Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - March 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(10/2/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(10/2/5/9)-(2/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (10/2/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/5/9)-(10/2/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/5/9)-(10/2/5/9)-(10/2/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/2/5/9)-(2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/2/5/9)-(2/3/1)-(3/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(3/6/5)-(5/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(5/4/2)-(8/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-5   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/9)-(5/4/2/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(8/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(8/1/3)-(7/8/6/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/3)-(8/1/3)-(8/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/3)-(7/8/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3)-(7/8/6/9)-(3/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/8/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/9)-(7/8/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/9)-(7/8/6/9)-(7/8/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/6/9)-(3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/9)-(3/8/6)-(1/3/9/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/6)-(3/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/6)-(3/8/6)-(3/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/8/6)-(1/3/9/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/3/9/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/6/4)-(1/3/9/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/6/4)-(1/3/9/6/4)-(1/3/9/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUWANNEE CHICK Feb24 Jan27 Jan07 Dec16 Sep09 (parra he)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SING SCAT Mar08 Feb07 Jan28 Jan03 Dec13 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
3  CUPIDS DREAM Nov17 Oct26 Oct13 Oct06 Aug19 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.00    
4  DRILL'S VALENTINE Jan19 Dec15 Nov25 Jul01 Jun09 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
5  ANOTHERDAYGONEBY Mar08 Feb14 Dec24 Sep22 Jul30 (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
6  SNEAKY CHEEKY Mar02 Feb14 Jan31 Dec30 Dec09 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 2.00    
 
TAM-2   03/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANNEEL Feb04 Jan03 Dec20 Dec02 Oct21 (laurato mic)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 5.00    
2  TOURIST STYLE Mar08 Feb21 Feb07 Dec29 Dec02 (mcgoey monica)DIAZ S 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  CAT FIVE ANNIE         (galvan ba)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
4  ESTRELLA KIARA Dec31 Dec15 Sep16     (avila juan)ORDONEZ R 120 4.50    
5  PIZZICATO Mar10         (ryan s)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 12.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  CLASSY LIL BETTY Feb28 Feb07 Aug18     (rountree cathy)BUSH V 120 10.00    
7  LIME TREE Feb17 Jan28 Jan20     (james geral)VILLASMIL EDGAR 120 30.00    
8  NEW BABY Jan21 Dec24 Dec03 Oct29   (gonzalez jav)MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00    
9  FUMBLEROOSKI Feb28 Feb04 Dec26 Nov05 Sep23 (orseno joseph )CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MUSTHAVEBEENLOVE Mar01 Feb03 Dec24     (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 113 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
TAM-3   03/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYERA Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 Jan06 Dec15 (aguayo ramon)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00 17% 4.90    
2  QUEEN ARELLA Feb23 Jan31 Dec30 Oct20 Oct03 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 113 1.60 39% 1.60    
3  LI'L MISS CAMILLE Feb11 Dec31 Dec06 Aug06 Jun18 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 118 2.50 18% 4.40    
4  WHEELINGNDEALING Mar02 Jan20 Dec24 Oct28 Sep17 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 4.50    
5  ONE TOUGH DAME Feb24 Feb03 Dec31 Dec20 Nov25 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 15.00    
6  TAKE CHARGE CHLOE Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Oct20 Sep28 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 3.50    
 
TAM-4   03/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPLE SAUCY Apr29 Mar16 Feb18 Jan26   (schistl rafa)BATISTA A 125 10.00    
SCR  SHE'S SO VOCAL Mar03 Feb18 Feb03     (barron rory)WALKER M 125 4.50    
3  MISS FABIANA Mar10 Mar02 Jan24 Dec22   (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
4  BLACK BULLET Mar02 Feb21 Jan31 Dec22 Nov22 (roque elis)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
5  MS EXCUSE Nov22 Nov08 Oct08 Sep13 Sep06 (gonzalez javie)CAMACHO SAMY 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUNA AMARILLA Mar03 Feb03 Jan20 Dec30 Dec16 (marrero n)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
7  LA DE PELUCHE Jul07 May28 Sep10     (avila carl)OLIVERO A 125 8.00    
8  RAICHU Mar16 Mar02 Feb07 Jan07 Aug25 (avila car)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-5   03/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MI DINERO Feb28 Feb09 Sep09 Aug11   (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
2  REAL SENSATION Mar17 Jan28 Jan10 Dec27 Dec08 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 2.00 5% 19.00    
3  BRUSH RUSH Mar01 Feb18       (smith robert )IORIO MELISSA 111 12.00    
4  EHSAAN Feb28 Jan21 Jan03 Dec24   (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
5  MAGIC HEART Feb02 Dec22 Oct08     (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
6  BEYOND REPROACH Feb28 Jan10 Dec27 Nov24 Nov12 (seale)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00    
7  AYE CALYPSO Feb18 Feb03 Jan05 Dec24 Dec02 (rarick ly)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
8  KARAOKE Feb16 Jan27 Jul28     (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
9  EL PRINCIPITO Mar09 Feb10 Jan13 Dec20 Dec02 (laurato mic)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  ELEVATED GAME Mar15 Feb28 Jan28 Dec15 Nov25 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 118 3.50    
 
