Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - June 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(2/8/4/7)-(4/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (2/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/7)-(2/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/7)-(2/8/4/7)-(2/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/4/7)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/7)-(4/6/3)-(5/4/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(5/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(5/4/3/8)-(5/8/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (5/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/8)-(5/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/8)-(5/4/3/8)-(5/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/8)-(5/8/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/8)-(5/8/6/7)-(4/1/7/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-5   WIN (5/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/7)-(5/8/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/7)-(5/8/6/7/4)-(5/8/6/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/6/7)-(4/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/7)-(4/1/7/5)-(8/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (4/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/5)-(8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/5)-(8/1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/5)-(8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   06/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL GIRL Jun08 May06       (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 124 8.00    
I'M ALL MIXED UP Jun11 May22 May13 Feb23 Jan11 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 7% 13.40    
MY LITTLE MIA Feb15 Jan11 Jul27 Apr14 Feb18 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 119 2.50    
CHATAIN'S FLYER May13 Jan19 Dec30 Nov24 Oct27 (vincent ja)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 10.00    
COMMUNICATIONISKEY Jun08 May13 Apr16 Apr03 Mar02 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 4.50 14% 6.10    
CECE WAVE May24 May04 Apr24 Apr05 Mar09 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  WHERE'S AUNT J Feb24 Dec13 Nov16 Nov03 Oct12 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 124 4.00    
 
LAD-2   06/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRADO'S PRIORITY Mar01 Jan25 Jan12 Dec08 Nov04 (degeyter ra)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 2.50    
CHARCO Jun04 May08 Mar08 Feb17 Jan20 (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
RISKTAKER Jun13 May25 May09 Apr19 Feb08 (degeyter j)ROSIER R 124 8.00    
CARLOS PUNCH May22 Apr13 Mar22 Mar06 Feb08 (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
WAR SONG Feb07 Jan19 Dec19 Nov01 Aug11 (washington ri)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 12.00    
HAIL STATE Jun03 Mar30 Mar15 Feb24 Feb03 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 124 12.00    
BIG SCULLY May16 Mar14 Jan11 Dec14 Sep11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
RECKLESS RANSOM May15 Mar14 Feb07 Dec21 Dec03 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
LAD-3   06/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Jun11 Jun03 May25 Jan19 Dec15 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00    
WHACUDPOSBLYGOWRNG May27 May08 Apr12 Feb22 Jan19 (henry eric)BOREL H 121 10.00    
STOMPING HOTROD Jun12 May20 Apr12 Mar17 Mar03 (altamira)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MR. CLUTCH Apr16 Apr04 Mar13 Feb12 Jan06 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
ADIOS CARLOS Mar21 May15 Feb04 Oct20 Aug21 (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00    
COLT FICTION Jun03 May21 May03 Apr12 Mar02 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
FOOLISH STEVE May11 Apr10 Dec30 Dec08 Oct21 (gibson jonas)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.00    
 
LAD-4   06/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPPY T May13 Feb17 Jan19 Dec14 Nov08 (lara jorge)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50    
STONECOAT May29 May13 Feb10 Jan19 Dec20 (fogarty desmond)WADE LYNDIE 124 10.00    
BAD BRAD May08 Apr19 Mar22 Feb09   (johnson hen)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 12.00 13% 6.50    
NATIVE REQUITE May28 May13 Jan12 Nov30 Oct21 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
A TRUE TARGET May29 Mar15 Mar01 Jan11 Dec21 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 43% 1.30    
FRENETIC DAY May13 May04 Apr01 Jan11 Dec19 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00    
SCR  ALPHIN May04 Feb16 Dec14 Nov15 Oct26 (ramirez julio)HERNANDEZ V 124 6.00    
MY STORY May22 May09 Apr18 Feb22 Feb02 (tillis e)FLORIAN JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-5   06/25/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE TIZWAY Jun04 May15 Feb24 Feb10 Dec27 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00    
DISCREET SMILE Feb18 Feb02 Sep09 Aug20 Jul01 (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50    
ANN'S STORM Jun12 Feb25 Feb17 Feb02 Jan05 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 10.00    
SEE SASSY RUN Feb24 Feb09 Jan19 Dec19 Nov04 (morris)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00    
MARIAH'S CANDY May19 Mar20 Mar01 Dec08 Nov13 (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 57% 0.80    
SKYKAT Jun17 Mar14 Feb22 Jan27 Dec10 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 9% 10.70    
TRIPLE L'S CUTTER May27 Apr26 Apr07 Mar28 Mar10 (hewitt michael)BOREL H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHE TOLD YOU SO Jun05 May21 Mar24 Feb23 Dec30 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 2.50 13% 6.60    
T R'S FIRST Jun05 May20 Apr26 Apr07 Mar24 (hibdon n)WADE LYNDIE 119 15.00    
 
LAD-6   06/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN DOLLARS May04 Feb10 Jan26 Jan01 Dec17 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
LIVE AFFAIR Jun01 May04 Feb08 Jan20   (lara jorge)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00    
FLASH N CLASS May28 Mar16 Feb22 Feb08 Jan12 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50    
GUTZY Jun10 May16 Mar24 Feb08 Dec02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.00 27% 2.80    
RISING KOTO STAR Jun12 May29 May01 Mar15 Feb24 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
DEE'S LEGS Jun12 May18 May08 Apr25 Mar13 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 10.00    
PARTY AT JAYS May22         (washington ri)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
LAD-7   06/25/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER TONE Jun04 May07 Apr07 Mar10 Feb18 (romero gerald)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.50 19% 4.10    
  (by TONALIST out of BELLA FLOR by EUROSILVER)
RUNNIN MUNNIN Jun04 May09 Mar07 Feb09 Jan21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RUNNINWITHTHEWIND by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ICE'M UP BOYS         (felks r)WADE LYNDIE 117 5.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of FEARLESS LEADER by SUAVE PROSPECT)
SCR  TWO WEEKS NOTICE May14         (vincent ja)RAMIREZ JR 115 15.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of REFRESHING by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
PAINTED SUNDAY Jun03 May15 May06 Apr04 Mar06 (fogarty )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STORMY SUNDAY by SIR CAT)
YOU'RE ON MUTE Jun12 May04 Apr14 Feb11 Jan06 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50    
  (by ENTICED out of C M VICTORIA ROSE by THUNDER GULCH)
REV TOO May27 Apr21       (milligan all)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of NOMINATIVE by JOHAR)
DISTORTED MATH Apr25 Jan13 Dec18     (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 53% 0.90    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of KIDDARI by SMARTY JONES)
SCR  WHISKEY WITH YOU May29 May07       (cravens ronnie)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of MOVES LAST SUNSET by SAHM)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.