Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Friday - May 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-1   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(2/3/1)-(3/5/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(3/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(3/5/4/1)-(4/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-3   WIN (3/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/1)-(4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/1)-(4/7/1)-(1/5/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-4   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(1/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(1/5/3/2)-(9/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-5   WIN (1/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/2)-(9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/2)-(9/3/1)-(7/3/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-6   WIN (9/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/1)-(9/3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/3/1)-(9/3/1/7)-(9/3/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/3/1)-(7/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/1)-(7/3/1/4)-(2/4/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-7   WIN (7/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/4)-(2/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-8   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-1   05/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DELACINA Apr05 Feb19       (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 122 1.80    
  (by DOMINUS out of TRACY RACY by ALGORITHMS)
CLASSIC CASH Jul21 Jun30       (fett brandi)ROMAN KEVIN 122 15.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of ANNIEBEAR by TALE OF THE CAT)
HANKS GIRL Sep17 Sep04       (jacquot gene)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
  (by PALACE out of AINTNOSHAKIN by CROSS TRAFFIC)
NATUSIA Aug21 Jul21       (von hemel)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BIG N LUCKY by POLLARD'S VISION)
MY HEART'S ON FIRE Jun19         (fett brandi)CORBETT W 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MY HEART'S LOVE by A.P. INDY)
WICKED HOT FOOT Jul01 Jun12       (young nic)TRIANA JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of AMPLY REWARDED by GRAND SLAM)
STYLISH STYLE         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 4.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of UNIQUE STYLE by SUPER SAVER)
 
PRM-2   05/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26.078K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPINE DUCHESS Aug04 Jul21       (arnett g)BACON W 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
CREME DE CASSIS Mar31 Jun09 May12 Mar16   (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.00 58% 0.70    
TOMMY'S CRUE Aug21 Jul31       (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 2.50 11% 8.30    
SHESGOTSPIRIT Sep15         (compton jesse)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
BETH'SWICKEDSMACK Sep15 Sep02 Aug13     (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 124 10.00    
MY FOUR POINT OH Apr10 Mar27 Dec13 Nov29 Nov10 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.00    
 
PRM-3   05/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45.831K) 3 F PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SORCERER'S GIRL Sep30 Sep11 Aug25 Jun30   (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CUPIDS SWEETY Sep08 Jul21 Jun19 Jun04   (martinez )DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
CEL'S STAR Sep30 Sep01 Aug12 Jul08 Jun19 (hicklin christin)TOHILL S 120 2.00 49% 1.10    
DREAMIN IT UP Sep30 Sep17 Sep01     (schutz pam)BACON W 115 5.00 9% 10.30    
JAYDENSQUEENOHARTS Sep30 Sep08 Aug12 Aug04 Jul21 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 120 3.00 11% 8.00    
C'MON LUCKY Sep30 Sep04 Jul31 Jun30   (von kelly)CORBETT W 120 3.50    
ANCHORS AND SPURS Sep08 Jul07 Jun04     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 10.00    
 
PRM-4   05/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR RASCAL Apr15 Sep25 Sep17 Aug13 Jul24 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of OH LOVELY by VICTORY GALLOP)
CODE ONE Aug13 Jun23 May27 May12 Apr01 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of RAFAELINI by BERNARDINI)
MACHO STRIKER Apr27 Mar28 Mar15 Jan26 Apr21 (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 124 8.00    
  (by MACHO ROCKET out of LIL MS RAZORBACK by PRIMARY SUSPECT)
MUSEUM QUALITY Apr28 Apr06 Mar01 Jan25 Dec05 (martin timot)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of EXECUTIVEPRIVILEGE by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  LUCKY'S SECRET Apr07 Mar30 Dec27 Dec07 Oct23 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CAUSARA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
OKIE CLIPPER Apr26 Apr14       (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 118 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SECRET FILE by SMART STRIKE)
GO THE DISTANCE Apr14         (anderson l)TOHILL S 118 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by DOMINUS out of BELLA COACHELLA by FAVORITE TRICK)
 
