Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Remington Park
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RP-1   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(8/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
RP-2   WIN (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/3)-(8/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/3)-(8/5/3)-(8/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
RP-3   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(5/3/2)-(2/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
RP-4   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(2/4/6)-(9/5/3/10/12) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
RP-5   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(9/5/3/10/12)-(6/8/5/7/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
RP-6   WIN (9/5/3/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/3/10/12)-(9/5/3/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/3/10/12)-(9/5/3/10/12)-(9/5/3/10/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (9/5/3/10/12)-(6/8/5/7/2)-(2/1/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
RP-7   WIN (6/8/5/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/7/2)-(6/8/5/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/7/2)-(6/8/5/7/2)-(6/8/5/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/7/2)-(2/1/5)-(6/7/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
RP-8   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
RP-9   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RP-1   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FURIOUS AVENGER Jul20 Jul06 Jun08 Apr12 Mar21 (brooks d)SANCHEZ OBED 118 12.00    
AWESOME OUTLAW Jul12 Jun28 May16 Apr26 Apr03 (pruitt jody )WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 6.00    
ELUSIVE WAR Jun30 Apr23 Feb28 Jan12 Dec01 (von hemel )ERAMIA E 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
MIRANDEN May02 Apr04 Mar21 Mar07 Feb05 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
DOMINANT OKIE Aug24 May17 May08 May02 Apr04 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 118 10.00    
CHEROKEE LEGACY Aug26 May16 May03 Apr10 Mar20 (young e)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
TATER Aug24 Jun29 May17 Mar26 Dec16 (davidson m )BARANDELA SOFIA 118 20.00    
BIG CITY BOY Jun28 May10 Mar21 Mar07 Dec17 (hartman alex)MORA GERARDO 122 5.00    
EARS TO ME May02 Apr12 Mar14 Mar07 Dec17 (swan e)QUINONEZ S 122 8.00    
 
RP-2   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIST Aug24 Jul03 Jun16 Jun10 May29 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 8.00    
GOLD DECLARATION Sep06 Apr30 Apr22 Feb03 Nov19 (eoff terry)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 15.00    
BAREFOOT SAMURAI Aug25 Jun24 May12 Mar26 Mar04 (eoff terry)ALVAREZ L 117 4.00 17% 4.90    
LITTLE SOLDIER BOY Aug24 Jun15 May15 Apr25 Mar27 (pruitt m)MORA GERARDO 121 20.00    
BOLD COURAGE Sep02 May15 Apr10 Mar27 Feb17 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 121 4.50 22% 3.60    
PRINCE OF GLORY Sep04 Aug10 Jul28 Mar04 Feb12 (cravens ronn)FUENTES A 121 6.00    
CALIPARI Aug24 Jul03 Jun10 May29 Apr30 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 12.00    
BREAD WINNER Aug24 Aug07 Jul21 Jul01 Jun04 (flores oscar)CABRERA DAVID 117 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  NIGHTWIND Aug24 Jul22 Jun25 Jun02 Apr30 (young scot)ERAMIA E 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
RP-3   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLING ON THE LIGHT Aug26 Jul03 Jun16 Apr29 Mar19 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00    
WHATS UP SWEETS Jun08 Apr28 Mar12 Feb20 Jan29 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 121 3.50 18% 4.70    
SEXY RAGS Jun25 Jun11 May14 Jan08 Dec15 (cunningham carl )BRACHO A 121 12.00    
LADY ENVOY Aug25 Jul06 May17 Mar30 Feb26 (dixon tim)ERAMIA E 117 6.00    
ITSONLYMONEYHONEY Aug31 Jun25 Jun03 May02 Mar28 (lee mark)DIEGO V 121 5.00 6% 16.50    
WICKED SONG Jul03 Jun09 May18 Apr23 Mar10 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 1.60 50% 1.00    
 
RP-4   09/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACERTIVE MISS Aug25 Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 May15 (parsley jam)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 15.00    
CUPIDS LOVE Mar21 Dec02 Nov12 Nov04 Oct14 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 121 12.00 9% 9.60    
SMOKING GUITAR Jul19 Jun29 Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 121 3.50 21% 3.90    
STRONG WOMAN Jul20 Jul06 Jun08 May15 May02 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00    
CASINO QUEEN Jul26 Jul12 May15 May01 Apr11 (biehler e)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 36% 1.70    
MARIA ELENA Y. G Jul20 Jul05 May15 May09 May02 (morales arn)HAMILTON WESTON 121 6.00    
GOSPEL CARLOTTA Jul20 Jul06 Jun08 May15 May02 (williams steve)QUINONEZ S 121 5.00    
 
