Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - April 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/9/5)-(2/8/4/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/4/5)-(6/2/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/5)-(6/2/8/1)-(3/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/8/1)-(3/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8/1)-(3/9/1)-(9/5/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/1)-(3/9/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/9/1)-(3/9/1/6)-(3/9/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/9/1)-(9/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/1)-(9/5/1/4)-(3/4/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (9/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/1/4)-(9/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/1/4)-(9/5/1/4)-(9/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/1/4)-(3/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/5/1/4)-(3/4/2/1)-(2/7/6/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1/5)-(3/4/2/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/2/1)-(2/7/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/1)-(2/7/6/4)-(9/8/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/4)-(9/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/4)-(9/8/7/4)-(9/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (9/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/7/4)-(9/8/7/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/7/4)-(9/8/7/4/10)-(9/8/7/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/8/7/4)-(9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/7/4)-(9/6/7)-(8/2/3/4/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (9/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/7)-(9/6/7/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/7)-(9/6/7/10/2)-(9/6/7/10/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/6/7)-(8/2/3/4/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/2/3/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/4/10)-(8/2/3/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/4/10)-(8/2/3/4/10)-(8/2/3/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIAN TOWN ZIP Jan17         (james gerald)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 30.00    
2  HUNNY BUNNYNESS         (ness jamie)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
3  CASUAL CAUSE Mar30         (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 115 5.00    
4  GETS ON BASE         (rodriguez da)BATISTA A 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
5  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 Feb17 Jan28 (munoz carlos)FERRER C 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUNA SOL Mar27 Oct10 Sep27     (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 120 4.00    
7  SAHISH Mar17 Feb28 Jan07 Sep06 Aug25 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
8  STYLISH ANNA Apr06 Mar17 Mar02 Jan24 Jan07 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 4.50 18% 4.70    
9  BEACH ISLAND Mar22 Mar09 Sep21 Sep09 Aug25 (raven )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   04/17/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT A KNOCKOUT Mar02 Feb08 Jan17 Dec29 Dec16 (puckett dwigh)MORALES PABLO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  TOODALOO Y'ALL Mar30 Mar24 Mar03 Feb18 Jan17 (simone m)GALLARDO A 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  GOLDCREST Jan11 Dec08 Nov05 Oct02 Sep13 (d'angelo jos)MENESES MARCOS 124 2.50    
4  MO TOWN ANNIE Mar30 Mar02 Feb04 Sep04 Aug11 (wilson tony)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 30.00    
5  FLORINDIA Mar15 Mar03 Feb18 Jan31 Jan06 (rodri)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00    
6  SHE'S SO BEARRISH Mar29 Feb18 Feb01 Jan12 Jan04 (gatis chris)IORIO MELISSA 121 3.00 32% 2.20    
7  KILLARGUE'S GIRL Mar30 Feb21 Jan31 Dec31 Dec15 (miranda luis)ARROYO S 124 12.00    
8  DREAM TRAP Mar09 Feb14 Jan18 Dec22 Dec01 (orseno)VASQUEZ ANGEL 124 8.00 15% 5.90    
 
TAM-3   04/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GULF COAST GIRL Mar30 Feb28 Feb09 Jan13 Jan03 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  IDA DE NILE Mar30 Nov06 Oct16 Sep27 Aug28 (falk jacquelin)MBATHA LUCKY 113 30.00    
3  PRINCESS ALESKA Mar13 Feb17 Feb04 Dec31 Dec02 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 120 1.20 57% 0.70    
4  JERSEY FACTOR Mar15 Jan24 Jan03 Dec02   (dini mike)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
SCR  MISS TARISANSOL Feb25 Jan25 Dec29     (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 120 6.00    
6  TOUGH DAME Mar10         (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 115 15.00 ★    
7  NEW BABY Mar23 Jan21 Dec24 Dec03 Oct29 (gonzalez javie)COTTO L 120 30.00    
8  WORTH THE SUM Mar30 Mar15 Jan31     (gonzalez javi)LUGO D 120 20.00    
9  AWARD TOUR (IRE)         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
TAM-4   04/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGGI         (hunt donald)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00 13% 6.70    
2  BLACK AND SILVER Mar20 Dec24 Dec06 Oct29 Oct15 (dobber)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 116 30.00    
3  FINAL NOTE Mar03 Feb03 Dec31 May05 Apr19 (miranda luis )IORIO MELISSA 118 30.00    
4  TOUCHED BY QUALITY Mar06 Feb04 Jan11 Dec02   (cordero ant)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUNA AMARILLA Mar23 Mar03 Feb03 Jan20 Dec30 (marrer)ROJAS EDUARDO 125 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  R FIREBIRD Mar17 Mar02 Jan07 Nov18   (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50    
7  BEAUTIFUL ASTRAY Mar03 Aug09 Feb12 Dec01 Jun09 (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 125 6.00    
SCR  DON'T TELL AMY Oct06 Aug16 Jul07 Feb19 Dec18 (lopez mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 115 3.00    
9  BINGO'S DREAM Feb24 Feb01 Dec22 Dec02 Sep15 (delgado jose)ARROYO S 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
TAM-5   04/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAR ABOVE Apr06 Mar02 Feb09 Jan13 Dec31 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PARTY DREAM Feb25 Feb09 Dec15 Aug03 Jul08 (barbazon)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 5% 18.50    
3  NOBODY'S ZAPPER         (ness jamie)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.50 63% 0.60    
4  RAPID MISS TAPIT Feb11 Jan21 Dec31 Nov25 Oct26 (picket)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 4.00 7% 13.80    
5  TABOR TIME Apr06 Jan26 Dec23 Nov18 Sep23 (crook-demasi)ARROYO S 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  FORTUNATA Apr06 Mar29 Mar15 Sep09 Aug26 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 122 30.00    
7  CORAZONA Jan18 Dec17 Nov24 Nov03   (march william)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 30.00    
8  MOST DIVINE Jun24 Apr30 Apr12 Mar24 Feb25 (bowersock ma)GARCIA GEOVANY 122 15.00    
9  AWESOME EMPRESS Dec17         (guciardo kath)IORIO MELISSA 117 15.00    
10  READY SET ADIOS Apr03 Feb25       (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 8.00    
 
