Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - September 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(6/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (6/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/1)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/1)-(4/1/3)-(1/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(1/6/5)-(5/3/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/8)-(1/6/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(5/3/6/2)-(1/3/4/8/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/2)-(1/3/4/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/3/4/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/8/9)-(1/3/4/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/8/9)-(1/3/4/8/9)-(1/3/4/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/4/8/9)-(1/2/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/8)-(3/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/8)-(3/2/5/1)-(8/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-8   WIN (3/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/5/1)-(8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-9   WIN (8/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/1)-(8/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/1)-(8/4/1)-(8/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLORA ROSE Aug20 Aug05       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00    
2  STONEY LONESOME Aug28 Aug20 May07 Apr29 Mar17 (sells rache)CAMILO D 121 3.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  JOYFUL DEPARTURE Aug19 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50    
SCR  BABI DREAMS Aug20 Aug07 Jul24 Jun05 May26 (reed a)COA J 124 6.00    
5  HIDDEN WAR DANCE Jun28 May13 Apr13 Apr04   (henry n)BROWN DALTON 124 12.00 8% 11.20    
6  TOAST TO SUCCESS Aug14 Jul15 Jun25 Jun05 May22 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00    
7  SHEZENTICING Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul04 Oct18 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 2.50 58% 0.70    
8  SPEEDY Z Aug28 Aug20       (breed deb)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 20.00    
 
FL-2   09/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARY UNION AVE Aug01 Jun16 May11 Apr06 Mar02 (mastin k)DAVIS A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of AVE RAVINA by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
2  LADY ELOISE Aug05 Jul04       (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00 13% 6.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of DO THE DANSE by KAFWAIN)
3  SHINE MY TIARA Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 May20 Jul29 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 11% 7.90    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STORM THE TOWER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  JAYCE AND LIAM Jul09 Jun17 May29 May22 Nov06 (englehart ch)HARKIE K 121 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of NICKEL by NICHOLAS)
5  UNBRIDLED SISTER Aug20 Jul23 May28 Nov20 Nov06 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 121 20.00    
  (by STEPHANOATSEE out of BEAUTIFUL HELEN by PRIME TIMBER)
6  GOING HOME NOW Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Aug07 Jul17 (turetsky e)ROHENA JR 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
  (by TEXAS RED out of MISS DRAGON LADY by VICTORY GALLOP)
7  CYNTHIA JUNE Jul26 Jun28 Jun05     (ferraro anth)COA J 124 5.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MOONLIGHT LADY by MALIBU MOON)
8  COQUITO Aug11 Jul17 May04 Apr06 Dec27 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 3.00    
  (by CONNECT out of TROUBLES NO MO by UNCLE MO)
 
FL-3   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY BLOCKS Aug26 Jul30 Jul13 Jun15 Apr25 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 2.00 23% 3.40    
2  MISS WOBBLES Aug12 Jun17 May28 May13 Apr29 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 2.50    
3  QUEENS OVER THREES Aug12 Jul15 Jan12 Dec14 Nov25 (falk jacquelin)ALPANDER B 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHE'S A FREUD Aug26 Jul30 Jun25     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  SHEZA BERNARDINI Aug26 Jul15 Jun05 May14 Sep27 (johnston rob)COA J 121 8.00    
6  LIKA ROLLING STONE Aug26 Aug12 Jul01 Nov26 Oct29 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 5.00    
 
FL-4   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIPAN LAW         (ferraro anth)COA J 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of HELOTES by PAYNTER)
2  HARD TO LOVE Aug26 Jul30       (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 121 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOVELY ISLE by DOUBLE HONOR)
SCR  MRS. MANICOTTI         (roj)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 10.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of UNIQUELY MINE by MINESHAFT)
4  ASHTEAD LADY Aug14         (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of MS. REHBURG by LUCKY PULPIT)
5  WHO'S GOT THE TIP         (d'ales)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 8% 10.80    
  (by SOLOMINI out of NO PESO NO SAYSO by SCAT DADDY)
6  SLOW READY Aug26         (torelli stac)HARKIE K 121 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by LEOFRIC out of CHINA RIDER by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
7  COUNTRY MANOR         (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 121 5.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of OUTTACYPRESSHILLS by BIG BROWN)
8  ONLY LA DUSS         (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00 ★    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of FAVORABLY by FLYING PASTER)
 
