Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Wednesday - February 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(2/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(2/9/8/6)-(2/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GP-2   WIN (2/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/8/6)-(2/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/8/6)-(2/9/8/6)-(2/9/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/8/6)-(2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/8/6)-(2/7/6)-(3/7/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GP-3   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(3/7/6/4)-(1/7/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GP-4   WIN (3/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/4)-(1/7/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/4)-(1/7/10/5)-(1/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GP-5   WIN (1/7/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/10/5)-(1/7/10/5/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/10/5)-(1/7/10/5/12)-(1/7/10/5/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/10/5)-(1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/10/5)-(1/2/6)-(6/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GP-6   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(6/3/1)-(6/8/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
GP-7   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(6/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(6/8/5)-(4/1/2/9/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
GP-8   WIN (6/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/5)-(6/8/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/5)-(6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/5)-(4/1/2/9/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-9   WIN (4/1/2/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/9/3)-(4/1/2/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/9/3)-(4/1/2/9/3)-(4/1/2/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   02/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOUCHED BY QUALITY Feb04 Jan11 Dec02     (cordero eniel)PEREZ EDGAR 118 30.00    
GLITTER BOMB Jan20 Dec23       (caramori edua)MORALES ANGEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
REASSESS Jan13         (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 118 5.00 18% 4.50    
HALEY'S HAPPY GIRL Jan25 Dec26 Nov19 Oct10 Sep06 (hiles jeff)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
KAP HOORN Jan19 Dec08       (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80    
VAYESTA Jan06 Dec26 Sep02     (cordero eniel)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 56% 0.80    
MY SWEETHEART DANI Feb04 Jan26 Jan11 Dec28 Dec01 (crooks jeffrey)BRAVO MAIKEL 118 30.00    
 
GP-2   02/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELLAGIO         (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
TRUMPETS Dec23         (catanese joseph)PEREZ EDGAR 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
RETAIL THERAPY         (ortiz john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
SCR  DERBY HANGOVER Jan20 Dec08 Nov19     (biancone p)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50    
PURE MAGIC GIRL Jan20 Dec02 Oct07 Sep21   (lopez rob)JARAMILLO E 118 20.00    
GHOZ ON         (gonzalez nichola)RIVERA JON 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUGAR N SPICE Sep02 Aug09 Jul08 Jun09 May18 (abreu fernando)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
BIG DREAMER Dec10 Oct29 Sep28 Aug28   (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 7% 13.80    
SAVE US MELANIA Nov18 Oct13       (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
GP-3   02/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEDERAL EXCHANGE Dec14 Dec01 Nov05 Sep15 Sep01 (christie c)PIMENTEL JR 123 30.00    
HOLIDAY FANTASY Jan14 Dec21 Dec09 Nov18 Oct08 (valery paul)MORALES ANGEL 123 1.40 40% 1.50    
SCR  WEDNESDAYNIGHT LAD Jan24 Dec16 Oct23 May20 Mar25 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 1.60    
GONNA BE EPIC Jan19 Jan05 Dec20 Nov05 Sep10 (delgado h)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
NATURE BOY Jan14 Dec14 Dec01 Nov05 Oct27 (simms herold)RIOS M 123 20.00    
MAJOR KING Jan31 Jan14 Dec29 Nov05 Oct08 (campos)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 8.00 16% 5.20    
THIS RUN'S FOR YOU Dec15 Oct07 Aug18 Aug12 Jul23 (walder peter)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
 
GP-4   02/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFAMOUS NONO Jan10 Dec02 Oct29 Sep29 Apr12 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.50    
COOLER KING Jan17 Jul14 May20 Apr07 Feb19 (plesa edward)ZAYAS J 123 6.00    
MEXICOFFEE Jan01 Dec10 May27 May07 Apr06 (loza jr)RIOS M 123 3.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  SOUPER SUNSHINE Jan17 Dec10 Nov19 Nov02 Oct01 (dobles elizabeth)RIVERA JON 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
BLUE LIEUTENANT Jan19 Dec23 Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 (gonzalez javier)SERPA ANGEL 123 30.00    
ON JET HEIR Jan19 Dec23 Nov12 Oct20 Sep23 (eppler e)PEREZ EDGAR 123 3.50 7% 14.00    
PEACH NECTAR Dec23 Dec01 Oct22 Sep24 Sep02 (barboza jr)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 10% 8.70    
ACAMAR Jan19 Jan10 Dec21 Dec01 Nov18 (regalb)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
 
