Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - June 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (1/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/2)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/2)-(4/3/6)-(3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-2   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(3/5/6)-(2/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(2/3/5)-(8/1/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(8/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(8/1/6/5)-(2/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-5   WIN (8/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/5)-(8/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/5)-(8/1/6/5)-(8/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/6/5)-(2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6/5)-(2/1/7)-(1/6/9/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-6   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(1/6/9/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(1/6/9/4/8)-(5/1/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-7   WIN (1/6/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/9/4/8)-(1/6/9/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/9/4/8)-(1/6/9/4/8)-(1/6/9/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/9/4/8)-(5/1/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/9/4/8)-(5/1/6/4)-(6/1/9/5/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-8   WIN (5/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/4)-(6/1/9/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-9   WIN (6/1/9/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/5/4)-(6/1/9/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/5/4)-(6/1/9/5/4)-(6/1/9/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   06/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA SORELLA Jun14         (devereux pat)BARRERA J 118 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of SIBLING WAR by BROTHER DEREK)
MOMENT TO PREACH Jun01         (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LONE SAILOR out of PREACH IT by SAINT BALLADO)
CLEVER RACE         (nixon thoma)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 8.00    
  (by RUN PRODUCTION out of CLEVER MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
SCR  DREAMCHASER JEWELS         (castille carrol)STOKES J 118 15.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of ROMAN JEWELS by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
CALL ME SUSAN         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.00 27% 2.80    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of RANSOM RED by RED ROCKS (IRE))
RUN RECKLESS RUN         (ali ancil)CARRENO J 118 5.00    
  (by COUNT ALEXANDER out of RECKLESS GIRL by HALF OURS)
TRIPLE L'S SHADOW         (gelner scott)ROSIER R 118 4.50 8% 11.50    
  (by ENTICED out of TEMPLE SHADOW by TEMPLE CITY)
AT FIRST LIGHT         (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 118 12.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of DAWN BEFORE DAWN by HIGH YIELD)
 
EVD-2   06/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LIL PSYCHOTIC May29 Apr27 Apr06 Feb25 Feb02 (sanchez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 2.00    
CRAFTROOM May23 Apr13 Feb23 Feb09 Jan19 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 10.00    
HAUNTRESS May29 May10 Apr18 Mar16 Jan21 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 2.50 15% 5.80    
FORGOTTEN FORTUNE Jun14 Apr25 Feb22 Nov22 Oct19 (segura kearney)STOKES J 123 4.50 61% 0.60    
HONEST ANGUS May29 May10 Aug04 Jul07 Jun17 (breaux samue)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 20.00    
WORLD OF HURT May29 May02 Apr06 Jan06 Dec09 (brinkman brett)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
ATHENAIS May29 Jan03 Dec02 Nov01 Sep28 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 123 5.00    
BIKINI BOTTOM May29 Apr18 Mar24 Feb18 Jan06 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
 
EVD-3   06/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARAHIN Jun06 May22 May02 Apr05 Feb17 (escobar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 1.60    
NAPOLEONIC CODE Jun13 May16 Apr13 Feb01 Dec16 (mojica edith)QUILES ANTONIO 123 2.50    
MAGIC MONDAY Jun05 May17 May04 Apr11 Mar15 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.00 63% 0.60    
JIMMIE'S HALO Jun05 May07 Apr24 Apr10 Mar06 (mojica a)POMPELL L 117 20.00    
RUN SMITTY RUN Jun10 Apr13 Sep27 Sep01 Jul19 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 123 6.00 8% 11.60    
OLDER AND WISER May29 May10 Apr17 Mar08 Jan05 (woodley car)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
FULL OF GLORY May17 Apr24 Feb01 Jan06 Nov24 (west henry)FLORIAN JOSE 115 20.00    
 
EVD-4   06/28/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TACTICAL PRIORITY May25 May03 Sep10 Aug20 Jul27 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 1.60    
LOOKIN FOR LOKI May16 Apr14 Apr01 Feb26 Jan14 (mouton chadw)BARRERA J 121 4.00 41% 1.50    
SILVER WINGS May23 Apr11 Mar22 Mar01 Jan11 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
COPTER May23 May08 Mar09 Feb17 Jan13 (landry allen)MAGNON H 120 8.00    
GOLDENLUTE May24 May04 Apr17 Apr06 Mar10 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
AHIMAAZ Jun14 May10 Apr06 Jan13 Jul22 (alberto anto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00    
CIGAR VAN May18 Apr17 Mar08 Jan15 Jun09 (pitzer d)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
 
