Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Friday - August 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(4/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(4/3/1/7)-(4/3/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-2   WIN (4/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/6/7)-(6/5/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-3   WIN (4/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/7)-(6/5/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/7)-(6/5/11)-(4/8/7/2/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-4   WIN (6/5/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/11)-(6/4/5/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/11)-(6/4/5/11)-(6/4/5/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/11)-(4/8/7/2/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/11)-(4/8/7/2/9)-(9/6/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-5   WIN (4/8/7/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/2/9)-(4/8/7/2/5/9/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/2/9)-(4/8/7/2/5/9/1)-(4/8/7/2/5/9/1) 150 $0.50 $75.00 
    DD (4/8/7/2/9)-(9/6/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/2/9)-(9/6/2/5)-(6/8/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-6   WIN (9/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/2/5)-(9/6/2/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/2/5)-(9/6/2/3/5)-(9/6/2/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/2/5)-(6/8/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/6/2/5)-(6/8/5/7)-(6/5/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-7   WIN (6/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/7)-(6/5/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/7)-(6/5/7/4)-(2/3/4/9/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-8   WIN (6/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4/8)-(6/5/7/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/7/4)-(2/3/4/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-9   WIN (2/3/4/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/9/10)-(2/3/4/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/9/10)-(2/3/4/9/10)-(2/3/4/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALIGN         (mccutchen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
  (by ALLIANCE out of LISTEN IN by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
2  FLOATING SMOKEY Aug01         (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 119 20.00    
  (by COSTA RISING out of MAJOR THUHA by MAJOR DUOMO)
SCR  BOURBONATOR Aug05         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 10.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of LOOKINTOGETLUCKY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  ACE ON THE TURN         (blair jordan)ASHTON GAVIN 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of FLY IN FOR THE WIN by BIRDSTONE)
5  THRILLA Jul18         (desormeaux kei)CURTIS BEN 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of ROSE OF CAIRO by CAIRO PRINCE)
6  TIME FOR RESTRAINT Jul08 Jun19       (danner k)GALLARDO A 119 1.80 45% 1.20    
  (by TIMELINE out of MOONLITEDISCRETION by DISCREET CAT)
7  FLY COMMANDER Aug01 Jul18       (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 119 3.50    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of ONE FOR YOU by DAYJUR)
 
CNL-2   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBITINA Jul11 Jun01       (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 118 3.00 5% 19.00    
2  LA MARINERA Jul22 Jun30 May26 May14 Apr26 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 2.00    
3  DANCING MAGIC (IRE) Jul05 Jun23       (campbell mi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  CONTINUITY Jul13         (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 3.50 40% 1.50    
5  KIP THE DISTANCE Jul28 May16 May02     (rodriguez ang)KARAMANOS A 118 5.00    
6  LIZ DREAMIN Jul19 Jul11 Jun06     (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 118 20.00    
7  SEVILLA Aug01 Jun24 Jun09 May19   (gutierre)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-3   08/16/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISE AND ELEGANT Jul18 May25 Apr20 Mar28 Feb02 (cibelli ja)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00    
2  NINETEENAMENDMENT Jul18 Jun14 Nov11 Sep30 Aug26 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 122 2.00    
3  HIDDEN VASE Jul18 Apr07 Feb09 Jan11 Aug11 (danner k)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 16% 5.20    
4  BINNIE Dec02 Nov02       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  MUNNIS PRETTY Jun21 May31 Oct26 Sep27 Sep06 (cooney susan )PANAIJO JORGE 122 30.00    
6  CAROLINA HIDEAWAY Jul26 Jun03 May19     (cooney susa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00 11% 8.00    
7  CLOUDS OF WHITE Jul27 Jul13 Jun16 May25 Oct21 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  WOODS HOLE Jul18 Jun13 Apr20 Apr03 Mar08 (dimmett james)ROCCO S 122 30.00    
 
CNL-4   08/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS DELICIOUS Jun27 Jun03 Mar25 Mar04 Jan26 (seale chri)SANCHEZ J 123 6.00    
SCR  DIAMONDS FOR LILY Aug02 Jun21 May16 May03 Apr07 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 123 15.00    
SCR  AZIZA Aug20 Jul16 May26 Mar08 Jan25 (hemingway m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 30.00    
4  GHOSTLY GAL Jun06 Jan13 Dec21 Jan27 Dec10 (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 123 5.00 ★    
5  STELLA MARS Jun23 May25 Apr27 Nov25 Oct27 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KATIES A LADY Jul25 Jun28 Jun08 May04 Apr24 (rodriguez dar)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00 68% 0.50    
7  AMAZON QUEEN Jul14 Jun20 May22 Apr30 Mar13 (lauer mi)GALLARDO A 123 20.00    
8  WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE Jul19 Apr20 Apr11 Feb22 Feb03 (schultz lindsa)BOYCE FOREST 123 3.50    
SCR  GENUINE PERIL Aug03 Jul18 Jan13 Dec02 Nov11 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00    
10  OUR STRONG VOWS Jul18 Jun18 May03 Oct29 Oct08 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 123 8.00    
11  SARATOGA GAZE Jun23 May25 May01 Apr13 Mar10 (o'connell)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STARRY HOPE Jul25 Jun21 May19 May04 Apr21 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00    
 
