Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - November 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(7/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(7/2/3/6)-(6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-2   WIN (7/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/6)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/6)-(6/3)-(7/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(7/6/4)-(3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-4   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4)-(3/8)-(8/7/10/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-5   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/8)-(8/7/10/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/8)-(8/7/10/3)-(4/5/1/9) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-6   WIN (8/7/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/10/3)-(8/7/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/10/3)-(8/7/10/3)-(8/7/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/10/3)-(4/5/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/10/3)-(4/5/1/9)-(3/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-7   WIN (4/5/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/9)-(4/5/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/9)-(4/5/1/9)-(4/5/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/9)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/9)-(3/5/6)-(4/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-8   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(4/3/1)-(6/1/9/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-9   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(6/1/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (6/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/7)-(6/1/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/7)-(6/1/9/7)-(6/1/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE BIRD BORDO Oct23         (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 4.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  DEPOSITION Nov14 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23   (st uriah)PENNINGTON F 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MANDRELL by DUBAWI (IRE))
3  MARINE PATROL Oct31 Oct10       (ashton patri)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 8.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of FASHION SHOW by STREET CRY)
4  STANDPOINT Nov08 Sep23 Aug21     (hawthorne )SANCHEZ J 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of BREE ZEE LEE by SKY MESA)
5  EVASIVE MOVES Oct21         (st )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of DISTORTED TYPE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  AMORE D'ORO Sep18         (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 119 10.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of ULTIMATE AVARY by LOVE OF MONEY)
7  TRAILING MONSTER Oct05 May18       (ginter raymon)SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.50 18% 4.50    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of RUN WRIGHTAWAY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
 
PRX-2   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKIN FREEBEE Sep19 Sep05 Aug30 Jul19 Jul05 (romero alexis)CASTILLO A 122 20.00    
2  REX KWON DO Oct25 Oct04 Sep18 Aug13 Jul25 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 125 3.50 18% 4.50    
3  MIZZEN MAN Nov15 Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 Jun28 (solis jacinto)BOWMAN ADAM 122 4.00 14% 5.90    
4  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Nov01 Oct17 Oct04 Sep16 Sep10 (gallimore tre)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 8.00    
5  ALMOND CIDER Oct27 Oct18 Sep06 Aug18 Jul20 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 8.00    
6  BODE O Jul19 May30 May09 Apr03 Mar13 (carango an)RIVERA R 117 8.00 8% 12.10    
7  KING OF CHAOS Nov02 Sep22 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 (rodrig)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 2.50 26% 2.80    
8  ON OUR WAY BOYZ Oct21 Sep19 Aug26 Aug02 Jul07 (kirby t)RANGEL JOEZER 122 8.00    
 
PRX-3   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATE'S CUBAN KISS Aug20 Jul23 Jun20 May31   (krebs steven)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 4.50    
SCR  SOULFUL TARA Oct22 Sep23 Aug28 Jul31 May26 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00    
3  VALDIKAVA Oct03 Sep06 Jul13 May30   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  AVALANCHE IS COMIN Oct26 Sep03 Aug06 Jun24 Jun10 (chichakly )RIVERA R 120 6.00    
5  HER TICKET TO RIDE         (smylie timot)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 12.00    
6  MISS CINNAMON Apr19 Mar15 Feb08 Jan23 Dec05 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
PRX-4   11/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEBOLOGIST Nov08 Oct17 Oct02 Sep11 Aug04 (mccaslin john)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 10.00    
2  STARLITE WALKER Nov07 Oct10 Sep18 Aug18 Aug03 (wyner )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 4.00    
3  ENFORCER Oct10 Sep18 Jul07 Jun16 May10 (brown howard )SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
4  REJECTED AGAIN Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 May29 (sot)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MEGA CHARLIE Oct17 Sep27 Aug28 Aug04 Jul19 (soto- marti)RAMOS C 122 5.00    
6  SENSIBLE JIM Oct30 Oct17 Sep27 Aug30 Jul13 (caban e)ADORNO ABNER 122 4.50 5% 17.60    
7  STRUGAR Oct27 Oct04 Sep06 Jul27 Jun15 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 1.80 62% 0.60    
 
PRX-5   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'S A LINO Oct29 Oct05 Sep01 Aug08 Jul07 (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00    
2  LUCKY BREEZE Nov13 Oct26 Oct11 Oct02 Aug29 (arce josue)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 20.00    
3  BABY SOX Nov03 Oct08 Sep15 Sep04 Aug02 (rodrig)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 2.00 66% 0.50    
4  NOW ACT SURPRISED Oct23 Oct04 Aug29 Jul05 Jun10 (coletti edw)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 15.00    
SCR  WICKED LADY Nov14 Oct23 Jul18 Jun26 Jun07 (guerrero j )RAMOS C 122 10.00    
SCR  ST MAARTEN GIRL Aug12 Aug05 Jul14 May13 Apr15 (carang)GONZALEZ JR 122 6.00    
SCR  MOONLITE IN HEAVEN Nov14 Jun25 May14 Apr29 Mar19 (mosco robert)BOWMAN ADAM 122 8.00    
8  LUCKY FLUSH Nov07 Oct23 Oct16 Oct03 Aug03 (velazquez )RIVERA R 116 10.00 6% 15.40    
SCR  DIVINE TWIST Oct23 Oct04 Jul04 Jun18 Jun07 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00    
10  SAY NO MORE Nov14 Oct06 Apr05 Mar20 Feb27 (nicholson )ROWLAND MADELINE 122 20.00    
 