EVD-5   06/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WON DAY May10 Mar14 Feb29 Feb03 Jan05 (landry allen)BARRERA J 115 5.00 15% 5.90    
MYFRIENDSAWINNER May29 May10 Feb03 Dec28 Dec09 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 2.50    
SCR  ITSNOTMYJOB Apr13 Mar23 Feb24 Jan05 Dec18 (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 115 20.00    
HALF PAGE Feb10 Jan15 Dec02 Oct11 Aug12 (rubin d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 15.00    
ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN May08 Apr20 Mar03 Sep04 Jul27 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
RING TWICE Feb22 Jan05 Dec19 Nov21 Oct26 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 118 4.00 7% 12.90    
SAY WHAT May17 Feb08 Jan26 Dec28 Nov04 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 115 20.00    
TRACK SMART May25 May04 Apr13 Mar30 Mar02 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  SHELLBY May17 Apr13 Feb16 Jan05 Dec02 (knudsen kent)CARRENO J 118 15.00    
10  ATOMIC ROSE Jun05 May07 Apr13 Mar14 Jan20 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 118 12.00    
 
EVD-6   06/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAN SHE May31 May08 Apr12 Feb15 Jan06 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 123 1.80 15% 5.70    
FRONT AND SILVER May08 Apr13 Feb23 Feb04 Dec22 (degeyter j)ROSIER R 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
MY LUCKY BREAK Jun07 May18 May03 Mar30 Mar15 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 5.00    
COPPER MOON May31 May18 Mar10 Feb24 Jan11 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 123 4.50    
CUSTOM CANDY Jun08 Mar12 Feb18 Nov30 Nov05 (ramirez eduard)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
IMMA MADI TUE May30 Apr18 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 (ney john)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 12.00    
STORMY VALENTINE Jun13 Apr25 Feb07 Dec13 Nov01 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-7   06/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHENTI Oct21 Jun10 May20 May05 Apr22 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by WAR FRONT out of MUNASARA by BERNARDINI)
SPOKEN CODE May16 Apr26 Mar24 Mar09 Jan21 (mouton chadwick )ROSIER R 118 20.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SPOKEN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CATHY'S BOY May31 May08 Mar21 Feb22 Dec23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 5.00    
  (by FLATTER out of FAITH IN CATHY by HOLD ME BACK)
DONEGAL MOONSHINE May31         (noel dane)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 9% 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of PROSPECTOR'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SEAVILLE May08 Apr26 Apr12     (ladner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of HUMORISTICA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MIDNIGHT AVENGER May31 May08 Apr12 Mar21 Feb25 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by FLATTER out of MIDNIGHT SWEETIE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  EMILY'S BOY May08 Apr05 Mar16 Feb13 Dec30 (claire alexi)BARRERA J 115 10.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of EMILY JO by TIAGO)
NORTH OF BALI May31 May08 Apr05 Feb17   (nixon thoma)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of MISTY NORTH by NORTHERN IDOL)
PATRIOT HILLS May26 May05 Mar21 Feb18 Jan01 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 118 4.50 13% 7.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TEMPERIT by TAPIT)
10  OUR MAJESTIC Jun06 Mar16 Nov23 Oct16 Sep21 (ramsay-banks allis)STOKES J 120 15.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of GREAT MAJESTIC by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
EVD-8   06/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPPIN ON BEAUTY Jun01 May09 Apr17 Feb22 Jan27 (gomez a)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 3.00 22% 3.60    
SAINT GABRIEL Jun01 May04 Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 2.50    
TITANIUM DEAL Jun01 May02 Apr12 Mar08 Feb01 (richard russe)LOZADA CARLOS 118 4.00    
SUMMERTIME PEPPERS Jun15 May17 Apr26 Apr10 Mar07 (knudsen kent)CARRENO J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
STARRY EYED May29 Dec31       (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 118 3.50 34% 1.90    
REDDINGANDLEE Jun01 May22 Apr27 Jan04 Dec13 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00 12% 7.60    
PURRRFECT RHYTHM May10 Apr17 Mar10 Feb24 Jan27 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 123 20.00    
JOSAN May30 Apr27 Mar24 Feb21 Feb02 (morrell cynthia)ROSIER R 123 15.00    
 
EVD-9   06/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN COUNTRY Jun13 May15       (cormier dona)DEL-CID MARLON 115 6.00 22% 3.60    
B D ENVISIONIST May02         (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 110 15.00    
BABY'S LAST DANCE Jun13 May28 May01 Jan11 Nov10 (zeno benjami)QUILES ANTONIO 115 8.00    
MAGIC BIND Jul07 May10       (broussard vi)MURRAY M 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
LOST MY BAG May29 May13 Apr27 Mar23 Mar08 (ney john)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE May29 May01 Jan13 Nov10 Oct20 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 5.00 44% 1.30    
HARD LUCK HENRY Apr19 Mar14 Feb25 Feb09 Jan13 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 123 3.00    
CADILLAC BO May29 May15 Apr27     (beene jr)STOKES J 115 20.00    
ZACK ATTACK Jun14 May18       (breaux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.50 6% 15.60    
10  CAME OUT KICKIN Dec14 Nov10 May25 Apr29 Feb09 (romero lynn)FLORIAN JOSE 115 20.00    
11  ROCKY BOY Jun15 May29 May10 May01 Apr11 (escobar ali)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 10.00    
12  COLE'S SENSATION May29 May18 Dec15 Nov15 Oct27 (delaho)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.