Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Friday - January 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/6)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/6/4)-(4/7/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SUN-3   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(4/7/3)-(4/3/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SUN-4   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/2) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SUN-5   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SUN-6   WIN (8/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/5)-(8/2/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/5)-(8/2/3/5/1)-(8/2/3/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-7   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(7/8/3/5/10)-(10/8/12/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SUN-8   WIN (7/8/3/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/5/10)-(7/8/3/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/5/10)-(7/8/3/5/10)-(7/8/3/5/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (7/8/3/5/10)-(10/8/12/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-9   WIN (10/8/12/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/12/11)-(10/8/12/11/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/8/12/11)-(10/8/12/11/2)-(10/8/12/11/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   01/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKETT'S RED CITY Dec11 Dec04 Nov20 Nov07 Sep07 (constan)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 4.00    
MIDNIGHT SUSI Dec04 Oct27 Sep07 Jul09 Jun25 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 3.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  KATZIE BABY Dec04 Oct27 Sep30 Sep02 Jul09 (pierce w)MEDELLIN A 124 5.00    
GONE KAT Nov20 Oct20 Oct08 Sep07 Aug06 (lambert t)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
SNOOZY SUZY Nov14 Oct20 Sep30 Sep14 Sep02 (torres-casas)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 8.00    
MACHO QUEEN Dec05 Nov14 Oct13 Sep02 May21 (chadborn k)JAIME R 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
SUN-2   01/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTUMN TOUCH Dec05 Nov21 Nov13 Oct14 Sep16 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
HOT LIL MESS Dec12 Dec05 Oct18 Sep03 Aug21 (lavanwa)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 8.00    
MOVINGLIKEAWINNER Dec12 Nov13 Oct22 Oct13 Jul08 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
SHORT POCKETS Dec18 Dec05 Nov13 Oct14 May13 (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
KELL'S KISS Dec18 Dec05 Nov21 Oct14 Sep16 (marquez l)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
MIZZEN MILLIONS Dec12 Sep09 Jul01 Jun18 Mar26 (garrett j)TORRES J 124 4.00    
 
SUN-3   01/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 4 ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JR'S CONFIDENCE Dec19 Nov28 Oct01 Sep17 Aug19 (gutierrez taurino)TORRES J 124 8.00    
  (by COMFORT out of LA CONFIDENCE by GRAND SLAM)
STACKERS Dec19 Nov27 Nov07 Oct18 Oct04 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 124 1.80 62% 0.60    
  (by LATIGO SHORE out of STAX by SIGHTSEEING)
HARDY BOY Dec11 Aug06 Dec01 Nov01   (marr h)TOHILL S 124 1.60    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of ZASHA by DESERT GOD)
LET EM RIP Dec19 Nov27 Nov07 Sep14 Sep02 (martinez e)CARRENO J 124 5.00 6% 15.40    
  (by FUSAICHI ZENON out of BELLA ANATOLA by ESKENDEREYA)
INDIAN RIDER Dec05 Sep17 Sep03 Jan22   (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 10.00    
  (by TRAIN RIDER BLUES out of INDIAN TIVA by SHAME ON CHARLIE)
MICKEYS TRAIL Sep14 Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 Apr22 (cross gar)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 10% 9.40    
  (by AWESOME INDIAN out of MICKEYS LAST DANCE by PRECOCITY)
 
SUN-4   01/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISABEL LOVE Dec05 Oct08 Sep08     (vaughn lonnie)MEDELLIN A 121 6.00    
  (by HOLMES out of HEAVENLY MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
KOMFORT KID Dec19 Dec05 Oct11 Aug05   (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 3.50    
  (by COMFORT out of CARNIVAL KID by BROKEN VOW)
MARK THE DATE Dec05 Nov14 Jun25 Jun09   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 4.50 18% 4.50    
  (by MARKING out of RENEWED VOWS by ATTILA'S STORM)
AUNT BENNIE         (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by HARRIS out of BENNY'S BULLET by BENNY THE BULL)
QUEEN HADASSAH Dec19 Oct08 Sep08     (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 8.00    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of DAYLIGHT THIEF by CAT THIEF)
FLAQUITA         (chadborn k)JAIME R 121 8.00    
  (by MARKING out of SKINNIE LOVE by BLACK SEVENTEEN)
RUN AWAY BAY Dec05 Nov14       (lambert t)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of CORLEONE by BALLISTIC BILLY)
 
SUN-5   01/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOZART J Dec18         (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 10.00    
STOREY'S FURY Dec20         (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 121 4.50    
BAJA BOOGIE Dec18 Sep21 Sep06 Jun23 Jun08 (study d)TOHILL S 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
EMPERIAL EAGLES Dec04 Nov14 Sep13 Sep03 Jul15 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  WOLF'S LIFE Nov24 Nov04 Aug03 Jul02 Jun16 (torres-casas)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 12.00    
SCR  MISTER WU         (lambert t)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
IMA RASCAL         (story chad)ORTEGA O 124 8.00 10% 9.30    
AHEAD OF TIME KID Oct14         (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
KING BARON Aug18         (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 10.00    
 
