Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - September 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/2)-(6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/5)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(3/9/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (3/9/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/10/6)-(3/9/7/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/10/6)-(3/9/7/10/6)-(3/9/7/10/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/10/6)-(1/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/5)-(2/3/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/8)-(9/8/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-9   WIN (9/8/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/10)-(9/8/6/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/10)-(9/8/6/4/10)-(9/8/6/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SHALLOTS Sep10 Aug07 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
1A  HOLIDAY JAZZ Sep09 Aug14 Jun17 Jun05 May27 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  INOUAINTALKINTOME Sep09 Aug14 Jul02 Jun03 May07 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
3  LINDSEY (GB) Sep02 Aug05 Jul22 Jul04 Jun18 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 121 10.00    
4  DETERMINED LOVE Aug14 Aug05 Jul10 Jul02 May20 (johnston rob)COA J 126 3.50    
5  BAYOU MELODY Aug28 Aug07 Jun10 Nov20 Nov07 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  SALOON GIRL Sep09 Aug07 Jul22 Jul02 Jun19 (huertas nirka)PEREZ E 124 4.00    
 
FL-2   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHERUNI         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 8.00 7% 13.50    
2  BROOKLYN ROSIE Feb19 Jan18       (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LADY ELOISE Sep09 Aug05 Jul04     (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.00    
4  BANKERS ROSE GOLD Sep10 May23 Apr29 Mar29 Mar06 (lucas bo)DAVIS A 121 5.00    
5  NURSE BUNNY Sep10 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  BELLA BANKER Sep10         (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 121 6.00    
7  IMALOTTALADY Sep10 Jul30 Jul10 Jun05 May20 (sells rache)CAMILO D 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
FL-3   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TASTY WAVE Sep02 Aug12 Jul30 Jul04 Jun04 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 122 6.00    
2  REMOANE Sep02 Aug21 Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
3  LET'S MAGA Sep09 Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul02 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.00    
4  TRIVIA Sep09 Jul02 Jun04 Apr29 Nov22 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00    
5  BAD CONNECTION Aug05 Jul09 Jun26 Jun04 May21 (gutierrez luis)BROWN DALTON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  REITERATE Sep09 Aug07 Jun04 May21 Apr24 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
FL-4   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUARTNECT         (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 5.00    
  (by CONNECT out of TWO QUARTERS by MR. JOHN)
1A  CHICAZTECA Aug30 Jul30       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of TREVI CHIC by ROMAN RULER)
2  LIPAN LAW Sep09         (ferraro anth)COA J 121 1.80 70% 0.40    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of HELOTES by PAYNTER)
3  BANKER MURRAY Sep14 Jul30 Jul21     (davis )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.00 ★    
  (by SNOW TROUBLE out of IRISH BANKER by CENTRAL BANKER)
4  PRINCESS FIONA Aug14         (weaver george)PEREZ E 121 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of I STILL MISS YOU by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
5  MRS. MANICOTTI         (rojas e)CRUZ JOEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of UNIQUELY MINE by MINESHAFT)
6  HONORABLE BECKY         (bartlett)DAVIS A 121 6.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of HAUGHTY GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
7  COUNTRY MANOR Sep09         (lecesse mi)DE EMANUEL 121 3.50 ★    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of OUTTACYPRESSHILLS by BIG BROWN)
8  HARD TO LOVE Sep09 Aug26 Jul30     (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 121 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOVELY ISLE by DOUBLE HONOR)
 
