Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (7/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/6)-(3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/6)-(3/7/1)-(7/1/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(7/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(7/1/5/8)-(10/3/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/9/8)-(7/1/5/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/5/8)-(10/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/8)-(10/3/2/5)-(9/3/4/2/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (10/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/2/5)-(10/3/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/2/5)-(10/3/2/5/4)-(10/3/2/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/3/2/5)-(9/3/4/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/3/2/5)-(9/3/4/2/10)-(9/5/10/6/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (9/3/4/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/2/10)-(9/3/4/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/2/10)-(9/3/4/2/10)-(9/3/4/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/4/2/10)-(9/5/10/6/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4/2/10)-(9/5/10/6/2)-(7/9/11) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-6   WIN (9/5/10/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/10/6/2)-(9/5/10/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/10/6/2)-(9/5/10/6/2)-(9/5/10/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/10/6/2)-(7/9/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/5/10/6/2)-(7/9/11)-(1/9/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/9/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/11)-(7/9/11/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/11)-(7/9/11/2/5)-(7/9/11/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/9/11)-(1/9/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/11)-(1/9/3/6)-(9/5/4/10/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/6)-(1/9/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/6)-(1/9/7/3/6)-(1/9/7/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/3/6)-(9/5/4/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/5/4/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/4/10/1)-(9/5/4/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/4/10/1)-(9/5/4/10/1)-(9/5/4/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS PLACE Mar27 Mar06 Feb03 Jan19 Dec24 (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 6.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  BEYOND REPROACH Apr04 Mar23 Feb28 Jan10 Dec27 (seale)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 10.00    
3  TRIPLE START Sep09 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 May28 (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.50 9% 10.10    
4  FOOD BANK HELPER Mar20 Feb28 Sep04 Jul30 Jul08 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 117 3.00    
5  FREELANCE Mar10 Feb17 Jan14 Aug11 Apr29 (manning j)BRACHO A 122 15.00    
6  FAST N STEADY Jul21 Jul01 May20 Apr28 Mar22 (gonzalez javie)COTTO L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MISTER MOORE Mar23 Feb21 Dec31 Dec15 Nov11 (d'angelo jos)MENESES MARCOS 122 4.00 48% 1.10    
8  GONNA BE EPIC Apr19 Mar29 Feb28 Feb14 Jan19 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 122 5.00    
 
TAM-2   04/27/2024 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTSKARI Mar23 Feb23 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HERMOSO HOMBRE Feb02 Jan06 Dec10 Sep03   (romero rafael)IORIO MELISSA 113 15.00    
3  EVERDOIT Apr10 Mar24 Mar17 Mar09 Feb10 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
4  BATI KING Feb02 Jan13 Dec20 Nov01 Oct13 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 10.00    
5  SHEER DELIGHT Mar17 Feb21 Jan19 Dec22 Oct29 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50    
6  REAL SENSATION Mar23 Mar17 Jan28 Jan10 Dec27 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.00    
7  CATIRE VIZCAYA Mar09 Feb16 Oct14 Aug26 Jul20 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
TAM-3   04/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAPID ROY         (paramo martin)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00 17% 4.70    
2  BAILAMOS Apr06 Mar03       (orseno joseph)IORIO MELISSA 115 3.50    
3  STRAY PRINCE Feb23 Dec30       (santillana fr)SOSA LAUREANO 120 30.00    
4  IRON STREETS Apr19 Mar29 Feb18 Jan28 Jan10 (gardea abrah)ARROYO S 120 20.00    
5  BROMISTA         (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00 17% 4.70    
6  JOSH'S DRAMA Mar08 Feb23 Feb07 Jan10 Dec13 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 6.00    
7  MY NOBLE KNIGHT Apr17 Mar27 Mar08 Feb07 Dec27 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 1.20 40% 1.50    
8  GRAND ROZZO Jan26 Dec24       (barbo)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  PEYTON'S DAY Mar23 Mar03 Jan28 Jan10 Oct29 (rodriguez ange)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 ★    
 
