Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - September 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/5)-(1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/5)-(1/3/6)-(3/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(3/4/1)-(5/6/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(5/6/7/4)-(12/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/4)-(12/5/3)-(3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-5   WIN (12/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/5/3)-(12/5/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/5/3)-(12/5/2/8/3)-(12/5/2/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (12/5/3)-(3/5)-(6/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(6/2/5)-(1/12/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(1/12/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/12/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/12/2/8)-(1/12/2/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/12/2/8)-(1/12/2/8/7)-(1/12/2/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELANEY'S GRACE Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jul04 Jun14 (quezada i)CORREA L 122 4.50 10% 8.70    
2  WICKED HEART Aug09 Jul26 Jun14 May03   (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 119 12.00    
3  LITURGIA Aug14 Jul13 Jun27 May29 May09 (alessi james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00    
4  SANDRINHA LOVE Aug29 Aug14 Jul27 Jul17 Jun20 (decker anna)SERPA ANGEL 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  ZERO CLICK Jul27 Jul14 Jun14 Apr30 Mar29 (norris mike)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HULAH JAY Aug15 Jul26 Jul05 Jun12   (clark rober)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50    
7  CHOCTAW BLESSINGS Aug12 Jul31 Jul04 Jun08 Apr28 (williams ke)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 5.00 14% 5.90    
 
BTP-2   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K W CAPTAIN HOOK Aug10 Jul24 Jun15 May23 Dec02 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 2.00 51% 0.90    
2  FLAGS UP Aug28 Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 May25 (figueroa cesar )SERPA ANGEL 125 3.00    
3  SARGEANT BARGER Aug16 Jul26 May29 May16 Apr26 (alessi james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.50 16% 5.30    
4  LOCK ON Aug09 Jul19 Jul12 Jun26 May23 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00    
5  PRINCE OF ROSES Aug28 Aug10 Jul10 Jun20 Oct06 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 5.00    
6  GORMLEYS GOT GAME Aug20 Aug01 Jul15 Jul03 Oct23 (swingley duwayne)MCKEE J 125 6.00 8% 11.10    
 
BTP-3   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNING MELODY Aug02 Jun30 Jun09 May26 Feb16 (quezada ino)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 10% 9.20    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MUSIC THUNDER by CISCO ROAD)
2  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Aug28 Jun18 May29 May03 Apr01 (overholt paul)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
3  IAMGOINGTOMAKEIT Aug21 Aug02       (cline c)HERMAN NOEL 116 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by KLIMT out of BELLE DU SUD by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
4  SUPER SCAMP Aug21 Jul03 Jun05 Apr01 Mar14 (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of LIEGE by THEATRICAL (IRE))
5  SHAMANS IMAGE Aug21 Aug02 Jul20 Jul03 Jun05 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 121 3.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LADY MONAVI by MONDAVI)
 
BTP-4   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIGHT JOKER Aug21 Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun01 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 10.00    
2  GREENSFELDER Aug21 Aug09 Jul03 Jun21 May24 (manning john )SOSA LAUREANO 123 15.00    
3  FRISCO LINE Aug28 Aug09 Jul19 Jun26 Jun15 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 5.00    
4  TOPPING Jul31 Jul12 Jun24 May10 Mar27 (lauer michael)SERPA ANGEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  D'MONEY HONEY Aug28 Aug01 Jul12 Jun21 May23 (cahill f)BUSH V 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  BEACH FRONT Aug21 Aug03 Jul19 Jun21 May23 (haehn r)OUZTS W 125 3.50 16% 5.40    
7  J W RUCKUS Aug29 Jul31 Jul15 Jul03 Jun05 (livers cha)ANDERSON MCKENNA 123 4.00 11% 8.50    
8  JAHEZ Aug28 Aug17 Aug08 Jun22 May23 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.50    
 