FL-5   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAST COAST GIRL Aug19 Jul22 Jun26 May14 Aug20 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.00    
2  BOURBON'S HOPE Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 Jul28 Jul14 (jones eduardo )ALVARADO R 122 10.00    
3  MUGSY MALONE Aug27 Jul29 Jul02 May20 Jan10 (meyers shane)PEREZ E 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HASHTAG WINNING Aug23 Jul26 Jun13 May24 Mar21 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 12.00    
5  SHARPAZ Sep03 Aug07 Jul22 May29 May20 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00    
6  GRAYWING Aug21 May20 Apr29 Apr06 Mar22 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 20% 3.90    
7  UNCLE GEORGE Aug28 Jun10 May28 May06 Mar21 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
FL-6   09/24/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCHIVIST Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 Jul15 Jun05 (dixon lin)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 8.00    
2  SPEEDY Z Sep09 Aug28 Aug20     (breed debra )HARKIE K 124 20.00    
3  JAYCE AND LIAM Sep09 Jul09 Jun17 May29 May22 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
4  TOAST TO SUCCESS Sep09 Aug14 Jul15 Jun25 Jun05 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 120 3.50    
5  IDA DE NILE Sep11 Aug14 Aug06 Jul01 Jun17 (falk jacquel)BERRIOS C 120 12.00    
6  NORTHUMBERLAND Aug20 May29 Oct24 Sep27   (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  HAPPY TIME Sep06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 May20 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 5.00 ★    
8  MY LITTLE ONE Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jul01 (babcock ed)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00    
9  STONEY LONESOME Sep09 Aug28 Aug20 May07 Apr29 (sells rache)CAMILO D 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
10  APRIL FIRST Jul31 Jul09 Jun05 Nov22 Aug17 (mastin k)DAVIS A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-7   09/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Sep17 Aug21 Aug13 Jul31 Jul17 (loaiza ilmar)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50 ★    
1A  DON'T POKE THE CAT Sep17 Sep10 Jul15 Jul08 Jun26 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
2  DATESFREEDOM Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 Jun26 Jun11 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50    
2B  OUR MAN MIKE Sep10 Jul23 Jun26 Nov20 Oct23 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 126 2.50 19% 4.30    
3  COACH BAHE Sep02 Jul23 Jun26 Jun11 May27 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00    
4  DEVIL OR ANGEL Sep10 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 May20 (lecesse michae)COA J 126 3.00 8% 11.90    
5  JITTER JUICE Sep10 Aug21 Aug05 Jun19 Oct11 (fun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MR. EINSTEIN Sep10 Jun19 Jun08 May28 Apr15 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 8.00    
7  GINNSU WARRIOR Sep10 Sep03 Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
 
FL-8   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLCE VELOCE Sep02 Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 May20 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00    
2  CITY BLOCKS Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jul13 Jun15 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  SHE'S A FREUD Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jun25   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
4  LADY ARWEN Aug12 Jul15 Aug24 Jul27   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 11% 8.30    
5  JAY'S LOVE Sep13 Aug10 May24 May03 Apr14 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 121 4.00    
6  SWEET MAEVE Oct28 Sep26 Aug29 Aug13 Jul25 (o'callahan car)COA J 124 15.00    
7  PRACTICAL RACHEL Aug13 Jul24 Jun06 May16 Apr09 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 10.00    
8  TIL THERE WAS YOU Aug10 Jul04 May16     (breed ro)DAVIS A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-9   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE GUITAR Sep04 Aug06 Jun26 Jun11 May29 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00    
SCR  TRAPPE THE DREAM Sep11 Aug28 Aug20 Jul16 Jun04 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00    
3  HOLY COWBOY Sep16 Aug27 Jul23 Jul08 Jun12 (breed debra )HARKIE K 122 20.00    
4  INVALUABLE WILL Sep16 Sep04 Aug27 Aug07 Jul17 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  HONOR AMONG MEN Sep04 Aug27 Aug05 Jul08 Jun05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50    
6  MACHO MIAH Aug20 Aug12 Nov21 Oct17 Jul18 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOLEY MATRIMONY Sep10 Aug14 Jul31 Jun11 May28 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 10.00    
8  DEVIOUS MO Aug21 Aug07 Jun18 May27 Nov21 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 8% 11.40    
9  WAHEEL Sep16 Aug26 Jul31 Jun26 Oct09 (o'callahan car)COA J 124 3.00 64% 0.60    
10  SMOKIN' ALONE Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 Jul08 Jun12 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Sep11 Aug06 Jul17 Jun24 May29 (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.