GP-5   02/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($89K) 3 F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVE CARRY (IRE) Jan07 Sep30 Aug31     (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 33% 2.00    
  (by SEA THE MOON out of VOLUTE by ROCK OF GIBRALTAR (IRE))
THEFORCEBEWITHYOU Jan20 Nov18       (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 30.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of HARDCORE CANDY by YONAGUSKA)
FLUID Nov25 Oct26       (mott riley)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 20.00    
  (by BLAME out of NAVASHA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
FEAR AND FRIDAY         (clement christ)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of VICTORIOUS WON by MORE THAN READY)
HI'IAKA Dec14 May19       (arnold r)PANICI LUCA 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUA MULAN by MALIBU MOON)
O'NICE GIRL (FR) Dec24         (jimenez l)RIOS M 118 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
CANDY LANDY Oct29 Sep21 Aug01     (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CHECKERED PAST by PASS CATCHER)
LUNA LOVE Jan21 Dec31       (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SCAT BABY by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  PAST TENSE Nov18 Oct20       (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of RETRO by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  EXPATRIATE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 15% 5.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of EXCLUDE by INCLUDE)
SCR  LADY MADONNA Jan07         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of ROSALIND by BROKEN VOW)
12  SWANS COVE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of COCOA BEACH by GROOMSTICK)
SCR  JUST MARYANN Jan21 Dec24 Sep08     (abreu fernando)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  FINAL DRAFT Jan17 Dec14 Oct15     (casse mark)ZAYAS J 118 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DOWNWIND by CURLIN)
SCR  CELEBRITY RO Jan28         (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BACCHANAL LADY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  Z TRAIN (IRE) Nov04 Sep02       (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
  (by CHURCHILL out of MNEMONIC ALEXANDER by KODIAC (GB))
 
GP-6   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARSOWN Jan17 Dec07 Sep08 Jul30 Jul14 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 123 1.60 28% 2.50    
SMOKIN BOW Feb02 Dec02 Oct29 Oct01 Aug26 (ritvo p)PEREZ EDGAR 123 8.00 25% 3.00    
DANLEY Jan24 Dec21 Nov24 Oct28 Oct14 (lutchman padarat)RIVERA JON 116 30.00    
SCR  GABAGOOL Feb01 Jan01 Dec10 Nov17 Aug25 (margotta ant)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 6.00    
NORFIE Jan24 Jan10 Dec26 Dec08 Oct28 (passle)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 3.00    
TEJOTA Dec01 Nov12 Oct14 Sep23 Aug12 (perez l)RIOS M 123 4.50 13% 6.50    
CIRCLE THE MOON Feb10 Dec30 Nov11 Sep16 Aug10 (sanchez amador )JARAMILLO E 123 5.00    
 
GP-7   02/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($91K) 3 F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW DIAMOND Jul14         (biancone p)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
LAUNCH Jan07 Oct18       (delgado jorge)EGAN DAVID 120 3.00    
CAITLINHERGRTNESS Nov05 Sep28 Sep03     (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY DIVA Jan13 Dec20       (bowersock maria)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
FLOWER MOUND Jan28 Dec31 Nov05 Aug27   (perez carlos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 6.00    
ROSWELL Jan14         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.60 33% 2.00    
 
GP-8   02/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BON DIA Mar23 Feb25       (davis scoot)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 15.00    
TALKING WONDERS Jan10 Dec17 Nov09 Oct28 Sep16 (lafond renic)CASTELLANO J 123 30.00    
SCR  SADIE BEAR Jan06 Dec10 Nov24 Sep01 Aug13 (fawkes david)BRAVO J 123 1.60    
MOTOWN MIKA Dec16 Nov01 Sep30 Sep15 Aug01 (o'connor rob)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 20.00    
ONE OF ONE Jan17 Dec17 Oct28 Sep30 Sep01 (braddy dav)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 6.00 7% 14.20    
CHLOE'S TOY Jan10 Dec14 Nov24 Sep30 Sep01 (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
PRINCESS BLAKELY Jan26 Nov24 Oct28 Sep30 Sep01 (gambolati cam)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
SPLURGE Jan10 Dec10 Nov25 Oct28 Jun17 (drexler marti)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
GP-9   02/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALYBAER Jan17 Dec14 Jan27     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 9% 10.70    
DONTMESSWITHTESS Dec21 Oct28 Sep03 Jul09 Jun11 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 121 8.00 7% 13.00    
NEW ROME Nov18 Oct21 Oct05 Aug05 Jul08 (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
THELASTBULLETSMINE Jan14 Dec14 Nov18 Oct13 Sep17 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
JUDGE JUDITH Jan17 Apr28 Apr02 Mar03 Feb03 (o'connell kat)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00    
AMUNET Jan17 Dec22 Oct19 Aug02 Jun01 (matz r)RUIZ JORGE 121 10.00    
YOOOU KNOW Nov19 Oct15 Sep09 Aug03 Jul05 (cibelli jane)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
STRAND OF GOLD Jan26 Jan01 Aug20 Mar24 Mar05 (joseph saffie)VELAZQUEZ R 123 12.00    
CARDIO PRINCESS (JPN) Jan24 Dec22 Dec10 Nov11 Oct14 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 123 10.00 7% 13.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.