Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(2/1/5)-(7/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(7/4/6)-(5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(5/1)-(8/6/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(8/6/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(8/6/7/2)-(3/1/8/9) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2/3)-(8/6/7/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/7/2)-(3/1/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7/2)-(3/1/8/9)-(3/6/1/2/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/9)-(3/1/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/9)-(3/1/8/9)-(3/1/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/9)-(3/6/1/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/9)-(3/6/1/2/9)-(3/2/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/6/1/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/2/9)-(3/6/1/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/2/9)-(3/6/1/2/9)-(3/6/1/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/1/2/9)-(3/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/2/9)-(3/2/7/4)-(7/10/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/4)-(7/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/10/2)-(7/10/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/10/2)-(7/10/2/1/4)-(7/10/2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON ROSE Mar16 Feb16 Jan31 Jan03 Dec20 (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 20.00    
2  BEATIFUL KARLA Apr10 Mar02 Feb17 Feb03 Oct14 (d'angelo jose)IORIO MELISSA 120 2.50 ★    
3  GRAYTANA Sep17 Aug26 Jul22 Aug21 Jul31 (gulick james)MENESES MARCOS 123 3.00 64% 0.60    
4  NOVELLIE Feb03 Jan05 Dec14 Oct29 Aug11 (aguayo ra)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  VINGATIVA Apr12 Mar24 Feb15 Jan10 Dec17 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.50    
6  WILD ARMY BRAT Apr12 Feb16 Feb03 Dec06 Oct06 (mendieta ale)ARROYO S 123 6.00    
7  VALIANT VICTORIA Apr07 Oct19 Oct09 Oct03 Sep19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 4.00 8% 11.70    
 
TAM-2   04/26/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEAUX YOSHKA Apr17 Mar09 Jul22 Apr15 Jan22 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 13% 6.80    
2  EMBER Mar22 Feb14 Jan26 Jan14 Dec20 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 2.50 58% 0.70    
3  POLITICAL RIOT Apr06 Feb25 Feb14 Jan20 Jan05 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 8.00    
4  THE BEARRISH ONE Apr07 Mar17 Feb04 Jan19 Jan05 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 119 3.50    
5  VILLAGE PREACHER Mar22 Feb25 Feb02 Dec22 Dec06 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRAPPEZOID Mar17 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 May20 (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
7  GHOST STALKER Mar22 Mar03 Jan06 Sep13 Aug03 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 3.00 ★    
 
TAM-3   04/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUT INSTINCT Mar23 Feb21       (roque elis)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 30.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FINE INSTINCTS by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  LATIN FORCE Apr05 Mar23 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 (house gary)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 30.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of WAVELAND by WOODMAN)
3  OUT OF FAVOR (IRE)         (brown ch)GALLARDO A 120 1.80 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  BIG COMMERCE Mar20 Feb14 Jan11 Dec10 Nov03 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 126 1.50 37% 1.70    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SHE'S A WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
5  NO PLEBEIAN Apr12 Mar31 Feb29 Jan28 Dec31 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of GABRIELLA'S DANCE by HAL'S IMAGE)
6  SECRET TREASURE Jan17 Dec23 Jun09 May14 Apr08 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SACRISTY by GODSWALK)
7  MAGISTRATE Mar20 Feb14 Jan17 Dec28 Dec02 (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ECCENTRIC SPINSTER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
TAM-4   04/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEA ART Apr03 Mar16 Jan21 Dec20 Sep17 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  ATHENA'S WISDOM Apr03 Feb24 Jan19 Dec20 Nov19 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 115 4.50    
3  SADIE BABY Oct06 Aug27 Jul28 Jun23 Jun02 (mcburney pat)ARROYO S 118 15.00    
SCR  IMMORTALLOVE Mar31 Feb17 Dec20 Oct24 Oct03 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 8.00    
5  NIGHT CAP Apr05 Mar09 Jan13 Dec23 Aug29 (bennett s)FERRER C 122 1.20 50% 1.00    
SCR  RED HOT MESS Feb11 Dec17 Oct30 Oct05 Aug24 (moysey chelsey )CENTENO E 118 5.00    
 
TAM-5   04/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENEZUELAN FAITH Feb07         (d'angelo jos)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00    
2  INSPIRING HONOR Apr12 Mar17 Mar01 Jan28 Jan10 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BIGLY DEAL Apr12 Mar10 Jan12 Aug06 Jul08 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 120 12.00 ★    
4  STRAIGHTOUTTAOCALA Mar08         (wasiluk p)HERRERA R 120 20.00    
5  MAGNUS EFFECT Apr12 Mar17 Mar01 Jan28   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 20.00    
6  ICONIC ROCK Apr12 Mar08 Feb18 Jan28 Dec30 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 115 2.50 21% 3.80    
7  CHASENTHEONE Apr12 Mar17 Mar01 Feb16 Jan31 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 2.00 14% 6.00    
8  WHY NOT ME Apr05 Jan26 Dec24 Oct11 Sep05 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
9  TREASURE FLAY Apr12 Mar29       (smith rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 15.00    
10  MR. RUIZ Jan10 Nov24 Sep09 Aug25   (parra h)TORREALBA LUIS 120 20.00    
SCR  RAPID ROY         (paramo martin)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00    
SCR  BROMISTA         (deaton wil)CARDOSO MARCELLO 120 20.00    
SCR  GRAND ROZZO Jan26 Dec24       (barbo)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
SCR  PEYTON'S DAY Mar23 Mar03 Jan28 Jan10 Oct29 (rodriguez ange)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
 
