Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - March 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(4/5)-(3/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(3/1/4)-(5/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(5/6/4)-(9/3/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(9/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(9/3/8/6)-(3/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/8/6)-(9/3/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/8/6)-(9/3/8/4/6)-(9/3/8/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/8/6)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/8/6)-(3/2/6)-(9/7/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(9/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(9/7/6/8)-(9/6/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/8)-(9/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/8)-(9/7/6/8)-(9/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/6/8)-(9/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/5/1)-(9/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/5/1)-(9/6/5/1)-(9/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Sep17 Aug18 Jul25 May11 Apr27 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Feb07 Jan25 Nov22 Oct18 Sep29 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00    
RUFFNER Feb16 Feb03 Jan12 Dec22 Nov26 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00    
GUN FACTOR Feb09 Jan13 Jan04 Dec08 Nov09 (ceciliano mis)BATISTA C 120 5.00    
PINK DINGHY Feb03 Dec08 Aug18 Jul21 Jun23 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Feb23 Feb09 Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 124 0.80 43% 1.30    
 
CT-2   03/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA BOUND Feb10 Jan04 Dec01 Nov09 Oct21 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00    
SETTLEMENT DATE Feb15 Feb09 Jan04 Dec08 Nov30 (gomez ana)BOCACHICA J 117 12.00    
SCR  TRIPLE BAD Feb10 Nov30 Nov16 Jan26   (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.60    
TIMMY Feb10 Jan04 Nov29 Nov09 Sep27 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
COLT ROCK Feb10 Jan04 Dec08 Nov29 Oct16 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 4.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  SHAMELESS APPEAL Oct27 Sep02 Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 (soldo elain)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
 
CT-3   03/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALMARY Feb17 Jan27 Jan12 Dec10 Nov26 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  WORTH A PEEK Jul02 Jun13 Dec04 Nov15 Oct26 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 124 1.40    
WINDSOR'S PLAY Feb21 Feb08 Jan18 Jan03 Dec13 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
MIDNIGHT PASS Feb23 Jan11 Nov16 Oct05 Sep14 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  QUEEN P Dec16 Sep09 Aug05     (pickett crysta)CHILO MAXIMO 120 5.00    
I'M A TOTAL DIVA Jan25 Nov16 Oct26 Aug26 Jul14 (knoblauch-pere)MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00    
HANNAHS RED RUBY Jan11 Nov15 Oct28 Oct05 Sep02 (malgarini mawin)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   03/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIT STOP MAN Feb23 Jan31 Jan18 Jan10 Dec14 (ginter ra)BOCACHICA J 115 6.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN WARRIOR Feb03 Nov05 Oct21 Sep30 Sep18 (mcentee paul)WHITACRE GRANT 120 10.00    
GOLDEN KEY Dec14 Nov16 Oct14 Aug25 Jul13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80    
ROCKET APPEAL Feb07 Dec14 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BAYTOWN FROSTY Feb08 Jan18 Oct21 Aug17 Jun11 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
AMIDSHIPS Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 Nov16 Aug17 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
CT-5   03/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAC IS FAST Aug23         (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 116 15.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of WAC by LOST SOLDIER)
STORMIN' ANNA Feb09 Jan25 Dec15 Nov04 Jul07 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
  (by STORM WOLF out of BEWITCHING ANNA by ALAJWAD)
RAINBOWSNSUNSHINE         (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 109 4.00 27% 2.60    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of ALL FLATTER by FLATTER)
VIENNA'S TWIRL Feb09 Jan25 Nov29 Oct18 Sep24 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 124 3.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of VIENNA'S WALTZ by FREUD)
DEBT RELIEF Jan26 Jan03 Nov30     (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TIZ A BRITE MISS by HIGH BRITE)
MIDCENTURY MODERN Jan26 Jan04 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of CLEOPATTY by CAIRO PRINCE)
CABIN ABBY Feb09 Dec30 Nov29 Nov15 Oct31 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 119 20.00    
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of HERSILIA by TROPICAL STORM)
MISS SHACK ATTACK         (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 10.00 11% 8.10    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOOKIN' FOR INDY by A.P. INDY)
CAST YOUR NET Feb07 Dec20 Dec05 Oct18 Sep20 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.20 37% 1.70    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of LAUR NET by STRONG HOPE)
 
CT-6   03/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POUR ME A DRINK Jan13 Dec06 Nov17 Nov02   (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 113 3.00    
DIXIE YODELER Feb08 Dec14 Nov25 Nov10 Oct21 (davis e)HO WESLEY 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Jan26 Jan10 Dec09 Nov17 Nov01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
WINDSOR'S MEMORY Jan26 Jan12 Nov30 Oct25   (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 8.00    
LIL BOUGIE Feb10 Jan26 Nov30 Nov01 Oct19 (figgins o)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 5.00    
PLAYING FOR TWO Feb24 Feb14 Feb02 Jan12 Dec07 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   03/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMONING DENIS Feb10 Jan27 Dec09 Dec01 Nov18 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
BERTRAM FLIGHT Dec16 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 (boggs joanna)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
SCARE DEM Feb10 Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 Dec09 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00    
SCR  MY BOY CLYDE Oct12 Sep17 Nov05 Oct26 Sep10 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Jan31 Jan12 Dec09 Nov25 Oct27 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
TREASURER Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 Dec01 Sep15 (meyers madi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
NOCASHREFUNDS Dec16 Nov18 Oct27 Oct12 Sep15 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
STROLLINGINTHEWIND Feb10 Jan27 Jan12 Dec09 Nov18 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 8.00 9% 9.60    
ESPRESSO Jan26 Dec01 Nov18 Nov03 Oct13 (brown a)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
CT-8   03/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIS ROYAL G Feb10 Dec29 Dec09 Nov25 Oct22 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
CAPE LOOKOUT Jan25 Dec13 Nov26 Nov17 Oct18 (schottroffe edwa)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
SCR  MUD BUG Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 Aug18 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
SCR  MISTER WINSTON Feb04 Jan14 Dec24 Dec08 Nov19 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
BUSTIN PIETRE Jan25 Dec10 Nov21 Oct30 Jul18 (figgins o)BOCACHICA J 117 6.00 22% 3.60    
TOO BAD JUSTICE Feb14 Feb03 Dec15 Oct31 Oct09 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
QUALIFLY Feb08 Jun21 Apr27 Mar31 Mar10 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50    
HOT N SPICY LOVE Feb10 Dec16 Nov22 Nov02 Oct12 (hurley ja)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
GABRIEL'S WING Feb10 Jan24 Jan03 Dec17 Dec07 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.