BTP-5   09/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTIVE STAR Jun13 May16 Mar06 Feb02 Jan17 (cline c)BUSH V 124 12.00    
2  STAKEMAKER Aug30 Jul11 Jun19 Jun04 May01 (douaihy mic)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 ★    
3  NEUTRAL CAUSE Aug23 Aug01 Feb23     (axmaker cody )CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  COURT STAR Aug24 Feb17 Jan20     (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 120 10.00    
5  SEDATELY Jun21 Jan10 Oct27     (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  GAMBI Aug24 Jul24 Jun22 Jul29 Jul14 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 8.00    
SCR  TEMPLE CITY MAGIC Jun19 May31       (anderson l)NAVAS YOEL 120 6.00    
8  SECORD Aug17 Jul27 Jun20 May29 Apr26 (esquivel j)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 4.50 ★    
SCR  END STATE         (sancal murat)MOJICA JR 120 12.00    
10  KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul15 Jun19 (jackson d)MURGIA A 120 12.00    
11  MABEE WICKEDNWILD Aug17 Jul06 Dec20     (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 8.00    
12  LEFTOVER SUSHI Sep03 Aug17       (navarrete ann)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  MORE SPIRITS PLEEZ Aug19 Jul28       (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 20.00    
SCR  BLUEGRASS GODDESS Jul27         (kelley a)MURGIA A 120 20.00    
 
BTP-6   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONSTITUTION COAL Aug16 Aug01 Jul20 Jul05 Jun19 (chain pearl)LEZCANO ABEL 123 4.50    
2  PRAYED TODAY Jul31 Sep13 Aug26 Jun05   (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.00 ★    
3  I'M HIM Aug15 Jul31 Jun27 Jun07 May16 (engler jeff)MCKEE J 125 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  PALACE TEMPTATION Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 Feb28 Feb14 (chain pearl)SOSA LAUREANO 123 4.00    
5  CANNON MAN Aug31 Aug08 Jul15 Jun27 May31 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
 
BTP-7   09/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED ECSTASY Aug30 Aug07 Jul13 Jun27 Jun10 (medina to)CORREA L 122 4.00    
2  SACRED CONNECTION Aug07 Jul18 Jun29 Jun15 May18 (smith larry)SOSA LAUREANO 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  QUEEN LEXI Sep04 Jul27 Jul13 Jun19 Jun01 (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 118 4.50    
4  TOURIST LIKE ME Aug30 Jul06 Jun21 May25 Mar29 (schuette sheryl)MURGIA A 122 8.00    
5  YEHAWMEMAW Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 Jun15 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 6.00 5% 18.90    
6  PARTAKE Aug07 Jul20 Jun28 May29 Mar29 (waltermire br)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
BTP-8   09/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR AMERICAN GIRL Aug30 Aug02       (peach a)OUZTS W 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SILVER LANTANA by BADGE OF SILVER)
2  WHY WASTE WORDS Aug18 Jul14 Jun26 Jun04 Apr21 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 3.50 10% 8.60    
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE ROAD NOT TAKEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  FUN LOVING Aug19 Jul15 May25 Apr18 Nov25 (oliver victor)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
4  OGEMA BAY Aug13 Jul20 Dec30 Nov08 Sep02 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 124 6.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MADAME DU LAC by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  RAISON D'AMOUR Sep04 Aug09       (conto kevin)BUSH V 120 15.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of NADESHIKO by HONOUR AND GLORY)
6  MO HAPPY Aug30 Aug05 Jun08 May22 May05 (thompson boyd)MURGIA A 124 10.00    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of GENUINE HAPPINESS by UNCLE MO)
7  MO SASHAY Aug26 Jul27 Jun25 Jun08   (cross r)MCKEE J 120 8.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RED SASHAY by BIG BROWN)
8  ORDERLY TRANSITION (GB) Aug24 Jul11 Jun08 May04 Apr13 (campos pa)BEALMEAR C 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  JAMMERSNEXTATTACK Jul31         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SWIRLS by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
10  ARGENTINIDAD Aug07 Jun17 May25 Apr13 Mar06 (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 120 8.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of BELLE DE NUIT by GALILEO)
11  MY SPRING SUNSHINE Aug23         (pinzon maria)SERPA ANGEL 120 20.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FIRST EMBRACE by FIRST DEFENCE)
12  TAAMUQ Aug17 Jul20 Nov07 Oct10 Sep06 (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 32% 2.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAKREES by DAAHER)
13  MY KATIE Aug31 Aug21 Aug07 Jul26   (pinzon maria)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 20.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of OUT OF PRADO by MR. LIVINGSTON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.