Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(1/4/3)-(4/8/10) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(4/8/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(4/8/10)-(4/9/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (4/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/10)-(4/8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/10)-(4/8/10)-(4/8/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/10)-(4/9/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/10)-(4/9/2/5)-(10/1/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-4   WIN (4/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/5)-(4/9/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/5)-(4/9/2/5)-(4/9/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/2/5)-(10/1/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/2/5)-(10/1/5/4)-(6/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-5   WIN (10/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/5/4)-(10/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/5/4)-(10/1/5/4)-(10/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/1/5/4)-(6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/1/5/4)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-6   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(6/2/5)-(6/7/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-7   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(6/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(6/7/8/1)-(6/1/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-8   WIN (6/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/1)-(6/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/1)-(6/7/8/1)-(6/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/1)-(6/1/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
IND-9   WIN (6/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   11/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPRESSED ENERGY Oct17 Oct04 Sep25 Sep13 Aug28 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
2  NIGHTTIME JUSTICE Oct17 Aug08 Jul12 Jun24 Jun07 (mckeeve)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  CHELSEA'S STRENGTH Sep14 Aug05 Jun27 May22 May03 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 4.50    
SCR  OCELIA Nov02 Oct18 Oct10 Sep26 Aug30 (haran john)PEREZ E 122 10.00    
5  AMERICA RULES Oct26 Oct05 Sep27 Sep06 Aug19 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 20.00    
6  FASHION DIVA Aug05 Jul19 Jun27 May29 Feb03 (greenhill )ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 6.00    
7  NO MORE FAKE NEWS Oct26 Sep13 Aug05 Jul19 May30 (patrick r)BERMUDEZ E 119 8.00 5% 17.50    
 
IND-2   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT SONATA Nov02 Oct02 Sep13 Jun21 May31 (granitz)DE CRUZ 122 4.00 35% 1.80    
2  FORWHOMTHEBELLTOLL Nov08 Oct30 Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 (fosdick stev)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 6.00    
3  BASSCOAT Oct17 Sep27 Aug23 Jul15 Jun21 (cook brian)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 12% 7.30    
4  BRIGHT BRIAN Oct30 Sep26 Aug01 Jul18 Jun29 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 6.00 24% 3.10    
5  TOUR THE MOON Oct30 Oct12 Sep27 Aug23 Aug02 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
6  KILLER HOTROD Nov02 Oct16 Sep21 Aug11 Jul18 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 2.50    
SCR  BACKYARD JUSTICE Oct28 Sep21 Aug26 Jul08 Jun10 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 116 4.50    
 
IND-3   11/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY CHARM Aug24 Mar05       (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 122 20.00    
2  NAUTICAL MILE Sep08 Jul12 Jun08 May10 Feb02 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 2.00    
SCR  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Oct19 Sep26 Sep05 Aug17 Jul21 (correas ignaci)ASHTON GAVIN 122 2.50    
4  CAPTIVE STAR Oct07 Sep15 Aug29 Aug05 Jul21 (cline r)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 30% 2.40    
5  WILMA Sep26 Sep08 Aug16 Jun14   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00    
SCR  LIL BIT OF CAPITOL May16 Apr28 Mar23 Feb25 Jan28 (pittman bon)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 20.00    
7  CHIRP CHIRP Oct12 Sep12 Aug31 Jul20 Jun13 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 122 30.00    
8  GOLDEN HEIST Nov07 Oct25 Oct12 Sep25 Aug31 (thompson erin)HUGHES CARLY 122 15.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  MIDNIGHT WALTZ Oct01         (leonard geor)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 20.00    
10  LUCKY ANA Oct19 Oct04 Jun15 May27 May10 (douaihy mich)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 20.00 16% 5.10    
 
IND-4   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DO YA WANNA DANCE Oct24 Oct02 Sep13 Aug16 Aug05 (roggenkamp e)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
2  D'ORO'S WISH Nov01 Oct04 Sep14 Sep05 Jul19 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 122 4.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  MOWINS Aug23 Aug05 Jul03 May06 Apr15 (cook bria)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
4  LATIGO Oct04 Aug03 Jul05 May15 Apr19 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
5  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK Sep11 Aug20 Jul05 Apr25 Apr01 (hill f)COURT K 122 10.00 8% 11.80    
6  PICKLE FEET Nov07 Oct23 Oct09 May03 Dec31 (douglas)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
7  BONNIE BILL Nov08 Oct12 Oct04 Sep14 Jul15 (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 15.00    
8  C. J'S STORM Oct28 Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 Aug03 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 116 8.00    
9  CLASSIC MAX Nov01 Oct11 Oct04 Aug17 Aug03 (richardville)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 1.80 12% 7.20    
 
