Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Thursday - October 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/2)-(7/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DEL-2   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(7/1/3)-(6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-3   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(6/7/3)-(2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-4   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(2/5)-(4/9/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-5   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(4/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(4/9/7)-(7/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-6   WIN (4/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/7)-(4/9/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/7)-(4/9/1/6/7)-(4/9/1/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/9/7)-(7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/9/7)-(7/1/2)-(4/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-7   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DEL-8   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   10/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STEPH'S TOP NICK Sep30 Sep03 Aug17     (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 1.80    
PINK SUNSET Sep22 Sep09 Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 (pham van)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 114 6.00    
HOME TOWN FAV Sep27 Aug30 Aug12 Jul22   (deiter ke)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 8.00    
RAIN OF BLESSING Sep27 Aug30 Jul27 Jun24 May28 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
COUNTRYGIRL PRIDE Sep13         (arriagada juan)CEDENO CAROL 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
MAKE MINE A STELLA Aug18 Jul06       (gerlach )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 8.00    
 
DEL-2   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PACO THE TACO MAN Sep22 Aug30       (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 2.50    
LITTLE LANCE Sep17 Sep01       (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
WILD ALEX Sep01 Aug03 Jul12     (pecoraro antho)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
VICTORIA'S DEVINE Aug26 Aug05       (frock charles)ALICEA JEREMY 110 8.00    
SCR  DREAM RIVER Oct05 Sep17 Sep01     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 8.00    
PRINCE FRED Aug24 Jul15 Jun10     (russell )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 116 1.80 48% 1.10    
 
DEL-3   10/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY CAJUN LADY Sep07 Aug11 Jul19 Jul05 Nov01 (alcala cesar)CEDENO CAROL 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  CRIMSON LILLE Aug23 Jul05 Jun20 May25 May05 (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 122 15.00    
MY JO JO Sep21 Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 Jun22 (moysey chelsey )MENA E 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
PUSH Sep28 Sep06 Aug31 Aug18 Aug30 (saville n)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
ALWAYS FORWARD Oct05 Sep03 Jul30 Jul09 May27 (corrales jose)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 12.00    
CIRCLE OF COURAGE Oct05 Sep07 Aug05 Jul20 Jul05 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 110 12.00    
FAST MULE Oct05 Jul15 Jun18 May27 Nov07 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Oct05 Sep21 Aug23 Jul05 Jun24 (sanchez-piner)ALICEA JEREMY 115 6.00    
HARPER'S DO Sep21 Aug23 Jun28 Jun18 Apr15 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 5.00    
 
DEL-4   10/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE ATKA Oct05 Sep21 Aug24 Jul06 May24 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00    
ILLUSION OF HOPE Sep04 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (frock charles)ALICEA JEREMY 116 8.00    
FORTUNATA ITALIA Apr14 Feb03 Jan15 Dec29 Nov12 (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 6.00 14% 6.20    
AKEMI Oct09 Sep09 May08 Mar27 Mar11 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 125 8.00    
ANONYMOUSLY Sep28 Sep04 Aug25 Aug12 Jun04 (corrales jose)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 3.00    
MARION GRACE Sep19 Aug21 Jul26 Jun19 May22 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
AWESOME VIEW Sep27 Sep04 Aug26 Aug18 Jul30 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
DEL-5   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAXIMUM COLOR Sep03         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 6.00    
TAPORICAL Aug30 Aug03 Jul15 Jun28   (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
CHARLIE TOUGH Jul27 Jul09       (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 10.00    
SCR  PERROTTO Oct06 Aug20       (sacco greg)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
CLEVER TIGER Sep07 Jul12       (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 109 4.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  PAYNTER'S PRODIGY         (capuano gary )ALICEA JEREMY 112 8.00    
MITHRIDATES Oct04 Aug24 Jul28 Jul15   (chichakly amir)LUZZI J 119 6.00    
MALIBU BRAD Sep03         (robertson mcle)EVANS CECILY 119 10.00    
 
DEL-6   10/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIE VICTORINA Oct01 Sep09 Aug25 Aug12 Jul22 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 8.00    
PRUSSIAN BLUE Sep15 Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 May11 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 118 20.00    
R LOVE ON THE RUN Sep15 Aug19 Jun24 Jun02 May27 (grullon rique)ALICEA JEREMY 114 15.00    
SANSA ARIEL Oct04 Sep14 Sep01 Jul19 Jun24 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  CHILD PROOF Oct04 Sep02 Aug09 Jul14 Jun30 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
LINAHASPECSHOES Sep15 Sep02 Aug12 Jul14 Jun30 (sillaman )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
DANCE STEP Sep28 Sep15 Aug19 Jul28 Jul09 (simone micha)ARROYO S 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
RATIONALMILLENNIAL Sep01 Aug09 Jul23 Jul05 Jun17 (corrales jose)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 12.00    
CHECKCASHINGCONNIE Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 Jun21 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
10  MERGER OF EQUALS Sep28 Sep01 Jul20 Jul05 Jun18 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 121 12.00    
11  MY TRUE PASSION Aug23 Jun30 Jun02 Oct29 Sep13 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 118 10.00    
 
DEL-7   10/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAY CHIEF Oct08 Sep17 Sep09 Aug13 Aug04 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 119 3.00 13% 6.80    
ENTRUST Aug12 Jul12 Jun30     (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
THAT SUN OF A GUN Aug25 Jul14 Jun10 May14 Oct29 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  SHELLBACK Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Jun17   (gorham michael )CENTENO E 119 6.00    
SCR  BALI ROLLING TIDE Oct05 Sep20 Sep08 Aug25 Aug05 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 12.00    
RANSEUR Sep14 Aug18 May20 Apr29 Mar11 (carvajal l)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00    
DEPUTY CONNECT Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jun29 Mar02 (contessa c)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 2.00 65% 0.50    
STEADY JOHN Oct08 Sep09 Aug18 Jul21 Jun24 (bentley fennek)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.00    
 
DEL-8   10/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRACLE SILVER Sep29 Sep16 Sep02 Aug10 Jul27 (nazario pedro)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
HIBACHI Sep22 Sep11 Aug23 Jul26 Jul13 (perez flo)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 3.00    
NIGHT OPS Sep30 Sep16 Sep08 Aug09 Jul12 (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
GHOSTINYOU Sep30 Sep16 Aug30 Aug17 Jul25 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
ZONIC Apr14 Mar18 Dec02 Oct28 Oct13 (mcgoey mon)COLINA ALEJANDRO 120 8.00    
BOONDOGGLE Sep21 Sep08 Aug24 Jul22 Jul15 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 10.00    
MINE TO HOLD Sep13 Sep01 Aug02 Jul07 Jun20 (synnefias p)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.