TAM-4   04/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEY RIVER Apr12 Mar20 Feb24 Jan12 Dec16 (david carlos)ARROYO S 125 3.00    
2  NANGA PARBAT (GB) Apr03 Mar24 Feb21 Aug05 Jul13 (saville niall)EVANS CECILY 123 12.00 11% 7.90    
3  IM STILL BRAVE Apr07 Mar24 Mar08 Feb23 Feb09 (torres)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 118 5.00 14% 6.10    
4  SWIFT DANCER Apr19 Mar20 Feb07 Jul14 Jun16 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 125 20.00 ★    
5  KID EMERALD Apr05 Mar08 Feb17 Jan17 Dec31 (d'angelo jos)MENESES MARCOS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  NOMAR'S HOPE Apr14 Apr05 Mar17 Feb17 Jan24 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 125 30.00    
7  VENEZUELAN FEELING Apr19 Mar17 Feb28 Feb04 Aug06 (yanez reynald)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 30.00    
8  RED'S MR Z Aug26 Aug03 Jul09 Jun24 May29 (rarick lynn)SPANABEL SKYLER 125 30.00    
9  ART HANDLER Apr05 Mar17 Feb23 Jan12   (moysey chelse)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 20.00    
10  ALCAZABA (IRE) Apr07 Mar08 Feb21 Jan27 Jan07 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  JERSEY GREGG Dec01 Oct06 Aug27 Jul29 Jun04 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 4.50    
SCR  TIMO Apr05 Feb28 Jan24 Dec16 Oct22 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 125 6.00    
 
TAM-5   04/27/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR DANIEL Mar30 Mar13 Mar01 Feb16 Feb02 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 124 20.00    
2  CODE ENFORCER Apr05 Mar06 Feb02 Jan14 Dec29 (sacco gregory)SOSA LAUREANO 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIDNEY'S BID Apr13 Feb23 Feb09 Jan26 Jan10 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 117 4.00 19% 4.20    
4  UNXPECTED TIGER Apr13 Mar30 Mar13 Feb21 Feb02 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 122 3.00 9% 10.50    
5  SKY TRAVELER Apr13 Mar30 Apr22 Apr12 Mar19 (lusk r)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
6  DIAL HIM UP Apr14 Mar30 Mar03 Jan24 Jan06 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00    
7  AMBUSHED Apr06 Jan26 Jan06 Nov22 Oct28 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 122 10.00    
8  UNIQUE PATH Mar30 Mar10 Feb24 Jan21 Jan06 (rhone bernell)FERRER C 122 30.00    
9  RANSEUR Apr07 Mar01 Feb21 Feb07 Jan21 (carvajal )MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 2.00 47% 1.10    
10  POSEIDONS MYTH Apr13 Mar30 Jan21 Jan06 Dec22 (ubide max)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DUKE OF DOOLY Apr20 Mar30 Mar17 Mar01 Feb17 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 124 15.00    
SCR  MAGIC HOOH Apr20 Apr10 Mar20 Feb21 Feb02 (richar)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 4.00    
 
TAM-6   04/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R D BLESSING Apr06 Mar23 Mar03 Feb03 Jan28 (drake robert)MBATHA LUCKY 116 30.00    
2  BELLA ROMANCE Apr21 Apr06 Mar23 Mar03 Feb18 (mcgoey)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PINK ROSE Mar10 Feb21 Jan03     (sacco gregory)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.00    
4  PAMZ PALACE Apr10 Feb18 Jan25 Jan03 Dec22 (pickett cryst)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 15.00    
5  TESHIMA Apr10 Mar06 Feb18 Feb07 Jan27 (allen lisa)FUENTES MARIO 123 5.00 18% 4.40    
6  ALGARCA Mar30 Mar02 Feb09 Dec31 Mar16 (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 123 4.00 10% 9.10    
7  QUEEN AIKO Apr14 Mar22 Feb23 Feb04 Dec29 (laurato m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 20.00    
8  COZYS PALACE Apr13 Apr28       (puckett dwi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 8.00    
9  MISS FABIANA Apr10 Mar23 Mar10 Mar02 Jan24 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 118 6.00 34% 1.90    
10  CHRIS'S MOTOWN GAL Apr14 Apr06 Mar23 Mar02 Jan24 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 118 6.00 11% 8.40    
11  SUSIE'S SAVER Apr12 Mar22 Mar02 Feb14 Jan27 (paragallo j)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 10.00    
 
