Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - May 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(8/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(8/2/4/7)-(3/9/10/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (8/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/7)-(8/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/7)-(8/2/4/7)-(8/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/4/7)-(3/9/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4/7)-(3/9/10/4)-(6/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/9/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/10/4)-(3/9/10/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/10/4)-(3/9/10/7/4)-(3/9/10/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/10/4)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/10/4)-(6/4/3)-(4/2/8/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(4/2/8/9/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(4/2/8/9/6)-(5/9/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/2/8/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/9/6)-(4/2/8/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/9/6)-(4/2/8/9/6)-(4/2/8/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/8/9/6)-(5/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/9/6)-(5/9/7/4)-(3/2/7/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/9/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/7/4)-(5/9/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/7/4)-(5/9/7/4)-(5/9/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/7/4)-(3/2/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/7/4)-(3/2/7/6)-(5/6/7/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6/9)-(3/2/7/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/7/6)-(5/6/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU YEARS Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 Aug31 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MALIBU LOVE by MALIBU MOON)
QUEEN SABINE May17 Apr19 Jan27 Jan05 Dec15 (contreras javi)REYNOLDS C 122 12.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
NEEDLES COOKIE Apr18         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of JILTED RUNAWAY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
GHOSTLY ANNA Apr27 Apr19 Mar08 Feb10 Feb02 (atkins e)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50    
  (by GHOSTLY MINISTER out of ADDING ALPHA by EVEN THE SCORE)
QUINN ELIA May17 Apr19 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of UNMISTAKABLE by MALIBU MOON)
DAY DRAMA May02 Apr06       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GROUSE GRIND by FIRST SAMURAI)
TINA'S BACK May02 Apr06       (shanley mark)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of SWEET CANE by LAABITY)
 
CT-2   05/24/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRLS PERFUME May03 Mar27 Mar06 Feb15 Feb03 (tuomisto )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.80    
STRONG WILLED May02 Apr06 Feb29 Feb01 Oct26 (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
STORMI VANNA May02 Apr04 Mar06 Feb14 Nov30 (locklear james)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00    
VAN HOOK May02 Apr11 Mar15 Feb24 Jan24 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
PLAYING FOR TWO Apr18 Mar30 Mar21 Mar02 Feb24 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
LADY SPARROW Feb23 Feb01 Jan10 Dec06 Nov09 (conn p)REAP E 122 30.00    
LIL BOUGIE May02 Mar02 Feb10 Jan26 Nov30 (figgins)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
WINDSOR'S MEMORY May03 Mar27 Mar21 Mar02 Jan26 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
CT-3   05/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Apr12 Mar21 Feb29 Feb08 Dec08 (pickett)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
SCR  FLAMING EAST Sep30 Aug10 Jun03 May13 Apr06 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00    
NEVER COMPROMISE Apr04 Mar07 Feb07 Dec16 Nov22 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 67% 0.50    
MISTER WINSTON May03 Mar21 Feb04 Jan14 Dec24 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
CLAW May05 Mar29 Mar16 Feb16 Feb09 (maldonado joe)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50    
URBAN BANDIT May02 Mar22 Mar01 Feb09 Jan24 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
PROTA Apr20 Mar27 Feb14 Jan25 Jan03 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
ROCKY DICE May03 Apr28 Mar30 Mar09 Feb03 (horn el)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
CAPE LOOKOUT May03 Apr12 Mar23 Mar02 Jan25 (delong ben)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 5% 18.20    
10  LOADED SNIPER Mar27 Feb14 Jan25 Nov22 Oct20 (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   05/24/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ARM May07 Apr29 Mar27 Mar21 Feb29 (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 8.00    
TIZ NO CLOWN Dec22 Nov29 Oct21 Aug27 Jul29 (atkins e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
FIBER STRONG Feb29 Nov30 Aug04 Jul08 Jun22 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TEACHINTHERELEASE Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 Dec08 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
WOODLINE Mar27 Feb29 Jan13 Dec08 Oct05 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 6.00    
LITTLE ROO ROO May09 Nov16 Oct28 Oct14 Sep21 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.40 48% 1.10    
SILVER FRONT Sep09 Aug25 Aug17     (huffman kenneth )ACOSTA D 116 30.00    
 