TAM-6   03/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTSKARI Feb23 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul02 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 1.80 17% 5.10    
2  REMERTON Mar06 Feb18 Feb03 Jan21 Dec24 (dobber arnoud )MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
3  LATIN FORCE Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 Sep09 Aug26 (house gary)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHY NOT ME Jan26 Dec24 Oct11 Sep05 Jul03 (hutchison-ha)ARROYO S 120 4.50    
SCR  AWESOME FANTASY Feb28         (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
6  GRAY MEDALLION Mar03 Jan19 Dec30     (bourke john)STANLEY O 120 15.00    
7  D BUCKAROO Feb16 Jan28 Jan10 Dec13 Nov24 (jones douglas)IORIO MELISSA 113 20.00    
8  CURLINS CRUZIN Feb29 Feb03 Jan05 Nov24 Oct14 (joseph saff)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 2.00 61% 0.60    
 
TAM-7   03/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARFLY Feb21 Feb02 Jan07 Dec24 Dec01 (ferraro antho)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 5.00    
SCR  TIMO Feb28 Jan24 Dec16 Oct22 Sep28 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 122 6.00    
3  ADIOS JOE Feb21 Dec23 Jan07 Sep24   (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 122 20.00    
SCR  WICKED TURTLE Feb28         (sims monti)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
5  NOBLE HERO Feb02 Jan10 Dec23 Dec06   (dobber arnoud)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 30.00    
6  GUT INSTINCT Feb21         (smith ro)HIRALDO JOHN 122 4.00 20% 3.90    
7  BRAGGADOCIOUS Mar03 Feb21 Feb02 Jan12 Dec26 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 2.50 32% 2.10    
8  PRINCE GHOST Mar03 May20 Apr30 Jan11 Nov30 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 115 3.00 24% 3.10    
9  MISTER CHARLIE (FR) Jul01         (rountree cath)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Feb02 Jan24 Dec09 Jul02 Jun04 (paragallo je)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
SCR  TWO MINUTES APART Feb02 Dec23 Dec06 Oct13 Aug23 (crook-demasi k)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50    
SCR  MINTENON Feb02 Dec23 Dec06 Oct13 Sep29 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 122 3.50    
13  INSTIGATING Mar08 Feb09 Jan13 Dec20 Nov22 (spanabel ke)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 30.00    
SCR  SPUNKY BOY Feb23 Feb09 Dec24 Nov22 Oct20 (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 115 30.00    
 
TAM-8   03/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($54.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HURRICANE J Feb24 Dec23 Nov19 Apr07 Feb25 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 118 2.50    
2  DOCTOR OSCAR Feb10 Oct28 Oct06 Sep09 Jul20 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 2.00    
3  SPIKEZONE Mar06 Feb21 Jan06 Dec16 Nov17 (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
4  ROSES BY LIAM Sep09 Aug12 Jul15 Jun10 May27 (padilla tim)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
SCR  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Mar10 Feb04 Dec13 May05 Apr07 (yanez )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 30.00    
6  LITTLE VIC Feb10 Sep03 Jul29 Jul01 Apr08 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAPTURE THE TIME Feb21 Feb04 Dec24 Oct27 Oct14 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00    
8  ABSOLUTE GRIT Feb21 Feb07 May27 Mar08 Feb11 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 118 10.00 18% 4.40    
 
TAM-9   03/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY RIDE Aug31 Aug04 Jun30 Jun22 Jun10 (barron rory)FERRER C 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
2  SENA THE DUCHESS Dec06 Aug30 Aug15 Feb24 Jan22 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
3  TOVIA Feb15 Dec16 Nov25 Oct29 Oct08 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
4  DEVRA WARRIOR Mar03 Jan24 Jan12 Sep19 Jul25 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  PANOLA Mar03 Jan21 Dec22 Dec02 Oct28 (laurato mic)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00    
6  CARSONSTRONG Jan06 Dec26 Nov29 Oct18   (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 111 6.00 8% 11.80    
7  R D BLESSING Mar03 Feb03 Jan28 Jan14 Jan07 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 123 30.00    
8  BELLA ROMANCE Mar03 Feb18 Jan28 Dec31 Dec15 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 123 15.00    
9  CHRIS'S MOTOWN GAL Mar02 Jan24 Jan12 Dec24 Jun30 (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 2.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  GLITTER GIRL Feb18         (hutchison-ha)ARROYO S 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.