Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - July 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(4/2/3)-(1/5/2/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(1/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(1/5/2/8)-(3/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/8)-(3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/8)-(3/5/7)-(9/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(9/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(9/1/6)-(4/1/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/6)-(9/1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/1/6)-(9/1/6/2)-(9/1/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/1/6)-(4/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6)-(4/1/6/8)-(6/3/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/8)-(6/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/8)-(6/3/1/4)-(2/7/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/4)-(2/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   07/25/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDSOR'S PLAY Jul11 May23 May09 Apr12 Mar20 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 31% 2.30    
SPEEDY BUBBLES Jun29 Jun07 May18 Apr23 Feb21 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
RIVER REWARDS RVF Jul11 Jun28 Jun07 May23 Apr26 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 124 15.00    
ROJA LIGERA Jun30 May12 Apr05 Mar16 Feb04 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CASTLE TOY Jul11 Jun07 Jan31 Jan18 Jan03 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 4.00 21% 3.90    
WHISKEY WILD Jul11 Jul02 Jun15 May10 Jul30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 0.60    
 
CT-2   07/25/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART WINDSOR Jul11 Jun20 May30 May09   (jackson ange)LEWIS M 119 3.50    
MOONLIT KISS Jun20 May30 May02     (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 2.00 17% 4.90    
ODDS ON MISCHIEF Apr18         (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
RAN OUT OF TRAINER Nov04 Oct14 Sep29 Sep22 Aug05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 54% 0.90    
TRUE INDY Jun20 May23 Mar16 Feb10 Jan24 (sanders)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
LA MADDALENA Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 (pickett)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 4.00    
 
CT-3   07/25/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDSOR'S MEMORY Jun08 May24 May03 Mar27 Mar21 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
ESSENTIAL MAGIC Jul06 Jun14 Jun06 May16 Apr20 (caison l)RIOS-CONDE A 124 12.00 13% 6.90    
GLASS STAR Jul13 Mar30 Mar22 Mar09 Feb09 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 4.00    
LET'S DO THIS Jul04 Jun08 May31 Mar21 Mar09 (aylor natasha )REAP E 122 15.00    
TRUE BUCKPASSING Jun27 Jun14 May30 May09 Apr18 (racanelli m)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
COWGIRL ATTITUDE May31 Apr18 Mar21 Mar01 Feb10 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50    
LA SANTA CLARA Jun22 Jun08 May25 May16 Sep21 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 122 20.00    
PLAYING FOR TWO Jul06 Jun14 Jun08 May24 Apr18 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   07/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVALANCHE IS COMIN Jun13 May24 May03 Apr12 Mar22 (rofe jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50    
SAFFRON Jul06 Jun15 May30 May04   (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
HIDEWRIGHT AWAY Jul11 Jun17 Jun01 Mar22 Mar01 (binning matt)LEWIS M 115 1.80 35% 1.80    
CHAMPAGNE PLEASE Jul11 Jun20 May30 Nov16   (barahona isaac)LARROSA G 118 8.00    
SOMEBODY LOVES ME Jul12 Jul04 Jun13 May23 May02 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  QUEEN NEFERTARI Jul04 Jun13 May23     (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.50    
HONEY PLEASE Jul11 Jun15 Jan24 Oct18 Sep28 (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   07/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST WEEKEND Jul11 Jun15 Jun07 May23 May09 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
SAM WHEAT Jul11 Jun15 May25 Apr27 Apr18 (huet terr)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00    
SMOKIN SMITTY Jun21 Jun06 May31 May10 May04 (lane j)CULLUM W 120 30.00    
ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY Jul05 Nov30 Oct21 May26 Mar18 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
SCR  TAPACHILL Jul12 May31 Feb21 Jan26 Dec15 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 109 20.00    
AGAIN WE MEET Jun15 May04 Apr11 Mar21 Feb22 (sewell lenwo)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROLL ME OVER Jul10 Jun17 May26 Apr30 Apr23 (cuttino mario)ADAMS L 113 10.00    
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Jul12 Jul06 Jun15 May18 Apr26 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 115 15.00    
DR JACK FLYER Jul08 Mar29 Feb28 Feb17 Jan27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 0.60 41% 1.40    
 
CT-6   07/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER CROSROAD RVF May16 Mar28 Jan05 Dec13 Nov04 (runco jeff)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
MOVING PICTURES Apr28 Mar22 Mar07 Feb10 Jan12 (craig armont)LEWIS M 117 3.50    
Z U AT THE RACES May19 Apr29 Mar31 Mar16 Oct05 (binning matth)ADAMS L 115 12.00    
ALLEN CAN DO IT Jun29 May30 May04 Apr19 Mar16 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.60 58% 0.70    
THE GREAT GAZOO Jul13 Jun27 May25 May04 Apr06 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
ROAD SLEW Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 Jun07 May17 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 6% 14.80    
MY HANDSOME MAN Jul13 Jun20 Jun07 May22 May04 (ovando m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
GABRIEL SEVEN Jun29 Jun15 May12 Apr12 Mar10 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AKINGISALWAYSKING Jul13 Jul07 Jun06 May16 Apr25 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 120 30.00    
 
CT-7   07/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Jun22 Jun06 Mar14 Feb17 Jan26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 12% 7.10    
GREATANDGOOD Jun07 May24 Apr13 Mar30 Mar14 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
PAPA LINGUINE Jun07 Mar23 Feb17 Jan27 Jan05 (johnson)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 109 2.00 23% 3.30    
WHALE OF A RUN Jun21 May31 May10 Apr28 Mar29 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
REVEREND JACK Dec09 Nov18 Sep15 Aug18 Jul20 (cuttino mari)WHITACRE GRANT 120 12.00    
MR. DUMBLEDORE Jun29 Jun01 May11 Apr20 Mar30 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 2.50 36% 1.70    
MOON FALL Jun28 Jun15 May24 Apr13 Mar14 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   07/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMELESS VISIONS Jun08         (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
OWE YOU ONE Jun07 Apr20 Apr05 Mar06 Feb22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  HOLD DEM Jul12         (pyke joseph)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 118 20.00    
QUINN ELIA Jun07 May24 May17 Apr19 Mar08 (schiano-dico)LEWIS M 113 3.00 6% 15.90    
TINA'S BACK Jun29 May24 May02 Apr06   (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 118 15.00    
FLATTERING WAY Jul05 Jun14 Oct06 Sep15 Jun23 (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
DREAM LEADER Jun29 May30 May02     (grams timothy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
ADDY MAE Jun21         (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 118 15.00    
BUTTERFLY WORLD Jun30 Jun20 Dec15 Nov24   (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00    
SCR  FULL OF CHARM Jun29 Jun07 May17 Jul20 Jul06 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.