Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - August 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/2/5)-(5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(5/1)-(5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(5/2)-(2/5/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(2/5/4/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(2/5/4/6)-(2/3/7/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/6)-(2/3/7/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/6)-(2/3/7/1)-(5/4/6/3/12) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-6   WIN (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/1)-(5/4/6/3/12) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/1)-(5/4/6/3/12)-(5/3/1/10/11) 100 $1.00 $100 
PID-7   WIN (5/4/6/3/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/3/12)-(5/4/6/3/12) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/3/12)-(5/4/6/3/12)-(5/4/6/3/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/6/3/12)-(5/3/1/10/11) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
PID-8   WIN (5/3/1/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/10/11)-(5/3/1/10/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/10/11)-(5/3/1/10/11)-(5/3/1/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   08/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FACE DOWN Aug05 Jul16 Jun04 May20 Oct17 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50    
MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Jul22 Jul02 Jun25 Jun10 May27 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 3.00 38% 1.70    
HEAVY POUR Jul26 Jun24 May22 Nov28 Oct23 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 1.20    
MAC'S CAT Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 May20 Oct26 (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 8.00    
HOLD MY BEER BRO Jul22 Jun26 Jun10 May12 Mar22 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 118 6.00 7% 13.40    
 
PID-2   08/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAMA LONGLEGS Jun19 Jun04 Apr29 Apr05 Mar15 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
WORKIN ECLIPTICAL Jul29 Apr27 Feb01 Dec08 Oct24 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 9% 9.80    
JAZZ TIME GIRL Aug06 Jul04 May28 Oct10 Sep27 (morrell )RODRIGUEZ O 122 1.80 67% 0.50    
ZORA Jul29 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 Jun03 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
OUTFACTORED Aug06 Jul24 Jun30 Jun18 Jun11 (brooks e)BAYS BROOKE 111 6.00 5% 19.00    
MY BRIDGET VERDOT Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 Jun19 May20 (schaber debbie)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00    
MY JANNET Aug05 Jul09 Jun26 Apr28   (kleine b)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
 
PID-3   08/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARINARA SAUCED Jul31 Jun26 Jun18 Jun04 May14 (antus lawrence)ALLEN D 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
DIZZY KITTY Jul22 Jul02 Aug12 Jul22 Jun21 (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.00    
EXPRESS STAR Jul22 Jul09 Jun18 May21 Oct05 (miller henry)AYALA J 118 4.50    
SOUPERSILVERDOLLAR Jul30 Jul15 Jun26 Jan24 Dec09 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.50    
INTERNAL CAPITAL Jul24 Jun08 May23 Sep02 Jul22 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 65% 0.50    
PARTY NEWS Jul31 May22 May04 Dec26 Nov14 (maver ed)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00    
 
PID-4   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPHELIAS DREAM Jul31 Jul10 May27 Oct18 Sep26 (wismer s)STANLEY O 124 6.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
LIFE'S SAGA (IRE) Jul15 Apr21 Mar23     (davis ch)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  LENA KAHLENA Jul29         (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 113 10.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of KATHY'S CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  BOTITA Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 Feb08 Jan06 (antus lawrence)ALLEN D 124 5.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of NESSO by ROMAN RULER)
CANDY REWARD Feb21 Oct25 Oct16     (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNIMAGINEABLE by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR  VALROSE         (kleine l)FOX CHRIS 120 12.00    
  (by BOLD STORM out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
FIT AS A FIDDLE Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Apr25   (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SECOND FIDDLE by PAYNTER)
 
PID-5   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUDOR PEAK Aug06 Jun25 May29 May11 Oct11 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50    
SCR  SERENADE A KITTEN Jul17 Jun04 May27 Apr20 Mar30 (valdez m)RODRIGUEZ O 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Jul30 Jul17 Jun17 May29 Mar14 (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 122 15.00    
CHEROKEE CHATTER Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 May22 Oct12 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
EVERY LITTLE BIT May22 Oct25 Oct02 Sep05 Aug21 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 22% 3.40    
GREEN CHILE Jul10 May24 May03 Feb08 Jan10 (kintz matthew)BAYS BROOKE 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
SAILOR'S SALUTE Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 Jun03 Oct17 (carr-rozantz )CARPIO JAIMEN 122 10.00    
REAL GOOD VYBZ Jul29 Jul10 Jun24 Jun03 May20 (markgraf davi)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.50    
 
PID-6   08/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR TITO'S Jul23 Jun19 Jun04 May20 Apr17 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
FLAWLESS BOURBON Jul30 Jul02 Jun12 Feb03 Jan21 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
C C'S KINGDOM Jul21 Jul05 Jun21 May11 Dec15 (chircop steven)VIVES SOFIA 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
STREAMSONG Jul30 Jul09 Jun26 Jun10 May21 (pappada micha)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50    
TEMPUS Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 May28 Oct26 (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
VAST HORIZONS Jul20 Jun20 May29 May02   (johnston rebecca)MARTINEZ W 118 12.00    
FRED GEORGE (IRE) Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Jun10 May21 (rice kev)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 15% 5.80    
 
PID-7   08/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EPIC (ARG) Jul08 Jun25 Jun03 Oct11 Jun28 (martin n)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00    
SWITHER'S SHORTCUT Jul16 Jul01 Nov08 Oct31 Oct18 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 15.00    
HEY PADRE Jul30 Jul17 Jul02 Jun12 May27 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 8% 11.40    
HEIRLOOM KITTEN Jul15 Oct24 Oct11 Sep21 Aug17 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
JO JO HANS Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
PATRIOT DRIVE Jul30 Jul15 Jun12 Oct10 Sep28 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  BAKENEKO Jul30 Jun22 May25 May04 Mar24 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 124 8.00    
LEGIO Jul30 Jul03 Jun24 Jun03 May28 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 122 30.00    
DUDLEY Jul31 Jun25 Jun12 Nov26 Nov06 (schaber debbie)FOX CHRIS 122 30.00    
10  J P CORNETTA Jul30 Jul23 Jun25 Jun05 May28 (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
SCR  MARSAC Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 May28 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 15.00    
12  SIR TERRE Jul30 Jul08 Jun05 May02 Apr12 (cheeks k)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  NOBLE CONQUEST Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 Mar13 (smith la)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
SCR  THOUSAND LOVES Aug07 Jul23 Jun24 Jun05 May21 (kleine bernard )BAYS BROOKE 115 30.00    
 
PID-8   08/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMO Jul16 Jun16 May29 May12 Apr05 (herrington c)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  COLORFUL LAD Jul31 Jul15 Apr22 Jun06   (bourke w)MARTINEZ A 124 15.00    
WHISKEY OR WINE Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 Apr20   (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 113 4.00 15% 5.90    
LUCIOS ZORAN Jul31 Jul02 Jun18 Oct02 Jun22 (buhrow j)RODRIGUEZ O 124 12.00    
AMERICA LIVES Jun20         (harty eoin)BAYS BROOKE 113 6.00 45% 1.20    
DIAMONDHARD STONE Aug03 Oct24 Oct05 Sep27 Aug22 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 124 5.00    
SCR  FAST LEARNER Jul29 Jul15 Jul04 Jun18 May18 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 120 3.00    
HOLLYWOOD HERO Jul26 Jul11 Jun29 Jun09 May17 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 3.50    
MAGNUS EFFECT Jul31 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 May29 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 12.00    
10  BLUE SOLDIER Jul16 Jun18 May29 Feb16 Jan01 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 124 8.00 8% 11.20    
11  BROMISTA Jun29 May31 Apr27     (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.