CNL-5   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER AGAIN Jul13         (schuh tim)ALLEN D 118 12.00 ★    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of FOREVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  STRATOSPHERIC Jun28 Jun05       (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 4.50 8% 11.90    
  (by SKY MESA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  INTO BLOOM Jun06         (devaux cherie)RUIZ JORGE 118 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLOSSOM SPECIAL by INTELLO)
4  TALES TO TELL Jul11 Sep08       (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00 45% 1.20    
  (by HARD SPUN out of YARAKI by FRANKEL (GB))
5  ACQUALINA Jul11 Apr28 Mar29 Feb10   (delacour )CARRASCO R 118 5.00 ★    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LUCEVAN by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  AMENDMENT         (devaux che)SANCHEZ J 118 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MO'S LOVE by UNCLE MO)
7  AKAYLA (IRE) Jun28 Jan14 Dec08 Nov05 Sep16 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.50 10% 9.40    
  (by UNKNOWN out of POST PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
8  ASPEN DAWN Jul11         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 12% 7.40    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ASPEN LIGHT by BERNARDINI)
9  H M LEGACY Jun27         (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CONQUEST STRATE UP by NOT BOURBON)
SCR  IN THIS MOMENT         (cibelli jane)BOYCE FOREST 118 20.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of GINGER MO by UNCLE MO)
11  I BE GONE May03 Apr04 Mar01 Dec08   (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 118 30.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of FLASHY GOT EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
12  BEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF Jul21 Feb18 Jan06 Nov18 Oct19 (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NEFERTITI by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
13  LOYAL ROYAL Jun18         (clement chris)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DON'T TRICK HER by MAZEL TRICK)
14  MAURYA Jun13 May26       (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MANDA BAY by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
CNL-6   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AKINGISALWAYSKING Jul13 Jul07 Jun06 May16 Apr25 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 123 30.00    
2  CAP'N DUSTY Jul27 Jul06 Jun02 Apr28   (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
3  SUNSHINE FROLIC Apr25 Mar06 Jan04 Oct21 Sep02 (farrior anthony)CURTIS BEN 123 2.50 ★    
4  RAKIA Jul20 Jun22 May18 Apr20 Mar29 (de hor)SANCHEZ J 120 20.00    
5  FREESTANDING Jul19 Jul05 May31 Feb03 Dec01 (sillaman rich)KARAMANOS A 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  MASTER OF MALICE Jul19 Jun29 May18 Jun15   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
7  STREET ROCKIN Jul26 Jul11 Jun26 Jun15 May23 (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 120 15.00    
8  T REX Jul26 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May16 (rogers ronald )CONNER TYLER 123 6.00    
9  COVERT KAT Jul26 Jun29 Jun01 Nov16 Nov02 (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 1.80 32% 2.20    
 
CNL-7   08/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSH WEEK         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PANTY RAID by INCLUDE)
2  MISS TAPATIA Jul26 Jul11 Jun22     (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of EVIL LILY by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  JUDY'S FLYER Jul19 Jul11       (desormeaux k)CONNER TYLER 119 20.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SENSES OF EMIRATES by BERNARDINI)
4  QUEEN IN THE DECK Jul26         (munoz carlos)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CLARA BARTON by UNION RAGS)
5  PURE MAJESTIC Jul20 Jun22 May25 May04   (robb j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00 15% 5.90    
  (by TAPIT out of HITECHNOWEENIE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  AS CATCH CAN Jul28 Jul04       (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 1.00 39% 1.60    
  (by MO TOWN out of JUST A CATCH by JUSTIN PHILLIP)
7  BAJA DE ORO         (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of BALLERINA KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  TACO CAT BACKWARDS Jul26         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of PINATA CAT by TIZNOW)
 
CNL-8   08/16/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM CREED Jul25 Jun21 Mar13 Feb25 Feb14 (munoz carlos)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00    
2  JURASSIC CHICK Jul27 Jun30 May31     (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 119 10.00    
3  CHEYENNE SPRING Aug01 Nov02 Oct13     (libertini jas)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00    
4  STYLE AND PROFILE Jul20 Jun06 May22 Apr28 Mar17 (allen a )GALLARDO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Aug01 Jul18 Jun30 Jun20 May04 (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 119 4.00 5% 18.10    
6  QUEEN VALENTINA Aug01 Jul07 Jun06 May09 Apr07 (azpurua )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 1.80 72% 0.40    
7  CLASSY LIL BETTY Apr05 Feb28 Feb07 Aug18   (rountree ca)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  DAWN'S CREED Feb08 Jan03 Sep27     (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 ★    
SCR  SHARMIN Feb24 Jan05 Dec15 Nov12 Oct01 (mcmahon i)ROCCO S 119 20.00    
10  MONSTER SUMMER Aug01 Jun27 Jun15 May24 Aug18 (reynolds joan)KARAMANOS A 119 3.00    
 
CNL-9   08/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL BAILADOR Aug03 May12 Jan17 Sep01 Aug02 (vigil jaime)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 124 5.00    
2  STAYINYOURLANE Jul26 Jun26 Jun10 May20 May04 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  ZAINO Jul18 Jun23 Jun09 May12 Apr06 (crichton)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 29% 2.40    
4  READY AND ABLE         (thomas jonathan)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  ANNIE'S KINGDOM Aug03 Jul20 May25 Sep06 Aug25 (huffman kenne)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00    
SCR  STRAY PRINCE Jun09 Jun01 Apr27 Feb23 Dec30 (lusk br)BRAVO MISAEL 113 30.00    
7  GREYGRAZIE Aug01 Jul20       (huffman kenn)CASIQUE UBARDO 113 30.00    
SCR  COAL MINER Oct20 Sep09       (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 15.00    
9  AMERICAN DAY Jul26 Jul11 Jun22 Jun01 May12 (werneth robert)ROCCO S 124 8.00 6% 16.90    
10  TRUE ACCOUNT Jul26 Jul11 Jun06 May24 May04 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOLY ALIMONY Jul18 Jun20       (west ethan )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
12  COUSIN GIORGOS Jul25 Jun07 May24 May12   (cooney sus)SANCHEZ J 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.