug27       (kleine bernard)LOPEZ DERECK 113 6.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of PRINCESS JASMINE by ARTAX)
6  STREET WISH         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
  (by MSHAWISH out of ASTARIA STREET by STREET SENSE)
7  MRS. MANICOTTI Sep24         (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of UNIQUELY MINE by MINESHAFT)
 
PID-5   10/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK DAHLIA Sep09 Aug24 Jun28 Jun19 Jun03 (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
2  RUSTY MY BROTHER Sep17 Aug30 Aug20 Jul30 Jul04 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 124 1.40 47% 1.10    
3  RIGHT NOW Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 10% 9.50    
4  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Sep09 Aug20 Jul16 Jun25 Mar17 (hoffman mar)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 10.00    
5  CALVARY KAT Sep09 Aug20 Oct24 Sep18 Aug30 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  SINGLE LADY Jul19 Jul08 Apr24 Apr03 Mar11 (vitali marcu)AYALA J 122 2.50    
 
PID-6   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANHINGA Sep20 Jul03 Jun17 Jun05   (kleine l)MARTINEZ W 117 8.00    
2  RIDGE WARRIOR Sep10         (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
3  STREETS OF WAR Sep20 Aug15 Jul23 Jun26   (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 120 5.00    
4  BALLAD OF WARRIOR Sep20 Jul24       (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00    
5  SPEIGHT THE SNOW Sep20 Aug12 Jul24     (potts g)WALKER M 120 3.50 32% 2.20    
6  RANSOM MONEY Sep20 Aug28 Aug12 Jul24   (connelly tere)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS Sep20 Aug11 Jul13 Jun19   (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
PID-7   10/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLIE'S GRIT Aug26 Jul28 Jun20 Dec30 Nov24 (sharp jo)MARTINEZ A 120 3.50 6% 17.10    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of NEITH by DYNAFORMER)
2  IMPLOSION Sep14 Aug19 Jul13 Jun03 Apr14 (giddings melanie)MARTINEZ W 118 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of QUITE EXPLOSIVE by EL CORREDOR)
3  CANDY REWARD Sep16 Aug26 Aug14 Feb21 Oct25 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNIMAGINEABLE by TWIRLING CANDY)
4  SAND AND SEA Sep14 Aug21 Jul22 May25 May06 (mott ril)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 62% 0.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HARD MYSTERY by HARD SPUN)
SCR  KARMA GHIA Aug14 Jul12 Jun22 Jun08 May18 (lucas wayne)NO RIDER 118 30.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of KARMA POLICE by CONSOLIDATOR)
6  STRIKINGLY SPUN Sep11 Aug14 Jul06 Jun02 Apr11 (sharp joe)AYALA J 122 5.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SMART ASHLEY by SMART STRIKE)
7  SWEET ALYSSA Aug29 Jul28 Jul06 Jun07 May17 (husak j)STOKES J 120 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCATTER GUN by SCAT DADDY)
8  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Sep26 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 118 15.00    
  (by ALPHA out of LADY CARSON M D by LORD CARSON)
9  SIGN OF PEACE Sep02 Jul25 Jun20 May06 Feb29 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of AVARICITY by CARSON CITY)
10  TAKE A STAND Aug26 Jul06 Jun01 Mar08 Jan18 (oliver victoria)NO RIDER 120 5.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of CANDY CRUSH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
11  REGAL REALM Aug31 Aug04 Jul06 Nov19 Sep09 (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of SKY WILLOW by EMPIRE MAKER)
12  SPARTAN QUEEN Sep07 Jun13 Mar21 Feb15 Jan25 (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TULSA QUEEN by CACTUS RIDGE)
 
PID-8   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEYSTONE HANK Sep24 Sep04 Jul30 Jul09 Jul02 (morrell )RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00    
2  BEAR CREEK Sep20 Aug19 Jul22 Jul15 Jun24 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
3  COMMODORE BARRY Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Oct25 (cooper thomas)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  LITTLE BIG Sep24 Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00    
5  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE Sep24 Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Dec23 (markgraf david)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
6  GAGE HAS A GRAY Sep24 Nov13 Oct09 Sep26 Sep04 (ruberto louis )ALLEN D 122 8.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  CHARLIE CHARLIE Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 Jul03 (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
8  DUDLEY Sep17 Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 Jun25 (schaber debbi)DELGADO DAVID 122 30.00    
SCR  UNSOCIABLE Apr25 Mar22 Feb23 Feb04 Dec16 (kelly blake)AYALA J 122 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.