TAM-6   04/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMING IN STYLE Mar16 Feb18 Oct01 Sep09   (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 4.00    
2  PRETTY'N AWESOME Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 Dec31 Jul29 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
3  SPEIGHTFUL SIS Mar16 Feb16 Jan19 Sep17 Jul01 (richar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 3.50    
4  WHEELINGNDEALING Mar23 Mar02 Jan20 Dec24 Oct28 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  KIKILOVE Mar16 Feb07 Jan21 Dec31 Nov25 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 5.00    
6  WAIT A SEC Mar30 Mar02 Jan31 Dec27 Aug23 (torres pablo )IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00 14% 6.00    
7  OUR FANTASY Apr05 Mar13 Feb23 Feb04 Jan17 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 118 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
TAM-7   04/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTOFTHEDARK Feb23 Feb02 Dec27 Dec08 Sep09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00    
2  KARAOKE Mar23 Feb16 Jan27 Jul28   (orseno)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 15.00    
3  EL PRINCIPITO Mar23 Mar09 Feb10 Jan13 Dec20 (laurato micha)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00    
4  LORD KNOWS Mar24 Feb28 Feb02 Dec27 Nov22 (dini mike)CENTENO E 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  KING FALIERO Mar17 Feb02 Dec30 Nov11 Oct14 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 10.00    
6  BRUSH RUSH Mar23 Mar01 Feb18     (smith robert )IORIO MELISSA 113 20.00    
7  EHSAAN Mar23 Feb28 Jan21 Jan03 Dec24 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 4.00 14% 6.30    
8  DEEP STRIKE Feb28 Feb02 Dec27 Sep25 Sep07 (granitz anth)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 23% 3.30    
9  FIDELIGHTCAYUT Feb02 Dec27 Sep04 Aug13   (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.50 40% 1.50    
10  ELEVATED GAME Mar15 Feb28 Jan28 Dec15 Nov25 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 ★    
 
TAM-8   04/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH BROW Mar22 Mar08 Mar01 Feb09 Jan20 (simone m)GALLARDO A 118 3.00    
2  GEAUX YOSHKA Mar09 Jul22 Apr15 Jan22 Dec10 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 4.50 ★    
3  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 Jan17 Dec27 (wilson tony)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 15.00    
4  KHOZANDO Apr03 Mar22 Mar09 Feb23 Jan26 (rice k)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 8.00    
SCR  EXPRESS PHAROAH Apr05 Feb25 Jan24 Dec29 Dec01 (rivera xavier )COTTO L 118 8.00    
6  MR TITO'S Mar20 Mar01 Jan28 Apr20 Mar25 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 118 8.00 37% 1.70    
7  GRAN RUNNER Apr03 Nov19 Sep24 Aug28 Jul05 (barboz)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  VOLTAMOUR Mar01 Oct14 Sep07 Aug10 Jul15 (mcgoey mo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
9  AUGER Feb14 Jan15 Oct23 Oct06 Sep18 (rivera xavier)ALVARADO JR 118 6.00 38% 1.60    
10  HIGH YIELD KITTEN Apr03 Feb28 Jan26 Jan12 Oct23 (cahill steven)IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00 ★    
11  OLD TOWN ROAD Mar09 Feb25 Jan05 Nov22 Jul22 (nunez maurici)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 30.00    
 
TAM-9   04/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY LAST TRY         (motion grah)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of THE RIGHT PEW by PULPIT)
2  BOARD OF DIRECTORS         (brown c)CENTENO E 120 4.50 12% 7.10    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SWEET DELIGHT by REAL VALUE)
3  MY NOBLE KNIGHT Mar27 Mar08 Feb07 Dec27 Dec01 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00 10% 8.80    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of MOVE OVER NOW by MUCHO MACHO MAN)
4  ZIMBAWEE         (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00 7% 12.80    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of JULIETTE AVA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  INTOLERABLE Mar29 Feb29 Feb03 Jan06 Sep14 (ramos jua)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 30.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of IT'S MO TIME by UNCLE MO)
SCR  ZEKE'S HEART Feb24         (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 3.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of EMERALD GAL by GILDED TIME)
7  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST Aug24         (delgado jose)ARROYO S 120 6.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of HOT SPARK by SCAT DADDY)
8  JOHN THE BAPTIST         (brown ch)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ANGEL STAR by DARK ANGEL (IRE))
9  RED ROADSTER Jan27         (hunt donald)ALLEN D 120 30.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of RIDGESTER by CACTUS RIDGE)
10  LAST RUN Apr06 Mar23 Mar01 Feb23 Feb03 (james gerald)IORIO MELISSA 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of CARMENS HALO by HALO'S IMAGE)
11  KILLARGUE BLESSED Mar29 Sep01       (kintz m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 30.00    
  (by KILLARGUE out of VERA VERDI by COSA VERA)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.