PRM-5   05/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY'S HAULER Apr13 Feb21 Dec30 Nov18 Oct19 (arnett g)BIRZER E 125 2.50 51% 1.00    
VYING EDGE Apr21 Mar29 Mar09 May06 Apr16 (schleis c)DE CRUZ 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
IMPRESSOR Apr27 Apr12 Mar02 Jul17 Jun26 (jordan j)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 3.50 5% 18.80    
BORDINOS Apr12 Mar16 Mar02 Feb09 Sep11 (martin timot)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.00    
BARBERSHOP Dec07         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 18% 4.60    
GRAPHENE CASSOCK Apr27 Apr06 Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 (arnett g)TOHILL S 125 5.00    
CONSTITUTION DAY Mar03 Oct27 Oct07 Sep24 Aug28 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 125 15.00    
EXPLOSIVE PRIDE Apr22 Sep02 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 125 20.00    
 
PRM-6   05/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($47.122K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUCCESSION (GB) Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul29 Jul17 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
RUNNING ALEX'SBAND Sep30 Sep04 Aug12 Jul16 Jun23 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 12.00    
TOSKA'S RULER Sep11 Aug25 Jul23 Jul02 Jun23 (martin e)BIRZER E 121 10.00 29% 2.40    
C R INSTA GATOR Sep30 Sep11 Aug12 Jul22 Jun26 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00    
LAWLESS JOHN Oct27 Sep30 Aug12 Jul29 Jul10 (murphy)FLETCHER D 121 15.00    
SCR  CALL ME Q Jun03 May13 Apr14 Mar19 Aug22 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 121 5.00    
BIG PINES SANDY Sep30 Sep04 Aug19 Aug07 Jul16 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 4.00    
SCR  REDNECKERTHANYOU Sep30 Sep04 Aug06 Jul17 Jun19 (martinez )DE CRUZ 121 3.00    
GOLD TAPPER Sep30 Sep09 Aug06 Jul07 Jun25 (fett brandi)ZIMMERMAN R 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
PRM-7   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASTINGS SUNRISE Apr20 Mar23 Mar09 Dec13 Oct08 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 116 10.00 8% 10.90    
BIG LUKE Jul22 Jun03 May13 Oct01 Sep12 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
DEVIL'S TOWER Feb23 Jan05 Dec17 Sep23 Aug20 (hernandez arman)COHEN DAVID 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
TIME MACHINE Apr27 Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
CONCEPT Apr19 Mar14 Feb10 Nov18 Apr15 (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 117 15.00    
SCR  COMISKEY PARK Apr16 Mar30 Dec31 Oct21 Aug01 (hernandez)DE CRUZ 123 3.00    
DIAMOND RIM Apr23 Feb29 Feb15 Jan29 Dec20 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
SHOULDABOUGHTDABAR Apr20 Sep23 Sep07 Jul22 Jul02 (murphy)FLETCHER D 117 20.00    
DOCTOR OSCAR Mar23 Feb10 Oct28 Oct06 Sep09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 3.50    
 
PRM-8   05/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKYHOTSTUFF Oct26 Sep15 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 (arnett g)TOHILL S 121 5.00    
AUNT NADINE Apr12 Mar30 Mar17 Mar02 Sep22 (schutz pam)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 12.00 51% 1.00    
ACELA EXPRESS Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 Feb07 Jan04 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 3.00    
PRINCESSOFCHITOWN Apr19 Oct27 Oct22 Oct01 Sep23 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 15.00 21% 3.70    
GIRLS IN CHARGE Mar29 Mar01 Feb01 Nov01 Sep23 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
GLAMOROUS LIFE Oct08 Sep22 Sep04 Jul21 Jun30 (martinez )DE CRUZ 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
IVY ABAD GIRL Oct21 Sep23 Sep17 Aug18 Jul31 (arnett g)BACON W 116 12.00    
SCR  TIZ HOPPIN Apr14 Mar29 Mar01 Feb24 Feb16 (compton j)TRIANA JR 124 10.00    
SCR  DIAMOND OF EKATI Sep23 Sep08 Aug20 Jul10 Jun24 (wellington tom)CORBETT W 121 4.00    
10  BREW CASA Mar24 Sep15 Aug25 Jul31 Jul23 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.