Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/6/2)-(2/6/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(2/6/3/1)-(3/4/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/1)-(3/4/5/2)-(4/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(5/2/4)-(2/6/8/3/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-7   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/6/8/3/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/6/8/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/3/9)-(2/6/8/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/3/9)-(2/6/8/3/9)-(2/6/8/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD HERO         (nunez maur)BATISTA X 120 10.00 ★    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SOPHIE'S DESTINY by TWO PUNCH)
2  PROBATIONER Aug02 Jul18 Jun14 Jun05 May26 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 2.50    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of ON PROBATION by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  OPEN COURT         (caramori cai)MONCADA IRVING 115 6.00    
  (by CARACARO out of GRAN PASHITA by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
4  BAMBY BOOM Aug02 Jul18       (alvarez nery)SOSA LAUREANO 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by KLIMT out of SACRED MOON by MALIBU MOON)
5  MORALLY         (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 5.00 8% 11.40    
  (by MO TOWN out of STREET RALLY by HARD SPUN)
6  CINCAZUL         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of KNARSDALE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  BAYTOWN BULLEIT May09 Apr26       (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 120 4.50 8% 11.40    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of PEACE TAKER by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
8  GOODMENARESCARCE Aug01 Jul17       (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 120 3.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of NOT A PEEP by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
BTP-2   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA LA ANGEL Jul25 May31 May18 Sep30 Aug30 (tomlinson )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 8.00    
SCR  WHYNAUGHTY Jul04 Jun12 May22 Jan10 Nov28 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.50    
3  DESDEMONA KAY Jul25 Jul03 Jun12 May15 May02 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  EARLY BLOOMER Jul25 Jun12 May18 Dec30 Dec07 (barker w)MURGIA A 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
5  AUJARA Jun05 Feb12 Jan23 Jan04 Nov14 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 3.50 66% 0.50    
6  MAP TO MY HEART Jul25 Jun13 May29 Aug22 Aug03 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 2.50    
 
BTP-3   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICA CHULA Jul27 Jul17 Jun22 Jun07 May22 (calvo kelsie)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50    
2  OPIE'S GIRL Jul10 Jun15 Apr08 Mar20 Oct30 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  COMPUTER WHIZ Jul17 Jun15 May31 Nov07 Sep28 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 122 3.50    
4  BUCKEYE CRUISER Jul27 Jul08 Jun18 May30 May09 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  BRIEF ENCOUNTER Jul27 Jun28 Jun07 May22 Apr22 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 4.00    
6  LIPSTICK N LASHES Jul17 Jun28 May31 May11 Apr25 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
BTP-4   08/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT FAY Aug01 Jul24 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 (aguirre r)PENA L 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROYAL HONEY Jun28         (kriple zvi)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
3  CORTADO Jul11 Jul05 Jun20 Jul13 Jun21 (salas felipe)MCKEE J 124 4.00 13% 6.90    
4  HULAH JAY Jul26 Jul05 Jun12     (clark rober)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 2.50    
5  RUNNETH OVER Aug01 Jul04 Jun14 May30 May09 (bates l)BUSH V 124 5.00    
6  KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN Aug02 Jul15 Jun19 May31 Dec11 (jackson d)MURGIA A 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
7  COURT COSTS Aug01 Jul18 Jun19 May30 May07 (smith r)SOSA LAUREANO 124 8.00    
 
BTP-5   08/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I LIKEM Jun28 Jun13 Mar21 Mar09 Feb09 (shetron ph)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 8.00    
2  BLOSSOMING Jul25 Jul13 Jun15 May17 Apr26 (alessi james)FUENTES ERICK 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DICHOTOMY Jul25 Jun28 Jun15 May25 Oct03 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
4  ZIGGZAPPA Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 May23 Apr25 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  JUST PASSING THRU May28 May08 Mar14 Feb22 Jan27 (eggleston tim)MURGIA A 122 20.00 11% 8.10    
6  LEMON BOMB Aug05 Jun27 Jun06 May11 Apr30 (orantes yoni )SOSA LAUREANO 122 4.50    
7  Q BOND Jul25 Jun21 Jun13 May17 May02 (alvarez nery)SERPA ANGEL 122 6.00    
SCR  NOT TO BE DENIED Jul06 Jun15 Apr16 Nov14 Oct17 (thurman r)THURMAN ELIZABETH 122 20.00    
SCR  CARLIE Q BLUE Nov14 Oct15 Aug27 Jul26 Nov02 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 5.00    
 
BTP-6   08/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN BOO BOO May09 Apr26 Apr17     (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 3.00    
2  EL CORDOBES (IRE) Jul18 Jul04       (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LOVELY REGALO Jul04 Jun17 May29 May09   (hernandez rey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 3.50    
4  STREETS OF WAR Jul23 Jun26       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
5  MIGHTY MO Aug02 Jul17       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 4.50    
6  WILLIAMS EMPIRE Jul06         (morey william)SOSA LAUREANO 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
BTP-7   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. HIGH POCKETS Jul05 Jun27       (helmbrecht william)MURGIA A 123 3.50    
2  GRAY DAY Jul31 Jul06 Jun27 Jun19 May31 (evans micha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 5.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  MR. BALI Jul19 Jun27 May31 Feb14 Jan25 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 6.00    
4  SAMURAI WAY Jul20 Jul06 Jun27 Jun07 Apr25 (barton aman)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  I'M HIM Jul31 Jun27 Jun07 May16 Apr25 (engler jeff)MCKEE J 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  ENTICED BY CHANCE Jul31 Jul06 Jun07 May22 Apr25 (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.00    
7  GRAND ZHOUL Jul31 Oct06 Aug09 Jun29 May29 (bennett rober)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00    
 
BTP-8   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLIMTSTER Jul31 Jul10 Mar28     (blevins c)MURGIA A 119 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of KELLEY MARIE by BERNSTEIN)
2  MOUNT CRAIG Jul15 Jun06 May05 Mar21 Feb25 (moquett e)MCKEE J 125 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by ARROGATE out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
3  OATHBREAKER Jul24 Jun28 Jun06 Apr25 Mar21 (margolis steph)ELLIOTT JANE 119 3.00 6% 14.40    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of GOOD TO KNOW by CANDY RIDE)
4  YOSHIDA'S IMPACT Jul30 Jul11 Jun13 May23 May01 (donjuan se)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 20.00    
  (by DOWSING out of SONATA SQUALL by DISCREET CAT)
5  FUNSTRUCK Jun29 May27 Apr30 Nov22 Oct31 (olivo daisy)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 6.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of HI SUGAR by JUMP START)
6  WYOMING CLASS         (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of ABUNDANCE OF CLASS by MINESHAFT)
7  MORE HOT SAUCE Jul24 Mar07       (bush s)HESS SARA 114 12.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of CLOUDED APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
8  MEMPHIS PHAROAH Jul24 May05 Apr06 Mar15 Feb19 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.50 7% 13.10    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNABASHED by KINGMAMBO)
9  ONORE Oct25 Sep23 Aug18 Jul29 Jun23 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  DE LA CALLES May27 Apr22       (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TEQUILITA by UNION RAGS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.