Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - April 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(4/2/1)-(4/7/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-5   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(7/5/2)-(6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M HIM Jan06         (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of I LIKE IT by HENNY HUGHES)
SAMURAI WAY Jan10 Dec12 Oct25 Oct06 Sep09 (barton am)CORREA L 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TEXAS AGGIE by NALEES MAN)
PARTY POOPER Apr01 Mar09       (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of INTERCOASTAL by GEMOLOGIST)
LEMON DROP HERO         (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of LION BELLE by LION HEART)
ENTICED BY CHANCE         (anderson s)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 4.50 25% 3.10    
  (by ENTICED out of THIRD CHANCE by KAFWAIN)
 
BTP-2   04/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO HANG CHARLIE Nov01 Oct03 Sep08 Aug23 Aug12 (woodbury judy)CANUTO THIAGO 125 3.50    
PANORAMA TRUCK Mar20 Mar09 Jan27 Jan11 Dec22 (acevedo israel)OUZTS W 125 4.00 17% 4.90    
GOLDEN TEXT Mar20 Feb29 Jan31 Dec22 Dec07 (clark lee)MURGIA A 125 3.00    
LORD REVELSTOKE Mar28 Mar16 Feb02 Dec14 Oct10 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
MALTHAEL Mar30 Mar16 Jan05 Dec14 Dec01 (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
BTP-3   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3 F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE IS DYNAMIC Sep22 Sep08       (donjuan sergi)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of AMERIBELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
JUBILEE BEN PLAYIN         (bogart robert)CANUTO THIAGO 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
  (by THE PLAYER out of JUBILEE PARTNER by PARTNER'S HERO)
MINESTRESS Mar01 Dec30       (brafford mi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50    
  (by MINESHAFT out of MATH CLASS by EDDINGTON)
FREE AS A BREEZE Jun15         (cowans wi)CORREA L 123 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MY FAST FRIEND by FRIENDS LAKE)
LIPSTICK N LASHES Feb14 Jan17       (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 3.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of LIPSTICK STAIN by ARROMANCHES)
 
BTP-4   04/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY MAN FREDDY Mar22 Feb17 Jan31     (jordan rick)BUSH V 119 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of BACK TO LOVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
HIGH ALERT Apr12 Mar02 Jan25 Jan06 Nov30 (howard d)MCKEE J 119 3.00    
  (by CONNECT out of HARD TEN HOPPING by ROCK HARD TEN)
LEAD ACTOR Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 Jan11 Dec15 (quezada ino)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 12.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of IMPOSING GRACE by EMPIRE MAKER)
MONEY MEMOLO Feb15 Dec28       (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.50 38% 1.70    
  (by WAR FRONT out of LA MANTA GRIS by LEMON DROP KID)
MOON CHARGER Mar28 Feb28 Feb14 Feb02 Jan11 (alvarez ner)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MOON KITTY by WILDCAT HEIR)
TEN BITS Mar07 Feb23 Jan18 Dec21   (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 5.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
OATHBREAKER Mar21         (margolis stephe)MOJICA JR 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of GOOD TO KNOW by CANDY RIDE)
 
BTP-5   04/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3 ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINO LUX Apr05         (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 118 4.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LUXURIOUS by AWESOME AGAIN)
MANSION PARTY Mar09 Jan25 Jan09 Nov27 Nov07 (short thomas)MURGIA A 123 10.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
EL GUNNER         (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of COZZETTE by COZZENE)
SCR  MASCOT         (anderson s)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 5.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of FULL ORBIT by MIDSHIPMAN)
RIVER BOAT         (drury jr)MCKEE J 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MIDNITE PARTY by MR. GREELEY)
OVER MY LIMIT Mar07 Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of FOLLOW BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
HEAVY HITTER Mar28 Mar16 Mar06 Feb01 Jan04 (hester haley)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE PLAYER out of CAYANNA by MASTER DERBY)
 
BTP-6   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THISPOINTINTIME Mar27 Mar09 Feb07 Jan11 Dec27 (morelos mateo)ZONETT KEYNER 123 12.00    
FAST FELIX Mar27 Feb23 Feb07 Jan13 Dec27 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 3.50    
DIGITAL SOFTWARE Mar09 Feb29 Feb07 Jan13 Dec22 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 123 4.00 57% 0.70    
SCR  JAHEZ Mar27 Mar02 Feb17 Feb08 Jan25 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
KICK ROCKS KID Mar27 Feb28 Feb14 Jan18 Dec28 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPYSECRET Jan05 Sep29 Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 (alessi jame)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 6.00    
HESTON Mar27 Feb14 Jan13 Dec27 Nov29 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.00 10% 8.70    
 
BTP-7   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITURGIA Mar29 Feb29 Feb01 Dec15 Nov13 (alessi jame)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 10.00    
SPARE A DIME Mar28 Feb15 Feb07 Jul12 Jun21 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSIC JULIA Sep06 Aug08 Jul11     (green troy)COLON H 117 5.00    
PEACH STREET Aug07 Jul14 Jun25 Jun02 Feb19 (knippenberg b)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.50    
MRS. DEL Mar29 Jan26 May18 Apr01 Mar12 (ginter jr)MCKEE J 123 3.50 15% 5.60    
PRIX Mar15 Feb07 Jan10 Nov24 Nov01 (alessi james)PANAIJO JORGE 117 6.00    
TO A T Mar15 Feb10 Feb02 Dec31 Dec14 (wilensky sa)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
BTP-8   04/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDNECK AGENDA Mar06 Feb15 Dec30 Nov29   (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 125 12.00    
NEXT DOT Mar20 Feb24 Jan17 Dec06 Aug20 (hancock dana)BAYS BROOKE 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
LANDY Mar15 Feb29 Jan17 Dec30   (smith larry)COLON H 119 10.00    
FABULOUS PHILLY Jul21 Jul08 Jun10 May27 May12 (tomlinson )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 8.00    
YEHAWMEMAW Jan10 Jul20 Jul06     (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 4.50    
CANOPY Feb01 Jan13 Dec23 Sep06 Aug19 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 2.50 75% 0.30    
SCR  BEAKER Mar20 Feb21 Dec23     (acevedo israel)MURGIA A 119 3.50    
TOP HAT TIGRESS Mar20 Feb14 Feb02 Jan17 Dec27 (adams l)HESS SARA 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.