TAM-7   04/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORD FOR WORD Oct13 Aug27 Jul23 Jul12 Jun25 (rodriguez dar)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 15.00    
2  TARHE Apr14 Mar30 Feb09 Jan05 May31 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 118 3.50 ★    
3  VERY DEBONAIRE Apr14 Mar27 Feb11 Feb03 Dec17 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 30.00    
SCR  ADIOS BUCCANEER Apr14 Dec21 Dec03     (o'connell kathl)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
5  DIVINING STONE Apr14 Mar27 Mar06 Feb07 Jan21 (lopez )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 30.00 ★    
6  LORD OF THE NILE Apr19 Mar30 Mar01 Feb16 Jan06 (dobber arnoud)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00    
7  FESTINATE Mar29         (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 50% 1.00    
8  NAPOLEON'S WAR Apr03 Feb24 Dec17 Oct28   (moysey chelse)SOSA LAUREANO 122 4.00    
9  HEATHGUARD Mar30 Dec01 Oct28 Oct04 Sep02 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
10  ROLLERCOASTER MAN Apr07 Oct11 Sep02 Jul22 Jul07 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 30.00    
11  FIRST SLEW Apr13 Mar20 Feb28 Feb02 Dec24 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A TOUCH OF HAIL Feb25 Feb02       (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 6.00 36% 1.80    
  (by GIRVIN out of SHAMROCK STAR by STAR GUITAR)
2  MARYVIC         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 8.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SONG OF ME by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  CHANGE THE PLAY Mar09         (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of FORT AFLEET by NORTHERN AFLEET)
4  TREE C'S KAI         (puckett dwight)MBATHA LUCKY 113 12.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of STORMY UNION by DIXIE UNION)
5  TEASING Oct08 Jul21 Apr22 Mar13 Feb06 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 125 2.50    
  (by TAPIT out of APPEALING ZOPHIE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  OPEN SKY Apr03 Feb25 Dec06 Jun30 Apr19 (ubide max)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of QUEEN OF SCOTS by IMPEACHMENT)
7  PERILOUS Mar29 Feb23 Jan26 Dec26 Nov25 (d'angelo jos)MENESES MARCOS 120 4.00 ★    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RECEIVERSHIP by END SWEEP)
8  KEEP ON ROCKIN Apr03 Feb25 Jan26 Dec13 Oct13 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 125 6.00    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of ROCKAROUNDTHEDOCK by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
9  LADY LALA         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by GIRVIN out of ALLYOUNEEDISLOVIN by HIGH COTTON)
 
TAM-9   04/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIKI BAR Apr06 Mar10 Feb25 Jan19 Dec29 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA PANDA Oct10 Oct03 Sep06 Aug28 Aug10 (cooper)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 30.00    
SCR  AIN'T NONCENTS Apr14 Mar30 Mar16 Feb18 Jan21 (gardea abr)URDANETA J 118 20.00    
4  DAMASO Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Jan21 Sep01 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 2.50 11% 8.50    
5  TYPEY Mar30 Feb24 Jan27 Jun10 May27 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 14% 6.00    
6  CLOUD STORAGE Apr06 Feb24 Feb07 Jan20 Jan03 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 113 12.00    
7  EVITA Mar16 Jan21 Jan03 Sep07 Aug09 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
8  DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Mar20 Feb10 Dec22 Nov24 Sep22 (miranda luis)ARROYO S 122 12.00    
9  GRAY VIXEN Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Feb01 Dec20 (ryan s)FERRER C 118 4.50 38% 1.60    
10  LOST MY SOCK Nov05 Oct12 Sep02 Aug18 Aug03 (ryan s)SPIETH S 118 12.00 9% 10.40    
11  ROSARIO'S PRAYER Mar02 Jan21 Oct18 Aug09 Jul09 (cordero anton)LUGO D 118 15.00    
12  CLOUDY BAY Mar30 Feb11 Jan12 Dec23 Sep30 (moysey chels)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
13  MORENA DANCER Apr14 Apr07 Mar16 Mar03 Feb18 (marrero nest)ARROYO S 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.