Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - March 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(7/1)-(4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/1)-(4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(4/6)-(4/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(4/6/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(4/6/1/7)-(6/8/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/7)-(6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/7)-(6/8/7)-(2/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/7)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7)-(2/6/1)-(7/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/7/1)-(2/6/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(7/2/6)-(3/8/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(3/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/5)-(3/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/5)-(3/8/2/5)-(3/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOP TO A DECISION Jan27 Nov17 Oct26 Oct04 Sep14 (harigeorgiou kons)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
ZUPITA Jan24 Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 Oct07 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
RIVER REWARDS RVF Jan18 Dec13 Nov22 Oct26 Oct13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 0.60 73% 0.40    
LONDON GOLD Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Nov17 Jul15 (hillegass alexan)MAYHEW W 122 15.00    
WATERLOO ROSE Jan24 Jan13 Dec07 Oct28 Oct06 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHUTUPN'KISSME Feb21 Feb07 Jan18 Dec13 Nov02 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00    
 
CT-2   03/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND FIBER Feb14 Jan25 Dec15 Nov09 Oct13 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
GRAND ESCAPE Feb14 Jan25 Jan05 Dec08 Nov25 (viands st)BOCACHICA J 117 4.50    
LION OF THE SEA Feb14 Nov22 Nov02 Sep21 Aug31 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 4.00    
PRIZE FIGHTER Oct25 Oct08 Sep03 Aug16 Aug02 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
SCR  LOADED SNIPER Feb14 Jan25 Nov22 Oct20 Sep30 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
COWBOY AT HEART Feb09 Jan31 Jan10 Oct20 Sep30 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00    
STORM BOARDER (CHI) Feb03 Jan18 Nov03 Oct21 Sep21 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.80 67% 0.50    
 
CT-3   03/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LESLIE'S LAYLA Feb17         (jones michae)MORALES KELVIN 118 10.00    
FROSTY RIA Feb28 Feb07 Jan13     (grams tim)BOCACHICA J 117 3.50    
COLD CASH Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec07 Nov29 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 5.00    
OWE YOU ONE Feb22 Aug12 Jul22 Jul02   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 72% 0.40    
SWISS HORIZON Feb07 Jan13 Nov24 Nov15 Oct25 (pyke joseph)MAWING A 122 20.00    
SWIPE THAT CANDY Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec06 Nov02 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 1.80 5% 19.00    
BIT OF BLESSINGS Feb22 Jan13 Nov24 Nov01 Oct03 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 124 12.00    
 
CT-4   03/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASTLE LIGHTS Feb01 Nov30 Oct05 Sep21 Aug24 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00 8% 11.70    
SUPER WILDCAT Jan13 Dec02 Oct25 Oct05 Sep07 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
BESTLA Feb01 Dec02 Nov10 Oct25 Oct06 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
BAYLIS STREET Feb14 Jan24 Dec07 Oct26 Jul08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
SEEMS TO WHISPER Feb03 Jan13 Jan05 Dec07 Sep16 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
SHENANDOAH CAT Feb08 Jan27 Jan03 Nov30 Jul21 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
ALWAYS SOMETHING Feb24 Feb14 Feb01 Jan12 Dec02 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 6.00 7% 13.40    
 
CT-5   03/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHER FINE JUBA Feb16 Jan27 Jan05 Nov24 Nov08 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 1.80    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
BULL'S LEGACY Feb14 Jan12       (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 116 5.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of SKY'S LEGACY by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  LADY RAMBO         (feliciano)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of EURO INDIAN GIRL by EUROSILVER)
UNITE THE GIRLS Feb02 Jan03       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 4.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of GIRLFRIENONTHESIDE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  PRINCESS OF GOLD         (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of SPUNKY MONKEY by FOREST DANGER)
LIZZY LOU         (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00 26% 2.90    
  (by BOBALICIOUS out of BOP KAT by BOP)
HOLY MOAT Feb23 Feb02       (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
WOODEN SHIPS Jun23 Jun01 Apr20     (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 6.00 20% 4.10    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SAINT PENNY by STREET MAGICIAN)
 
CT-6   03/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPPO TACO Feb14 Nov30 Oct05 Sep15 Aug12 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ESSENTIAL MAGIC Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Nov01 Oct19 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 49% 1.10    
MISS ARGENTINA Feb24 Jan31 Jan04 Dec09 Nov17 (gomez ana)BOCACHICA J 117 10.00    
NEW AGE BAD GIRL Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 Nov01 (hamlin kathleen)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
GIRLS PERFUME Feb15 Feb03 Jan13 Nov22 Oct27 (tuomisto )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.00    
S S CASINO GIRL Feb14 Jan24 Jan11 Dec07 Nov15 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
LITTLEBOURBONGIRL Feb14 Jan27 Jan05 Nov02   (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 6.00    
STORMI VANNA Feb14 Nov30 Nov01 Sep15 Aug18 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
 
CT-7   03/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUMPTY GRUMPTY Jan25 Dec07 Nov06 Sep27 Aug16 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50    
KARMA BUS Feb23 Dec16 Nov29 Nov14 Oct20 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
LEG UP Jan31 Jan04 Dec09 Dec01 Nov18 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK Feb15 Jan31 Nov29 Oct28 Oct07 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
SCR  TREJO Dec13 Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00    
MOONSET Feb22 Feb10 Jan12 Dec22 Nov26 (frock l)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
JAZZ WITH DENIS Feb10 Jan12 Dec16 Nov18 Nov01 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
CT-8   03/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXCLUSIVE ORIGINAL         (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 4.50    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of ORIGINAL GOLD by SLAVIC)
SCR  PORK CHOP PETE         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of STONE COLD FLIRT by YES IT'S TRUE)
WHALE OF A RUN Feb14 Jan13 Dec16 Nov25   (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 1.40 34% 2.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of FOLLOW THE WHALES by CIVILISATION)
RAISE A RUCKUS Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Nov16 Oct19 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 5.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOT CREEK RISIN' by BRING THE HEAT)
MIDNIGHT STROLLER         (shuler r)PELTROCHE F 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of KINDRED SOUL by FED BIZ)
GOLDEN ASSET Dec02 Oct20 Sep29     (mcdonald timot)RIOS-CONDE A 124 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRECIOUS ASSET by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
GETTIN SPICY Feb24 Feb17 Feb02 Dec06 Nov30 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 124 30.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of CEDAR'SGREATNOTION by GREAT NOTION)
HARLEY SIOUX Jan03 Dec02 Nov10 Jul06 Jun10 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.