IND-5   11/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAY TOO SMARTE Oct23 Sep03 Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
2  BAND OF ROSES Aug31 Aug22 Aug05 Jul03 Jun10 (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 8.00    
SCR  BALI BABY Oct24 Sep21 Aug31 Aug23 Aug09 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00    
4  MISS LUV SHACK Oct23 Sep21 Aug31 Aug23 Jul19 (glyshaw t)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 20.00 7% 13.00    
5  PRESSLY'S HOPE Oct26 Sep21 Aug31 Jun23 Jun11 (oliver )DE CRUZ 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
6  TALKTOMEJUSTICE Nov01 Oct02 Aug30 Aug03 Jul09 (martinez a)PEREZ E 122 10.00    
7  LOTTA ROSES Oct26 Sep30 Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
SCR  OH POLLYANNA Aug31 Aug05 Jul11 Jun17 Feb16 (estvanko ric)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 10.00    
SCR  KING'S LEGACY Aug23 May06 Feb16 Jan19 Dec21 (van berg )BERMUDEZ E 122 3.50    
10  RIBALDRY (IRE) Oct26 Sep02 Aug17 Jul06 Jun08 (van berg )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  WICKED INTENT Oct26 Oct17 Sep21 Aug28 Aug04 (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 10.00    
12  NORA'S STAR Oct23 Aug30 Aug10 Jul20 Jun20 (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00    
 
IND-6   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEA ANN'S PRINCESS Oct16 Sep27       (mcbride bar)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 15.00    
2  CABIN ABBY Oct31 Oct16 Sep25 Aug31 Jun13 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 125 2.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  JANE'S A DIVA Nov07 Oct28 Oct10 Sep18 Aug29 (wisner j)PEREZ E 122 8.00    
4  BACKWARDS K Oct16         (green darlene)BAYS BROOKE 115 15.00    
5  SONDRAS LAST HOPE Oct28         (matthews rand)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 20.00    
6  FIRST ELKTON Oct16 Jul11 Jun22     (rechy chaz)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 1.60 54% 0.90    
7  RAELYN         (waltz brian)PRESCOTT R 122 10.00 7% 14.30    
8  KAYS HEAVENLY STAR Nov07 Oct24 Oct16 Sep18 Nov10 (sanchez emma)FIGUEROA JOVAN 119 4.50    
 
IND-7   11/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEN ICE SIGHT Nov02 Oct11 Sep26 Jul07 May10 (paquett)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
2  FIRST KITTEN Nov01 Oct11 Sep30 Sep03 Aug17 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 32% 2.20    
3  VARTON Aug22 Jul07 Jun13 Apr25 Jan12 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.50 ★    
4  SMOOTH JUSTICE Oct28 Sep06 Aug08 Jul12 Jun24 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 119 10.00    
5  MIA BABY Nov02 Oct10 Aug02 Jul07 Jun13 (haran john)PEREZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRIPLE SCOUT Sep30 Sep09 Aug01 Jul15 Jul01 (martinez a)PEREZ E 125 4.00 41% 1.40    
7  MONTGOMERY PARK Oct11 Sep19 Aug31 Aug02 Jul06 (duran antoni)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 20.00    
8  WILD TAPIT Nov02 Oct05 Sep19 Aug11 Jul06 (klopp randy)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 5.00    
9  PROTOMAGIC Oct14 Sep13 Aug19 Jul27 Jul14 (mcbride barb)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00    
 
IND-8   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z ZS RED Oct30 Oct23 Oct05 Aug26 Aug15 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 6% 15.60    
2  STARLET EXPRESS Oct19 Oct04 Sep13 Aug26 May16 (leonard georg)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 10.00    
3  QUILTER Oct30 Oct05 Sep08 Aug26 Aug13 (granitz anth)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 3.00    
4  CHIMES Oct31 Sep25 Sep14 Sep05 Aug15 (hill f)COURT K 119 20.00    
5  CASTLE MAGIC Oct30 Sep25 Aug15 Jul18 Jun21 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 12.00    
6  ADDICTED TO LOVE Oct30 Oct05 Sep21 Aug26 Aug02 (roggenkam)BERMUDEZ E 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
7  TIZZY JOJO Oct28 Oct04 Sep06 Aug05 Jul07 (egglest)DE CRUZ 116 5.00 26% 2.80    
8  EVIL INTENTIONS Oct28 Sep13 Aug26 Aug03 Jul08 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 116 6.00 11% 8.40    
9  SPLASH OF TONIC Oct28 Oct17 Oct10 Sep05 Aug15 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00    
 
IND-9   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RODEO ZONE Nov02         (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 3.50 27% 2.80    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of CHECK OR A WRECK by SKYLORD)
2  FUNTASTICALLY         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of VOODOOTHATYOUDO by GIACOMO)
3  SHIESTY TO CHASE Oct23 Oct03       (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 122 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of EXCEDERE by SHAKESPEARE)
4  BARCA BILLY Nov02         (pompell ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 4.50    
  (by CSABA out of NOTNTHEMOODFORTHAT by SMOKE WARNING)
5  IZZAT Nov02         (gorostieta c)MORALES JOSHUA 122 20.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of ALITAS by SKY CLASSIC)
6  SHIPCAPTAINNCREW Nov02 Jul05       (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of FINGERS CROSSED by PROUD TRUTH)
7  AMATEUR DAY Nov02 Sep25 Sep06     (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  BOZAANO Oct12 Sep11 Aug08     (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of WALL STREET LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.