Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - August 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(3/2/1)-(4/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(4/1/2)-(1/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(5/6/7)-(1/4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(1/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   08/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETERMINED LOVE Aug05 Jul10 Jul02 May20 May07 (johnston rob)COA J 124 8.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  MAGGIE Jul31 Jul04 Jun04 May24 May12 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50    
3  DIVA BANKER Jul24 Jul05 May25 Apr13 Apr04 (oyola david)DAVILA A 124 5.00    
4  FAST FRAN Nov08 Oct18 Sep18 Aug21 Aug02 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
5  HOLIDAY JAZZ Jun17 Jun05 May27 Apr04 Mar08 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 124 3.50    
6  FEDALIA Jul31 Jul15 Jun18 Jun04 May22 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
 
FL-2   08/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARR'S DELIGHT Aug05 Jul04 Jun04 May21 Nov13 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
2  DEVILLY Aug06 Jul24 Jun20 May12 Apr28 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPECIAL PAL Jul17 Jun24 Dec29 Nov21 Nov07 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.20 45% 1.20    
4  FANCY FELINE Jul30 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 Mar16 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 122 5.00    
5  GALLEY HEAD Jun08 May01 Aug12 Jul15 Jun10 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  TUMBLES Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 Jun04 Nov15 (ashley julius)BROWN DALTON 122 4.00    
 
FL-3   08/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISABEL LUVS GOLD Jul30 Jul04 Nov20 Oct23 Sep19 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  DOROTHY'S DREAMS Jul30 Jul02 Jun06 May22 Jan14 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 3.00 13% 6.90    
3  GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS Jul20 Jun23 May16 Apr13 Mar23 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 117 1.80 61% 0.60    
4  LOVE MY CANDY Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun05 May22 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 2.00    
5  DOLCE SERA Jul18 Jun27 Jun04 May17 Apr19 (delauro ed)RIVERA R 121 5.00    
 
FL-4   08/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY'S WINNING BID Jul15 Jun25 May29 May13   (ferraro anth)COA J 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  FLURRY OF ROSES Jul29 Jul16 Nov13 Oct23 Sep04 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 7% 13.90    
3  AMERICAN SAINT Jul23 Jun20 May25 Apr05 Feb14 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 120 3.00    
SCR  RISK FREE Jul19 Jun30 May05 Apr27 Apr14 (delauro j)PEREZ E 124 1.50 42% 1.40    
5  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Nov21 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 5.00    
6  DREAMERY Jul31 Jul15 Jun24 May29 Mar14 (sells rache)CAMILO D 120 12.00    
 
FL-5   08/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRINK Jul25 Jun21       (davis ed)DAVIS A 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EQUANT by ORB)
1A  EXTRAORDINARY ONE (GB)         (davis edmund)HARKIE K 120 2.00 ★    
  (by MAYSON out of UTRINQUE PARATUS by SEA THE MOON)
2  ASHTEAD LADY         (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 117 8.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of MS. REHBURG by LUCKY PULPIT)
3  MR. SUGAR DADDY         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 4.00    
  (by BLAME out of CRACK YOUR WHIP by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  IT'S NOT OVER YET         (ree)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 5% 17.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of TEN DEMERITS by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  BALD KITTEN         (lecesse michae)COA J 117 6.00 5% 17.50    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of TWICE FOR HONEY by BLAME)
6  VESUVIO         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 2.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SOLAR VORTEX by ORB)
 
FL-6   08/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDA DE NILE Aug06 Jul01 Jun17 May22 Apr17 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 120 5.00 16% 5.10    
2  MY LITTLE ONE Jul24 Jul01 Jun17 May29 Nov08 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 124 10.00    
3  TOAST TO SUCCESS Jul15 Jun25 Jun05 May22 Jan18 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.00    
4  ARCHIVIST Jul31 Jul15 Jun05 May20 Apr30 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  VROOM VROOM Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 May29 May13 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 124 2.50    
6  MAJOR MAYHEM Jul23 Jul09 Jun25     (sells rachel)PEREZ E 120 3.00 43% 1.40    
7  FRANKIE C Jul31 Jul15 Jul01 Jun19 May29 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00    
 
FL-7   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Jul18 Jun18 Nov08 Oct23 Oct04 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.50    
SCR  EROS'S GIRL Jul02 Jun10 May07 Mar10 Feb19 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 2.50    
2  FORTY SMOOTH Jul15 Jun16 Apr27 Mar26 Nov15 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00    
SCR  CAPITAL GAL Jul22 Jul07 Jun15 May14 Apr28 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
4  INOUAINTALKINTOME Jul02 Jun03 May07 Nov22 Oct31 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 124 8.00    
5  NO CHALK Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 May27 May07 (iorio sal)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  EMBRACEABLE GAL Jul22 Jun18 May22 Apr11 Mar08 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
7  ISLE STORM Jul31 Jul02 Jun05 May20 May07 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
FL-8   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE SHOT Jul29 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May22 (oyola david)DAVILA A 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  BOWING SNOWMAN Jul31 Jul16 Jun26 Jun11 May27 (muller j)ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
3  REDEMPTION ROAD Jul17 Jun25 Jun11 May22 May06 (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00 15% 5.80    
4  SON OF DARKNESS Jul31 Jul16 Jun26 Jun04 May13 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
5  BENCH WALK Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May21 (huertas )DAVIS A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ANGELIC MISSION Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 Nov22 Nov13 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 10.00    
7  HOLEY MATRIMONY Jul31 Jun11 May28 May21 Nov14 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 5.00    
8  UNCLE MILTIE Jul31 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 Nov21 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.