Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - May 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(7/5/1)-(6/1/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(6/1/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(6/1/9)-(7/2/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/9)-(6/1/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/9)-(6/1/9/8/5)-(6/1/9/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/9)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/9)-(7/2/1/3)-(2/8/9/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/3)-(2/8/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/3)-(2/8/9/7)-(2/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/8/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/7)-(2/8/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/7)-(2/8/9/7)-(2/8/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/9/7)-(2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/9/7)-(2/1/7)-(1/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(1/3/2)-(2/10/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(2/10/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/10/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/1)-(2/10/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/1)-(2/10/1/6/7)-(2/10/1/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXY SISTA Oct14 Sep09 Aug25 Aug03 Jul01 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 0.80 56% 0.80    
2  BULL'S LEGACY Apr18 Apr06 Mar06 Feb14 Jan12 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
3  JUMPIN JACK BRASS Dec14 Nov25 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 11% 8.00    
4  YES TO LOVE Apr27 Feb28 Feb15 Jan04 Dec15 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 116 6.00    
5  LUCKY BOP Feb28 Feb01 Dec14 Sep30 Sep09 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  FRENCHIES GOLD Feb28 Jan31 Nov04 Oct13 Sep09 (runco c)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
 
CT-2   05/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Apr13 Apr06 Mar08 Feb15 Jan24 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  BEAR'S ESTATE Apr13 Feb29 Feb08 Jan18 Nov02 (garrido raul)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 20.00    
3  JUST A FLIRT Aug03 Jul13 Jun01 May19 Apr27 (mcgill sy)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
SCR  DEVIL'S CANYON Feb08 Jan18 Nov07 Oct31 Oct11 (meyers sh)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00    
5  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Apr13 Mar13 Feb21 Jan31 Dec01 (greaves vernon)REAP E 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
6  KING OF LUCK Apr13 Mar21 Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00    
7  HARDLY EVER BETTER Mar22 Feb02 Nov01 Oct21 Sep28 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 0.60 66% 0.50    
 
CT-3   05/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PETTY PERFECT Oct27 Sep21       (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 4.00 8% 12.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
2  K'S LANEE         (cuttino mari)WHITACRE GRANT 124 15.00    
  (by MACHEN out of REYORO by BALLADO'S GOLD)
3  SMART WINDSOR         (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 124 10.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SMART MOVES by SMARTY JONES)
4  COUNT THE FLOWERS         (atkins michael)CHILO MAXIMO 124 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
5  PRINCESS OF GOLD Apr18         (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00 ★    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of SPUNKY MONKEY by FOREST DANGER)
6  AIM'S REDIRECT May02 Apr19 Apr06     (reggetts st)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.80 65% 0.50    
  (by REDIRECT out of EVEN AIM by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  WILLAWILD         (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 10.00    
  (by JUBA out of RACING WILDLY by WILD AND WICKED)
8  TRUE BUCKPASSING Apr18 Mar14 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 (sanders)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 ★    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of METAL FIRECRACKER by LITE THE FUSE)
9  CLASSY FOE         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by FRIEND OR FOE out of CLASSICA by PURE PRIZE)
 
CT-4   05/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST VIRGINIA Mar20 Feb28 Dec13 Nov25 Oct18 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00 16% 5.30    
2  WINDSOR'S PLAY Apr12 Mar20 Mar02 Feb21 Feb08 (rideout anthony )ACOSTA D 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
3  HONEYCAMP Apr26 Apr05 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Apr19 Apr06 Mar28 Feb01 Jan10 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
5  KATALIMA Mar22 Mar07 Feb07 Jan03 Dec13 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00    
6  VICTORY ROYALE Apr12 Mar22 Feb28 Feb03 Jan03 (delong)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 1.80    
7  MISS LAUREN Apr12 Mar14 Feb24 Feb07 Jan03 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 18% 4.50    
 
CT-5   05/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARMA BUS Apr13 Mar06 Feb23 Dec16 Nov29 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
2  JUDGEMENT DAY Mar09 Feb01       (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 0.80 58% 0.70    
3  MAKIN' GOLD May02 Apr13 Nov01 Oct21 Sep28 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
SCR  RIDE THE BRAND Apr05 Mar13 Feb24 Feb14 Jan13 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 12.00    
5  SCARE DEM Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 Jan12 (pyke joseph)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 120 30.00    
6  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Mar07 Dec06 Nov18 Nov01 Oct18 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
7  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Apr13 Mar14 Dec09 Nov18 Oct27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  DORADO Apr20 Mar29 Mar08 Feb01 Jan05 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 9% 10.50    
9  TREASURER Mar02 Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 Dec01 (meyers madi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 9% 10.70    
 
CT-6   05/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELIGHTFUL BREEZE Mar20 Feb14 Feb01 Jan12 Dec30 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 5% 18.00    
2  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Mar09 Feb16 Jan04 Dec16 Nov10 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 0.60 68% 0.50    
3  SHINELIKEADIAMOND Feb18 Jan13 Dec10 Dec03 Nov20 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 ★    
4  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Apr25 Mar20 Mar09 Feb21 Feb08 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 113 20.00    
5  ELARY Nov15 Oct30 Mar01 Jan01 Dec14 (delong ben)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
6  DING DING Mar20 Feb22 Feb02 Jan05 Dec02 (sanderson s)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
7  FORTES Feb16 Jan26 Jan04 Nov10 Oct25 (reynol)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  VALID REASON Mar09 Feb16 Jan25 Dec02 Nov10 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
 
CT-7   05/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAYJAYDEE Apr12 Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Mar22 Feb07 Dec07 Oct28 Oct14 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LITTLE ROO ROO Nov16 Oct28 Oct14 Sep21 Aug25 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
4  GUN COLLECTOR Apr18 Mar16 Feb23 Feb08 Dec14 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 4.00    
SCR  JUNGLE BEAST Apr12 Mar22 Dec07 Nov18 Oct14 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
6  QUALIFLY Mar15 Mar02 Feb08 Jun21 Apr27 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
SCR  BOSS E BOOGS Apr20 Mar27 Feb23 Feb07 Jan12 (wilhel)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00    
8  ZEN MASTER Apr12 Feb16 Jan26 Dec13 Nov18 (murdock s)CARRASCO R 120 4.50    
 
CT-8   05/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAINBOW DAY Apr18 Mar21 Feb29 Feb08 Jan10 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LOST WEEKEND Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 Dec01 Nov09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 71% 0.40    
SCR  REBEL WARRIOR Apr18 Mar21 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 8.00    
4  GLENHOLME Apr19 Mar29 Dec01 Nov10 Nov03 (garrido raul)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
5  GOLDEN ADAGE Apr18 Mar23 Mar15 Feb29 Feb16 (caison l)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
6  BIG SMILE Apr20 Mar29 Feb16 Feb08 Jan19 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 ★    
7  HERE COMES RUSTY Apr18 Mar28 Mar09 Mar02 Feb09 (schott)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.50 ★    
8  AIR KENNEY Apr19 Mar30 Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
9  ZAP MAN Nov30 Nov10 Jul09     (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
10  LIGHTNING LAD Jan12 Dec22 Nov23 Oct28 Oct06 (milosevic milan)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 6% 15.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.