Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Wednesday - October 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-5   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(1/8/5/3/11)-(5/7/8/9/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
ALB-6   WIN (1/8/5/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/3/11)-(1/8/5/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/3/11)-(1/8/5/3/11)-(1/8/5/3/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ALB-7   WIN (5/7/8/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/9/3)-(5/7/8/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/9/3)-(5/7/8/9/3)-(5/7/8/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ALB-8   WIN (6/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/7)-(10/11/8/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ALB-9   WIN (10/11/8/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/11/8/4/2)-(10/11/8/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/11/8/4/2)-(10/11/8/4/2)-(10/11/8/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-5   10/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE JEAN BOURBON Sep15 Aug18 Jul29 Nov21 Nov08 (lambert c)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.50    
  (by KLIMT out of ON PAROLE by SILVER GHOST)
STACKERS Sep02         (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 122 4.50 11% 8.20    
  (by LATIGO SHORE out of STAX by SIGHTSEEING)
SECOND BATTALION Sep15 Aug18 Jul29 Jun16 Jun02 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of NINE FROM TWO by CURLIN)
LOOPY DUDE Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 Jul23 Jul15 (christian billy)MEDELLIN A 122 15.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of LOOPETY LOO by AFLEET ALEX)
SNAPP DADDY Sep04 Aug06 Jun23 May19 Apr28 (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of RILLA by DROSSELMEYER)
STORMIN ATTILA         (danley )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 122 6.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of HAPPY ME by LESTERS BOY)
GALACTIC CORE Sep15         (m)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of MASTERFUL LASS by MIZZEN MAST)
 
ALB-6   10/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS JAX Sep07 Aug25 Jul29 Jul15 Jun04 (van cr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 4.50 32% 2.20    
SPICEY SECRET Jun21 Jun04 May21 Sep14 Aug26 (clemmer phil)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00    
MISS CONTINENTAL Sep07 Aug05 Jun24 Jun04 May05 (dennison h)HEBERT J 122 12.00 10% 8.60    
SIMPERING SMILE Sep23 Sep07 Aug05 Jun17 May13 (lambert t)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
BELLA Y SOFIA Sep08 Aug25 Jun11 Apr15 Mar26 (henry l)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 15.00 18% 4.60    
DOM PROUD Sep23 Jul29 Jun11 May29 May06 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 124 8.00    
BLUE COWGIRL Sep07 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 May30 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 4.00    
DOOIT Aug27 Jun16 May11 Apr23 Feb08 (barraza s)CARRENO J 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
EMMYS SILVER Sep23 Aug19 Aug31 Aug05 Feb25 (cross gar)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50    
10  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES Sep13 Aug13 Jul26 Jul01 Jun04 (woolley b)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00    
11  HEMATITE Sep07 May20 May07 Apr22 Apr08 (garcia c)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Sep27 Aug14 Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 15.00    
 
ALB-7   10/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT AFFAIR Sep15 Sep01 Jun18 Apr15 Apr02 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.50    
JAZZ MAN DO Sep09 Aug20 Jul28 Jul21 Jul08 (van rober)CARRENO J 124 15.00    
LEAD MONTEREY Sep15 Sep07 Jul28 Jul08 May20 (alamos)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 20.00 9% 10.30    
OAKES CROSSING Aug02 Jul19 May28 May20 Apr30 (long vaughn)MEDELLIN A 124 12.00    
DOS REALES Sep15 Aug26 Jul21 Jun18 Apr29 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
MR. SILVER EXPRESS Sep09 Jul08 Jun10 May07 Apr29 (duree dom)VALENZUELA A 124 25.00    
POOF HE'S GONE Aug25 Jul22 Jun16 Mar21 Mar19 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 124 8.00 15% 5.80    
SOLID GOLD BAR Sep16 Sep07 Jul28 Jun23 May07 (barrios berna)MARQUEZ LARRY 124 4.50 12% 7.00    
R H EXPRESS May07         (douglas n)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 124 5.00 9% 10.00    
10  DIABOLICAL MIGHT Sep16 Jul08 Apr29 Apr02 Mar21 (morales)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 10.00    
SCR  HIT BTWEEN THE ICE Sep27 Sep01 Apr29 Jan17 Sep17 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
SCR  CANYON DEL ORO Sep27 Sep15 Sep07 Aug26 Apr02 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 20.00    
 
ALB-8   10/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAVICHORD Sep04 Jul30 Jun16 May21 Apr08 (buechle)FUENTES T 119 4.50 5% 18.00    
CREATIVE BID Sep03 Oct05 Aug28 Jul30   (hone bart)LOPEZ KARLO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP Sep04 Jun18 May21 Apr15 Mar14 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
SCR  BIG EVENT Jun18 Apr23 Mar12 Jan31 Jan10 (morales)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00    
GREY STORM Sep04 Jul16 Jun25 Apr23 Apr15 (g)DE CRUZ 121 3.50    
THUNDER DOME Mar26 Feb28 Jan29 Jan03 Oct30 (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 121 3.00 66% 0.50    
RONAMO Aug20 Jul15 Jul02 Jun19 Apr26 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
HOLLAND Jul30 Jun18 May21 Apr23 Apr02 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 121 2.50    
 
ALB-9   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT-11:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT STANTON SCOUT Sep15 Sep07 May06 Apr22 Apr08 (gherard)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00    
XTREME MAYHEM May29 May06 Apr11 Mar14 Feb25 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BUMBLEBEE Sep14 Sep03 Jul29 Jul16 Sep30 (martinez fr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
GORDY'S RULES Aug14 May28 Apr29 Apr19 Apr04 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
OKIE FREEZE Sep02 Aug04 May06 Apr02 Mar14 (rojero lu)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 15.00    
BIG MAC DADDY Sep07 Apr15 Feb28 Sep23 Aug31 (sedillo carlos)HEBERT J 121 20.00    
GUSHER Oct09 Aug26 Aug17 Aug03 May13 (alamos armando)MEDELLIN A 121 15.00    
CANNONBALL COMIN Aug05 Jul19 Jul03 May06 Mar20 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
MT. TAYLOR Jul15 Jun24 May06 Mar28 Feb28 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
10  DISCREET TIGER Sep17 Jun23 May20 May07 Apr15 (chacon sebedeo )ROSENDO J 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
11  ARIMONY Sep10 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 (torres-casas ale)RAMEY CASH 116 4.00 18% 4.40    
12  CHAMPS SUCCESS Sep17 Sep02 Jul22 Jun24 Mar07 (moreno carlos)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.