Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(6/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(6/1/4)-(3/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(3/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(3/1/2)-(6/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(6/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(6/4/2)-(5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(5/1)-(3/5/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-5   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/1)-(3/5/2/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(3/5/2/7)-(1/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-6   WIN (3/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/7)-(1/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/7)-(1/4/5)-(6/3/11/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/3/11/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (6/3/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/11/1)-(6/3/11/9/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (6/3/11/1)-(6/3/11/9/1)-(6/3/11/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. IMPATIENT Jul04 Jun12 May20 Oct24   (morrell )RODRIGUEZ O 120 15.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of TURKOCRAFT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
2  BLAME THE WARRIOR Jul04         (judd cassandr)MORALES PABLO 115 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DEFROCK by BLAME)
3  GRUIT Jul01 Jun10 Oct26 Oct19 Oct09 (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 124 12.00    
  (by EQUALITY out of MYSTERY DATE by DEHERE)
4  MAC'S CAT Jul01 Jun10 May20 Oct26 Oct09 (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 1.80    
  (by GORMLEY out of SHABBY CHIC by UNION RAGS)
5  EMMA AT THE GATE Jul01 Jun10 May29     (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of EASY WAY OUT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  THAT'S JUST GREAT Jul01 Dec14 Nov10 Oct24   (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
PID-2   07/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VANILLA BEAN Jun25 Jun03 Nov19 Oct19 Sep06 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
2  XERCES Jun25 Jun10 May27 May18 Apr16 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 118 6.00    
3  OMIKAMI Jun25 Jun11 May21 Dec27 Dec06 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.50    
4  UPPITY UP Jun25 Jun17 Jun04 May20 Oct25 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  INSCRUTABLE Jun28 Jun15 May19 Nov16 Oct21 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 1.60    
6  MOTITO Jun19 Jun11 May20 Apr16 Mar11 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
PID-3   07/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROUNDED Jul03 Jun10 Feb25 Jan24 Dec15 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  DECLARED Jun24 Jun05 Jun21 May30 May16 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00 6% 15.70    
3  DR. STEVE May08 Jan31 Dec28 Nov30 Oct27 (stites flint )MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 51% 1.00    
4  GOOSE HUNTER Jul01 Jun11 Dec06 Nov10 Oct23 (rice kev)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
5  DOWAGIAC CHIEF Jun12 May22 Feb25 Jan01 May21 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 2.00    
 
PID-4   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THALBERG Jul01 Jun12 Jun04 May20 May06 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 5.00    
2  THE CONNECTOR Jul03 Jun18 Jun05 Apr28 Apr11 (hoffman mark)BAYS BROOKE 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEAR CREEK Jun24 Jun12 May21 Mar17 Mar08 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
4  COURT AND SPARK Jul02 Dec07 Oct10 Sep20 Aug30 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  WROTE IN STONE Jul04 Jun05 May20 Oct26 Oct10 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50    
6  ENJOY THE MUSIC Jul02 Jun12 Jan25 Oct10 Sep20 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
PID-5   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLORFUL LAD Apr22 Jun06       (bourke john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 6.00 9% 10.30    
2  PARTY AT THE BEACH Jun26 Jun11       (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 124 3.00    
3  CHIPS LEGACY Jun25         (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 12.00    
4  PETER RABBIT QUICK Jun25         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 8.00    
5  IMPOSTER SYNDROME Jun25 Jun11 May22 Aug01 Jul12 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.50 65% 0.50    
6  I'M THE CABANA BOY Jul02 Jun11 May29     (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 4.00 ★    
7  FAST LEARNER Jul04 Jun18 May18 Jan19 Dec06 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 120 4.50 ★    
 
PID-6   07/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING KITTY May02 Apr06 Mar08 Jan26 Dec29 (bindner walte)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50    
  (by GET STORMY out of KITTEN'S SLEW by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  ATROCIOUS Jun26 Jun11 May29 Mar27 Jan14 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of FIFTYSHADESOFHAY by PULPIT)
3  STAR TOPPER Jun23 May27       (hiles a)MARTINEZ W 120 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SILVER WAVE by STAR DABBLER)
4  IRISH STONE Jun26 Jun10 May21 Oct23 Oct11 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 120 12.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ROCK WALL by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
5  SECRET TREASURE Jun26 Jun10 May21 Apr26 Jan17 (potts g)WALKER M 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by ARROGATE out of SACRISTY by GODSWALK)
6  LITTLE MISS MUNNY Jun18 May29 Apr20 Mar22 Mar01 (miller henry)AYALA J 115 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FLIPARDINI by BERNARDINI)
7  SOUPERSILVERDOLLAR Jun26 Jan24 Dec09 Nov04 Oct13 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SOUPER SCOOP by TAPIT)
 
PID-7   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT GOAR Jul01 Jun10 Oct10 Aug10 Jul19 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
2  GENERAL WINSTON Jun26 May22 Oct19 Oct03 Sep13 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 5.00    
SCR  FOUNDER Jul03 May27 Mar22 Mar13 Feb16 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00    
4  CERTAIN Jul02 Jun11 Jun03 May20 Aug22 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
5  WOODCHUCK Jun26 Jun10 May22 Oct19 Oct03 (rogers mic)AYALA J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Jun10 Apr21 Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 (ramsey n)GALLARDO A 122 1.80    
 
PID-8   07/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATRIOT DRIVE Jun12 Oct10 Sep28 Sep11 Aug23 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXTRA MEDIUM Jul03 Jun18 Jun03 Nov03 Oct17 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 20.00    
3  HEIRLOOM KITTEN Oct24 Oct11 Sep21 Aug17 Aug02 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  MARSAC Jul01 Jun12 May28 Jul03 May16 (depasquale)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
5  SEA SPLENDOR Jul01 Jun12 May28 Apr13 Mar29 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 20.00    
6  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Jul01 Jun12 May21 Oct18 Sep28 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 124 6.00 38% 1.60    
7  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Jun27 May30 May03 Apr13 Mar08 (agnew naoise)ROJAS MARTINA 122 5.00    
SCR  MALTHAEL Jun26 May30 Apr25 Mar30 Mar16 (west aar)GALLARDO A 122 3.00    
9  JO JO HANS Jul02 Jun18 May28 Jul26 Jul04 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 ★    
10  GALAXY BUILDER Jun25 Jun04 May20 Jul20 Jun22 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
11  CLEAR FOR ACTION Jun25 Feb02 Jan10 Dec13 Oct07 (fletche)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 10.00 9% 10.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.