Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-3   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-4   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (4/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/7)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOZZY VALINTINE Jul25 Jul04 Jun10 May19 Jan11 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
2  CRUMLIN BIRD Aug21 Jul25 Jun27 May23 Dec10 (chudobiak gary)SALLES LEO 122 8.00    
3  SNELL FLICKA Aug07 Jul18 Jul04 Jun13 May23 (bl)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  REMEMBEROLDTYMES Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 Jun12 May30 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50 11% 8.10    
5  PACENZA Aug21 Jun12 May30 May02 Dec13 (humber joseph)JADOO STEVE 122 8.00    
6  J M R GEMMA Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 Jun26 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.00    
 
FE-2   09/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEELING Aug21 Jul18 Jul11 Jun03 Apr22 (robillard jo)CHEYNE A 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
2  THELONIOUS Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 (conces)ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00    
3  HIATUS Aug29 Jul31 Jul24 Jun26 Jun15 (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
4  LOQUACIOUS Aug21 Jul31 Jul10 Jul03 Jun18 (cohen )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 3.00    
5  A I INITIATIVE Aug29 Aug15 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00    
SCR  CRYPTIC CREED Jul24 Jun27 Jun13 Oct24 Oct17 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 124 12.00    
 
FE-3   09/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD MAP Aug15 Jul25 Jul11 May30 Nov10 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 8.00    
2  SUBZERO PLUS Aug22 Aug13 Jul31 Jul18 Jul11 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 124 10.00    
3  ORBITING THE SKY Aug08 Jul11 Jun27 Mar07 Feb14 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 8.00 12% 7.10    
4  IS THERE A FOREST Aug22 Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  FANCYSOUL Aug13 Jul25 Jun26 Mar31 Mar05 (davis m)MAILHOT P 124 4.00 13% 6.40    
6  LETS RUN TWO Aug15 Aug07 Jul10 Jul04 Jun27 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 2.00    
7  REIGN BY REIN Jul31 Jul18 Jun27 Jun18 May30 (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00    
 
FE-4   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMAICAN JIMMY Aug28 Aug13 Jul11 Jun06 Sep20 (fourni)ALDERSON IAN 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  BE THE CHANGE Aug21 Aug08 Jul10 Jun13 Nov12 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.00 6% 14.60    
3  COO BIRD Aug21 Jul31 Jul10 Jun27 Nov11 (ro)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 5.00    
4  BEN LOMOND Aug28 Aug15 Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 124 8.00    
5  LETTING LOOSE Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 May30 Oct24 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  RADCLIFFE Aug13 Jul24 Jun18 May30 Apr30 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 6.00    
7  ONE PUNCH CHARLIE Aug21 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 12.00    
 
FE-5   09/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I'M A CUTIE Aug22 Jul20 May23 Apr07 Feb22 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 122 10.00    
2  EASY ACCESS Aug15 Jul31 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (ke)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 8.00    
3  SHANGHAI KIMMY Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 Oct24 Sep20 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 12.00    
4  SHELLY THE ROCKET Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 Jul04 Jun10 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 124 1.80 32% 2.20    
5  JUNGLE GODDESS Jul18 Jun27 Jun12 May23 May01 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
6  LOUEMMA Aug22 Aug08 Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
7  FUN COOL Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 Jun12 May23 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 20.00 6% 17.00    
8  BETTABE SWIFT Jan11 Jan02 Dec06 Nov27 Nov13 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 124 6.00    
 
FE-6   09/05/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC MISSION Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun12 Oct28 (rabstein clau)DAVID MICHAEL 122 10.00    
2  UNBRIDLED INFERNO Aug13 Aug01 Jul25 Jul11 Jun16 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  KODIAK MAMBA (IRE) Aug18 Jun24 Jun09 Dec08 Nov27 (baumga)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00 6% 16.40    
4  SILENT WARNING Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul20 Jul10 (loesch)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 117 3.00    
5  SOUP SPOON Aug13 Jul31 Jun16 Jun01   (ceccato sh)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 5.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  MISS D'S PRIDE Aug28 Aug08 Jul25 Jul18 Jun13 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
7  QUIET REBEL Aug15 Jul18 Jul03 Jun16 Dec08 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00    
8  IRIE ISLAND MAN Aug28 Aug08 Aug01 Jul18 Jul10 (po)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.