CT-5   05/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOKI'S LIGHTNING May04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 (carlisle john )REYNOLDS C 124 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BEAR'S LIGHTNING by MARIA'S MON)
JOLENES ECLIPTICAL May03 Mar27       (stites w)ACOSTA D 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of COUNTRY WOLF by CITY WOLF)
MONSTER SUMMER Aug18 Aug11       (reynolds joan)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 12.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MONSTER SLEEPING by ORATORY)
AVALANCHE IS COMIN May03 Apr12 Mar22 Mar01 Feb15 (rofe jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.40 36% 1.80    
  (by GET STORMY out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
BOBBI TWO STEPS May10 Apr20 Apr04 Mar13 Oct28 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of UPTOWN BABE by RICHTER SCALE)
WAC IS FAST May03 Apr20 Mar27 Mar02 Aug23 (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of WAC by LOST SOLDIER)
KIMSFAVORITESTORM Apr13 Mar23 Dec15 Nov24 Aug24 (hunt ja)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY WEST by GONE WEST)
SENZA FINE Jan26         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.00 12% 7.30    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ENDLESS SEA by MT. LIVERMORE)
SUGGAFREE DAIQUIR         (rangel ricardo)BAEZ M 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLANK CHECK out of SUGARFREE LOLLIPOP by GUNNERSIDE)
10  DEE DEE SIX May03 Mar27 Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 (cipriano robert)BOCACHICA O 118 20.00    
  (by DON SIX out of BEACH BADGE by MEDALLIST)
SCR  LADY TOURIST         (locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
  (by TOURIST out of CARA DURA by WAR FRONT)
SCR  ANNIE'S KINGDOM Sep06 Aug25 Aug17 Jul20 Jul01 (huffman kenneth )ACOSTA D 124 20.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of MICA STREET by STREET HERO)
 
CT-6   05/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAGLER Apr21 Mar15 Jan10 Dec10 Nov27 (collins tim)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
JAZZ WITH DENIS May10 Apr18 Mar23 Mar06 Feb10 (gomez r)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
RAGTIME RICHES Apr27 Apr06 Mar15 Feb23 Jan25 (barber donald )REYNOLDS C 122 6.00    
RRACE DAY WARRIOR May13 Apr28 Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 (smith osborne)REAP E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
IMPERIAL KING Apr13 Jan05 Sep06 Aug17 Apr29 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  BACKATYA Apr25 Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 Jan10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80    
EKATI'S VERVE Apr12 Mar30 Mar18 Feb02 Jan13 (mancill)BRICENO GREGOR 120 4.50 12% 7.00    
PYEONG CHANG May02 Mar20 Mar01 Feb09 Jan03 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
RIDICULOUS Apr12 Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 Jan10 (brown w)ACOSTA D 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
CT-7   05/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRUMPY'S BUDDY May09 Apr13 Mar14 Dec09 Nov18 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00    
DORADO May09 Apr20 Mar29 Mar08 Feb01 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 2.00 29% 2.40    
LADY RAMBO May04 Apr19 Mar20     (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 115 2.50 31% 2.20    
SUMMONING DENIS Apr13 Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
O'RIGSBY Mar09 Feb03 Jan04 Nov18 Nov01 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 20.00    
MOON FALL Apr13 Mar14 Dec13 Nov30 Nov11 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
GREATANDGOOD Apr13 Mar30 Mar14 Feb17 Nov30 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 18% 4.70    
MY BOY CLYDE Apr13 Mar23 Oct12 Sep17 Nov05 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
MAKIN' GOLD May09 May02 Apr13 Nov01 Oct21 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
SCR  SARAH'S CANDY CAMP May18 Apr13 Mar29 Nov02 Oct13 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 118 5.00    
11  CANDY FOR JUBA Apr19 Mar14 Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 116 15.00    
 
CT-8   05/24/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWISS HORIZON May02 Apr11 Mar06 Feb07 Jan13 (pyke joseph)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOLD INDY May02         (gomez a)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 109 15.00    
SCR  CANDY TRICKS Apr18 Mar20 Feb23 Feb16 Feb02 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 1.20    
VIESTE Apr20 Mar14 Feb01 Jan11 Jan05 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 124 30.00    
CEDAR'S IMAGE May02 Apr06 Oct06 Sep15   (greaves vernon)REAP E 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
BLUSHING BIP BOP May02 Apr11 Mar14 Feb23 Feb14 (stehr j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
LIZZY LOU Apr20 Apr11 Mar06     (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 124 5.00 16% 5.40    
ITSUPTOME Oct06 Sep21 Jun17 May19 Apr28 (boykins kevin)MAYHEW W 124 20.00    
AFIRE Feb22 Nov17 Aug04 Jul14   (locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.