PRX-6   11/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELTIC TREASURE Nov08 Oct17 Oct04 Sep26 Sep12 (guerrero m)SANCHEZ J 122 10.00    
2  SAMARONTI Nov01 Oct03 Sep21 Sep01 Aug08 (solis jaci)RIVERA R 120 8.00    
3  SOCIAL GROUP Oct23 Oct03 Sep12 Aug30 Jul18 (pino michael)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 5.00 7% 13.80    
4  RELISHMENT Nov01 Oct16 Sep18 Jul19 Jun19 (bravo-estrada j)BOWMAN ADAM 122 8.00    
5  SAPONARA Nov01 Oct17 Sep19 Aug30 Aug03 (flores-coba )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 10.00    
6  MARCO ISLAND Oct03 Sep18 Sep05 Jul12 Jun26 (carango anthony)RUIZ ELISEO 117 10.00    
7  WIZARD SERRAT Oct10 May20 May03 Apr12 Mar28 (pino v)MOYA F 122 4.50 25% 2.90    
8  SCREEN SAVER Sep16 Sep01 Jul18 Jun28 Jun05 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  EXCURSION Oct31 Oct10 Oct03 Jul18 Jul03 (wil)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
10  OLYMPIC ROMP Nov08 Oct03 Aug26 Jul25 Jun26 (mccaslin john)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
PRX-7   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA SIERVA C Oct31 Oct02       (rodriguez migue)BOWMAN ADAM 119 8.00 17% 4.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of COURTING DELILAH by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  LADY SHEBOYGAN         (servis joh)RIVERA R 114 8.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of WHISTLING STRAITS by CAPE CANAVERAL)
3  NOISY ON THE BAY Oct16 Sep23       (coletti )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 6.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of SUNDAYS ON THE BAY by DISCO RICO)
4  ZUMA         (pletcher todd )ADORNO ABNER 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of TOO MUCH MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
5  KINDRED HEARTS         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of KINDRED by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  OVERMUCH         (russell br)SANCHEZ J 119 5.00    
  (by CURLIN out of YES I'LL GO by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  SWEET DISTRACTION Jul29         (st uriah)PENNINGTON F 119 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESCULTURA by PULPIT)
8  MOLLY MALONE Oct24 Sep20       (tapsas elias)ACOSTA D 119 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DORITZA by MINESHAFT)
9  BOSSY KATE Nov08 Oct09 Sep11     (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PIONEER KATE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
PRX-8   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 WET FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED Oct13 Sep28 Aug26 Aug05 Jul14 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50    
2  CATCH THE SMOKE Nov07 Oct18 Sep26 Sep03 Aug19 (gonzalez cla)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 4.50    
3  BEYOND BEST Oct24 Sep25 Aug19 Jul25 Jul10 (padill)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  CRITICAL THREAT Oct28 Sep09 Nov21 Oct16 Sep04 (de hor)RIVERA R 117 5.00    
5  LIBERTY STAR Nov08 Oct12 Sep15 Aug20 Aug05 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
6  BATTER UP BUD Oct18 Aug28 Jul19 Jun14 May24 (tzortzakis e)CASTILLO A 122 10.00 11% 8.30    
7  HEY PORTER Oct18 Sep20 Aug23 Jul03 May29 (flo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
 
PRX-9   11/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Oct09 Sep11 Aug04 Jul11 Jun28 (aristone phi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  COACH HAS SIX ACES Oct31 Sep19 Jul26 Jul18 Apr10 (flores-coba fe)CORREA JULIO 122 8.00    
3  COCOA'S VIVIAN Oct18         (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 118 8.00 14% 6.00    
4  EMIRATES AFFAIR Oct24 Sep19 Jul17 Jun04 May15 (mos)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  SHERO Oct24 Sep23 Aug29 Aug09 Jul18 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.00    
6  CONFIRMED GENIUS Oct24 Oct02 Sep23 Aug30 Jul12 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 122 5.00    
7  DREAM CHASER Jul18 Jun28 May30 May03 Mar30 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 118 6.00    
 
PRX-10   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AYEARTOREMEMBER Nov07 Oct16 Sep20 Aug23   (allen randy)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
2  NO SUGAR PLEASE Jul17 Jun05 May20 May03 Nov29 (smith everton)RANGEL JOEZER 120 20.00    
3  ONLY GIRL Nov07 Oct25 Oct11 Sep25 Aug28 (hogan willi)RAMOS C 124 20.00    
4  KISSIT Nov07 Oct23 Oct09 Aug28 Mar02 (dotolo davi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 10.00    
5  ORB'S PARTY GIRL Nov07 Oct09 Sep11 Aug28 Aug13 (soto c)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 10.00    
6  FILLY PHANATIC Oct23 Oct09 Aug06     (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  SECRET TEMPTATION Nov01 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 Oct14 (flores-cob)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  OVERTHEBLUESKY Oct25 Oct09 Sep04 Jul26 Jul04 (bullock jordan)ADORNO ABNER 124 15.00    
9  MAP OF LIFE Oct25 Oct16 Oct03 Aug23 Mar07 (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  JERSEY COAST Nov07 Sep14 Aug10 Jun03 Mar19 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 115 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.