FL-5   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRISTMAS DINNER Aug21 Aug07 Jun25 Jun10 May14 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
2  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun12 (morales samue)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SWEET INVASION Jul30 Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 May14 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
4  BETTY RUBBLE Aug07 Jun26 May28 May07 Sep06 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
5  THE NEW MIAMI Aug21 Jul30 Jul17 Jun26 Jun10 (vasquez ram)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
6  WINE TRAIL Aug19 Jul24 Jul01 Jun04 Nov15 (gibbs jermaine)ROHENA JR 124 15.00 15% 5.80    
7  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Aug26 Jul24 Jul10 Nov07 Oct23 (lecesse m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 6.00    
SCR  FEDALIA Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul15 Jun18 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00    
 
FL-6   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE WEST Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun26 Jun03 (acquilano jame)COA J 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by DESTIN out of BELONGS TO DIXIE by BELONG TO ME)
2  MONTAUK SURF Jul22 Jul08 May25 Apr28 Mar08 (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ILLGIVEYOUWATTEVER by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
3  SHAKIN THE BELLE Aug31 Jul24 Jun28 May25 Apr21 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of HICKORY BELLE by UNBRIDLED TIME)
4  PAINTING STONES         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00 13% 6.80    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of PINCELADA by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  FINDANAME Aug26 May07 Mar20     (areche thalia)CRUZ JOEL 121 20.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of SHALL TRY by ORIENTATE (GB))
6  SARATOGA WEEKEND Aug26         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
  (by DESTIN out of FELISA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  CALL IT A NIGHT Aug19         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 4.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TASTE'S CLASSYLADY by AFLEET ALEX)
8  NOT MY TYPE Aug19         (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 6.00 11% 7.80    
  (by CATOMIZE out of MY EXCESS by PARTNER'S HERO)
9  HAL AWAY Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 (falk jac)DAVIS A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of RENNINA by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
 
FL-7   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIANT IMPACT         (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.00 ★    
  (by VOLATILE out of MOON DELIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
1A  KING'S LEAP Aug21 Aug03 Jul12     (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 2.00 67% 0.50    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
2  CAST A COIN         (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIGHT THE DYNAMITE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  IT'S NOT OVER YET Aug28 Aug14       (ree)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TEN DEMERITS by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  H B PLAISANCE         (torelli stac)HARKIE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of JANUARY by RED RANSOM)
5  SOBIESKI         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 8.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of NORTHERN ANALYST by FREUD)
6  BRINK Aug21 Aug14 Jul25 Jun21   (davis ed)DAVIS A 121 3.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EQUANT by ORB)
7  HIGHS N LOWS Aug28 Aug12 Jul24 Jul08   (rice kevin)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of STAR WHITE by NAEVUS)
8  STEGOSAURUS         (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of ROCK STAR ROYALTY by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
FL-8   09/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY JAZZ Aug14 Jun17 Jun05 May27 Apr04 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SARATOGA KISSES Aug14 Jul18 May12 Mar28 Jan07 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 122 2.50 8% 10.80    
3  INOUAINTALKINTOME Aug14 Jul02 Jun03 May07 Nov22 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
4  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Aug14 Jul18 Jun18 Nov08 Oct23 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 6.00    
5  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Aug05 Jul17 Jul02 Jun18 May27 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 4.00 7% 12.60    
6  ISABEL LUVS GOLD Aug14 Jul30 Jul04 Nov20 Oct23 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 8.00    
7  SALOON GIRL Aug07 Jul22 Jul02 Jun19 Jun03 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 5.00    
 
FL-9   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIVIA Jul02 Jun04 Apr29 Nov22 Oct18 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  STARTED WITH STARS Aug12 Oct16 Sep11 Aug02 Jun21 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00    
SCR  DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Aug12 Jul30 Jul04 Jun04 Nov22 (ferraro an)MULERO M 115 8.00    
4  SABREEN Aug12 Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 6.00 30% 2.40    
5  LET'S MAGA Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul02 Jun18 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
6  CENTRAL CAPITAL Aug26 Aug12 Jul10 Jun18 Jun04 (morales samuel)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
SCR  KATERI EMPIRE Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May28 (cabrera )DAVIS A 122 20.00    
8  REITERATE Aug07 Jun04 May21 Apr24 Apr02 (murphy ti)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  LA CAFETERA Aug21 Jul24 Jul04 Jun18 Oct31 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
10  LEFT LEANING LUCY Jul31 Jul02 Jan28 Dec14 Nov08 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.