TAM-6   04/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINGO WAS HIS NAME Mar23 Feb25 Feb02 Jan12 Dec20 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 116 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  PAPA KATZ Oct08 Sep23 Aug27 Aug06 Jul28 (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 15.00    
3  WOW WISH Apr12 Mar24 Mar10 Feb14 Dec23 (simone m)GALLARDO A 121 4.50 29% 2.40    
4  G G'S DARK STAR Apr13 Apr06 Dec31 Oct12 May27 (cascallare)URDANETA J 116 20.00    
5  ERUDITE (FR) Mar01 Feb24 Jan26 Dec13 Jun30 (cascallares nestor)DIAZ S 121 15.00    
SCR  TOOMUCHAINTENOUGH Apr12 Mar03 Jan31 Jan12   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00    
7  JEST ABOVE Apr12 Mar24 Mar10 Feb21 Feb10 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 121 15.00    
8  THAT MAGIC MOMENT Apr06 Mar24 Feb28 Feb23 Feb07 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 12% 7.50    
9  MEROKEE Apr12 Mar10 Feb10 Jan13 Jan15 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 116 8.00 11% 8.00    
 
TAM-7   04/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHLAND HOLIDAY         (harty eo)GALLARDO A 120 10.00 9% 9.90    
2  CHANNEL'S DAUGHTER         (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 120 12.00 9% 9.90    
3  ROMANTIC STORY Dec02         (clement c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  WINE AT MIDNIGHT         (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00    
5  VAI GATTINA Mar15 Feb17 Jan28 Jan05 Dec02 (pickett cryst)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00    
6  TRES FRANCAIS         (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.50 12% 7.10    
7  FASHIONABLE KITTY Apr10         (o'connell kathl)CENTENO E 120 6.00    
8  SONADORA GIRL Jan28 Nov19 Oct20 Sep22   (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
9  PRINCESS GLADYS Apr05 Mar15 Feb10 Dec20   (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  FUTURE FORTUNE Apr14 Apr05 Mar15 Feb02 Jan14 (dobber)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 30.00    
 
TAM-8   04/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEACH NECTAR Apr12 Mar14 Feb14 Dec23 Dec01 (barboza v)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 4.00    
2  CIRCLE THE MOON Mar24 Feb14 Feb10 Dec30 Nov11 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
3  SMART JOKER Apr03 Mar20 Feb16 Jan10 Dec20 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  ETRETAT Apr06 Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 Jan13 (wasiluk pete)ARROYO S 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BAD HENRY Apr06 Mar24 Mar10 Mar01 Feb09 (wasiluk peter )LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00    
6  MY NAME'S JEFF Apr06 Mar22 Feb23 Jan07 Oct18 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 111 20.00    
7  RUSSIAN HAMMER Apr12 Apr03 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 (smith g)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 17% 4.70    
8  PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Apr12 Oct20 Apr21 Mar23 Feb17 (moysey chelse)SOSA LAUREANO 121 8.00    
9  NO PROBLEM JOE Apr03 Mar27 Mar08 Feb25 Sep29 (mcgoey moni)SPANABEL SKYLER 116 15.00    
 
TAM-9   04/26/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSES BY LIAM Mar23 Sep09 Aug12 Jul15 Jun10 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 12.00 ★    
2  RONSTADT Feb25 Jan24 Sep21 Aug19 Jul22 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  READY TO FLY Jan24 Dec23 Dec01 Sep04 Jul30 (mcburney pat)ARROYO S 119 6.00    
4  LORD EDDARD STARK Mar24 Feb22 Jan27 Dec09 Oct21 (orseno joseph)IORIO MELISSA 114 6.00 ★    
5  LALOBA FEROZ Apr07 Mar16 Feb16 Nov24 Oct20 (cascallares ne)COTTO L 114 15.00    
6  COPAZO Sep09 Aug18 Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 (ochoa gerard)DELGADO DAVID 119 30.00    
7  HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Mar24 Mar10 Feb16 Jan27 Dec10 (connelly)GALLARDO A 119 1.80 65% 0.50    
8  ANGEL'S MAGIC Dec09 Oct15 Sep09 Aug17 Jul16 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 15.00    
9  EPIC LUCK Apr13 Mar17 Mar03 Feb11 Jan10 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 12.00    
10  STARSTRUCK NOTION Oct14 Sep03 Jul23 Jun18 Jun03 (mcburney patric)CENTENO E 119 5.00 10% 8.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.