SUN-6   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($31.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROBATE Dec12 Nov06 Oct06 May20 Apr22 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
EFFORT N RESULTS Dec12 Dec12 Nov22 Apr23 Mar27 (marr h)TOHILL S 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
NEW MEXICO JEREMY Dec19 Nov27 Nov06 Oct15 Sep24 (quezada zacha)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 11% 8.40    
BODIE GOT GOLD Nov06 Oct06 Apr22 Feb28 Jan29 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 124 4.50    
WHERES BRAYDEN May20 Mar07 Mar27 Feb27 Jan09 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARKED MONEY Sep24 Jul23 Jun23 May29 Apr22 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.50    
DIABOLICAL FIRE Dec11 Nov20 Sep10 Jul16 Apr29 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 8.00    
DAUX Sep24         (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 8.00 37% 1.70    
CERVEZA Nov20 Oct21 Sep07 Jul30 Jul14 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 124 8.00    
10  HENNESSY'S SQUIRT Sep08 Jun11 Mar07 Feb21 Jan15 (chadborn k)JAIME R 124 12.00    
 
SUN-7   01/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST New Mexico State Racing Commission Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIES HURRICANE Dec19 Nov27 Sep03 Sep17 Aug19 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 119 10.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of HURRICANE HUSH by ATTILA'S STORM)
MARQUIS LIGHTS Dec19 Nov27 Nov07 Oct22 Mar07 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 119 10.00 10% 8.70    
  (by MARKING out of ASKMETODANCE by GHOSTLY MOVES)
FIRST AGAIN Nov27 Oct28 Sep16 Jul22 Jun24 (morales danny)PEREZ A 120 5.00    
  (by AXIOMATIC out of MIA'S FIRST by MALABAR GOLD)
BELLA DONA Nov27 Sep23 Sep04 Mar12 Oct30 (buechler sim)FUENTES A 123 2.00 13% 6.90    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CHARLOTTE'S DRONE by B. G.'S DRONE)
LEMON DROP GOLD Dec19 Oct22 Sep23 Jul23 Aug27 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 4.00    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of POISON PEN by ARTS AND LETTERS)
DELIA Dec12 Nov27 Nov07 Sep04 Jul23 (marr jo)FUENTES T 117 12.00    
  (by DELHOMME out of SHEZAPIRATE by DESERT GOD)
CORRINA CORRINA Nov27 Nov07 Sep23 Sep04 Jul23 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of SCARED MONEY by CARSON CITY)
 
SUN-8   01/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST KLAQ Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BYE BYE MATTY P Dec12 Nov27 Oct29 Sep16 Jul22 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 118 15.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of KIZKA by DANZIG)
TACTICAL ATTACK Dec20 Nov28 Oct08 Aug06 Jul16 (martinez esteba)CORBETT W 118 10.00    
  (by EZ DREAMER out of HOLLYWOOD HOTTIE by CITY ZIP)
GOOD WITH PEOPLE Nov25 Oct09 Aug26 Sep01 May28 (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of GATOR PROWL by ROAR OF THE TIGER)
SCR  TULANE TRYST Nov28 Oct27 Oct01 Sep02 Jun25 (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 118 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DESIRE STREET by CONGRATS)
PRAYER OF JABEZ Nov28 Oct27 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STANFORD out of ALWAZABRIDESMAID by KAFWAIN)
SMOKE STACK Feb05 Jan03 Nov21 Nov07 Oct17 (gutier)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 115 20.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PAVATI by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
ESPIONAGE Dec12 Nov07 Sep03 Jul30 Jun25 (fincher ler)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 6.00 50% 1.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HARLINGTON'S ROSE by HARLINGTON)
COMPETITIVE IDEA Nov28 Nov07 Sep02 Mar11 Jan29 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of THAT'S THE IDEA by DIABOLICAL)
HOYA PARANOYA Dec12 Nov07 Sep11 Aug20 Jul31 (garrett j)TORRES J 118 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of LOST IN SUCCESS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
10  MINISTER OF SOUL Dec20 Nov28 Oct27 Oct01 Aug06 (martinez est)FUENTES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of SENSITIVE SOUL by BERNSTEIN)
11  GOOD BYE CHARLIE Oct27 Oct07 Sep17 Apr25 Mar27 (valerio raymond )MEDELLIN A 117 10.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of MAGDA by HAMAZING DESTINY)
 
SUN-9   01/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUST PACO P         (chadborn kenneth )PEREZ A 121 12.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED TRUST out of MY SATURDAY GIRL by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
ROGUE FORCE         (mcfarlane d)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of DOUBLE LINE by MORNING LINE)
CAUTION CARDINAL Nov20 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19   (story chad)ORTEGA O 121 15.00    
  (by STANFORD out of MS. CAUTION by MR. GREELEY)
DINI DICE Dec11         (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
THIRSTY MOE Sep08 Aug25 Jun11 May21   (gonzale)FUENTES T 121 12.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SHOW IT N MOE IT by GRACE UPON GRACE)
GOING TO SANANTONE Dec11 Jul03 Jun04     (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 15.00    
  (by ARCHWARRIOR out of CRUDE by WILDCAT HEIR)
ARIZONA DAVIN         (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 8.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SWISSARELLA by SWISS YODELER)
MY GOOD GOOD BOY Nov20 Nov06 Oct14 Sep30   (valdez-cabral m)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 28% 2.50    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MARAZION GIRL by BELLAMY ROAD)
SURROUNDEDBYANGELS         (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ANGEL OF BATTLE by DUNKIRK)
10  LOVESUNFAIR Dec11 Nov06       (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.50 41% 1.40    
  (by UNIFIED out of LOVE AFFAIR by KNIGHT)
11  CAPTAIN FABULOUS Nov06         (marr h)TOHILL S 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OM out of HARD TO RESIST by JOHANNESBURG)
12  LT. NORM Dec12 Nov20 Nov06     (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 121 5.00 6% 16.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of ANNADALE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.