RP-5   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO BRAVE Aug26 Jun28 May15 May03 Mar20 (gladd andy)HEBERT LINDSEY 116 5.00    
TEXAS BAD BOY Aug24 Jun24 Jul16 Jul08 Feb26 (green greg)ALVAREZ L 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
MR OKLAHOMA CITY Aug26 Jun15 May08 Apr24 Apr12 (oberlander jes)QUINONEZ S 121 10.00    
TEXAS PRADO Aug13 Jun10 May13 Apr16 Mar31 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 121 4.00 15% 5.80    
GAMMA RAY Aug26 Jun15 May06 Apr16 Mar31 (eoff terry)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 12.00    
STOCKPILER Aug29 Aug12 Jul17 Jun22 Jun10 (cravens ronnie)MORA GERARDO 121 4.50 8% 11.70    
JIM AND JIM Jun15 May14 Mar03 Jan29 Jan01 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 121 2.50    
 
RP-6   09/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 2 F PT-10:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DULCE AMANECER YG Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 Jul02 Jun16 (mendoza e)MEDINA ANGEL 118 20.00    
DE DE'S BIRD         (ferrell)GONCALVES R 118 20.00    
MY MAYBELENNE Aug31         (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 6.00 12% 7.40    
SISTER SKYE         (ashford r)WETHEY JR 118 15.00    
THAROLITE Sep02 Jul08 Jun04 May20   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
ROUGH CREEK         (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 20.00    
ANNA UP Aug31         (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 118 20.00    
SCR  ESPERE Jul01         (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 118 3.00    
SHARP LIKENESS Jun23 May20       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 4.00 33% 2.00    
10  OVER BLINGED Sep01 Jul02       (flores oscar)DIEGO V 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
11  IMMA GOING TO WIN Sep01         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 118 8.00    
12  MO WILLA         (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
RP-7   09/16/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-10:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN DOUGH Jul04 Jun10 May20 May05 Mar04 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 122 5.00    
TEO Aug24 Jul03 May12 Mar12 Jun02 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
DYNA STRIKE Jun10 Mar04 Feb20 Oct26 Oct08 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00    
GEORGIA DEPUTY Aug26 Jun10 May05 Apr08 Mar18 (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 122 6.00    
WILTON Jul31 Jun03 Mar31 Jan22 Jan08 (cravens ronn)FUENTES A 122 12.00 19% 4.40    
MOON CAT Aug29 Aug15 Jul23 Jul08 May17 (jeansonne)MEDINA ANGEL 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
RESOLUTIONIST May20 May05 Apr02 Mar04 Feb20 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00 10% 9.20    
BIG PAPER DADDY Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 Jun19 May15 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
YIP YIP KIP Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 Nov05 Oct21 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 122 8.00    
10  BRIGGSEY Aug26 May03 Apr04 Mar20 Mar04 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 10.00    
 
RP-8   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT-11:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE MIRACLE Aug19 Dec16 Nov16 Oct26 Oct06 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 125 8.00 11% 7.80    
U. S. ARMY Aug24 Jul30 May28 Apr16 Mar04 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 118 2.50 63% 0.60    
AARON'S SPIRIT Aug24 Jun16 May28 May12 Apr16 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 4.00    
SCR  MISS DISTINCTIVE Jun11 May11 Apr29 Apr16 Feb24 (caldwell r)DIEGO V 119 4.50    
BLING MOUNTAIN Aug24 Jul02 Jun08 May13 Apr14 (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
UNION DATA Aug24 Jul29 Jun22 May28 Apr29 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 8.00    
SPEIGHTSVILLE Jun24 May21 Mar04     (trout r)ALVAREZ L 122 3.50    
 
RP-9   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT-11:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAT STORM Aug31 Jul04 Jun18     (diodoro robertino)ELLIOTT S 118 2.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WILDCAT GOLD by FOREST WILDCAT)
HEXCEL Aug12         (flores osca)WETHEY JR 118 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of IN A SNIT by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
DEVIL'S MISCHIEF Sep01         (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 118 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DOWNTOWN DRIFTER by DEVIL HIS DUE)
MACHO GRANDE Jun18         (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 118 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of ARTISTICDIFFERENCE by ESKENDEREYA)
DA RINGO Jul28 Jun23 May11     (broberg karl)MORA GERARDO 118 4.50 13% 6.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PLEASE EXPLAIN by CURLIN)
PURE MALICE Sep01 Jul04       (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PURE CLAN by PURE PRIZE)
ANOTHERBOTTLE         (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 118 3.50 27% 2.80    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of AWESOME MARY by AWESOME AGAIN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.