Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - July 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(8/9/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(8/9/7/5)-(4/2/3/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-2   WIN (8/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/7/5)-(8/9/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/7/5)-(8/9/7/5)-(8/9/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/7/5)-(4/2/3/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/7/5)-(4/2/3/6/8)-(4/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/2/3/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/6/8)-(4/2/3/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/6/8)-(4/2/3/6/8)-(4/2/3/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/3/6/8)-(4/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/6/8)-(4/2/1)-(6/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(6/5)-(5/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(5/1/2)-(5/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADELINE'S GROGU May26 May18 Dec01 Oct24 Oct11 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00    
2  JACK'S LILLY Jun19 May04 Apr02 Feb29 Feb02 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 5.00 35% 1.80    
3  BLAME CATALAYA Jun19 May30 May15 Apr25 Apr02 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 3.50    
4  PHABULOUS PHOEBE May30 Apr06 Mar08 Feb08 Jan24 (kravets b)VARGAS L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN May17 May09 Mar29 Feb02 Dec14 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  ARUMA Jul10 Jun18 May20 Sep25 Aug30 (padilla hugo )RIVERA D 125 3.00    
 
PEN-2   07/17/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHITE HEAT (GB) Jun02 Oct06 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 (boniface c)CORA D 122 4.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of PLATINUM BRIDE by ALPHABET SOUP)
2  KEEP IT SAFE Jun22 Dec29 Dec08     (samaniego j)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of SPUNKY SPARROW by ATTORNEY)
3  MOR MOR MOR Jun15         (merryman e)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of WHAT SHE SAID by WHYWHYWHY)
4  RED BETTY         (albright )VARGAS L 122 12.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of UNPLUGGED by UNTUTTABLE)
5  BUILT'IN ABILITY Jul04 Jun25 May30 May16   (mcclellan c)FLORES E 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  CITY MINUTE         (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of E BUILT THIS CITY by CITY ZIP)
7  CHALICE Jun12 May31 May10 Sep17 Aug10 (merryman eliza)TORRES JOMAR 125 2.50 14% 6.20    
  (by KANTHAROS out of D' ORSAY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  GRAN PATRONA Jun27 Jun15 May30 Apr13   (perez ernesto)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 6.00 32% 2.10    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of WHENNOONE'SLOOKING by STREET BOSS)
9  BOSSY KATE Jul01 Jun04 May20 May04 Nov21 (rodriguez mig)RIVERA D 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PIONEER KATE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
PEN-3   07/17/2024 5490ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ET'S MAGIC MAN Jul05 Jun18 Jun03 May20 Mar18 (agnew naoise)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00    
2  CRAZY KATER Jul05 Jun19 Jun04 Nov18 Oct12 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00 18% 4.70    
3  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL Jul05 Jun10 May11 Mar16 Feb15 (dunham b)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 5.00 11% 7.80    
4  JACK SLYE Jul05 Jun19 Mar15 Feb16 Jan26 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 125 4.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  JO JO KATZ Jul05 Jun19 Jun04 Nov14 Sep22 (graci a)AGUILAR M 125 8.00    
6  LAKE NAKURU Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 May17 May09 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 5% 18.20    
7  HROTHGAR Jul05 Jun25 Jun10 Jan18 Jan11 (mo)LUNA PAUL 121 30.00    
8  PRATT Jun06 May17 May04 Feb22 Feb09 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  BOURBON CURRENCY Jun19 May31 Feb29 Feb01 Dec22 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 10.00    
10  LINGFIELD PARK Jun19 Mar08 Jan31 May31 May10 (schoenthal phil)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 4.00    
SCR  SAL N LOUIE Jul03 Jun18 May29 May07 Apr24 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 119 8.00    
SCR  BARLEEWON Jun29 Jun15 May11 Feb24 Feb10 (delgado jose )OLVER MADISON 119 6.00    
 
PEN-4   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUARDIAN PRINCE Jul05 Jun08 May22     (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MASK PATROL Jun11 Oct17 Sep18 Aug22 Jul12 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.00 13% 6.80    
3  CAPITAL CONQUEST Jul08 Jun12 May18 Apr30 Apr13 (lake scot)VARGAS A 121 2.50    
4  KISS THEM DEADLY Jul27 Jul12 Jun16 Jul22 Jul01 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 3.50 56% 0.80    
5  FAST FREEZE KAZ Jun13 May10 Mar15 Feb22 Jan12 (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 123 4.00    
6  CAMULUS Jun13 May24 Mar21 Feb07   (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.50    
 
PEN-5   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAZ PALACE Jun26 Jul28 Jul05 Jun03 May19 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50    
2  ROCKIN THE PALACE Jun19 May15 Apr06 Mar21 Mar01 (kravets b)VARGAS L 121 8.00    
SCR  UP AGAINST IT Jun27 Mar16 Mar09 Feb16 Feb09 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 119 4.50    
4  LIVING WATER May23 May15 Apr26 Apr13 Feb23 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 5.00 ★    
5  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Jul04 Jun19 May04 Mar27 Mar13 (moreno tito)RAMOS C 121 6.00 15% 5.80    
6  STARLITE WALKER Jun27 May23 May10 Mar07 Jan25 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  GRAB THE GOLD Jul05 Jun20 May22 May02 Mar15 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 121 6.00    
 
PEN-6   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUDIN Jun26 May27 May06 Apr18 Jul14 (hetrick kri)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 2.50 14% 6.40    
2  GOING AT IT Jul03 Jun13 May22 May03 Sep03 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ZAMBONI WARRIOR Jun17 May21 Apr09 Feb22 Feb08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00    
4  FREEDOM'S START Jun26 Jun13 May22 May03 Apr15 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 121 8.00    
5  JAKE BRAKE ALLEY Jun13 May23 May02 Mar15 Mar07 (rogers w)CORA D 120 2.00 56% 0.80    
6  DESTINANO Jun26 May24 Jan18 Dec20   (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00    
 
PEN-7   07/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Jun20 May30 May09 Mar13 Mar01 (stowers mic)INIRIO J 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ELUSIVE EMPRESS Jun27 Jun13 May23 May03 Mar29 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 10% 8.60    
3  TOHONORSTELLE May30 Apr26 Apr05 Mar16 Feb04 (kee wil)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 12.00    
4  JUMP A FOX Jul04 Jun13 May30 May16 May03 (meister wil)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 10.00    
5  LAUGHING FIT Jul04 Jun06 Mar17 Feb18 Jan19 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 64% 0.60    
6  FOXEY G Jun27 Jun13 May30 May23 Apr04 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 3.50 ★    
7  ENSUING GRACE Jun13 May30 May16 May03 Mar21 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.